Saturday 1/2 EPL DFS

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This article focuses on 1/2 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 1/2 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Let’s get ready for EPL Matchweek 17/38 as we kick off the first weekend of 2021!

Sheffield United (+290) at Crystal Palace (-103) – This game should result in a very sleepy start to the morning. Vicente Guaita is in play as the Crystal Palace goalie against lowly Sheffield United. However, we are certainly lacking in attacking options here unless you want to really pay up for them.

Wolves (+185) at Brighton (+160) – After our opening match, we get a second consecutive stinker as the Raul-Jimenez less Wolves visit the Seagulls. By nature, a wolf should devour a seagull, However, these Wolves have been limping, relying primarily on defense for survival. Brighton will similarly look to keep it low scoring and hope for some set piece magic.

Arsenal (-162) at West Brom (+460) – Welcome to Arsenal chalk day. Buyako Saka, who has taken over set pieces when in, is a game time decision. However, any way that this lineup shakes out, on this slate, you would have to be interested. Alexandre Lacazette (+116) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (+123) have the highest goal scoring odds on the slate. If Saka is out, Willian becomes very interesting at his price on DraftKings, with the assumption that set pieces would be all his. Behind him, Nicolas Pepe. If all three are not in the lineup, Dani Ceballos at $5,500, becomes a bargain.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them. All odds listed +300 or below and projected starters are listed in bold.

Sheffield United at Crystal Palace – Wilfried Zaha (+165), Christian Benteke (+200), Michy Batshuayi (+200), Jordan Ayew (+215), Oliver McBurnie (+300), Lys Mousset (+300), David McGoldrick (+320), Rhian Brewster (+330), Eberechi Eze (+360)

Wolves at Brighton – Neal Maupay (+215), Fabio Silva (+280), Pedro Neto (+295), Danny Welbeck (+300), Daniel Podence (+320), Aaron Connolly (+320), Andi Zeqiri (+320), Leandro Trossard (+390), Pascal Gros (+450)

Arsenal at West Brom – Alexandre Lacazette (+116), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (+123), Folarin Balogun (+165), Eddie Nketiah (+165), Gabriel Martinelli (+175), Nicolas Pepe (+240), Bukayo Saka (+255), Willian (+275), Charlie Austin (+340), Karlan Grant (+340)

EPL Best Odds

* Arsenal ML (-160) “DraftKings Sportsbook”

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

This West Brom side will continually to run out the 5-4-1 all defense, “park the bus” formation in an attempt to grab some points through draws. It’s rare Arsenal is far and away our best option of any sort on a normal slate, but here we are. If this ML is not enough for you, feel free to parlay it with an Over or something from another sport.

1/2 EPL FanDuel Rankings “Set pieces less important on FanDuel”

Forward/Midfield

• 1. Alexandre Lacazette – Arsenal – $21
• 2. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Arsenal – $22
• 3. Wilfried Zaha – Crystal Palace – $20
• 4. Gabriel Martinelli – Arsenal – $13
• 5. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $17
• 6. Bukayo Saka – Arsenal – $13 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces”
• 7. Willian – Arsenal – $14 “Not currently projected to start, set pieces if no Saka”
• 8. Eberechi Eze – Crystal Palace – $12 “Some set pieces”
• 9. Pascal Gros – Brighton – $14 “Set pieces”
• 10. Pedro Neto – Wolves – $19 “Set pieces”
• 11. Andros Townsend – Crystal Palace – $13 “Some set pieces”
• 12. Eddie Nketiah – Arsenal – $16 “Not currently projected to start”
• 12. Leandro Trossard – Brighton – $11
• 13. Solly March – Brighton – $12
• 13. Christian Benteke – Crystal Palace – $18
• 14. Nicolas Pepe – Arsenal – $12 “Not currently projected to start”
• 15. Jordan Ayew – Crystal Palace – $15 “Not currently projected to start”

Defense

• 1. Roman Saiss – Wolves – $10
• 2. Rob Holding – Arsenal – $9
• 3. Nelson Semedo – Wolves – $8
• 4. Ryan Ait-Nouri – Wolves – $7
• 5. Conor Coady – Wolves – $7

Goalies

1. Vicente Guaita – Crystal Palace – $12
2. Rui Patricio – Wolves – $9
3. Bernd Leno – Arsenal – $14

1/2 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Willian – Arsenal – $8,100 “Not currently projected to start, only if in and no Saka cause then set pieces”
2. Bukayo Saka – Arsenal – $10,700 “Set pieces, Not currently projected to start, GTD”
3. Alexandre Lacazette – Arsenal – $8,500
4. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Arsenal – $9,000
5. Gabriel Martinelli – Arsenal – $6,900
6. Pedro Neto – Wolves – $9,500 “Set pieces”
7. Pascal Gros – Brighton – $10,200 “Set pieces”
8. Wilfried Zaha – Crystal Palace – $10,500
9. Eberechi Eze – Crystal Palace – $9,300 “Some set pieces”
10. Andros Townsend – Crystal Palace – $9,900 “Some set pieces”
11. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $8,200

Midfield

1. Willian – Arsenal – $8,100 “Not currently projected to start, only if in and no Saka cause then set pieces”
2. Bukayo Saka – Arsenal – $10,700 “Set pieces, Not currently projected to start, GTD”
3. Dani Ceballos – Arsenal – $5,500 – “Only if no Saka, Willian, or Nicolas Pepe as Ceballos would be next in line for set pieces”
4. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang – Arsenal – $9,000
5. Gabriel Martinelli – Arsenal – $6,900
6. Pedro Neto – Wolves – $9,500 “Set pieces”
7. Pascal Gros – Brighton – $10,200 “Set pieces”
8. Wilfried Zaha – Crystal Palace – $10,500
9. Eberechi Eze – Crystal Palace – $9,300 “Some set pieces”
10. Andros Townsend – Crystal Palace – $9,900 “Some set pieces”

Defense

1. Hector Bellerin – Arsenal – $4,000
2. Nathaniel Clyne – Crystal Palace – $3,800
3. PUNT

Goalies

1. Bernd Leno – Arsenal – $5,600
2. Vicenta Guaita – Crystal Palace – $5,200
3. Rui Patricio – Wolves – $4,600

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