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Welcome back to the Friday edition of NBA DFS Picks and Pivots where we get a solid 7 game slate to tackle on DraftKings and FanDuel. After a huge start to the second half of the NBA season on Wednesday's two gamer - we set our sights on tonight and building our bankroll!https://twitter.com/2lockSports/status/1369859904299823105NBA DFS Picks and Pivots: Slate BreakdownTonight's seven game NBA DFS slate is the sweet spot in my opinion as a single entry player - we have enough games to make it interesting but not so many where it becomes overwhelming.We also have a ton of injury news that sets this slate up for some serious value (shocker I know). As of this morning, we have a handful of players already ruled OUT - PJ Tucker, Eric Gordon, Christian Wood, Bam Adebayo, Marc Gasol, Ben Simmons, and DeMar DeRozan. Now add to that list the Questionable tags and your pool expands with Bradley Beal, Kevin Love, Paul Millsap, Darius Garland, John Wall, and Victor Oladipo.With the absolute mess i...

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For the second straight night we saw massive NBA DFS scores across the industry as the combination of minimum priced value and ceiling games from the slate’s biggest stars have pushed scores into the 400 range.

A huge congrats to all the Win Daily Sports NBA members dropping screenshots in our NBA Discord last night as we had multiple members post their biggest scores of the NBA season and my friends – we are JUST getting started!

This beauty from “RLS021” took the top 4 values in our model and stacked the 4 man stud combo of Luka, Durant, Fox, and Dame. You love to see it!

NBA DFS Picks and Pivots: Slate Breakdown

Normally we start this section with the stars but I think for this 5 game NBA DFS slate on Thursday we need to work backwards and recognize the amount of value we will have tonight is much like we have seen the previous two slates.

Right off the bat, we have a similar situation with the Miami Heat as we had two nights ago as they take on the Sixers again with just an 8 man rotation. No Butler, Bam, Dragic etc. In fact, the Heat are in a similar spot where they need one of Meyers Leonard OR Gabe Vincent to shake off their injury tag and play just so they can have the required eight players.

The Houston Rockets may not be dealing with COVID protocols en masse, but are dealing with a virus of their own – as they traded away disgruntled star James Harden on Wednesday and tonight will play a game against the Spurs without John Wall and Danuel House.

Assuming Miami is able to play again, the Heat and Rockets become the keys to this slate as a result of all the value. When you open up our Custom Projections today and watch them refresh throughout the day – you are going to see tons of Miami and Houston.

I am not going to sit here and list off all the values, but instead, reiterate the importance of using that value in your NBA DFS builds. Two nights ago using the Miami Heat value was a pre-requisite to cashing and last night we saw the top three PP/$ values in our model – DeAndre Jordan, JJ Redick and Nickeil Alexander-Walker ALL in the winning $100,000 DK GPP lineup.

We cannot always assume “past result guarantee future success” but what these last two NBA DFS slates have told us more than anything – when we have SO many value punts available to us, we need to utilize them. This is not as simple as just 1-2 guys being value – we are seeing 10-20 6-7x values a night in the models as we approach lock and the reality is, some combination of them is hitting every single night and if you don’t have them – well then you don’t have the high ceiling stars that the values allow you to afford and you are likely sitting outside of the cash line staring in.

Building Our Core

So let’s assume tonight that your builds minimally will have 2-3 sub $4K punts with some combination of Heat/Rockets and “other value” that opens up throughout the day.

What that means is we have room to afford multiple studs and so building that core of high ceiling stars is the vital second step after using the “easy value.”

Welcome to the Golden State/Denver game my friends – stop #1 on our superstar train!

Golden State plays at the third-fastest pace in the NBA so Denver will see a similar pace up match-up as they did the last time out against Brooklyn and the Warriors meanwhile get the benefit of taking on a Nuggets team that ranks among the five worst teams in defense rating and will be without a key individual defender tonight in Gary Harris.

Nikola Jokic ($11K)is the most expensive player on the slate and frankly, the salary becomes largely meaningless with the amount of value that we have to make him a core play. In a similar pace up spot against Brooklyn, we saw Big Honey drop 67 DK points on a 23/11/8 line with 7 steals. Do you think James Wiseman is going to slow him down? Yeah, me neither.

The player that really interests me tonight on Denver though is Jamal Murray ($6.9K). Yes, the same Jamal Murray who has failed to top 30 DK points now in three straight games and four of his last five. Game log watchers kick rocks – school is in session.

Murray has superstar talent and DFS slate-breaking upside we all witnessed in the bubble last year but a slow start has really taken people off him and brought his price down to its lowest level.

The issue with Murray this season has been his sharp decline in usage as his usage rate has dropped 2% from last year, down to just 23%. With both Gary Harris AND Michael Porter Jr. sidelined, you would think the usage would flow to Murray more, and finally against Brooklyn – it did – as he sported a 31% usage and put up a whopping TWENTY shot attempts.

The 27.5K DK points that followed are where some may stop and move on – but I think the usage and volume here tells you that the DFS output is not far off and so buying low is the right GPP move. Over the last two weeks, opposing point guards have gone for 40+ DK points five times against Golden State with Dame (x2), Kyle Lowry, De’Aaron Fox and Aaron Holiday just 2 days ago.

In every single case, you are seeing the peripherals spike with these 5 PG’s averaging 7.4 assists, 4.6 rebounds and 1.5 steals per game. The upside in this game environment is massive and the recent run of players in the same match-up should give us confidence to go heavy on Murray who will likely be a forgotten commodity that could be a big GPP difference maker.

On the other side of this game, the obvious run back is Steph Curry ($9.7K) – another luxury spend that is easy to afford but the mini-stack partner I have my eye on here is a far too cheap Draymond Green ($5.4K).

When mini-stacking we always have to think through correlation and if Chef Curry is my top play, I do not want to pair him with similarly scoring dependent plays like Andrew Wiggins or Kelly Oubre. Instead, using Green who relies heavily on peripherals gives you a path for both players to hit their ceilings without capping the other’s upside.

Draymond has played 30+ minutes now in 3 of his last 4 games with 30 and 39 DK points in his last two outings as a result of his rebounds, assists and blocks/steals. With this game being projected as one of the fastest pace games on the slate, and the other Warriors bigs having to deal with Nikola Jokic – we could see a scenario where guys like Wiseman are pulled away from the basket to defend Joker on the pick and roll which would leave Draymond inside to get the lion’s share of the rebounds.

Starting your build tonight with a Joker/Jamal – Curry/Draymond mini stack will leave you over $4.2K per player for the rest of your build which is an easy path considering the context of the slate.

NBA DFS Picks and Pivots – The Wrap Up

This slate is all about the value and the Stars and Scrubs approach that inherently follows. That build has been a consistent winner all season on Draftkings and especially over the last two nights and the context of this slate, in my mind, dictates the path as a core strategy once again.

Enjoy this slate – let’s get in Discord today and chat it up while we dig through our cheat sheets and projections here at Win Daily to set up the start of this NBA DFS season with some big wins!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

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Part 2 of the Collector’s Corner: NBA 2020-21 Preview takes a look at some of the NBA trading cards — past and present — you should be collecting.

We’re about a week into the 2020-21 NBA season, and it’s a good time to preview some of the possible breakouts – or just some big jumps from guys we already know about – in the trading cards market this year.

In this preview (Part 1 was a product review), we’ll look at some of players to target as they take the stage on the most marketable of courts in the NBA. I’ve included some links to eBay sales of the players I’m covering.

Trading Cards of Retired/HOF Legends

Tim Duncan – I heard there’s a debate raging online about whether Tim Duncan was a better player than Anthony Davis. While the book isn’t closed on AD, Duncan is in my Top 10 all-time NBA, and he might be Top 6 or 7, if we really want to get into the level of talent he faced and how competitive those Spurs teams were in the playoffs. Duncan’s trading cards are still undervalued. His Topps and Fleer rookies are way too cheap considering his significant NBA HOF legacy.

Shaquille O’NealShaq rookies, plentiful because they were produced in the early-to-mid 1990s, are easy to find sharp and some are worth buying raw to get graded. It’s a long wait right now at PSA, but Shaq remains in the spotlight as a pop icon and entertaining NBA analyst. Grabbing his cards won’t set you back a ton and locating his more valuable inserts from that era could be especially lucrative. I’ve linked to the most recent sold prices, but do a search for those same cards currently and if you see a deal.

Shaq’s Stadium Club rookies can be had for a few bucks each raw, and PSA 10s can be had for around $100 or so.

Trading Cards of Veterans

Kevin Durant – Durant won consecutive Finals MVPs before the devastating Achilles rupture in the 2019 NBA Finals, and he’s been off the radar for over a year. He’s got the length and sharpshooting ability to rebound well and he’s great buy right now as he tries to bring a title to Brooklyn.

Devin Booker/DeAndre Ayton – The addition of Chris Paul should improve the prospects of all the Suns players, from their veteran guards to third-year center Ayton. These are talented players who should see a bump in their production and trading card value.

More Veterans to Buy Low: Nikola Jokic, Russell Westbrook, James Harden, Jrue Holiday, Joel Embiid, Kristaps Porzingis

These established players could have big years in 2020-21 and make their mark once again in the playoffs, when we can see huge jumps in prices after stellar performances.

Some Veterans to Sell: Jamal Murray, Anthony Davis, Aaron Gordon, Jimmy Butler, Hassan Whiteside

These guys see spikes in popularity after big games, but I’m not bullish on the long-term value of their cards – be it health, attitude, too much hype or just a limit on their popularity. Another get in, get out scenario where you can buy low and sell after a monster stat line or two.

More Developing Players

If we look at investing in developing NBA prospects like cash game vs. GPP, it might help in building realistic expectations and projections. GPP-investments can be the players who aren’t highly touted (represent more risky, long-term investments) but can be bought cheaply. Cash game types include established (or simply heavily hyped) players like Ja Morant, Rui Hachimura and Kevin Porter Jr.

Trading Card Cash buys

Jayson Tatum – It may seem weird to classify him as a “developing” player, but he apparently grew two more inches in the past summer – a little joke that got a bit out of hand once it hit the rumor mill. Seriously, though – Tatum may have grown a couple inches (from 6’8” to 6’10”) since he was first drafted in 2017, but the main thing that’s grown tremendously in that time is his game. He’s a more consistent shooter and much better defender, and his cards are still more affordable than some of the other superstars in the league.

Zion Williamson & Ja Morant – Zion still has some defensive issues handling true bigs in the post, but he’s an offensive superstar and there’s no telling the kind of stat lines he’ll post when his shot improves a bit. There’s not TONS of room for short term turnaround value, but like Amazon stock, he’s a grower. As for Ja – the ankle sprain appears to be a 3-5 week thing, so if you see his process drop in the coming weeks, pick up his stuff. You won’t regret it once he hits the floor again.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander – The guy fills it up – a true talent with all the right tools to be a perennial All-Star, and he has solid work ethic and attitude. His rookie cards are still very affordable. His 2018 Silver Prizm rookie in a Gem Mint PSA 10 is selling for about $1,000 to $1,300, but you can buy the card raw for about $200-$300.

P.J. Washington – He’s seen increased playing time in the first three games of the new season, and he’s already got one double-double. His stuff is still pretty cheap and we could see a big jump soon.

Tyler Herro – He’s still a streaky performer who offers very little in the way of ancillary stats when the shots aren’t going down, but his cards are still selling well and he’s still “a bucket” – especially in crunch time. I doubt his trajectory will be one of steady growth – more a few jumps where you want to get in and get out – and do it all over again once it’s playoff time.

R.J. Barrett – Barrett is a talented offensive player who may have gone No. 1 in the 2020 draft, but his future is mired in New York with James Dolan’s Knicks for the time being. The good thing? Tom Thibodeau runs short rotations, so he’ll see plenty of court minutes to help fill up the scoring column this season.

R.J. and Rui could make some big steps forward in the 2020-21 season. Pictured here are their 2019-20 Court Kings Level 1 base rookie cards.

Trading Card GPP buys

Cameron Johnson – We’re just starting to se what he’s capable of at both ends of the floor. He’s a great shot and the addition of CP3 to this team can only help his chances at more exposure. A great long-term buy and still super cheap.

Kendrick Nunn – The Herro hype kind of killed some of the chatter about how good Nunn really is, but I think this guy might even be better than Nunn, especially when you consider how inexpensive his cards are right now. He’s still mired on the bench and seeing only 8-12 minutes in the full-strength Heat rotation, but injuries happen and so can hot streaks for young players who can score as well as Nunn.

More 2019-20 rookie cards to buy: Darius Bazley, Keldon johnson

Buy and stash: Talen Horton-Tucker, Dylan Windler

2020 Rookie Trading Cards I’m Buying

Anthony Edwards – There will be some inconsistent nights and stat lines but he’s in a decent spot for rookie production and he’s carrying the No. 1 pick status for another 11 months.

I covered the 2020-21 Prizm Draft Picks release last week. Pictured are the two base cards of Anthony Edwards — card #1 (L) and #41 (R)

James Wiseman – He’s going to be a frustrating player to own in DFS because he’s committing too many dumb fouls, but the upside is there and so is the playing time if he can stay on the floor.

Cole Anthony – Talent evaluators I trust really like him, and there’s a clear path to playing time for a PG with scoring upside. He’s already making the most of his minutes on the floor.

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In this column, I’ll highlight five NBA DFS 3/7 difference-making playsin GPPs, from studs with a huge upside to value plays who could hit 8x-10x.

These are risky plays who won’t always make the most sense forcash game builds, so buyer beware!

Tired of losing money on your NBA DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner whileturning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!

NBA DFS 3/7 — PG

*Mike Conley, UTA (@ DET) – DK $4,900

There are plenty of high-upside options in the $6-8K range on DraftKings tonight including De’Aaron Fox, Collin Sexton, and even Shake Milton, but Mike Conley remains a solid value option who can still give up 40+ DK points (as he did last night against the Knicks). While the Pistons have done a fine job against guards this season, they have been without the defenders who accomplished that reputation (Derrick Rose, Bruce Brown). Brown looks to be back for this one, but Conley could still have his way with the Detroit backcourt. I’ll find room for some of the aforementioned guards in my GPPs, but Conley’s price is way too low and he’ll be part of my core. Game stackers might want to take a closer look at Jordan McRae (PG/SG/G/UTIL), who played 22 minutes in his debut for the Pistons and could see 25-30 minutes of action tonight, especially if Brandon Knight (questionable, knee soreness) is inactive or limited.

*UPDATE: Conley might get the night off as he’s been sitting the second half of back-to-backs. We’ll see how he feels today and pivot to Jordan Clarkson, who’s just $4,000. That leaves us an extra $900 to upgrade at another spot in the lineup.

Pivots/Stack/Punt: De’AaronFox or Shake Milton/Jordan McRae/Matthew Dellavedova

NBA DFS 3/7 — SG

Collin Sexton, CLE (vs. DEN) – DK $6,900

Sexton’s production has been elevated in the absence of Darius Garland, and he’s SG-eligible on DK. I mentioned him in the Conley writeup and will be making use of him in my core GPP builds despite a relatively difficult matchup against the Nuggets. Bargain pivots include risk-reward Memphis guard Dillon Brooks (who’s no longer forward-eligible on DK) and shooting wing Kent Bazemore (SG/SF/G/F/UTIL), who’s facing his former team and have played at least 28 minutes in six of his last nine games for the Kings. In a CLE-DEN game stack, I’d have plenty of interest in Will Barton, who’s still too cheap at $5,300 and it could be ready for an 8x breakout.

Pivots/Stack: Dillon Brooksor Kent Bazemore/Will Barton

NBA DFS 3/7 — SF

**Kevin Huerter, ATL (@ MEM) – DK $5,600

Huerter’s production increaseswithout Trae Young on the floor, but he’s definitely risky. If he sees 35minutes he can drop 45 DK points, especially in a favorable matchup withMemphis, so I’m loading him up in my GPPs. There are so many SF options on DKbecause of the preponderance of swingmen on the teams in this slate, but the mainpivots off Huerter include teammate and worthwhile bargain Cam Reddish (whoscored a career-high 28 points last night) and Bruce Brown, who could see bigminutes in his return to the Pistons rotation. If those two don’t do it foryou, there’s always sixth man and volume shooter Buddy Hield (SG/SF/G/F/UTIL),who’s still very cheap but seems to have his upside capped under 40 DK points.

Pivots: Cam Reddish or Bruce Brown/Buddy Hield

**UPDATE: Less interested if Trae Young plays, and with Steph Curry out, we need to take a closer look at Andrew Wiggins (SG/SF/G/F/UTIL), Eric Paschall (SF/PF/F/UTIL) and Damion Lee (SG/G/UTIL).

NBA DFS 3/7 — PF

Tobias Harris, PHI (@ GSW) – DK $8,300

I’ve supplied you with a slewof value options for today, so we can spend up at PF for Harris, who’s been themain beneficiary from not having Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons on the floor. He’sgot 7x upside tonight against the Warriors and should have no problem makingvalue in a favorable matchup. John Collins (who got off to a slow start lastnight but finished with 47.5 DK points) and Christian Wood (at least 35 DKpoints in nine of his last ten games) are both attractive options who can getus 40-50 DK points without much effort, but I think Harris has the most upside.

Pivots: John Collins/Christian Wood

NBA DFS 3/7 — C

Nikola Jokic, DEN (@ CLE) – DK $9,400

It really doesn’t matter if Cleveland has Andre Drummond back for this one or not, because Jokic should dominate this one from the jump. You can spend slightly down to Hassan Whiteside (second night of a back-to-back) or save even more with Jonas Valanciunas in a favorable matchup with the Hawks, but “Joker” is one of a select few players on the main slate with 70-point upside.

Pivots: Hassan Whiteside/JonasValanciunas

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In this column, I’ll highlight five NBA DFS 3/5 difference-making playsin GPPs, from studs with a huge upside to value plays who could hit 8x-10x.

These are risky plays who won’t always make the most sense forcash game builds, so buyer beware!

Tired of losing money on your NBA DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner whileturning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!

NBA DFS 3/5 — PG

Jamal Murray, DEN (@ CHA) – DK $6,800

Murray doesn’t have the best matchup on paper, but he’s got50-point upside at a price point where he’s affordable, so I’ll be building abunch of lineups with him as my PG. You can pivot to Shake Milton if you’refading the DEN-CHA game, and if you’re going to stack the LAC-HOU game, you canpunt PG with Patrick Beverley, who’s been struggling lately with theaftereffects of a groin injury that forced him to miss a handful of games inFebruary.  They’ll need him against the elitebackcourt of the Rockets on Thursday night. There’s plenty of question markssurrounding the PG position today, but Murray has a decent floor and Beverley shouldsee about 20-25 minutes (or more) tonight, and he’s dirt cheap on DK.

Pivot/Punt: Shake Milton/PatrickBeverley

NBA DFS 3/5 — SG

James Harden, HOU (vs. LAC) – DK $10,700

Harden ismatchup-proof and offers the highest ceiling of any player in the slate, so I’mlocking him in tonight. It’s been a while since he’s had an elite scoring nightand this is the highest game total of the night, so I can’t find a reason to fadehim. Lou Williams (PG/SG/G/UTIL) makes for a fine stacking option and could beforced into bigger minutes than his usual 25 or so.

Stack: Lou Williams

NBA DFS 3/5 — SF

Kawhi Leonard, LAC (@ HOU) – DK $9,300

I’ll have some shares of Paul George and Tobias Harris as well, but Kawhi should play four quarters tonight and log heavy minutes in this Western Conference battle. He’ll probably draw Robert Covington’s defense, but he really doesn’t need to score 30+ to post an elite fantasy total, as he’ll pick up plenty of rebounds/steals/assists and both teams can play small until the cows come home. The Raptors have a slew of injuries, but Norman Powell makes for a viable punt if he’s in the starting five and getting 35-40 minutes against a hapless Warriors squad.

Pivots: Paul George or Tobias Harris/Norman Powell

NBA DFS 3/5 — PF

Mike Scott, PHI (@ SAC) – DK $3,800

Scott has 8x to 10x upside whenhe sees 30+ minutes, so if he’s starting tonight against the Kings he’s worthdeploying as a high-ceiling punt. The Philly frontcourt is beyond depleted andwe’ve seen the big guy come up big in the past when given the opportunity. Oneof the Philly bigs (be it Al Horford or SF/PF Glenn Robinson) is going to havea huge game tonight, and Scott carries a lower risk than normal if he’s astarter. Daniel House is never any fun to play in DFS, but he’s a pivot option atthis price point.

Pivots: Al Horford or GlennRobinson/Daniel House

NBA DFS 3/5 — C

Nikola Jokic, DEN (@ CHA) – DK $9,500

He might be tough to fit with some of the other studs in this list, but if you’ve got room, Jokic is the only center offering a 60-point upside. Even if he plays just 25-30 minutes, he’s got a 50-point upside in this matchup. In GPPs, there’s a path or rostering Harden, Kawhi, and Jokic if you can find a few darlings in the $3-4K range, and there’s plenty of candidates. If you’d rather not spend up and you’ve got the stones, you can play P.J. Washington in a tough matchup.

Pivot: P.J. Washington

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In this column, I’ll highlight five NBA DFS 2/12 difference-makingplays in GPPs, from studs with a huge upside to value plays who could hit8x-10x.

These are risky plays who won’t always make the most sense forcash game builds, so buyer beware!

Tired of losing money on your NBA DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner whileturning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!

NBA DFS 2/12 — PG

Damian Lillard, POR (@ MEM) – DK $10,200

Lillard saw just 29 minutes of action last night, about 10 minutes fewer than his usual 38-40 – the result of a Pelicans blowout win that the Blazers gave up on pretty early in the fourth quarter. Tonight, they face the Grizzlies, who are three games ahead of them in 8th place, and I doubt he goes less than 35 if the Blazers are trying to win this game — which they should be. It’s a Memphis team that yields its most points to combo and scoring guards/wings, so we can look at Lillard in a huge bounce-back spot for GPPs. Stacking him up with Ja Morant is totally viable, as this could turn into a real battle. Trae Young facing the lowly Cavs makes for a good pivot.

Pivot/Stack: Trae Young/Ja Morant

NBA DFS 2/12 — SG

Malik Monk, CHA (@ MIN) – DK $4,700

I’d like to roster a stud at every position, but we’re going to need some value if we’re going to fit in all these upside-laden plays – and Malik Monk (a bench player who routinely sees anywhere between 25 and 35 minutes of court time) makes for a solid GPP gamble at SG. He’s got a 10x ceiling when he’s at the high end of those minutes. If you’re hell-bent on more upside you can spend up to Spencer Dinwiddie or a recently cool Devin Booker, and/or stack with another value play in the same game by selecting another Malik: Malik Beasley – who’s getting plenty of run as a starter with the T-Wolves.

Pivot/Stack: Spencer Dinwiddie/MalikBeasley

NBA DFS 2/12 — SF

Terrence Ross, ORL (vs. DET) – DK $5,100

I’m probably steering clear of the Lakers-Nuggets game tonight, and while LeBron is the obvious spend, exploring value at SF leads me directly to Ross. He plays around 30 minutes every game, has 8x upside and gets a pace-up spot versus a Detroit team that’s lost three straight. If you’d rather play SF Khris Middleton (minus Giannis but at an elevated price of $8,800), that’s well within your rights, but I expect the Pacers will do what they can to stop him tonight and make Brook Lopez and the guards beat them. Aaron Gordon makes sense on DK because he’s also SF-eligible, but his price is up $500 from his 45 DK point effort against the Hawks. I love Knicks SF Reggie Bullock ($4,200) as a value pivot as well, and if you really want to get sneaky, Bucks SG/SF Pat Connaughton ($3,800) saw 26 minutes last game and put up 21.25 DK points.

Pivot/Punt: Reggie Bullock/Pat Connaughton

NBA DFS 2/12 — PF

David Bertans, WAS (@ NY) – DK $5,800

The Wizards said they’d be keeping an eye on the minutes of Moritz Wagner and Rui Hachimura, but the rookie PF/C ended up seeing 32 minutes and posted some of his best all-around numbers as a pro from both ends of the floor. We could see his minutes dip in the second half of a back-to-back, which opens up more opportunities for Bertans, who has plenty of scoring upside on DK and can get hot from three-point range. The Knicks have trouble with versatile forwards like Bertans, as their best players are guards and bigs. We can pair him with Julius Randle and plenty of other players from both sides in game stacks, or pivot to SAC PF Nemanja Bjelica, who’s been logging big minutes in the Kings depleted frontcourt. GPP darling Jaren Jackson Jr. (JJJ) caught my eye as well, but he’s $6,400 and frequently deals with foul trouble. We can go there in POR-MEM game stacks, though.

 Value Pivot/Stack: Nemanja Bjelica or JJJ/JuliusRandle

NBA DFS 2/12 — C

Karl-Anthony Towns, MIN (vs. CHA) – DK $10,500

If we spent all our money on the guards, we’ll need to roster a punt play like John Henson or a value guy like Dwayne Dedmon – who’s going to fare well back in Atlanta given their need for bigs and his promising (second?) debut for the Hawks (31.75 DK points in 28 minutes). KAT offers 7x and 25-15 upside in this matchup, so we’ll need to mix a few lineups in focusing on the big man in Minnesota. Nikola Jokic is a classic GPP play in a tough matchup but the Lakers will be hell-bent on stopping him with their defensive-minded frontcourt. There’s fearless, and there’s silly. I’d rather tackle the chance that Andre Drummond sees north of 30 minutes, which is all he needs to notch a 20-20 game.

Pivot/Value: Andre Drummond/DwayneDedmon

 

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In this column, I’ll highlight five NBA DFS 2/8 difference-making playsin GPPs, from studs with a huge upside to value plays who could hit 8x-10x.

These are risky plays who won’t always make the most sense forcash game builds, so buyer beware!

Tired of losing money on your NBA DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner whileturning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!

NBA DFS 2/8 — PG

P.J. Dozier, DEN (@ PHO) – DK $3,500

The Nuggets might be running a seven-man rotation tonight inPhoenix, and I love the point guards in this matchup. If we get word that Dozierwill see an expanded role, he could make for a fine value play. Even Jamal Murrayis an affordable $6,100, and you can easily stack up the two most active guardswith Murray and Devin Booker. If you’re stacking other games and need a valuepiece, Dozier could be your guy – and we’ll need somebody cheap to fit in allthe high-priced plays we need to prioritize tonight.

Pivot/Stack: Jamal Murray/Devin Booker

NBA DFS 2/8 — SG

Spencer Dinwiddie, BKN (@ TOR) – DK $7,800

With KyrieIrving out, we’re going to see increased usage from Dinwiddie, Caris Levert andothers for the Brooklyn Nets. I’m team Dinwiddie for this matchup against theRaptors, especially if Kyle Lowry sits this one out. I could see a Dinwiddie/FredVan Vleet stack working well, but if you’re not into those guys and would ratherlock in a sure-fire 40 DK points, then DeMar DeRozan is a good selection.

Pivot/Stack: DeMar DeRozan/Fred VanVleet

NBA DFS 2/8 — SF

LeBron James, LAL (@ GSW) – DK $10,900

I could see LeBron gong fora monster game against the Warriors tonight, who recently acquired Andrew Wigginsin exchange for DeAngelo Russell. Wiggins is still questionable because heneeds to pass a physical, so we could stack him up with the overachieving EricPaschall, who could get even more minutes if Draymond Green sits. It would begreat if Golden State could keep this within reach so the starters play thefourth quarter, but with most of the production going through LBJ, it might notmatter. If you’re fading this game, I’m still intrigued by Paul George’s priceand upside.

Pivot/Stack: Paul George/Eric Paschall

NBA DFS 2/8 — PF

Kristaps Porzingis, DAL (@ CHA) – DK $8,700

The price on Porzingis is still affordable on DK (he’s an oppressive $9,600 on FD), and he’s coming off a game where he had a reduced role because of the broken nose (no mask!) and he could see lower ownership because of the recency bias. Don’t all for it, fearless DFSers! Porzingis has 60+ DK upside tonight and should be a dominant force on the boards, in the blocks and on the scoreboard. Christian Wood is now $6,700, but he still has plenty of value in a plus matchup vs. the Knicks, while DAL-CHA game stack option P.J. Washington could see an expanded role (30+ minutes) after a few days rest following 24 minutes vs. the Rockets on Tuesday.

UPDATE: Porzingis is out, so there’s a lot of value in the Dallas starting five, especially Jalen Brunson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Tim Hardaway and Maxi Kleber.

Value Pivot/Stack: Christian Wood/P.J. Washington

NBA DFS 2/8 — C

DeAndre Ayton, PHO (vs. DEN) – DK $9,100

Game log watchers are going to steer clear of Ayton, but the truth is that the Suns didn’t really need that much from him as they blew out the Rockets. Like Porzingis, we could benefit from lower ownership because of the recent flop. Ayton is just too talented not to deploy against a Nuggets team that gets most of its production from the center position. Stacking opposing centers isn’t always a great idea, but this might be a chance to do it, as Jokic could have another triple-double tonight and post the highest DK score on the slate. Julius Randle is a viable pivot option for the fearless.

Pivot/Stack: Julius Randle/Nikola Jokic

 

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Only four games on the 2/4 NBA DFS slate, but the Game Previews will be here to break each one down.Tired of losing money on your NBA DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner while turning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!Tuesday NBA DFS ScheduleMilwaukee at New Orleans, 7:30 PM EasternBucks at a Glance: 1st in scoring (120), 9th in scoring defense (107.6), 2nd in offensive rating (114.1), 1st in defensive rating (102.3), 1st in pace (104.9).Stud: PF Giannis Antetokunmpo ($11,4000/DK). Dud: PF/C Ersan Ilyasova ($3900/DK). Sleeper: PG Eric Bledsoe ($6600/DK).Pelicans at a Glance: 6th in scoring (115.1), 28th in scoring defense (117.1), 16th in offensive rating (110.4), 23rd in defensive rating (112.3), 4th in pace (103.2).Stud: PF/C Zion Williamson ($7100/DK). Dud: C Derrick Favors ($4900/DK). Sleeper: PG Lonzo Ball ($6700/DK).Charlotte at Houston, 8:00 PM EasternHornets at a Glance: 30th in scoring (102.9), 28th in scoring defense (117....

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The NBA DFS Sunday Night Positional Breakdown has four games to work with, so if your Fantasy football luck fell through, then this slate offers the chance to close out the weekend with a shot at the long green.IMPORTANT: NBA DFS is completely different than any other sport. Players get ruled out five minutes before games and you HAVE TO BE READY to pivot. I will update this article as close to lineup lock as possible with any big news, but play it safe and stay on top of the news yourself.I refer to FanDuel pricing today.12/15 NBA DFS Point GuardBen Simmons ($8600) Hit 50-plus FDP for the second time this month on Friday, scoring 58.4 against the defensive-challenged Pelicans. The Nets are 25th in Fantasy points allowed to opposing point guards, setting Simmons up for another monster outing.Trae Young ($9600) Scored 43.1 FDP in his first meeting against the Lakers on November 17. High usage rate should at least keep Young near his 44.57 FDP average.Spencer Dinwiddi...

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There are only four games tonight, but the 12/10 NBA DFS Game Previews and Prop Plays will treat it as a 15-game affair.Tired of losing money on your NBA DFS and Sportsbook? Sign up today and become a winner while turning your passion for sports into a second stream of income!Washington at Charlotte, 7:00 PM EasternWizards at a Glance: 3rd in scoring (118.2), 30th in scoring (122.5), 4th in offensive rating (113), 30th in defensive rating (117.1), 3rd in pace (104.6).DFS Stud: SG Bradley Beal ($9300/DK). Dud: SF/PF Davis Bertans ($6300/DK). Sleeper: PF/C Moritz Wagner ($6000/DK).Hornets at a Glance: 25th in scoring (105.4), 20th in scoring (113.1), 22nd in offensive rating (106.7), 29th in defensive rating (114.4), 26th in pace (98.5).DFS Stud: PG/SG Terry Rozier ($7100/DK). Dud: PF/C PJ Washington ($5900/DK). Sleeper: C Cody Zeller ($4600/DK).Denver at Philadelphia, 8:00 PM EasternNuggets at a Glance: 22nd in scoring (106.5), 1st in scoring defense (101.9), 21st in offe...

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