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Welcome to Wednesday's edition of Between the Benches.  After a few days of some really nice-sized slates, tonight we're stuck with just a 3-game slate of NHL DFS. To make matters worse, only 2 of the 6 teams playing tonight have any hope of making the playoffs. That said, we should see some decent hockey tonight and the sloppiness of the bad teams may make for a high-scoring affair.

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.   

NHL DFS Goaltending

Petr Mrazek vs. Detroit Red Wings – I've been riding good ole Petr Mrazek quite a bit over the last couple of weeks. Although it hasn't always worked out, he's been extremely cheap and has rarely thrown out a complete dud. Since the start of February, he's been in single-digit DK points just 4 times in 9 starts. So more than 50% of the time, we've been able to get into the double-digit DK point area. Considering he's only $7k, I'm willing to take that risk. Especially considering the Red Wings are ...

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Welcome to Wednesday's edition of Between the Benches.   We have a 7-game slate tonight that has some really solid spots for offense.

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.   

NHL DFS Goaltending

Linus Ullmark ($8.3K DK/$8.7k FD) vs. Colorado Avalanche – Jared, are you really picking on the Avalanche with a goalie? Yes, I 100% am tonight. If you haven't heard the news yet, Nate MacKinnon has been ruled out for the next 4 weeks with an injury. That leaves this Avalanche team without it's main offensive weapon and honestly, makes this Avalanche offense average at best.

This isn't to take anything away from Ullmark. Ullmark has been great all season. He's coming into this matchup 14-1 with a 1.93 GAA and a .936 save %. He's made an early case for the Vezina Trophy. We have to go all the way back to Nov 1 to find a game where Ullmark hasn't been in double-digit fantasy points on DK. I will add that although Ullmark does have a prett...

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Welcome to Wednesday’s edition of Between the Benches.   I’ll be focusing on tonight’s 4-game main slate of NHL DFS on DraftKings and FanDuel.  3 of the 8 teams in action tonight played last night, with one game being entirely of teams on the tail end of a back-to-back.  There should be plenty of offense to go around between the teams.

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.   

NHL DFS Goaltending

Before we start, goalie at first glance tonight looks to be as bad of a night as we’ve seen this year.  Just about every goalie has a reason not to play them.  With how this slate is for goalies, I’d recommend sticking with GPP’s tonight instead of Cash games. 

Sergei Bobrovsky ($7.8K DK/$8.4k FD) vs. Carolina Hurricanes – To say the start of this season has been a bit of a struggle for Bobrovsky would be an accurate statement.  Through his first 8 games played, Bob has a GAA of 3.28 and a save % of just .897.  T...

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Welcome to this week’s edition of the Saturday Slapshot.   I’ll be focusing on tonight’s massive 10-game main slate of NHL DFS on DraftKings and FanDuel.  We’re now close to a full month into the season.  This is getting to be my favorite part of the year as we now how have plenty of data to tell us who is good and who is bad.  Which teams to target and which teams to avoid. 

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.   

NHL DFS Goaltending

Carter Hart ($7.3K DK/$8.4k FD) vs. Ottawa Senators – I’m going to continue to ride Carter Hart on DK until they raise his price and he cools off.  There is a massive price discrepancy tonight with Hart as he’s $1.1k cheaper on DK than FD.  That’s something we should look to take full advantage of.  It also helps that Hart’s play this year has been simply amazing. 

He’s now played 7 games this season and has really only had 1 questionable start against the Hurricanes...

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Welcome to the Saturday Slapshot.  I’m Jared and I’ll be your host.  Tonight we have a solid 10 game slate where I’ll be highlighting some of my top plays for tonight’s NHL slate on Fanduel and Draftkings. 

Before we dive in I want to highlight some terms you’ll see in my article:

  • Corsi – Any shot attempt (goals, shots on net, misses and blocks) outside of the shootout
  • Even Strength – Play where both teams have the same number of players (including goalies) on the ice. Includes 5v5, 4v4, 3v3
  • Power Play – Play where the team has more players on the ice than their opponent due to penalties. Includes 5v4, 5v3, 4v3
  • Penalty Kill – Play where the team has fewer players on the ice than their opponent due to penalties. Includes 4v5, 3v4, 3v5

Goaltending

Thomas Greiss ($7.2k DK/$7k FD) vs. Montreal Canadiens – Greiss is the projected starter for the Red Wings and if he does indeed get the nod between the pipes I’m all in.  The Canadiens have been brutal to start to the year as they are still yet to find the win column.  Through their first 5 games they’ve only managed to score 3 even strength goals.  In Greiss we have a goaltender who’s look solid in his first two outings with a .969 save % and just a 1 GAA. 

Frederik Andersen ($8.1k DK/$7.8k FD) vs. Columbus Blue Jackets – Through his first 3 starts on the year Andersen has looked extremely sharp.  He’s been averaging 30 saves per game and has a .938 save %.  With Cam Atkins no longer on the squad, this Blue Jackets team is nowhere near as scary as they used to be. 

They’ve been averaging less than 2 even strength goals per game in their 4 first games and if the Hurricanes can stay out of the penalty box I don’t see any reason why Anderson won’t keep up his string of solid starts.  I do like his price quite a bit better on FD than DK, but he’s a solid play on both.

Jordan Binnington ($8.5k DK/$7.5k FD) vs. Los Angeles Kings – While he’s playable on DK, this is more of a FD play tonight since he’s $1k cheaper there. Binnington gets an extremely solid match up tonight.  After the Kings exploded for 6 goals on opening, they’ve only been able to muster 5 goals in their last 3 games.  Binnington is coming off his best start of the year in which he saved 42 of the 43 shots that the Vegas Knights had.  Look for Binnington to post another strong performance tonight.

Stacks

Carolina 2 (Andrei Svechnikov/Vincent Trocheck/Martin Necas)

Svechnikov has been rolling to start the year.  Through just 3 games he has 4 goals and 5 points.  Him and his line mates get a great match up tonight vs. a Blue Jackets team that has been challenged to start the year.  The Blue Jackets have a Corsi % of 45% (really want to be above 50%) at even strength to start the year.  They’re giving up way more shot attempts than they taking themselves. 

Another way to get exposure to the Hurricanes tonight is to go with their PP1.  You can drop Necas and add in either Sebastian Aho or Tony DeAngelo.  Any way you slice it, I really like the Hurricanes chances of putting up a big number tonight and it’s all going to start with Svechnikov.  He’s your Hurricanes lock and you’ll want to build around him. 

Detroit PP1 (Dylan Larkin/Tyler Bertuzzi/Nick Leddy/Lucas Raymond)

I focused on the Canadiens struggles scoring goals above, now I’m going to focus on their inability to keep the puck out of the net.  Through their first 5 games the Canadiens have given up 8 power play goals.  Their penalty kill has been atrocious and I really want to attack it.  Bertuzzi, Larkin, and Raymond all play together at even strength and on the power play. 

Those that hang out in discord know my affinity for Raymond.  He scored his first goal of his career the other night and I love his chances of adding to that total tonight.  This trio is going to be a ton of fun to watch this year and they get a soft match up tonight.  On DK, I’m probably going to fade Bertuzzi and play Leddy because $7.6k is just a bit more than I’d like to pay for him.  On FD though, Bertuzzi is just $4.9k and is a must play in my eyes. 

Vancouver 1 (Elias Pettersson/JT Miller/Brock Boeser)

Of all the teams playing tonight, no team has given up more high danger chances at even strength than the Seattle Kraken.  They’ve given up 11 through their first 5 games.  They’ve also given up a ton of scoring chances through those 5 as their opponents have had more than 23 scoring chances per game.  In comparison a team like the Predators is only giving up 18 per game. 

My favorite pieces of this stack are Pettersson and Miller.  The two of them have combined for 29 shots this season and 13 high danger scoring chances.  With the Kraken’s propensity to give up high danger chances and their ability to get those some types of chances, I really like their chances find the back of the net multiple times tonight. 

Other stacks (Islanders PP1, Florida Panthers 1, Arizona Coyotes 1, St. Louis Blues 1)

Value Defenseman

Sean Walker – Averaging more than 20 minutes per game on the ice.  Has averaged more than 4 shots + blocks per game and is also seeing power play time

Erik Cernak – Isn’t seeing power play time, but is on the nice for more than 20 minute per game.  Also averaging more than 4 shots + blocks per game.

Brett Pesce – Has played 23, 23, and 22 minutes in 3 games so far.  Last game had 5 blocks.  Love playing guys that have no regard for their bodies and willing to block that many shots

Brady Skjei – The ex Rangers defenseman has been putting in the work this year.  20 minutes of ice time per game.  Averaging multiple shots + blocks per game.

Summary

We have a great slate tonight with 10 games on top.  The Hurricanes and Red Wings are my favorite spots for offense tonight.  Both teams should put up a big number.  While I didn’t mention the Maple Leafs they get a great match up tonight, especially if Casey DeSmith is between the pipes.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

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NHL Betting Picks Monday 4/26

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Monday 4/26. The Model is finally back after a long weekend at grad school! A solid weekend of hockey with a lot of goals yesterday. A couple picks I had Wed/Thurs that didn't hit (Rangers -1.5 and Isles/Caps over 5.5), hit with ease in their next matchups on Fri/Sat. If the research is there and it didn't hit the first time, chances are it will hit in the rematch. Flyers had a great comeback last night that salvaged an over that looked dead with 2 minutes left in the game.

We have 8 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Senators Puck Line (+1.5, -245) over the Canucks

Senators/Canucks Under (6, -110)

Canadiens/Flames Under (5.5, -114)

Avalanches Money Line (-155) and Puck Line (-1.5, +148) over the Blues

Hurricanes Money Line (-120) ov...

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NHL Betting Picks Sunday 4/18

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Sunday 4/18. The Model had an even night going 2-2. The over/unders treated us well with the Sens/Habs hitting the under 6 in a 4-0 Sens victory, and the Caps/Flyers lighting up the board and allowing the over 6.5 to hit in a 6-3 Caps win. The Blues let us down starting up 2-0 then losing 3-2, and the Devils game gave us a roller coaster of emotion going down 4-0, then coming back to make it 4-3, before ultimately losing 6-3. We move on to Sunday to finish the week strong.

We have 6 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Capitals Money Line (+130) over the Bruins

Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +123) over the Devils

Penguins Money Line (-250) over the Sabres

Islanders Money Line (-135) over the Flyers

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonig...

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NHL Betting Picks Friday 3/5

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Friday 3/5. A clean sweep of the board for Keith and The Model last night, going 3-0 in article plays and 2-0 in additional Twitter plays.

The Flyers were the most shocking of the 3 wins in the article. First, Crosby is announced to play after I already took the pick so I hated it. Then they go down 3-0 in the first period, only to score 4 unanswered and win the game 4-3. The Under 7 in the Maple Leafs/Canucks was always in control as the Leafs looked tired only scoring 1 goal.

We have 6 games today let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Capitals Puck Line (+1.5, -235) over the Bruins

Lightning/Blackhawks Under 6 Goals (-104)

Avalanche Money Line (-265) over the Ducks

Kings Puck Line (+1.5, -230) over the Blues

Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +188) over the Coyotes

Golde...

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NHL Betting Picks Thursday 3/4

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Thursday 3/4. Another 2-1 profitable night for Keith and The Model. The Avalanche with a huge bounce back game in a 4-0 win over the Sharks, getting that value if you took regulation or puck line. The Wild who I said had value as it was a 50/50 game, actually edged Vegas in most advanced stats despite losing 5-1.

And for the Premium Pick, the under in the Blues/Ducks was always in control even though it finished 3-2. Binnington looked very solid in net and the Ducks struggled mightily to get good chances. The Premium Pick is 3-1 overall.

We have 10 games on the slate today let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing tonight.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Flyers Puck Line (-1.5, +205) over the Penguins

Penguins/Flyers Over (6.5, +102)

Jets Money Line (+124) over the Canadiens

Hurricanes Money Line (-315) over...

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NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/2

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 3/2. A solid 2-1 night with the Canes hanging on to win in OT and the Blues/Ducks putting up a bunch of goals just how we chalked it up. The Jets laid an egg but the Canucks also had all of the bounces go their way, according to their beat writer Thomas Drance of The Athletic.

It happens, and they play again tonight so maybe we just ride them again today. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Flyers/Penguins Over 6.5 Goals (+102)

Flyers Puck Line (+1.5, -286) over the Penguins

Rangers Puck Line (-1.5, +175) over the Sabres

Jets Money Line (-139) over the Canucks

Canes Money Line (-125) over the Predators

Lightning Money Line (-165) AND Puck Line (-1.5, +163) over the Stars

Keep an eye out for the Starting Goalies. This is an obvious spot for the Canadie...

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