MLBPremium MLB DFS Aces and Stacks (June 30) Joel Bartilotta 3 months ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to Friday's edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. It’s Friday and that means we have a full slate of evening games. MLB has blessed us with a 12-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. At first glance though, pitching is extremely underwhelming on this late. It lacks a clear ace and even the mid-level arms have clear risk. This slate does however present us with a decent amount of stacking options. Let’s dig and make some money! MLB DFS Aces – Main Osvaldo Bido vs. Milwaukee Brewers If you just watched the Mets/Brewers series 2 things should be clear. The Mets are bad and have little heart. They’ll play out the string the rest of the year and will probably lose 90 games. The other thing that is clear is that the Brewers offense is also very bad and we can attack them with pitchers often. I plan on doing that tonight with Osvaldo Bido.&nb... 3 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (May 10) Joel Bartilotta 5 months ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to Wednesday's edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. It’s Wednesday and that means day baseball! We have ourselves a nice-looking 9-game slate of MLB DFS this afternoon. This slate offers a little bit of everything. Solid arms and bad arms will be plentiful. Let’s dig and make some money! MLB DFS Aces – Main Clayton Kershaw vs. Milwaukee Brewers We’re going to dial back the clock a bit and go with Clayton Kershaw. He’s facing off against a Brewers team that has been dreadful vs. lefties this season. This afternoon’s projected lineup for the Brewers has a strike-out rate over 28% vs. lefties on the year and has done little in the way of power as they have a .123 ISO and a .281 wOBA. This is a great spot for Kershaw today to rebound from his rough outing vs. the Padres. Look for Kershaw to have a monster day today. Eduardo Rodr... 5 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Apr. 7) Joel Bartilotta 6 months ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to Friday's edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. Thanks to some questionable forecasts for storms yesterday, we have a really nice afternoon slate of baseball. What was supposed to be a 4-game slate, has turned into a 6-game slate. Those 6-games should be a ton of fun to both watch and play some MLB DFS on. Pitching is on the blah side but we have some good matchups and also some great spots for offense. Let’s dig and make some money! MLB DFS Aces – Main Zack Wheeler vs. Cincinnati Reds The Phillies were one of the teams that pushed back their home opener to Friday, giving us a great matchup for Zack Wheeler against the Cincinnati Reds. In Wheeler’s first outing of the year, he faced a much tougher task with the Texas Rangers. Although he gave up a handful of runs, he also struck out 7 in just 4 innings of work. This Reds lineup is a... 6 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 9/25 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 2 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s nine-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!No weather that will likely impact play, and best hitting environments are in Baltimore, Cincinnati, Coors Field and Anaheim.MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Corbin Burnes ($11,100)He’s the top ace of the day with a fine matchup against the Mets, and will likely be the most popular for cash games. With an obnoxious, almost unheard-of 1.58 FIP and 2.34 ERA in line with his 2.31 XFIP, Burnes is having a historic season. His 12.59 K/9 is amazing, but it’s even more implausible when we consider the 1.82 BB/9 rate. The Mets just got flummoxed by Eric Lauer last night, and now they face a pitcher with a curveball/cutter combo that’s among the best we’ve seen over the past 20 years. Lock him into cash lineups and move on.Best GPP Play: Robbie Ray ($10,800)Ray has had two poor starts among his last three, but his regularity in the 45-70 point range this season means he’s the best GPP play on the board against the Twins in Minnesota. We could see some portion of the field move to Burnes given the recency bias of Ray’s last start. The Toronto ace shouldn’t have too many problems with the righty-heavy Twins lineup, and although they hit fastballs well, Ray’s is among the best in baseball. Adam Strangis goes through some of the same rationales in his excellent Starting Rotation article for 9/25, and while that mainly looks at DK pricing, the thought process only affirms itself even more on FD, where you have to choose one pitcher. Ray is the best GPP option considering price and upside.Contrarian GPP Play: Lance Lynn ($10,000)He’s a contrarian play based on the other two pitcher I’ve discussed, so if you really want to get different I don’t have a problem with using Lynn in large-field GPPs. For single entry I’d prefer both Burnes and Ray, but Lynn does have some upside in this matchup vs. Cleveland and still boasts ands nice 30-35 point floor because of his solid metrics (3.26 FIP and 27.8% K rate). The mases won’t be on him, so maybe he’s a good pivot in one-third to half your multi-entry lineups.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: San Francisco GiantsIf we can fit these guys, I think today is one of the days we have to play them. Brandon Crawford ($3,900), LaMonte Wade, Jr. ($3,800), Tommy La Stella ($3,600), Brandon Belt ($4,300) and Kris Bryant ($4,300) and Evan Longoria ($3,700) are not cheap, but I’m hoping we can find a way to get a full four-man stack in there with a couple of value plays from the Reds and a two more (one-offs or two-man mini stack). , Mike Yastrzemski ($3,800) is day-to-day after being removed from Friday’s contest with knee soreness, so keep an eye on who starts in the outfield. We may find a player like Alex Dickerson ($2,500) in a good spot at a reduced salary.GPP Value Stack: Cincinnati RedsThis just feels like a Reds day facing Erick Fedde, and they’ve got good hitting weather, a hittable pitcher, and a lineup peppered with enough value plays that will let us spend at SP without much discomfort. I’m looking at four-man combinations of the following hitters: Joey Votto ($4,100), Nick Castellanos ($3,800), Max Schrock ($2,100), Jonathan India ($3,500), Tucker Barnhart ($2,200), Kyle Farmer ($3,300) and T.J. Friedl ($2,100). And that’s in order of priority. GPP Value Stack #2: Seattle MarinersAngels SP Jaime Barria has an xFIP over 5.00, and we have a slew of relatively inexpensive hitters from both sides of the plate who match up well in this spot. Prioritize the 1-5 hitters, especially J.P. Crawford ($3,000), Ty France ($3,000) and Mitch Haniger ($3,600) and mix in guys like Jake Fraley ($2,000) and Abraham Toro ($2,400) if you’re tight on salary.Bonus Contrarian Stacks: Chicago White Sox, Baltimore OriolesMake sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday – 09/14 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 12 game slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day. Let’s dig in to tonight’s slate!MLB DFS: The AcesGerrit Cole ($11.4k) vs. Baltimore Orioles – If we get a full clean bill of health on Cole before the game tonight he becomes the clear SP1 on the night. Even with his poor outing against the Blue Jays last week Cole still has a 36% strike out rate over the past month. All of his metrics are separate him from his peers. He has the highest CSW of any pitcher tonight, the lowest xFIP, and one of the lowest swinging strike rates. He gets a great match up vs. a poor Orioles team. While the Orioles have been better of late vs. righties, they’re still striking out more than 25% of the time vs. righties over the last month. Again, if we know Cole is healthy tonight, he’s my clear SP1.Lucas Giolito ($9.8k... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Wednesday –08/25 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Wednesday edition of Aces and Bases. Tonight we have a nice sized 10 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day. With a small slate comes a limited pool of options.Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesShohei Ohtani ($11.6k) vs. Baltimore Orioles – This is more than I’d like to pay for Ohtani but of the all the aces pitching tonight he gets by far the softest match up. The Orioles have been one of the worst teams against righties this year. The projected lineup tonight for the Orioles has a 24% K rate against righties this year and just a .155 ISO. They’ll more than likely throw out 6 righties and that’s right in Ohtani’s wheelhouse as he has a 34% K rate against them this year. Ohtani very well could be the highest scoring pitcher on the night. His price is the only thing holding me back from saying , “I’m ... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBDaily Fantasy Sports MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 8/14 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 2 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s nine-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!Possibility for a stray shower that could cause a late start or brief delay at Citi Field for Dodgers-Mets, but other than that we don’t have to worry about much other than the usual weirdness in these trying times!MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Walker Buehler ($11,500)The price may prohibit us from getting all the bats we want, but there’s no denying that Buehler offers the safest option for cash games as long s the weather looks like it will hold prior to lock. The Mets are just about middle-of-the-road in K rate in MLB (23.6%), and Buehler’s pitch repertoire all but guarantees they’ll have trouble barreling him up tonight. From a MLB DFS perspective, there’s plenty of reason to steer away on GPPs and single-entry builds where we’d like to get some big bats, but there may be some sneaky stack value that could help us combine Buehler’s high floor with the hitting points necessary to nail down a solid cash game lineup. NOTE: If you’re willing to assume a little more risk and need the extra savings, Joe Musgrove ($9,600) is also a viable option against a somewhat feckless Arizona lineup.Best GPP Value: Luis Garcia ($7,900)Garcia is woefully mispriced on FD and we’re going to take advantage in GPPs. In his MLB DFS Starting Rotation 8.14 article, Adam Strangis points out that Garcia has a great spot for production here, and that’s a DK-oriented piece where he’s actually priced at $9,900, while Buehler is just $10,600. On FD, however, we only need one SP — and Garcia’s average of 31.7 PPG (with duel season highs of 52 points coming in his last start and two of his last four starts) is a huge plus. He’s clearly our best bang for the buck against an Angels lineup that has a few bright spots but has been among the worst in the league over the past 14 days (.214/.282/.314 team slash; .264 team wOBA and 66 wRC+). Single-entry, large-field GPP — maybe even cash games — I’ll be all over Garcia tonight in MLB DFS tonight.Contrarian GPP Play: Dylan Cease ($8,900)The Yankees offense is very scary, but they do strike out at a 24.3% rate this season and this game will not be played in a wind tunnel Field of Dreams where any hard hit fly ball ends up in the corn. Cease is projected for over 30 FD points and he could easily exceed the 40-point mark if he can avoid the walks and big blast (he’s made big strides in 2021, lowering his BB/9% to 3.69 from 5.25 in a tumultuous 2020). He should carry low ownership against the Bronx Bombers and pitching on his home field should help a bit, as he’s posted a .267 wOBA on the South Side of Chicago, compared to .301 in road games. This is a risky play but Cease does have upside in this matchup if he can keep the Yankees off base and limit the HR damage to solo blasts.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: Los Angeles DodgersTaijuan Walker hasn’t been too good since the end of June, yielding a whopping .464 wOBA since the All-Star break and an almost hilarious .333/.406/.711 slash line to opposing hitters. And now, folks, he gets to face the Los Angeles Dodgers! We can focus our attention on the lefties here. making a point to include Cody Bellinger ($3,600) — who’s really been heating up — along with Corey Seager ($3,200), Max Muncy ($3,700) and finish off our four-man stack with RHB A.J. Pollock ($3,100), who’s still relatively cheap. Trea Turner is also worth a look, but he’s expensive at $4,000, and if Albert Pujols ($2,200) starts he’ll be a bargain. GPP Value Stack: San Francisco GiantsI profited quite a bit from having almost 100% of Austin Slater ($2,500) and Wilmer Flores ($3,000) last night in the late slate contests, and we want to take advantage of their soft prices and crazy splits against LHP again tonight, as they’ll be facing Rockies SP Kyle Freeland, a southpaw with a .364 wOBA (and nine HR allowed this season in 52.0 total IP) against right-handed batters. Throw in cleanup hitter Darin Ruf ($2,700) and (future HOFer?) Buster Posey ($3,300) and you’ve got a solid and inexpensive four-man stack, viable for cash or GPP. 3B/OF.UTIL eligible Kris Bryant is also worth a look and makes sense to mix in if you can afford him at $3,900, and we have another cheap option in Donovan Solano ($2,500), who’s having an excellent second half (.307/.381/.453).GPP Stack #2: Houston AstrosThe Astros could also be popular tonight, and I’m fine starting my builds with Michael Brantley ($3,000), Yordan Alvarez ($3,900), Kyle Tucker ($3,200) and GPP wunderkind Aledmys Diaz ($2,700). Sure, we can squeeze in Jose Altuve ($3,800) if we can afford him and there’s no reason to bet against Carlos Correa ($3,500) and value option Chas McCormick ($2,300) if he gets into the lineup. Angels SP Jaime Barria has been decent since returning from Triple-A in late July, but this Astros lineup is just too good at making contact and barreling up baseballs. Don’t forget to mix in a stack or two in your GPPs.Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday – 08/03 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a massive 15 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. To our surprise, we actually have some pitching options today. We have a couple of ace level pitchers hoping to rebound, but what I’m most excited about is some of the pitchers we’ll get to attack tonight.Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesZack Wheeler ($10.7k) vs. Washington Nationals – Wheeler gets a rematch against the Nats after a little bit of a shaky outing last go around. He struck out 5 in that one but also gave up 3 ER and took the loss. This time around he’s going to get a very different Nats team. The majority of the “damage” done in that game came from Josh Harrison and Yan Gomes. They are gone though and this match up tonight for Wheeler should be a much easier one. While his K rate has been down over the past month, he’s being doing a great job of really limiting hard contact as ... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Picks and Pivots for Saturday – 07/24 Jared Levitt 2 years ago written by Jared Levitt Welcome to the Saturday edition of Picks and Pivots. Tonight we have a really nice sized 10 game main slate of MLB DFS on Draftkings to navigate through. It’s Jared and I’ll be filling in for Brian today. My goal today will be to layout a path to get at least one high level ace and a couple of offenses that are in great spots to crush tonight. Let’s dig in to today’s slate!Main Slate BreakdownWith tonight’s slate we have a couple of the top strike out pitchers in the league in Carlos Rodon ($10.1k) and Corbin Burnes ($10.6k). Both guys have been on fire of late with K rates 30% over the past month. Of the pitchers going tonight Rodon ranks first while Burnes ranks fourth. Wait, that means there are 2 other guys sandwiched in between them that also have a 30% K rate? Yes, and one of them is someone I’m going to pair with either Rodon or Burnes. That guy is Logan Gilbert ($7.8k). In his last 20 innings of work Gilbert has been j... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 7/3 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 2 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s seven-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:15PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!Weather is not a huge issue tonight (as much as it is for the day games), so let’s dive right in!MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Clayton Kershaw ($11,000)Kershaw is the only top MLB DFS arm we should really consider tonight, since there’s a $2,500 drop off to the next available SP (LAA RHP Alex Cobb at $8,500 — someone we can consider as a GPP pivot). Adam Strangis explains in the 7/3 Starting Rotation article why anchoring cash game lineups to Kershaw makes a lot of sense, and we can probably use the same rationale for single-entry GPP. Kershaw’s K rate is high enough that the elevated pricing on FD isn’t a dealbreaker, and the Nationals do have some K potential in their lineup.Best GPP Value: Jake Odorizzi ($7,200)The Indians aren’t pushovers, but Odorizzi has been pretty effective this season with and xFIP under 4.00 and a K rate over a batter an inning. Cleveland is in the bottom half of the league in OPS, wOBA, and wRC+ and they rank just 21st against the fastball — Odorizzi’s number one pitch in both effectiveness and usage. He’s a slight favorite, has averaged over 30 FD per outing over his last four starts, and his price allows us to roster basically any hitters we want in the high total games in Coors Field and/or Oakland.Contrarian GPP Play: Alex Cobb ($8,500)He’s a contrarian play because the price is still a little higher than we’d like to play on a slate where Odorizzi is much cheaper, but his upside is just as high. Cobb sports a 2.79 xFIP this season and the Orioles aren’t especially great at knocking around RHPs. There’s risk here, as we know this crew in Baltimore can manufacture a few runs with that potent top 4 — but if Cobb can get through that group a couple times without major incident, he’s got a great shot at eclipsing his 30 point FD projections and total of about 30 FD points. 40-45 FD points (helped by a QS and win) isn’t unrealistic,MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: St. Louis Cardinals vs. COL LHP Kyle FreelandThis lineup is filled with lefty mashers, and it’s a group that really came alive in extra innings last night — something I believe they’ll carry over into tonight’s matchup. You really can’t go wrong with Nolan Arenado ($4,400), Paul Goldschmidt ($4,300), Tyler O’Neill ($4,000 – DTD, finger) and Harrison Bader ($3,200) as your power four, with Tommy Edman ($3,700) Dylan Carlson ($3,400), Yadier Molina ($3,500) and Paul DeJong ($3,800) as your main alternates. The Rockies are all in play as well — especially Trevor Story ($4,400) , C.J. Cron ($3,900) and a cheap Yonathan Daza ($3,100 — though it will be hard to stack the entire game.Value Stack: San Francisco Giants vs. ARI RHP Jacob FariaThe Giants were my value stack last night against the A’s, and while they did score 6 runs, they didn’t break the slate. Once again, they have enormous upside tonight with these hitters against “Journeyman Jake” Faria and his hittable ensemble of pitches: LaMonte Wade ($2,900), Mike Yastrzemski ($3,200), Buster Posey ($3,100) Alex Dickerson ($2,500), Brandon Crawford ($3,000). There are some other bats to be considered (Steven Duggar at $2,800 and a very cheap Donovan Solano at $2,300), but I’m most interested in the above four for MLB DFS.Contrarian Stack: Oakland Athletics vs. BOS RHP Garrett RichardsThere’s a great deal of leverage in stacking this entire game and fading Coors hitters, but let’s start with the Athletics bats we like: Tony Kemp ($2,800), Matt Olson ($3,700), Jed Lowrie ($3,300) and Matt Chapman ($3,600). For Boston, the top hitters are J.D. Martinez ($4,200), Kike Hernandez ($3,600), Xander Bogaerts ($3,700) and Hunter Renfroe ($3,500). Again — both sides are fine here, but the Athletics will be severely under-owned against a bad RHP, and that’s a spot I really like considering their above-average 104 wRC+ and .317 wOBA. The Sox do well against LHP (.331 wOBA, 105 wRC+), but they’re priced a little higher.Good luck tonight, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
