NFLPremium Stix Picks: Week 4 NFL DFS GPP Lineups brgrewe@gmail.com 12 months ago written by brgrewe@gmail.com To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive!” Hopefully everyone is safe from the Hurricane and ready to decompress with some NFL football! The NFL season is here and it feels like Christmas morning. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 4 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice before building your NFL DFS GPP lineups.If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.For those looking to get different and make a potential splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat (all of which are in the cash game article).NOTE: Keep an eye on the weather forecasts. The majority of this article is built around Buffalo/Baltimore. There is a chance of higher winds and potential rain d... 12 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLPremium NFL DFS Week 11 – Cash Game Checkdown brgrewe@gmail.com 2 years ago written by brgrewe@gmail.com Welcome back to the Week 11 NFL DFS Cash Game Checkdown after an absolute SMASH yet again in Week 10 for the Win Daily cash game crew! The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up). Players in this article are usually a mix of the following:High-floor/high-volume “safer” players (players with a very low bust-rate)VALUE PLAYSNot a part of a stack – Stacking is great for GPPs, but if you stack in cash games, your lineup is entirely too dependent on said stacked team. If that team does poorly, your whole lineup does… Not a risk we need to take in a cash game. QB/WR pairing is fine, but unless there’s extreme value in a 3-man stack, let’s keep it to QB/WR or QB/TE.Extremely chalky for the week… in GPP’s I’ll usually always fade volatile players at > 40% ownership, but in cash games, it’s usually fine to eat the chalk. If that player underperforms, it does not hinde... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLPremium NFL DFS Week 4 Cash Game Checkdown brgrewe@gmail.com 2 years ago written by brgrewe@gmail.com Another solid output for our Week 3 NFL DFS Cash Games (if you made the late pivot to Herbert over Fields as discussed on the livestream). The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up). Players in this article are usually a mix of the following:High-floor/high-volume “safer” players (players with a very low bust-rate)VALUE PLAYSNot a part of a stack – Stacking is great for GPPs, but if you stack in cash games, your lineup is entirely too dependent on said stacked team. If that team does poorly, your whole lineup does… Not a risk we need to take in a cash game. QB/WR pairing is fine, but unless there’s extreme value in a 3-man stack, let’s keep it to QB/WR or QB/TE.Extremely chalky for the week… in GPP’s I’ll usually always fade volatile players at > 40% ownership, but in cash games, it’s usually fine to eat the chalk. If that player underperforms, it does not h... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Collector’s Corner: An Intro to the Trading Card Hobby jason mezrahi 3 years ago written by jason mezrahi Sports certainly mean a lot to me – less in the aggressive, energy-driven ways that were important to me as a child – but in the lasting themes that converge in artistry, and teamwork, and humanity. The trading card hobby means a lot to me too – and I’ve been handicapping cards a lot longer than I was a trusted source on fantasy sports information.The first set I ever put together was 1980 Topps baseball – the year with the Rickey Henderson rookie – starting with a bunch of beat up stacks I had acquired from packs, my sister’s pubescent boyfriends and my uncle Al, and eventually upgrading into a well-curated complete set that I collated by hand. PSA Gem Mint 10s of that Henderson now sell for $60K, and even PSA 9s (Mint) sell for $1,500 to $2,000.My 1980 Topps Rickey Henderson #482 is one of the first valuable cards I ever acquired. I’ll be sending it off for grading with a handful of other high-end cards.It’s a great set featuring a simple design and has loads of guys who are now in the Hall of Fame. The cards are not professionally graded, but I’d say most of the cards are in “Near Mint” shape or better.As trading cards evolved, so did the trading card hobby, and now it’s about a lot more than collecting a few packs or putting sets together. I sell a lot of stuff on eBay, and I sometimes use the proceeds to get more cards for personal collection or jump into some group breaks for specific teams and players (or random ones, in some cases) that I want.I’m a big Aaron Judge fan, and have a few of his rookie cards in PSA 10s. Pictured are his 2013 Bowman Draft rookie (his first ever card) and a sweet 2017 Topps Archives that features a 1960 Topps horizontal design. Both of these cards can be acquired for well under $100 each.This space – a place for us all to discuss the symbiotic relationship between fantasy sports and card collecting/trading/finance – will be a fluid one. Just like DFS adapting to the daily changes in stats and scores, of injuries and performance and opportunity, the trading card hobby has similar shifts – almost daily. We see the same players – like Justin Herbert – popping up on eBay for huge prices when they’re putting out monster stat lines.The COVID-19 outbreak has been many things for us, both individually and communally, but it’s also been the backdrop for a dramatic spike in the prices of trading cards – from retail flippers who know when Walmart and Target restock their shelves (and outrageous prices for snazzy new releases), to vintage cards with a similarly enthusiastic following.)I personally collect DeAndre Ayton (his “silver prizm” rookie is pictured); Ja Morant cards like this 2019 Mosaic Pink Camo rookie are still a very hot commodity. Both are worth about $100 each “raw,” but about $400-500 in a PSA 10.Since WinDaily is committed to bringing you the best plays, we’ve added what’s been a very popular #tradingcards subhead on Discord, and we’ll be bringing you periodic updates on the card collecting biz – from new products we like to players we think it’s time to start adding to the collection. Ultimately, we’ll be helping you put money in your bank account and lucrative memorabilia in your hands – cashing in through WinDaily community selling and trading groups and by following our tips for selling cards online.Collecting Corner will cover all types of sports and all types of cards. I’m particularly fond of baseball, football and basketball – but there are some really gorgeous hockey products out there for you puckheads, and there’s a whole new crop of stars on the PGA Tour who’ll be featured in Upper Deck’s upcoming golf releases.We’ll discuss the hot players who occasionally see dramatic increases in their card value, from Talen Horton-Tucker after a big preseason game or a rookie QB after getting the starting job.If you’re looking to get into the hobby, here’s a few things you can do:Buy a graded card of a player you like (or think will increase in value) on eBay“Raw” cards have not been professionally graded and usually cost a lot less before they are authenticated and graded by a third party company like PSA, Beckett or SGC. I usually start by watching the sold prices (you can filter to ”sold items” in the search field) of individual cards over any time period, or get in before there’s any hype about the player (if possible). Graded Luka Doncic cards were nowhere near the outrageous prices they are now, but he hadn’t quite yet emerged as a Top 3 NBA talent. Tyler Herro rookies were quite affordable before “I’m a bucket” became a popular catchphrase as he ripped nets in the NBA bubble and ensuing playoffs.A pile of LeBrons ready to be sent out for grading. These are considered “raw” and don’t command the same prices before authentication and grading gives them a number from 1-10.Get into a group break via social media channels or elsewhere onlineI’m sure there are a few scammers out there, but most community break groups are reputable and vetted by trustworthy admins. You can check out one of my favorite communities over at Vintage Breaks – the Cadillac of breaking communities that offers lucrative bonuses and giveaways along with high-end newer products as well as lots of vintage cards – or find one of the many Facebook groups that stream the breaks live via social media. There are usually a few different payment options (PayPal Goods and Services, Venmo, CashApp) for the social media groups that offer some type of buyer protection.I won this 1986 Topps Jerry Rice rookie in a Vintage Breaks pack for a $7 entry fee. In a PSA 10, it’s worth $35K or more. Even PSA 9s sell for about $2,000.Go to a card show (when it’s safe to do so)Card shows have changed a lot since the early card collecting club days of the early 1980s – when my uncle would drag me into a church basement with a bunch of old men chomping on cigars and selling sharp-cornered 1950s and 60s Mantles for hundreds (instead of thousands) of dollars, but the idea remains the same. It’s a way to get hobby release boxes, packs and individual cards directly from dealers and with the added bonus of an in-person handshake elbow pound.Hopefully things will change for the better in the next 12 months or so, but in the meantime, the trading card hobby is still a safe, lucrative and fun pastime that’s directly relatable to DFS and it’s ups and downs. We’re glad to be part of it, and we’ll be checking in regularly to offer our insights and advice on how you can be a part of it too. 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL NFL DFS GPP: Stix Picks for Week 13 StixPicks 3 years ago written by StixPicks To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive.” HUGE Week 12 at Win Daily for our NFL DFS GPP lineups and it’s time for us to get rolling again for Week 13. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 13 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice.In addition, I would strongly advise reading my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason, before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat. Let’s get into it.Please note, everyone on our cheatsheet and the Cash Game Checkdown are also in play for GPPs. This is more to uncover some players people are not talking about… and they should be.*Keep in mind, you DO NOT NEED to just build your GPP lineups around these players. Players from the Cash Game Checkdown are there because they have extremely high floors and high ceilings. They are key components you should probably build around no matter what type of contest you’re in*Adjusted Expected Team Totals Rankings for Week 13Minnesota Vikings (24.82)Green Bay Packers (24.05)Tennessee Titans (22.31)Los Angeles Rams (22.30)New Orleans Saints (22.02)My Personal Top Stacks:1) Green Bay Packers2) Chicago Bears3) Tennessee Titans4) Seattle Seahawks5) New York JetsNFL DFS GPP QuarterbacksAaron Rodgers – All in on Rodgers and the Packers’ offense against the Eagles’ putrid secondary. The Eagles will bring an excellent pass rush so this is no cakewalk for Rodgers and company, but on a Sunday as ugly as this one, I’m going to invest heavily in the best quarterback on the slate.Mitch Trubisky – Yes, let’s go down to the salary savings of Mitch Trubisky and this Bears offense. As mentioned in the cash game article, Trubisky absolutely destroys the Lions’ defense, historically. The Lions’ defense as a whole is decimated with injuries and also do not have Matt Patricia slowing down the pace of their offense. This game will be sloppy, but it will produce some fantasy fireworks for our NFL DFS GPP lineups.Ryan Tannehill – Low key, Tannehill and the Titans’ offense play at a very high pace despite giving Derrick Henry 22+ carriers per game. A high-paced offense is something I’ll always be interested in with my GPP builds… especially when that team is going virtually un-owned (outside of Derrick Henry). Vegas has this game kicking off with the highest total on the slate and surprisingly it’s not drawing a lot of ownership in DFS.Honorable Mention: Russell Wilson, Sam Darnold, Kyler MurrayRunning BacksChris Carson – Carson is in for a full workload this week after seeing how useless Carlos Hyde was with 15 touches last week in addition to nursing a toe injury. We love playing double digit home-favorite running backs, so why is there no love for a 3-down back like Chris Carson?Miles Sanders – I always pick on the Green Bay running defense and this happens to be the perfect run back for my favorite stack of the Packers.Myles Gaskin – There’s literally no one else behind him that will take away snaps. Miami is a big favorite against a Bengals team that has absolutely nothing to play for. Gaskin will likely be popular, but not nearly as much as Montgomery and Booker.Kareem Hunt – Just a conviction play to go on the other side of my Titans’ stacks (when I cannot afford Nick Chubb). I really love this spot for both Browns’ running backs.Honorable Mention: Alvin Kamara, Damien Harris, Frank GoreWide ReceiversDavante Adams – He’s not sneaky whatsoever, but give me all of the Davante Adams this week.Allen Robinson – If he’s 100% healthy and good to go, the Lions’ secondary is absolutely destroyed right now. Desmond Trufant and Jeffrey Okudah (the top two corners in Detroit) are both out (Trufant on IR)… this is going to be a field day for Robinson and the Bears.AJ Brown – I don’t know what else AJ Brown has to do to get more love in the DFS world. He’s one of the highest ceiling wide receivers to put into your NFL DFS GPP lineups.DJ Chark – He’s a top-end wide receiver priced at $5,400 on DraftKings against one of the worst secondaries in the NFL. The Jaguars will be playing catch up all day on Sunday and that sets up for a busy day for DJ Chark.Michael Pittman – All the way the hell in on Michael Pittman this weekend against a Bradley Roby-less, Houston Texans’ secondary. Read the cash game article if you need more on why I’m so high on Pittman.Denzel Mims / Breshad Perriman – If you need some salary relief, one of these two will be my top choices. They both have extremely intriguing player props for such low salaries in DFS and have a juicy matchup against the Raiders’ secondary you know I love to pick on.Honorable Mention: DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Cooper Kupp, Corey Davis, Darnell Mooney, Justin JeffersonNFL DFS GPP Tight EndsRobert Tonyan – Packers’ stacks and a dude who is a lock to see 5+ targets and a great red-zone asset. Cheap exposure to my favorite game-stack.TJ Hockenson – simply a low-owned, underpriced player as a run-back to my second favorite stack. Out of the tight-ends on this slate, no one other than Darren Waller have the floor Hockenson has.Honorable Mention: Hayden HurstGood luck to all this week in your NFL DFS GPP lineups!Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return. 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports Betting PointsBet Partnership Review Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis PointsBetOne of the newcomers to the sports betting industry has a competitive edge; by modeling their sportsbook after a points system rather than a traditional fixed odds model, PointsBet has clearly differentiated themselves from other competing sportsbooks in the industry.Click here to go to PointsBet SportsbookPromotionPointsBet and Win Daily Sports have partnered to give you an excellent promotion for new accounts: First Bets are Risk-Free up to $2,000! Join now using this link.Click here to Claim OfferOverviewIf you have ever been in a position where you were so right about a pick, then PointsBet may just be the sportsbook for you. In a situation where you bet a spread and you just clear it, you’re happy to barely be on the right end of it – but if you were far and away correct on a pick, you may have wished that you had added points to the line you had chosen using the additional spread or over/under. Enter PointsBet and their system, who does it for you: the more you are right, the more money you win – and not necessarily just in the number of wagers you place, rather how correct your single pick is. Instead of simply picking a spread or game total, you place a wager on the same style of pick (i.e. over/unders, spreads, player props, etc. as listed right below) and if you pick the correct side, your winnings accumulate based on the number of “points” you win by. Should an over/under of an NBA game by 200.5 and you take the over at $5 per point, if the game total hits 210, you won by 9 points and consequently won $45. The same concept applies to a game spread; should the spread by -9.5 on an NFL game, and the team wins by 17, you have won $35 at $5 per point. While it is a nice concept to win more the more you are right, there is also a stop loss on wagers, similarly to how you can do so in currency or stock trading in order to minimize your potential losses.Betting OptionsDespite the nearly irreplicable model that is the PointsBet sportsbook, they still have all of the common wager types that you’d find across the industry. These include:SpreadsMoneylineGame/Team TotalsParlaysLive In-Play BettingStraightTeasersTeam, Player, and Game PropsFuturesUser ExperienceThe PointsBet website thrives on the user having full control on getting to their desired destination; whether it be by betting type, sport of choice, or additional tabs such as account information and/or pertinent information found on their blogs, the PointsBet user has freedom to travel wherever they please by using the dropdown menu on the left side of the screen.Moreover, PointsBet offers a mobile application available to both iOS and Android users on their respective application stores. If you’re on the go, PointsBet has you covered with the same features that you find on the web interface, including wagers, bet slip, information blogs, account accessibility, and more!<img src="https://windailysports.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/pointsbet-6.png" alt="PointsBet Sportsbook review 2020 | Up to $250 Welcome Bonus<!– –> – AvailabilityDespite the unique platform, PointsBet is currently limited to five states in America: New Jersey, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, and Colorado. Having begun operations overseas in Australia, the future is bright for PointsBet to continue to grow exposure to other states in America and foreign countries. 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL NFL DFS: Stix Picks Week 11 Cash Game Checkdown David Stowe 3 years ago written by David Stowe Another great week for Week 10 NFL DFS Cash Games. Let’s get right back at it for a solid showing yet again in Week 11, which is shaping up to be a really nice slate without a lot of headache decisions. A slate without Wilson, Kyler, and Mahomes should make your roster builds much less of a headache.The purpose of this article is to identify my top plays for a NFL DFS cash game lineup on DraftKings and FanDuel Sunday Main Slates (also known as a double-up). Players in this article are usually a mix of the following:High-floor/high-volume “safer” players (players with a very low bust-rate)VALUE PLAYSNot a part of a stack – Stacking is great for GPPs, but if you stack in cash games, your lineup is entirely too dependent on said stacked team. If that team does poorly, your whole lineup does… Not a risk we need to take in a cash game. QB/WR pairing is fine, but unless there’s extreme value in a 3-man stack, let’s keep it to QB/WR or QB/TE at most.Extremely chalky for the week… in GPP’s I’ll usually always fade volatile players at > 40% ownership, but in cash games, it’s usually best to eat the chalk. If that player underperforms, it does not hinder your ability to cross the pay-line as 40% or more of the field is in the same boat. If you fade this player(s) and he has a great game, your lineup is likely toast… as you’re now behind 40% or more of the field. Make sense? If not, hit me up on Discord/Twitter to discuss further.In my opinion, cash games are extremely important for long-term bankroll building and sustainability. I’ll consistently use at least 50% of my weekly bankroll towards cash games. It’s not sexy, but it works and allows me to take big shots in high dollar GPPs.Long story short, if we hit our cash games each week, the worst we can do is break-even (not counting your GPP shots with the remaining 50% of your weekly bankroll). The weeks you hit both, you smash. The weeks you miss your GPPs, your cash game lineup will carry you. It’s my job to ensure you always hit those cash games.If you haven’t yet, I would strongly advise giving my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. Without further ado, let’s do this thing!*Some notes on what I believe to be the “optimal” roster build for NFL DFS Cash Games. I’ll include this in all the Checkdown articles moving forward. For Week 11, please see below for my notes on roster construction:ON FANDUEL: LOCK in Taysom Hill at Tight End. It’s embarrassing that they haven’t changed his position, but take advantage of that freesquare. If you don’t play him in FanDuel cash lineups, retire from DFS, yesterday.I’m narrowing down the player pool a lot this week. I see a ton of different cash lineups in the discord with way too may different players in the builds. With this article, we should all be honed in on educated plays and smash this slate.CHALK REPORT: Taysom Hill, Dalvin Cook, Duke Johnson, Giovani Bernard, Jakobi Meyers, Keenan Allen, and Mark Andrews all project to be incredibly high in ownership. I think we’ll likely want to lock in at least two or three of them in our cash games.Just because a player is not mentioned in this article, does not mean they are not cash viable.AETY Model Projections change throughout the week, please ensure you check out our final projections before lock!I update this article periodically through the week. Be sure to check back on Saturday night / Sunday morning for any additions/revisions!!NFL DFS QuarterbacksLamar Jackson ($7,300 DK / $8,400 FD) – On a slate with no Kyler Murray, Patrick Mahomes, and Russell Wilson. Lamar Jackson is clearly the top dog at the Quarterback position. Mike Vrabel will likely have a good game plan to slow down the quarterback that posted over 500 all-purpose yards against him in the playoffs last year, but this Tennessee defense is bad, so Vrabel doesn’t matter to me at all.In addition, this price-tag on Lamar Jackson is way too low for the upside he possesses. Great option for cash game and NFL DFS GPP builds this week.Cam Newton ($6,200 DK / $7,600 FD) – Holy savings on DraftKings! Houston’s defense is absolutely atrocious rating 32nd against the run in DVOA and 22nd in pass defense DVOA. Cam should have a field day in both categories at a very affordable price.Andy Dalton ($5,300 DK ONLY) – If you need the savings, you can’t really go wrong with using Andy Dalton as your DraftKings quarterback. This game has sneaky shootout potential and this price is fantastic.Honorable Mention: Taysom Hill (DK), Justin Herbert, DeShaun Watson, Matt RyanRunning BacksDalvin Cook ($9,000 DK / $10,500 FD) – Expensive as hell, but if you can afford him, you play him. Alvin Kamara ($9,200 DK / $9,700) – Kamara is much more appealing this week on FanDuel but similar to Cook, if you can afford him, you play him in cash. I don’t think it’s 100% necessary to use one or the other in cash, but it’s clearly doable with all of the savings around both sites this weekend.Miles Sanders ($6,900 DK / $7,700 FD) – Way too cheap for one of the few running backs in the NFL that is not in a timeshare. Cleveland’s run defense is extremely banged up and have been getting worse at defending the run on a weekly basis. With a close spread and an upper-40s point total, this should set up nicely for a very busy Miles Sanders day.Kalen Ballage ($5,600 DK / $5,800 FD) – If you need to go dumpster diving, it seems like the whole field is going to Kalen Ballage against the Jets. With Ekeler and Justin Jackson both injured, Ballage is clearly the number one running back (played over 70% of the snaps last week) and should be considered for salary relief in your cash game builds.Kerryon Johnson ($4,000 DK / $4,800 FD) – D’Andre Swift is out, so it’s wheels up to Adrian Peterson and the forgotten Kerryon Johnson. It’s disgusting, but as you saw last week with Mike Davis, you can cash a cash game lineup with 7-8 points out of your running back punt play.Honorable Mention: Duke Johnson, Ezekiel Elliott, Giovani Bernard, Mike Davis, Antonio Gibson Wide ReceiversDavante Adams ($8,600 DK / $9,500 FD) – Adams is matchup proof and offers the highest floor on this slate against Indianapolis’ Xavier Rhodes and Rock Ya-Sin.Calvin Ridley ($7,000 DK / $7,800 FD) – You’re going to want exposure to this Atlanta/New Orleans shootout and no better way to do so on the Atlanta side with Calvin Ridley coming back at 100% health. Julio Jones is absolutely in play here, but I’ll take the savings with Ridley and a great matchup against Marshon Lattimore and Janoris Jenkins.Keenan Allen ($7,400 DK / $8,000 FD) – Keenan Allen will likely always make the cash article on a weekly basis. Hard to avoid this target share and consistent double-digit floor. Pair all of that with a matchup against the Jets’ dead last ranked pass defense and you’ll do just fine in a cash build.Amari Cooper ($5,400 DK / $6,900 FD) – Absolute freesquare on DraftKings against this Vikings’ secondary we pick on weekly. No need to over think this one, this is a great buy-low spot for Amari Cooper (and any Cowboy receiver for that matter) with Andy Dalton coming back under center.Diontae Johnson ($5,900 / $6,400 FD) – This dude is incredible. When he’s on the field, he collects damn-near a 30% target share. Big Ben loves throwing him the football and for good reason… he produces! Diontae Johnson against the 2nd worst secondary in the NFL is a perfect recipe for NFL DFS cash game success.Jakobi Meyers ($4,900 DK / $6,000 FD) – On DraftKings, I think rolling out Jakobi Meyers is a lock-button for me. Meyers is still well below what his price should be and he’s built a strong chemistry with Cam Newton over the past month while racking up 37 targets in his last four games.Honorable Mention: Terry McLaurin, Justin Jefferson, Tyler Boyd, Marvin Jones, Jarvis Landry, CeeDee Lamb, Denzel MimsTight EndsTight end seems like an absolute wasteland this week with no Travis Kelce or Darren Waller. I don’t have a great read on where I’m going yet (on DraftKings, because remember, you’re using Taysom Hill on FanDuel), but here are my top options on the slate.Mark Andrews ($4,900 DK)Dallas Goedert ($3,800 DK)Logan Thomas ($3,300 DK)Defense / Special TeamsI’ll rarely write about defense and special teams in the Cash Game Checkdown. I believe it’s much more important to lock in your key skill position players and hopefully a solid defense fits your build for NFL DFS cash games. Prices considered, here’s who I’ll take a look at:Los Angeles ChargersBaltimore RavensWashington Football TeamDenver BroncosAtlanta FalconsNFL DFS Cash Game Sample LineupQB: Lamar JacksonRB: Kerryon JohnsonRB: Miles SandersWR: Diontae JohnsonWR: Jakobi MeyersWR: Amari CooperTE: Logan ThomasFLEX: Dalvin CookDST: Washington 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL NFL DFS GPP: Stix Picks for Week 10 StixPicks 3 years ago written by StixPicks To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive.” NFL DFS GPP season is here and it’s time for us to get rolling again for Week 10. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 10 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice.In addition, I would strongly advise reading my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason, before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat. Let’s get into it.Please note, everyone on our cheatsheet and the Cash Game Checkdown are also in play for GPPs. This is more to uncover some players people are not talking about… and they should be.*Keep in mind, you DO NOT NEED to just build your GPP lineups around these players. Players from the Cash Game Checkdown are there because they have extremely high floors and high ceilings. They are key components you should probably build around no matter what type of contest you’re in*NEW: Adjusted Expected Team Totals Rankings for Week 10Arizona Cardinals (25.13)Los Angeles Rams (24.36)Green Bay Packers (24.15)Buffalo Bills (22.33)Pittsburgh Steelers (21.98)Seattle Seahawks (21.77)NFL DFS GPP QuarterbacksRussell Wilson – With an ownership projection around 5-7%, I’m all aboard the Wilson train. Despite a very tough matchup against the Rams and their 9th ranked defense (in terms of pass DVOA), I don’t think there’s going to be much in the way to slow down Russ. This is one of the lowest weeks of combined ownership for Wilson/Lockett/Metcalf and I’ll be sure to have multiple combinations of the three and run it back with a Rams’ player or two. Quite frankly, I am really only interested in getting my stack exposure to this game and with Kyler Murray/Josh Allen in that 56 point total in Arizona.Jared Goff – On the other side of Wilson, it’s wheels up for Jared Goff and this Rams’ passing attack. We pick on Seattle’s pass defense (ranked 29th in DVOA) every single week and there’s no reason to shy away now. The AETY Model has Jared Goff projected for 306 passing yards which is by far the highest on this slate. Great salary relief as well for your NFL DFS GPP lineups.Honorable Mention: Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Kyler Murray, Josh AllenRunning Backs*Obviously, Aaron Jones and Alvin Kamara make a ton of sense to roster. With the weather and the savings, I prefer Aaron Jones, but we will see a bit of Jamaal Williams this week. I do not think either of these guys are “must-plays” in GPPs, but you definitely want to give them a lot of consideration in your NFL DFS GPP lineups*Chase Edmonds – If Kenyan Drake is out, Chase Edmonds becomes a very nice value play in the highest totaled game on the slate. Buffalo’s defense has really struggled against the run and despite a weak showing in Week 9, Edmonds hardly left the field… 96% snap share!Buffalo ranks 22nd in run defense DVOA and Arizona should have their way with the Bills on the ground as they are the 4th most efficient rushing offense in the NFL. Kyler Murray’s ownership is going to be through the roof (and rightfully so), why not pivot to Chase Edmonds at ~10% ownership?Moving to James Conner now that Kenyan Drake is going to suit up.Antonio Gibson – I simply love this dude’s game. I know we’ve seen a ton of JD McKissic lately (even running routes out of the slot), but I project this game to be much slower paced and offer Gibson a gamescript where he can thrive. Detroit’s run defense is allowing ~5 yards per carry to opposing running backs and rank 25th in run defense DVOA. At Gibson’s price, I think this is an excellent spot for him to hit 4x value at 5% ownership.Ronald Jones / Leonard Fournette – Carolina’s run defense has significantly improved over the year but they’re still bleeding yards to opposing running backs. This is going to be an absolute statement game from Tom Brady and the Bucs’ offense. I hate the timeshare, but this should be a gamescript that sets up nicely for two or three rushing touchdowns.I personally am leaning RoJo, but I will have a feel lineups with Fournette as well. Fournette has been taking away snaps from Jones over the past few weeks, but the Bucs seem plenty confident in riding Jones a bit more when the game is close or in their favor. That should be his role to run with in Week 10.Nick Chubb – Guess who’s back? Mr. Nick Chubb in a cakewalk matchup (with weather concerns that will make passing the ball extremely difficult) against Houston’s pathetic run defense. We’re likely going to see 40+ rush attempts from this Cleveland outside-zone run scheme and that will pay dividends to both Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt.Honorable Mention: James Conner, James Robinson, D’Andre Swift, Phil LindsayWide ReceiversKeenan Allen – Every single week we pick on Miami slot-corner, Nik Needham. Lock in Keenan and enjoy the show.Michael Thomas – He’s simply too cheap for Michael Thomas and a nice pivot away from 25% owned Alvin Kamara chalk. I like them both, but I’m leaning Michael Thomas here in GPP lineups. Hell, make a stack with Brees/Thomas/Kamara, they’re going to put up points.Cooper Kupp / Robert Woods – With how much I love Jared Goff and the Rams’ passing attack, I obviously love Kupp and Woods this week. If I had to make a choice, I think Woods has the higher output against a Seattle secondary who will be without Shaq Griffin and Quinton Dunbar. See below for another Rams’ option.John Brown – Most of my builds cannot afford Stefon Diggs and I don’t really mind that at all. Diggs is going to be 30% owned in this shootout with Arizona. I’ll pivot down to John Brown for my Buffalo exposure in a matchup against Johnathan Joseph. Brown is going to produce big numbers as long as this game stays up-pace.Jerry Jeudy – This kid is special. We take advantage of this Raiders’ secondary on a weekly basis and won’t stop now. Jeudy should have a field day against arguably the worst trio of cornerbacks in the AFC.DK Metcalf – If everyone is afraid of shadow treatment by Jalen Ramsey, I’m going to be heavily invested in DK Metcalf. I don’t care who you are, you cannot cover DK Metcalf for 60 minutes of football. Current ownership projections show the highest ceiling wide receiver in the game under 10%… Let’s roll.Josh Reynolds / Larry Fitzgerald – If you need salary relief or an educated punt-play, Josh Reynolds and Larry Fitzgerald will be my guys. I’ll likely never have both of them in the same lineup, but this is the cheapest, viable pieces of the #1 and #2 offenses on the Adjusted Expected Team Totals model.Honorable Mention: DeAndre Hopkins, Jarvis Landry, Brandon Aiyuk, Curtis Samuel, Tyler LockettNFL DFS GPP Tight EndsTJ Hockenson – No idea how this dude isn’t projected for 15% ownership. Washington is terrible at covering the tight end and outside of COVID-19 and Travis Kelce, there really hasn’t been anything else as consistent as TJ Hockenson in 2020. Greg Olsen – Disgusting, I know. But hear me out. The Rams cannot cover tight ends, I don’t care what the numbers say. If Ramsey and the Rams’ defense can slow down Metcalf/Lockett just a bit, Greg Olsen is going to run 20+ routes in this game. Assuming that happens, Olsen is easily going to go for 4x value for your NFL DFS GPP lineup.He’s not going to go nuts, but at his price, he allows you to get very creative with your roster builds.Honorable Mention: All of the chalky tight ends (Goedert, Waller, Fant)Good luck to all this week in your NFL DFS GPP lineups!Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return. 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports Betting BetMGM Partnership Review DFSGhost 3 years ago written by DFSGhost BetMGMIt’s hard not to think of the gambling capital of the world when it comes to betting – cue BetMGM, the leading sportsbook brought to you by MGM Resorts International. Through its established reputation in the gambling industry, BetMGM has plunged onto the sports betting scene and is looking to secure its place in such a competitive space.Click here to go to BetMGM SportsbookAvailabilityCurrently, BetMGM has limited availability, but there are plans to expand across other states where gambling is now legal. For the time being, BetMGM is live in the states of Arizona, Colorado, Washington DC, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Mississippi, Nevada, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming. Moreover, its prized landmark is the BetMGM Sportsbook & Bar, located in Las Vegas, Nevada.PromotionWin Daily and BetMGM have partnered to give you up to a $1,000 deposit bonus by signing up here! In addition, both new and existing users have the benefit of daily promotions across various sports, such as free in-play bets after making another wager and casino/sportsbook promotions where playing on one earns you a promotional offer on the other; join now!Click here to claim offerOverviewBetMGM has one of the most complete interfaces in the industry. Upon opening the website, there are numerous directions a user can take to get to where they need to be; tiles at the top of the page make it easily navigable to place a wager or find a bet based on the sport of choice, while also having your bet slip and promotional offers on the home page. Moreover, there are live games on the home page as well in case you missed out on a game that you would have liked to wager on, or maybe you’re simply looking for more action in a sport you already have money on. The account section is one that is like no other: while the traditional edits and information can be found, the fact that you can place sports into your “favorites” makes BetMGM’s web interface one of the strongest amongst all sportsbooks.Betting OptionsBringing its Vegas expertise and reputation to their sportsbook, it’s to no one’s surprise that BetMGM has a plethora of betting options available to its customers. No matter what the sport or type of wager may be, there is something for everyone who joins BetMGM, including:SpreadMoneylineGame TotalTeam TotalPlayer/Team PropsLive BettingTeasersFuturesIn addition, what better way to experience Vegas when you cannot be there, than to play on BetMGM’s casino? From the classics to other virtual games, BetMGM has both casino games and online poker for those that want to expand their horizons from the traditional sportsbook.User ExperienceWith the movement of sports betting moving to mobile applications, BetMGM has one of the best in the business. Its seamless transition from web interface to mobile experience makes BetMGM a favorable partner to place your wagers with; essentially everything that is available on the web is also on the mobile application, including account information, sports betting, casino and poker play, sorting the sportsbook by choice of sport, bet type, or more. The mobile application is available to both iOS and Android users and can be downloaded on the respective application stores. 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL NFL DFS GPP: Stix Picks for Week 9 StixPicks 3 years ago written by StixPicks To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive.” NFL DFS GPP season is here and it’s time for us to get rolling again for Week 9. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 9 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice.In addition, I would strongly advise reading my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason, before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat. Let’s get into it.Please note, everyone on our cheatsheet and the Cash Game Checkdown are also in play for GPPs. This is more to uncover some players people are not talking about… and they should be.*Keep in mind, you DO NOT NEED to just build your GPP lineups around these players. Players from the Cash Game Checkdown are there because they have extremely high floors and high ceilings. They are key components you should probably build around no matter what type of contest you’re in*NEW: Adjusted Expected Team Totals Rankings for Week 9Kansas City Chiefs (25.76)Seattle Seahawks (24.21)Minnesota Vikings (24.13)Arizona Cardinals (22.77)Pittsburgh Steelers (22.63)Houston Texans (22.43)Buffalo Bills (21.83)Los Angeles Chargers (21.04)NFL DFS GPP QuarterbacksRussell Wilson – Welcome back, Mr. Wilson! Russell Wilson is once again the top quarterback in the AETY Model and I’ll be going right back to the well in this matchup at Buffalo with an expected total currently sitting at 55 points (highest on the slate). I don’t really care what his ownership is, he’s too consistent to fade. You know who to stack him up with.Josh Allen – On the other side of Wilson this week is obviously, Josh Allen. The Seattle passing defense is atrocious and should be a perfect get-right spot for Josh Allen (who hasn’t thrown a touchdown since Week 6). Allen is projected to lead this slate in passing yards and like Wilson, it’s very easy to stack him up as the target share in Buffalo is rather condensed.Lamar Jackson – Lamar Jackson is now priced under $7K on DraftKings… a day I didn’t think we’d ever see any time soon when building NFL DFS GPP lineups. Yes, Indianapolis’ defense is extremely stout (ranked 3rd in overall defense DVOA), but I’ll always be interested in rostering Lamar Jackson when he’s likely under 5% owned… not to mention the salary relief he offers this week.I have Lamar projected to throw for his season high this week (which isn’t saying a whole lot) and it should finally lead to a big day for Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews (both priced down throughout the DFS industry this week). If Lamar can do his usually damage on the ground and pair that with a 220+ passing yard performance with a couple of TDs, he may very well be QB1 this week and no one is going to play him.Justin Herbert – Give me all of the Justin Herbert this week as they host the Las Vegas Raiders and their 31st overall ranked defense (in terms of DVOA). You can carve this secondary up and also run it down their throats. If the Raiders can keep the pace in this game and keep it close (the game is currently posted as a pick-em on most sportsbooks), Herbert and company should have another monster game at home in the dome.Honorable Mention: Kyler Murray, Drew Lock, DeShaun Watson, Matthew StaffordRunning Backs*Obviously, Dalvin Cook, James Conner, Chase Edmonds are in smash spots. They should be a heavy focus of yours in most lineups, but here are the guys I think are difference-making pivots off of the heavy chalk RBs*Derrick Henry – All hail King Henry, the NFL’s leading rusher by a healthy margin. Derrick Henry is currently projected to be in the 5-10% ownership bracket here in Week 9 against a Bears’ defense that is much more beatable on the ground than via the pass. Having said that, the Bears sit right in the middle of the NFL in terms of opposing running back yards per carry (4.3), but they are without one of their better run stoppers in Roy Robertson-Harris this week and that will not bode well against Tennessee’s top-ten rushing offense (7th overall in run offense efficiency). Yet again, Henry leads the AETY Model in projected rushing yards this week and leads the slate with (-240) odds to score. Ride him.James Robinson – I was quite surprised to see how much James Robinson popped in the model this week as he certainly wasn’t on my radar heading into Week 9. The return of Chris Thompson may take some of the targets away from Robinson but I don’t think he poses much of a threat to the overall ceiling of Robinson this week (against Houston’s 27th ranked run defense who bleeds points to opposing running backs).With the rookie QB in Jake Luton making his debut, I expect Jacksonville to play a bit conservative and utilize Robinson as much as possible (check-downs, 20+ carriers, etc.) and that should lead to a very high floor and a potential ceiling game for Robinson in NFL DFS GPP lineups… as the Jaguars play catch-up to Houston all game long.Christian McCaffrey – It’s Christian McCaffrey and he’s priced the lowest we’ll likely ever see him again. I say it time and time again the way to move the football against Kansas City is via the run (ranked 28th in run defense DVOA). He’s been out for quite some time and all reports say that was to ensure he’s 100% healthy when he comes back to football.That time is now and he’s going to be 5% owned… I’m in.Honorable Mention: Josh Jacobs, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Antonio Gibson, Nyheim HinesWide ReceiversJulio Jones – No AJ Bouye for Denver and likely no Calvin Ridley for Atlanta. Do I need to say much more? I really like this game’s chances of being an up-paced shootout with little-to-no defense at all. Julio is arguably the top wide receiver on this slate in that situation.Tyler Lockett – Don’t care what his ownership is, I always love top-tier wide receivers in high-total games matchup up against Buffalo slot corner, Taron Johnson.Allen Robinson / Darnell Mooney – On the other side of Derrick Henry, I’m likely to rollout one of these Bears’ wide receivers. I love picking on Tennessee’s secondary and I low-key think this game is going to be a bit of a shootout. I obviously prefer Robinson, but Mooney is 100% a serviceable punt-play as they both will get their fair share to do damage against Adoree Jackson and slow, Malcolm Butler.With Jadeveon Clowney likely out for this game, the Titans’ awful pass rush is only going to be worse. Nick Foles should have plenty of time to get Robinson and Mooney the football (despite having tons of offensive line injuries themselves).Justin Jefferson – The AETY Model loves the Vikings’ offense this week, so I’m likely to get a lot of exposure to Dalvin Cook, Adam Thielen, and Justin Jefferson. Most of my lineup builds do not allow me to afford Thielen, so I’m going to roll out a lot of 5% owned Justin Jefferson (who I honestly prefer over Thielen anyways).These Lions’ cornerbacks with or without Desmond Trufant have struggled all season long and that is not going to change in Week 9.Marvin Jones – I have no idea how Marvin Jones isn’t projected for 40% ownership going up against Minnesota’s poor excuse for an NFL secondary. Cam Dantzler in coverage? Yikes. At $5,100 on DraftKings, Marvin Jones is going to be a core play for me everywhere this week.Mike Williams – Alright, it’s time for the ballsy 100 yards receiving and at least one touchdown, call of the week. This week, that guy is going to be Mike Williams. This dude always has slate-breaking potential with an insanely high average depth of target and a climbing target share with Justin Herbert.Obviously, Keenan Allen is Herbert’s boy, there is no denying that. But, as 25% of the field rushes to roster Keenan Allen, pivoting down to a much cheaper Mike Williams makes a lot of sense to me. You can also double-stack them with Herbert as well. If the Raiders can keep this game moving and keep it close, both of these wide receivers should have a field day against Trayvon Mullen, Lamarcus Joyner, and Nevin Lawson. These corners cannot contain the Chargers’ wideouts.Honorable Mention: DeAndre Hopkins, Will Fuller, Terry McLaurin, Jerry Jeudy, Hollywood Brown, DJ Chark, Henry RuggsNFL DFS GPP Tight EndsTravis Kelce – It’s Travis Kelce.Darren Waller – He’s going to be very popular, but the majority of my lineups are predicting a shootout between the Raiders and the Chargers. I’ll need a lot of production from Darren Waller in hopes that gamescript runs true.TJ Hockenson – Similar to Marvin Jones, Hockenson should have a great bump up with Golladay out (in what’s already been a shocking amount of production in the 2020 season). I think this game will be a bit more up-paced than most think and most gamescripts come down to the Lions’ chasing points. That should bode well for both Marvin Jones and TJ Hockenson.Hayden Hurst – The target share has been continuously climbing over the past few weeks and the salary has not. Without Calvin Ridley, Hayden Hurst should continue to see 6+ targets and boost in red-zone usage. This game is likely to be a shootout and I’ll have a lot of Hurst/Julio exposure.Honorable Mention: Mark Andrews, Evan Engram, Jonnu SmithGood luck to all this week in your NFL DFS GPP lineups!Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return. 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
