MLBPremium MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Sept. 21) Joel Bartilotta 1 year ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Wednesday edition of the Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. Tonight we have a nice sized 9-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. We’re at the point of the season where teams are starting to jockey for playoff position, or are fighting for the playoff lives. Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today! MLB DFS Aces – Main Robbie Ray vs. Oakland Athletics Robbie Ray has had an up-and-down season in 2022. He’s shown flashes of the 2021 Cy Young-winning pitcher, but he’s also thrown some duds like he did last time out vs. the Los Angeles Angels. That said, I do think he has one of his better outings tonight vs. a pesky, but average at best Oakland Athletics lineup. He’s faced the Athletics 3 times already this season and has had double-digit strikeouts in 2 of them. The projected lineup tonight for the Athletics has just a .255 wOBA agai... 1 year ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Sept. 16) Joel Bartilotta 1 year ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Friday edition of the Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. Tonight we have a massive 14-game slate of MLB DFS to navigate through. With large slates, comes lots of options and we have that tonight. Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today! MLB DFS Aces – Main Justin Verlander vs. Oakland Athletics The ageless wonder Justin Verlander takes the mound tonight vs. the Oakland Athletics. He’s arguably the best pitcher on the mound, while also in one of the best spots out of any pitcher. We saw last night what a really good right-handed pitcher can do to this offense as McCullers struck out 11 in 6 innings. He has nowhere near the K ability that Verlander has either. Verlander is making his first start today in a little more than two weeks so there’s always the possibility that he’s on some type of limitation. That said, he h... 1 year ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 9/25 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 2 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s nine-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!No weather that will likely impact play, and best hitting environments are in Baltimore, Cincinnati, Coors Field and Anaheim.MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Corbin Burnes ($11,100)He’s the top ace of the day with a fine matchup against the Mets, and will likely be the most popular for cash games. With an obnoxious, almost unheard-of 1.58 FIP and 2.34 ERA in line with his 2.31 XFIP, Burnes is having a historic season. His 12.59 K/9 is amazing, but it’s even more implausible when we consider the 1.82 BB/9 rate. The Mets just got flummoxed by Eric Lauer last night, and now they face a pitcher with a curveball/cutter combo that’s among the best we’ve seen over the past 20 years. Lock him into cash lineups and move on.Best GPP Play: Robbie Ray ($10,800)Ray has had two poor starts among his last three, but his regularity in the 45-70 point range this season means he’s the best GPP play on the board against the Twins in Minnesota. We could see some portion of the field move to Burnes given the recency bias of Ray’s last start. The Toronto ace shouldn’t have too many problems with the righty-heavy Twins lineup, and although they hit fastballs well, Ray’s is among the best in baseball. Adam Strangis goes through some of the same rationales in his excellent Starting Rotation article for 9/25, and while that mainly looks at DK pricing, the thought process only affirms itself even more on FD, where you have to choose one pitcher. Ray is the best GPP option considering price and upside.Contrarian GPP Play: Lance Lynn ($10,000)He’s a contrarian play based on the other two pitcher I’ve discussed, so if you really want to get different I don’t have a problem with using Lynn in large-field GPPs. For single entry I’d prefer both Burnes and Ray, but Lynn does have some upside in this matchup vs. Cleveland and still boasts ands nice 30-35 point floor because of his solid metrics (3.26 FIP and 27.8% K rate). The mases won’t be on him, so maybe he’s a good pivot in one-third to half your multi-entry lineups.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: San Francisco GiantsIf we can fit these guys, I think today is one of the days we have to play them. Brandon Crawford ($3,900), LaMonte Wade, Jr. ($3,800), Tommy La Stella ($3,600), Brandon Belt ($4,300) and Kris Bryant ($4,300) and Evan Longoria ($3,700) are not cheap, but I’m hoping we can find a way to get a full four-man stack in there with a couple of value plays from the Reds and a two more (one-offs or two-man mini stack). , Mike Yastrzemski ($3,800) is day-to-day after being removed from Friday’s contest with knee soreness, so keep an eye on who starts in the outfield. We may find a player like Alex Dickerson ($2,500) in a good spot at a reduced salary.GPP Value Stack: Cincinnati RedsThis just feels like a Reds day facing Erick Fedde, and they’ve got good hitting weather, a hittable pitcher, and a lineup peppered with enough value plays that will let us spend at SP without much discomfort. I’m looking at four-man combinations of the following hitters: Joey Votto ($4,100), Nick Castellanos ($3,800), Max Schrock ($2,100), Jonathan India ($3,500), Tucker Barnhart ($2,200), Kyle Farmer ($3,300) and T.J. Friedl ($2,100). And that’s in order of priority. GPP Value Stack #2: Seattle MarinersAngels SP Jaime Barria has an xFIP over 5.00, and we have a slew of relatively inexpensive hitters from both sides of the plate who match up well in this spot. Prioritize the 1-5 hitters, especially J.P. Crawford ($3,000), Ty France ($3,000) and Mitch Haniger ($3,600) and mix in guys like Jake Fraley ($2,000) and Abraham Toro ($2,400) if you’re tight on salary.Bonus Contrarian Stacks: Chicago White Sox, Baltimore OriolesMake sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Friday – 09/10 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Friday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a big 13 game slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day. Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesRobbie Ray ($11.2k) vs. Baltimore Orioles – Not sure what else there is to say about Robbie Ray at this point. He continues to go out and mow down batters. While his price is steep he’s someone that has unmatched strike out ability on this slate. Over the last month he has a 40% k rate. He has 4 straight games with double digit strike outs. W/ a match up against an inconsistent Orioles team there’s no reason to think he can be slowed down. The Orioles haven’t been as good against lefties recently and have a 24% K rate over the last 30 days vs. them. I’m locking in Ray tonight in my lineup and not looking back. Michael Wacha ($8.5k) vs. Detroit Tigers – I’m not as in love with... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Sunday – 09/05 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Sunday Funday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 10 game slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day. Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesRobbie Ray ($11.2k) vs. Oakland Athletics – What a year that Robbie Ray has had! He made some pitch selection changes coming into the year and they have really paid off in a Cy Young level season. Over the last month Ray has been dominant. He has a 37.5% K rate which is way above the field. Ray has also been really doing a great job of limiting the hard contact with just a 25.7% hard hit rate over the last 30 days. Ray sets up extremely well w/ the A’s. His main strike out pitch is his slider and it’s a pitch that the A’s can struggle with as they have a handful of batters that have whiff rates over 30%. If he can neutralize Marte today he should have one of his... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Picks and Pivots: Friday, August 13 Jared Levitt 2 years ago written by Jared Levitt Welcome to the Friday edition of Picks and Pivots. Tonight we have a 14 game day slate of MLB DFS on Draftkings to navigate through. Main Slate BreakdownIt’s Jared and I’ll be filling in for Brian while he takes a much needed and well deserved vacation. It’s Friday and that means we’re back to having a loaded slate. With tonight’s slate we have a handful of pitchers that I’m looking to work in. It all starts with Robbie Ray ($9.2k). We’re getting Ray at the cheapest he’s been in a couple of months. He’s seen a little bit of a downward trend of late as he has just a 24% K rate over the past month. That’s down significantly from his 30% yearly rate. If we look into what happened it’s mostly due to match ups. Three of his last 3 outings have been against the Red Sox and they are a top team against lefties. Tonight Ray gets a much softer match up in the Mariners and he should get back on track. Ray will more ... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday – 6/29 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a massive 15 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. With today’s slate we have a little bit of everything. Some great pitching with solid match-ups and strong offenses facing some poor pitching. Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesRobbie Ray ($10.8k) vs. Seattle Mariners – Robbie Ray draws a fantastic match-up tonight with Mariners coming to Buffalo. Ray is one of my favorite GPP pitchers in the league right now. Every time out he has double digit K potential. Over his past 30 day he’s been especially dominant with a 36% K rate and just a 2.58 xFIP. With Ray on the mound there’s always the potential for the occasional long ball as he’s given up 4 in his last 28 innings of work. That said, with the match-up tonight I’m not overly worried as the Mariners have really struggled this season. Against lefties they have a 27% K rate to go with a wOBA that ... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Friday – 6/18 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Friday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a massive 15 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. For a slate as big as today, pitching options are somewhat scarce. The top pitcher on the slate is in Coors and the second “best” pitcher can no longer use spider tack. That said, the goal today will be to bring you 3 pitchers and 3 offenses that will help you get to the top of the leader boards.Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesRobbie Ray ($11k) vs. Baltimore Orioles – This pick doesn’t give me the warm and fuzzies as the Orioles have actually been really good against lefties. But Ray has been one of the most consistent and dominant pitchers this year. Ray changed his game plan this season to throw considerably less curveballs and more fastballs. The dividends have definitely been there as his walks are at a career low. While he still is prone to the home run ball, not having meaningless runners o... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday, 6/01 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a massive 14 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. This slate brings us a healthy amount of options on both the pitching front and stacking front. We also have my favorite GPP pitcher in Robbie Ray in a bounce back position. Coors Field is back so we’ll also need to determine if we go all in or fade. Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesTyler Glasnow ($10.7k) vs. New York Yankees – After a down performance vs. the Toronto Blue Jays Glasnow rebounded with arguably his most dominant performance of the year, 11 K’s and only 3 hits vs. the Royals. Today he gets to take on a very up and down offense in the Yankees. For the season, the Yankees are striking out more than 25% of the time to righties. They’ve also shown limited power to righties with a sub .700 OPS and just a .141 ISO. The Yankees can be had. They can strikeout in bunches. Glasnow has elite K ability with a strikeout rate o... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsMLB MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 5/22 (FanDuel Main Slate) Antonio D'Arcangelis 2 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s six-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!No weather concerns of note, so everyone should technically be “in play” from a DFS perspective.MLB DFS: The AcesTop MLB DFS Ace: Walker Buehler ($10,500)I’m not sure how many folks will get thrown off by the stiff winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight, but that stadium minimizes wind impact with its design — and Buehler is still the top ace of the slate. There’s really no close second, and I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention that Buehler’s ZIPS projections anticipate a lot more Ks over the next few starts. His talent level is head and shoulders better than choices B and C tonight and the run support he should get with his Dodgers facing the Giants’ Matt Wisler and some bullpen arms is enough to make him the safest option on the board.Best GPP Value: Chris Bassitt ($8,800)The A’s are a road favorite against an Angels team missing Mike Trout — the anchor of their lineup and one of the main reasons to fear that team. Over the past seven days we’ve seen the Angels team K rate increase about three percentage points, and while Bassitt isn’t known as a high-strikeout pitcher, his K/9 has increased to 9.62 this season, and his walk rate is the lowest its been in his seven-year MLB career. There isn’t an EASY value on tonight’s slate, but if I had to pick a guy who could surprise and break through with moderately low ownership on a day with limited options, Bassitt is the guy.Contrarian GPP Value: Robbie Ray ($9,100)Ray has been excellent this season, and while the minor league park the Blue Jays are hosting games in is quite the bandbox, Ray’s K is up a percentage point and a half to 28.9% this season. It’s not quite where it was during his DFS heyday in 2017 — when it was a whopping 32.8 and he posted a 1.15 WHIP and 3.72 FIP — but Ray is throwing a lot of good fastballs again, limiting hard contact this season and getting his WHIP down to an impressive 1.17 through seven starts. The Rays strike out at the fourth-highest rate among MLB teams and that’s exactly the type of thing we’re looking for on FanDuel, where efficiency matters a lot less than notching strikeouts. Adam Strangis also points out in his 5/22 Starting Rotation piece that they’re especially bad against lefties. Nathan Eovaldi ($7,200) also makes sense as an off-the-wall, high-risk contrarian play against Philadelphia. The Phillies have the second-highest team strikeout rate in baseball, but Eovaldi might end up being more popular than Ray because of the salary difference.MLB DFS: The BasesTop Stack: Boston Red Sox vs. PHI RHP Spencer HowardThe Red Sox continue to mash and represent the safest stack of the 5/22 MLB DFS slate. They also boast one of the higher projected team run totals and have a 2-5 stack that rivals any in the bigs at the moment. Alex Verdugo is out today (hamstring) but Xander Bogaerts ($3,800), J.D. Martinez ($4,300) and Rafael Devers ($3,800) should all be rostered confidently. It’s an expensive stack that will probably need some value to offset that type of spending. Value options for your fourth hitter on Boston include Kike Hernandez ($3,200) — who has 2B/OF positional flexibility — Christian Vazquez ($2,500), and sluggers Bobby Dalbec ($2,400) and Hunter Renfroe ($2,200)Value Stack: San Diego Padres vs. SEA LHP Justus SheffieldThe Padres aren’t normally a value play as a team stack, but Eric Hosmer is just $2,700 and Fernando Tatis Jr. ($4,500) is the only real spend-up hitter we’ll encounter here. The rest of my preferred stack includes Manny Machado ($3,200) and Tommy Pham ($2,100). Pham’s price is way too low given his upside and the fact that that his offense came alive for 34.2 FanDuel points last night. Right handed Austin Nola ($2,900) is also an option, and I would prefer leadoff hitter Trent Grisham ($3,400) to Jake Cronenworth ($3,000) since the former is better vs. lefties and the latter sometimes gets a day off against southpaws anyway — but Grisham is nursing a heel injury that had him removed in the fifth inning against Seattle yesterday.Contrarian Stack: Oakland Athletics vs. LAA LHP Patrick SandovalIt’s difficult to say just how many innings Sandoval will pitch tonight, but the A’s are better against LHP this season and their productive core of Mark Canha $3,100), Ramon Laureano ($3,400) and Matt Chapman ($2,700) could get some early scoring off the mediocre southpaw. I’m fine adding Matt Olson ($3,400) to the mix or even take a shot on Seth Brown ($2,200), who homered a couple games ago and offers some great value.Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays! 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
