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Tyler Glasnow

Welcome to the Monday edition of Aces and Bases.  Today we have a larger than normal 13 game Monday main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. For a 13 game slate, today’s pitching is about as bad as you’ll see all year.  Each arm today brings a ton of risk.  With each arm bringing a ton of risk, it also means that we’ll have plenty of bats to pick from.  Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesTyler Glasnow ($10.8k) vs. Chicago White Sox – I don’t normally make it a practice to attack the White Sox.  The entire lineup is filled with power.  Glasnow is however the best pitcher on the slate.  Over the past 30 days he has a 2.74 xFIP and a 30.8% K rate, which is down a bit from his 36% k rate for the year.  While the White Sox do have a ton of power, they’re also striking out at a near 25% clip to righties this year.  While not overly high, it still means there are some K’s in there for Glasnow.   Adam Wainwright ($8k) vs. Miami Marlins – I told you...

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Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases.  Today we have a massive 15 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. After last night’s underwhelming 3 game slate, we’re back to a full load today.  There are going to be a ton of options on both the pitching and hitting front.  The slate today at first glance looks to be a ton of fun as some of our favorite targets are on the slate.  Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesTyler Glasnow ($11k) vs. Washington Nationals – Glasnow is the top arm on the slate and he gets a solid match-up against a Nationals team that has not been great against righties.  They have just a .136 ISO and a wOBA of .299.  We know that Glasnow has elite K numbers.  In the match-up against the Nats today there should be some upside for him.  Glasnow throws his slider more than 30% of the time to both righties and lefties.  Not a single projected starter tonight for the Nats has a whiff rate l...

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Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases.  Today we have a massive 14 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. This slate brings us a healthy amount of options on both the pitching front and stacking front.  We also have my favorite GPP pitcher in Robbie Ray in a bounce back position.  Coors Field is back so we’ll also need to determine if we go all in or fade.  Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesTyler Glasnow ($10.7k) vs. New York Yankees – After a down performance vs. the Toronto Blue Jays Glasnow rebounded with arguably his most dominant performance of the year, 11 K’s and only 3 hits vs. the Royals.  Today he gets to take on a very up and down offense in the Yankees.  For the season, the Yankees are striking out more than 25% of the time to righties.  They’ve also shown limited power to righties with a sub .700 OPS and just a .141 ISO.  The Yankees can be had.  They can strikeout in bunches.  Glasnow has elite K ability with a strikeout rate o...

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Hey Everyone, It’s Jared filling in for Brian today.  Welcome to the Monday edition of Picks and Pivots.  We have a nice sized 10 game slate tonight on DK.  My goal today will be to walk you through the slate and provide a path to the winner’s circle.  MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Slate BreakdownPitching today will not be for the faint of heart.  The best pitcher on today’s slate is in a less than ideal spot for him.  Tyler Glasnow ($10.3k) gets to take on the Los Angeles Angels tonight.  Not a team that you normally want to face off against.  But as I’ve said in the past, strikeout pitchers tend to find their K’s.  Glasnow does not come without caution.  For the season the Angels have been pretty good against right handers.  They own a low K rate of 21.1%, a very respectable OPS of .772, and a wOBA of .333.  Not numbers that you normally want to attack.  But this is Tyler Glasnow who has been for all intents and purposes this season, elit...

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Welcome to the Monday edition of MLB DFS Picks and Pivots where we dive into the top fantasy baseball plays and slate strategy to help you take down tournaments all season long at Win Daily Sports!If you are new to MLB DFS Picks and Pivots, the goal of this article is not simply to list out the "best plays" but rather walk through the context of the slate and help you identify the best arms and stacks to build around for MLB DFS tournament play. We will use DraftKings pricing as our anchor and help you get a head start on your winning builds!MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Main Slate BreakdownAfter Sunday's horrendous pitching slate that left us with negative points from Ponce De Leon and injuries to our SP1 in Adrian Morejon, you can bet I was pumped to turn the page and see a Monday MLB DFS slate full of aces.That all starts today with Gerrit Cole and Tyler Glasnow who both sit above $10K today on DraftKings but I would argue that they are both worth every penny and my goal on this slate i...

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Baseball is back and I’ve got five hitters for you to consider for the 7/27 MLB DFS Monday night slate in large-field DK GPPs, where it pays to be fearless!

7/27 MLB DFS – C Wilson Ramos (DK $3,800) NYM @ BOS

There’s certainly some firepower among the top few catchers in Monday’s slate, but spending down to Ramos makes sense for large-field GPPs, where the sub-$4K price tag and his upside in this excellent matchup (vs. Red Sox opener Josh Osich and primary long reliever Zach Godley) combine to give us great value. My favorite spend-up option on this slate was J.T. Realmuto (DK $4,600) facing his old battery mate J.A. Happ, but now I’m considering Cubs C Willson Contreras (DK $4,800) against the Reds.

7/27 MLB DFS – 1B C.J. Cron (DK $3,300) DET vs. KC

Cron has always been a risk-reward play in DFS, but he’s coming off a homer night and the price has not caught up to his enormous power upside, especially facing LHP Mike Montgomery. He’s dirt cheap and if you’re not spending big and rolling out the slow-starting Pete Alonso (DK $5,600 and a great GPP play at such a high price), it makes sense to find some value at 1B.

7/27 MLB DFS – 2B Nico Hoerner (DK $3,400) CHC @ CIN

I had planned on using Gleyber Torres here but with the Yankees-Phillies game postponed, I’ll tout my discount play. I’m very intrigued by what Nico Hoerner offers at such a huge discount, though in Astros stacks I’ll likely spend up for Jose Altuve (DK $5,000). The Cubs rookie (82 plate appearances in 2019) is off to a solid start and will look to keep it rolling against Reds LHP Wade Miley.

7/27 MLB DFS – SS Alex Bregman (DK $5,100) HOU vs. SEA

Bregman has hit safely in all three games thus far, and the multi-hit performances are right around the corner. There’s not much to be scared of by the likes of Seattle RHP Kendall Graveman, who now sports an upper 90s four-seam fastball to go along with his trademark sinker – pitches that Bregman feasts on. NYM S Amed Rosario (DK $5,000) is another GPP options best deployed in Mets stacks.

7/26 MLB DFS – OF Lorenzo Cain (DK $3,700) MIL at PIT

Christian Yelich (DK $5,900) really let us down yesterday, so we’re going to plug in his more contact-oriented teammate against Steven Breault. I’ll have some Milwaukee stacks where I play both, but Cain makes sense as a cheap, upside-laden one-off against a pitcher that doesn’t yield too many homers.

NOTE: With the postponement of the Orioles-Marlins and Yanks-Phils along with several rain-threatened games, finding suitable SPs is going to be a challenge. For now, I’m mostly rolling with Tyler Glasnow in a risky spot against the juggernaut Braves and GPP contrarian play Michael Wacha (NYM) against the much-less-potent Red Sox. This leaves plenty of room for Astros stacks and a smattering of value plays.

Good luck!

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Photo of Alex Bregman courtesy of Keith Allison.

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The 10/10 DFS MLB Showdown will either result in a sigh of relief at Minute Maid Park or the foundation of one hell of a sports weekend for Tampa Bay. Game 5 of the American League Divisional Series between the Rays and Astros (7:07 PM Eastern, FS1) brings us Tyler Glasnow ($15,000 DraftKings) v. Gerrit Cole ($18,000 DK) along with a loaded Showdown lineup.

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10/8 DFS Showdown

It’s 2x the points for MVP, 1.5x the points for All-Star and regular production for the three Utility spots. October is filled with unsung efforts, something to keep in mind when filling out the Utility roles. Look for players who’ve had success this season against a particular team, along with taking a gander of recent production. I’m a strong believer in OPS, more so if a strong OPS is bolstered with stolen bases.

Count on Houston A-Team

MVP (2X)

Jose Altuve, 2B, HOU (FD, $9000, DK $13,800)

One of three Astros who’ve remembered how to hit past late September, Altuve is hitting .313 /.353/.813 in the ALDS. Four of his five postseason hits have been of the extra base persuasion (two doubles, two homers) and I’ll bank on his career .968 OPS in ALDS play to carry not only the Astros into the long-awaited ALCS collision with the Yankees, but also to lead you and I toward the long green.

All-Star (1.5X)

Yordan Alvarez, OF, HOU (FD $8000, DK, $14,100)

He has yet to provide the thunder of one of his mammoth blasts, but Alvarez has hit .375/.375/.863 with three doubles entering tonight. Back home in H-Town, Alvarez will be more at ease and more likely to rake (1.140 home OPS). He’s averaged a homer every 11.59 at-bats, a number that suggests Alvarez is well overdue to go yard. Having experienced firsthand how loud Minute Maid Park can get in October, I can only imagine the noise level if Alvarez goes deep in a clutch situation tonight.


Tommy Pham, OF, TB (FD $7000, DK $12,900)

Pham has been the MVP of this series and will be the reason Astros fans could wake up on Friday morning in a gloomy state. He’s hit .429/.455/.715 in the postseason, recording three of his nine hits in Houston. Pham’s 12.8% walk rate and modest 18.8% strikeout rate indicates he won’t be an easy out for Cole. For all of his postseason pop, Pham has just a 24.8% fly ball rate, but he will sting the hell out of the ball, evidenced by his 43.6% hard contact rate.

Bargain at the Bottom


Avisail Garcia, OF, TB (FD $6000, DK $11,700)

Although I expected Garcia to hit well on Tuesday, I wasn’t expecting four hits. He’s not as productive outside of Tropicana Field (.711 road OPS), yet I’m placing Garcia here because he’s capable of carrying the momentum west of Tampa Bay. Like Pham, he’s not a frequent fly ball hitter (31.6%), yet an increase in line drives (22.3%) and a slight drop in ground balls (46%) makes Garcia potentially dangerous.

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Josh Reddick, OF, HOU (FD $4500, DK $8100)

Hitless in seven ADLS at-bats, Reddick will likely get the start because of his .977 OPS against Rays pitching in the regular season. Reddick is a 10/10 DFS MLB Showdown choice despite being mostly below-average after the All-Star break. He revived his bat with a September that saw Reddick hit .354 with four homers and 12 RBI over 62 at-bats. The numbers indicate that Reddick is more effective batting sixth, where he’s posted a .331/.372/.493 mark with six homers, 19 RBI and 19 runs scored.

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Today’s four-game playoff slate means the 10/4 DFS MLB Hitting Picks can go back to basics with a full lineup.

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10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Catcher

Robinson Chirinos, HOU vs. TB

DK ($3,600), FD ($2,800)

Chirinos is devastating at Minute Maid Park, evidenced by a .915 OPS with 10 of his 14 homers coming in front of the H-Town faithful. He does have a homer among his four hits in 15 at-bats this season against the Rays. You do have to like his 39.5% hard contact rate and a similar 39.5% fly ball rate. He’s the best overall play among 10/4 DFS Hitting Picks behind the plate.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — First Baseman

C.J. Cron, MIN at NYY

DK ($3,600), FD ($3,100)

A value pick with good reason: Cron has six hits in 18 career at-bats against New York starter James Paxton. Two of those hits were homers, giving Cron a 1.017 OPS against the Pinstripes southpaw. Cron was able to cut his strikeout rate to 21.4% this season and maintained a solid fly ball rate (36.3%) while taking his hard contact rate from 39.6% last season to 41.1% this year.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Second Baseman

Kolten Wong, STL at ATL

DK ($3,800), FD ($2,600)

Like Cron, I’m looking for past success against today’s starters. Enter Wong, who has a homer and a stolen base in 11 career at-bats versus Braves starter Mike Foltynewicz, producing a 1.625 OPS in the process. Wong went 2-for-4 with two RBI and a walk in Thursday’s Game 1 victory. That’s a tremendous way to shake off a sluggish September that saw Wong offer up a .735 OPS despite hitting .290. The free pass is encouraging since Wong had a mere .315 OBP in September that put a scratch on a Post All-Star break OBP of .409.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Third Baseman

Miguel Sano, MIN at NYY

DK ($4,900), FD ($3,800)

Sano gives the Twins another hammer that has nailed James Paxton in the past. In 11 career at-bats versus Paxton, Sano has four hits that include a homer that helped boost his OPS to 1.326 against Paxton. A strong second half OBP of .362 was helped in part of Sano improving his walk rate to 12.5%. His HR/FB rate of 36.6% is downright frightening in homer-friendly Yankee Stadium. More frightening is Sano’s 52.7% hard contact rate.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Shortstop

Trea Turner, WAS at LAD

DK ($4,600), FD ($4,200)

Turner admitted to “trying too hard” on Thursday night, so let’s take him at his word. He’ll need a different approach against Dodgers starter Clayton Kershaw, even though he has three hits in 10 at-bats against him. One way Turner could achieve that would be resuming his more aggressive ways on the road when it comes to baserunning. Of his 35 steals, 20 have come in enemy territory. He has a .444 slugging percentage against southpaws, compared to .512 versus righties, so look for him to more contact-oriented.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Yordan Alvarez, HOU vs. TB

DK ($4,800), FD ($4,000)

The Rays were not exempt from Alvarez’s tour of destruction, as Tampa Bay hurlers allowed a pair of homers and a double to him in 11 at-bats. Alvarez’s best work came at Minute Maid Park, where he sported an 1.140 OPS built on a slash line of .349/.441/.699. Rays starter Tyler Glasnow allowed just one homer in 97 at-bats versus left-handed hitters. Facing a slugger with a 51.1% hard contact rate, Glasnow could see that number increase by at least one.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Marcell Ozuna, STL at ATL

DK ($4,100), FD ($3,600)

Ozuna has a pair of homers off Braves hurler Mike Foltynewicz, who was shelled by the Cardinals this season for nine runs (eight earned) and 12 hits over 10.2 innings for a robust 6.79 ERA. Ozuna doubled twice, drove in a pair of runs and scored once on Thursday, making us all forget his .143 average against Atlanta pitching this season. Ozuna’s .243 batting average and .259 BABIP also make you forget his career-best 48.1% hard contact rate and the fact his 2018 BABIP was exactly 50 points higher.

10/4 DFS Hitting Picks — Outfielder

Aaron Judge, NYY vs. MIN

DK ($4,700), FD ($4,400)

Although he failed to record a homer against them this season, Judge did hit .462 (6-for-13) against Twins pitching, making him a good 10/4 DFS Hitting Picks play. He also comes into the postseason with the momentum of an 1.109 OPS with four homers over the past two weeks and an equally imposing .948 OPS under the lights. Judge also has three hits in five career at-bats versus Twins starter Jose Berrios, while his late season surge boosted his Isolated Power to .267. Ignore the 31.5% strikeout rate, and Judge offers you a hitter with a .360 BABIP and an intimidating 53.8% hard contact rate.

10/4 DFS Hitting Stacks

10/4 Hitting Stack of the Day: St. Louis Cardinals: Wong and Ozuna should be paired with Paul DeJong ($3100 FD), who has a homer and a 1.064 OPS versus Foltynewicz, along with Matt Carpenter ($4100 DK), who also sports a career dinger off the Braves’ Game 2 starter.

10/4 DFS Showdown

Using the FanDuel template, it’s 2x the points for MVP, 1.5x the points for All-Star and regular production for the three Utility spots. October is filled with unsung efforts, something to keep in mind when filling out the Utility roles. Look for players who’ve had success this season against a particular team, along with taking a gander of recent production. I’m a strong believer in OPS, more so if a strong OPS is bolstered with stolen bases.

My MVP plays for Showdown:

Tampa Bay at Houston: Yordan Alvarez, HOU, OF, $8,000 Salary

St. Louis at Atlanta: Paul Goldschmidt, STL, 1B, $8,500 Salary

Minnesota at NY Yankees: Gleyber Torres, NYY, 2B, $6,500 Salary

Washington at LA Dodgers: Cody Bellinger, LAD, OF, $9,500 Salary

10/4 DFS Pitching Picks

Justin Verlander, HOU vs. TB

DK ($10,700), FD ($11,200)

No shock here, as he is projected to deliver 45.03 points at FanDuel and 26.03 points at DraftKings. Verlander has produced 15 straight starts of at least 30 points at FD, hitting above 50 points nine times in the same span. The 12.11 K/9 rate assures DFSers of plenty of whiffs, and while the 1.45 HR/9 rate raises the eyebrows a wee, Verlander has been able to keep most them solo blasts.

Jack Flaherty, STL at ATL

DK ($8,200), FD ($10,500)

You could save some salary and run with Flaherty over Verlander. In his one start versus the Braves this season, Flaherty allowed one hit and struck out 11 over seven innings. His 0.91 ERA and .142 OBA after the All-Star break was overshadowed by a host of hitting performances and the “can you top this?” clash between Verlander and Astros teammate Gerrit Cole, but Flaherty’s 124 strikeouts over 99.1 post-ASB frames were anything but a fluke.

Clayton Kershaw, LAD vs. WAS

DK ($9,300), FD ($10,300)

Only Kershaw can post a 2.95 ERA and fan nearly 10 batters per nine innings post-ASB and still have people wondering about his effectiveness. The home run rate (1.41) was a career-high, and the 2.07 BB/9 was his highest since 2012. Name recognition will make his usage rate climb, yet Kershaw presents something of a bargain compared to the two hurlers above him.

Stephen Strasburg, WAS at LAD

DK ($9,600), FD ($10,100)

He’s good to go after throwing 34 pitches in relief on Tuesday, allowing just two hits and fanning four. Strasburg could be overlooked by some, yet he did strike out 16 and allowed only three earned runs in 16 innings against the Dodgers this season, sporting a 2.08 ERA.

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9/14 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

We have a Coors Field game on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate, which as usual, leaves you two options: Fade completely and spend up on pitching, or take some chances and get some exposure to both sides of the plate. So, without further delay here is today’s finest matchups.

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On theDefense

JackFlaherty vs. Milwaukee Brewers

$10,500 FD / $10,800 DK

There a several great pitchers taking the mound on this 9/14MLB DFS slate but none in a better position to dominate than Flaherty tonight.The Brewers are striking out 25.3 percent of the time versus RHPs while batting.221 over the last seven days. With Christian Yelich out for the season thislineup looks a lot less scary facing a pitcher who has only allowed sevenearned runs in his last 11 starts with 95 strikeouts over 78 1/3 innings.

Zack Greinkevs. Kansas City Royals

$9,700 FD / $9,300 DK

When comparing pricing to upside on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate, Greinke finds himself at the top of my model. Although the Royals are only striking out 21.7 percent of the time facing RHPs, they do have a low .313 wOBA. Meanwhile, Zack has been on the attack as usual, only allowing more than two earned runs in two of his last 10 starts, going at least six innings in eight of them. All the numbers point to the Royals being completely shut down tonight.

Madison Bumgarnervs. Miami Marlins

$9,900 FD / $8,900 DK

This play is a complete fade for me on FanDuel at $9,900, but 100 percent in play at $8,900 on DK. This 9/14 MLB DFS slate is tricky salary wise, and one on which I would give serious consideration to Mad Bum as an SP1 on DK. The Marlins swim near the bottom of the league versus LHPs sporting a .304 wOBA and pathetic wRC+ of 88. With severe home/road splits favoring Bumgarner at home, combined with a bevy of solid starts going six innings or more, this one is a gem.

MerrillKelly vs. Cincinnati Reds

$7,300 FD / $7,800 DK

Looking for a GPP play on FD? How about a SP2 on DK? Luckilyfor you I have found you the answer on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate, and his name isMerrill Kelly. In an odd turn of events taking ballpark factors intoconsideration Kelly is currently posting a 3.50 home ERA opposed to his 5.89road ERA. With the Reds striking out 24.2 percent of the time versus RHPs whilesporting a wRC+ of 81 over the last seven days, Kelly is where I am looking.

TylerGlasnow vs. Los Angeles Angels

$8,200 FD / $5,000 DK

Obviously with the pitch count for Glasnow highly in question on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate he is a complete fade for me on FD. But oh boy, look at the price on DK. My hope here is that he makes it about three-to-four innings netting 12 or more fantasy points, facing an Angels team batting .212 over the last seven days.

Jack FlahertyCardinals107168.110.482.621.2338.00%14.20%2.993.8
Zack GreinkeAstros155189.17.941.380.9544.20%11.20%2.993.86
Madison BumgarnerGiants98188.28.781.861.2435.90%12.10%3.774.29
Merrill KellyDiamondbacks1014163.17.552.761.5441.80%15.60%4.684.68
Tyler GlasnowRays6150.110.731.970.7250.80%10.50%2.152.99

On theAttack

Obviously on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate Coors Field is going to be highly targeted, so here are some other options if you were to go a different route.

Mike Montgomeryvs. Houston Astros

The Houston Astros are the number one offense in MLB facing LHPs. They are posting a .370 wOBA with a wRC+ of 135, while only striking out 17.9 percent of the time (the lowest in MLB). Although Monty’s home/road splits are severe favoring home, he has allowed five earned runs in two of this last four starts. Facing this team, he is going to get blown up on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate.

Notable Bats

Jose Altuve has a .474 wOBA versus LHPs with a wRC+of 227. He is also 3-for-5 with a home run and 3 RBI versus Montgomery.

George Springer has five home runs and 11 RBI overthe last seven days while posting a .379 wOBA versus LHPs.

Abraham Toro comes at a low salary and gives you somecheap exposure to the Astros bats tonight.

DylanCease vs. Seattle Mariners

The Mariners have been less than impressive facing RHPs this season, and the .307 wOBA shows it. There will be some people on this 9/14 MLB DFS slate who will argue Cease makes a nice GPP play. Well, this is also the case the other way. Dylan has not been chillin’, allowing 13 earned runs in his last 12 innings. Attack, Attack, Attack!

Notable Bats

Daniel Vogelbach has been colder than a Massachusetts day in January, batting .118 over the last seven. Regardless he still carries a .363 wOBA versus RHPs, making this a perfect game to break out of the slump.

Kyle Seager makes a nice option tonight with Nolan Arenado being tops at third. He is also in a prime spot for a breakout game, batting .158 over the last seven days.

Omar Narvaez has a .352 wOBA versus RHPs with a wRC+ of 124. He is batting in the cleanup spot most nights and makes a fine play at the catcher position.

Jose AltuveAstros50228866768.00%15.10%0.3051430.4740.352
George SpringerAstros512358889511.70%20.70%0.2961560.3790.408
Abraham ToroAstros672125110.40%19.40%0.2371060.2130.368
Daniel VogelbachMariners525307176016.40%25.90%0.2141160.2770.363
Kyle SeagerMariners385225059210.60%20.30%0.2461200.3850.328
Omar NarvaezMariners44620605209.60%19.50%0.281190.3170.352

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

With Milwaukee striking out over 25 percent of the timeversus RHPs, and Flaherty striking out eight or more batters in three of hislast five starts, I am going with the over here.

In Lyles’ last five starts he has only struck out five or more batters once. With the Cardinals being on the lower end of strikeouts versus RHPs, I am on the under all day.


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Cash-Game Play of the Day 

Justin Verlander, HOU vs. TEX 

DK ($11,000)   FD ($11,300) 

Verlander is the highest-priced pitcher on the board and rightfully so. The Hall-of-Fame exploits pretty much speak for themselves, as Verlander is probably the best pitcher in the Majors right now. He’s in top form too, sitting with a 2.86 ERA and 0.87 WHIP while striking out 60 batters across 50.1 innings so far this season. He’s always had success against the Rangers too, with Verlander posting a 2.90 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 27 starts against them, owning a 30 percent K rate. That’s why he enters this matchup as a –265 favorite, with Texas projected to score only three runs.

Top-Tier Options: 

Luis Castillo, CIN at SF 

DK ($10,600)   FD ($10,700) 

Castillo is probably the best cash-game play on the board, as he has the highest floor of any pitcher on this slate. The main reason why is this matchup, with San Francisco ranking 27th in OPS and 28th in xwOBA. That’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that their best hitters are Brandon Belt, Kevin Pillar and the injured Buster Posey, while hitting in the best pitcher’s park in the majors. Castillo is absolutely breaking out right now too, collecting a 1.97 ERA and 0.97 WHIP while striking out 59 batters across 50.1 innings. That has led to him scoring at least 15 DK points in all eight of his starts, averaging 24 fantasy points per game.

Tyler Glasnow, TB vs. NYY 

DK ($10.400)   FD ($10,500) 

Glasnow has truly developed into one of the best pitchers in the league and he’s always dangerous in a pitcher’s park like Tropicana Field. So far this season, Glasnow has generated a 1.47 ERA and 0.86 WHIP while striking out 46 batters across 43 innings of action. While facing the Yankees sounds tough on the surface, we’re talking about a lineup without Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge, Aaron Hicks and Didi Gregorius. That may lower the ownership of Glasnow, which is particularly tempting with the Yankees projected to score fewer than four runs. That makes Glasnow a better tournament play than a cash-game option.

Middle-Tier Options: 

Zack Wheeler, NYM vs. MIA 

DK ($9,700)   FD ($9,200) 

Wheeler is a fantastic cash-game play, as he’s easily one of the best bets to accrue a quality start. What’s lowered Wheeler’s price is the fact that he has two duds but that really shouldn’t be an issue against an offense like this. In fact, Miami ranks last in wOBA, runs scored and OPS while ranking 29th in xwOBA. That looks particularly enticing considering the fact that Wheeler has posted a .306 xwOBA while owning a 26 percent K rate this season. The icing on the cake is Citi Field, as that ballpark has ranked bottom-three in runs scored since the beginning of last season. 

Jake Odorizzi, MIN vs. DET 

DK ($8,800)   FD ($9,100) 

Odorizzi is not a guy that I expected to be in one of my articles at the beginning of the season, but he’s truly having a spectacular year. If you remove a nightmare start at Philly, Odorizzi has arguably been a Top-Five pitcher in the AL. While he allowed five runs in less than an inning in that shelling, Odorizzi still owns a 2.78 ERA and 1.09 WHIP this season. That says a lot about just how good he’s been, with Odorizzi posting a career-high 26 percent K rate. What makes his recent run even more impressive is the fact that he faced the Astros twice and the Yankees in his last three starts. Facing Detroit should only help, with the Tigers ranked 24th in both wOBA and runs scored while posting the third-worst K rate in the majors. 

Frankie Montas, OAK vs. CLE 

DK ($8,400)   FD ($8,500) 

While DraftKings has Aaron Brooks projected to start, it’s likely going to be Montas. This is a guy we always want to use at home, with Oakland Coliseum ranking Top-Five in park factor this season. In three starts at home this year, Montas has posted a 2.50 ERA and 1.09 WHIP while striking out a batter per inning. His overall numbers are actually pretty similar, with Montas recording a 2.75 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 21 percent K rate. Cleveland is not a team we need to fear either, with the Indians ranking 28th in xwOBA, 29th in runs scored and 19th in K rate.   

Cheap Tournament Play: 

Dereck Rodriguez, SF vs. CIN 

DK ($6,300)   FD ($6,400) 

The cheap options on this slate are an absolute nightmare but Rodriguez makes for a nice pivot. The main reason why is pitching in Oracle Park, as that ranks as the best pitching venue in the Majors based on park factors. That would make anyone worth using, but facing the Reds is an absolute treat right now. In fact, Cincinnati ranks 25th in xwOBA, 30th in batting average and 29th in xSLG. A no-hitter from Mike Fiers against them shows just how bad they’ve been, as that lowered his ERA just below 6.00. Rodriguez is not exactly a gas can arm either, as he posted a 3.54 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his first five starts of the season before two recent duds. That is pretty comparable to his numbers last year, when Rodriguez posted a 2.81 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. 

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day 

Tyler Glasnow 0.5 more strikeouts than Domingo German 

While German has been solid, Glasnow has simply been better. The reason we like Glasnow to get more strikeouts is because I anticipate Glasnow lasting longer. Not only do the Rays possess a tougher lineup to navigate through, the Yankees strong bullpen could give German the quick pull. In addition, Glasnow is averaging 6.1 innings and 6.5 Ks per start while German is averaging 5.4 innings and 5.5 Ks per start. 

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Lance Lynn under 4.5 strikeouts 

With Houston projected to win this game easily and score nearly five runs, I anticipate Lynn having a short start. That alone makes Lynn a tough bet to reach five Ks, but the fact that Houston owns the second-lowest K rate in the league makes this a great pick. Not to mention, Houston is averaging 8.2 runs per game across their last five outings and that’s a scary thought for a struggling pitcher like Lynn. 

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