Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.7

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Ah the joys of end of season NBA. The swings are dramatic, and the value is constantly changing. In two of the last three slates, we have seen winning score more than 430 points than last night 365 point won you 100 thousand dollars. It is without a doubt a roller coaster and not for the faint of heart. But fear not, we have everything you need to help you find success no matter the scenario including our NBA Projection Model and Cheat Sheet. Additionally, you cannot set and forget your lineups so be sure that up to and through first tip you are in our discord so that you can follow the news live as it breaks so you always know the best value pivots to give you the edge to take down your contests. Let us not waste any more time and get into Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.7. 

***Note***You will likely NEED multiple Lakers and Rockets tonight.

Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.7

Point Guard: Can I write up Westbrook?

Damian Lillard, TrailBlazers, $9,700:

Damian Lillard, TrailBlazers, $9,700: 

Fewer things are more guaranteed than Lillard turning into a monster at the end of a season. Portland always seems to just barely sneak into the playoffs, and it is always on the back of Dame shooting close to 30 shots a night. Slightly different scenario with 10 teams getting in but the Blazers are in the 7th seed but with a little luck can get into the 5th seed, so I am expecting Dame to go into playoff mode soon. Additionally, from a leverage standpoint I am expecting less experienced players to stay away from the Lakers defense without not considering that LeBron, AD, and Dennis are all out of the picture. 

Armoni Brooks, Heat, $3,900:

Will the Rockets even have enough guys active to play tonight? With eight guys already listed out and five others questionable or doubtful they could potentially have only five or six players to suit up. Because of that I do not care about the blowout risk or who they are playing. Be ready to play multiple Rockets tonight based on news. 

Also Consider:

Lamelo Ball

Colin Sexton

Shooting Guard:

Evan Fournier, $5,400, Celtics:

Eww, that is all I am gonna say. I do not like putting Evan in any of my articles, but it makes sense. In 4 of 5 games, he has exceeded more that 30 minutes and has taken double digit shots in three of five. While that is not great, he has been surprisingly been giving you some ancillary stats with 4-5 rebounds and assists, as well as a couple of steals. He maxes out at about 35 DK points in terms of ceiling, but he has been fairly consistent lately. 

R.J. Hampton, Magic, $5,100:

His price is climbing but I really do not care. He is playing over 30 minutes a game, taken 14 shots in two of his last three and given you peripheral stats in every category and given you at least a 20% usage rate in the last four. Magic have nine guys listed out currently and I would not be surprised if that list grew. 

Also Consider:

Seth Curry

Anthony Edwards

Delon Wright (If Fox and Barnes sit)

Small Forward:

Demar Derozan, Spurs, $8,600:

I rarely if ever put Demar in my articles but tonight I am not really “in love” with many of the spots our 10K studs are sans Vucevic so I am creeping down into the mid-range a bit. Going back to games where Demar plays against weak perimeter defenses (Wizards, Celtics, Hawks, Kings, Pelicans, Rockets, Trailblazers) he has a usage rate of around 34%, takes around 23 shots per game, and regularly finds himself over 50 DK points by the end of the night. 

Anthony Lamb, Rockets, $3,400:

Don’t feel like repeating myself. Rockets are a triage unit. He might play 40 minutes.

Also consider:

Luka Doncic

Power Forward:

Kyle Kuzma, Lakers, $5,600 :

With all of the primary guys sitting it is Drummond and Kuzma running the show from a usage perspective and as I will list below while I love Drummond’s price, he does present some risk. Kuzma in these scenarios has a massive 7.1% increase in usage (28.3% total) and Portland has the 31st ranked defense in the NBA behind only the Kings. 

KJ Martin Jr, Rockets, $4,700:

I already told you how many rockets are out so I will just emphasis this again. I do not care if they get blown out by 40 (and they might) I am playing multiple Rockets. I am just waiting to hear which guy with the Q tag sit so I know which value I end up running out there. 

Also Consider:

Giannis Antetokounmpo: I am concerned with blowout for the Milwaukee plays. Waiting to see if anyone sits.

Center:

Andre Drummond, Lakers, $6,900:

No Lebron, no AD, and no Schroder and he gets Portland in the late-night hammer. My main concern with Drummond is not the matchup, it is his play style. While he sees an 8.6% usage increase with those three out in seven of his last ten games he has ended up in foul trouble and ended up playing low to mid 20’s minutes. He is high on my radar, but I may go with cheaper Lakers if I feel the foul troubles will continue. 

Nikola Vucevic, Bulls, $10,400:

Who do the Celtics have that can stop Nikola under the glass? Do not look the answer is nobody even when healthy. Now we have Robert Williams questionable and Tristan Thompson coming off a chest injury and ask yourself: How high is his ceiling tonight? With the value tonight we have plenty of salary available for multiple 10K guys tonight if you are going stars and scrubs and Vuc is at the top of my list. 

Also Consider:

Jusuf Nurkic

Montrezl Harrell: If you think Drummond continues his foul trouble Harrell should be your guy. (5.1% usage bump)

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Draftkings Stoweby’s NBA Breakdown For 5.7. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!