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NHL Playoff Preview (First Round)

Welcome to Keith's NHL Playoff Preview (First Round). A little different than my daily game pick articles. The NHL Playoffs are finally here! After a grueling 56-game season we are down to 16 teams. With the nuances of scheduling this year, each team will have a mini bracket within their division and then each team who makes it out of their division will be re-seeded for the Final 4. Not too many surprises with who made the playoffs. Here are the 16 teams who will be playing in the First Round:

We have some great First Round matchups. I will preview each series, post each series price and give my predictions. I will also keep a tracker for my entire slate of playoff bets, as I have some futures on who makes it out of their division, as well as who wins Lord Stanley. I will provide that info at the end as well as some general thoughts for betting the NHL Playoffs. Without further ado, let's dive into the series.

East Division

#1 Pittsbu...

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NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 5/12

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 5/12. This will be the last regular season article as we shift gears towards the playoffs. There will be a Playoff Preview article coming out on Friday before the first series begins Saturday. The Model went 1-1 last night with craziness happening in that Caps/Bruins game. In the morning I took the over 5.5 because that seemed like good value. Then this news came out:

So I quickly went to hammer the Caps because the ML at the time was -130. I instantly hated the over and hedged it out with the under. The Caps ML climbed all the way up to -210 giving me over a 10% CLV. And then the game took place and there was absolutely nothing going on. The B's scored first and the Caps tied it. Then with a second left the Caps finished the game off and barely won 2-1. Quite the roller coaster of emotions. On to today, I doubt anything can top that.

We have 5 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a loo...

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NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 5/11

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 5/11. The Model had 2 losers last night. The Canadiens lost in OT as McDavid notched his 102nd (!!!) point of the season, just an absolutely unreal season for the best player in the game. The Bruins had a couple 1 goal leads but needed OT to defeat the Isles and didn't cover that 1.5. Taylor Hall though, what a Trade Deadline acquisition for Don Sweeney and the Bruins. They have officially locked in their first round matchup with the team they finish the regular season tonight in Washington. The regular season is wrapping up just 1 more day after today (not including a few meaningless games in the Canadian division).

We have 2 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

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Dashboard Edges

Capitals Money Line (-112) over the Bruins

Jets Puck Line (-1.5, +140) ov...

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NHL Betting Picks Monday 5/10

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Monday 5/10. The Model took a day off with only 2 games on deck yesterday. We are embarking on the end of the season so it is important to study and understand what each team has left to play for and which players are resting for playoffs/next season. The lines should have that baked in but you should also be aware before betting on teams that normally you would think is good value but might have reason why that wouldn't be good value.

We have 9 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

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Dashboard Edges

Panthers Money Line (-115) over the Lightning

Islanders/Bruins Under (5.5, -143)

Oilers Money Line (-110) and Puck Line (+1.5, -286) over the Canadiens

Flyers/Devils Over (6.5, -105)

Hurricanes/Predators Under (5.5, -117)

Blackhawks Money Line (+120) over...

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NHL Betting Picks Saturday 5/8

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Saturday 5/8. The Model was quiet last night going 0-1-1. Minnesota did not play a great game and were lucky to sneak an OT win against Anaheim, but that still didn't help our -1.5 play. The Caps/Flyers looked to be in cruise control on that over with 5 goals through 2 periods. But a flat 3rd period and only 1 empty net goal led to a push on that over, glad we didn't bite on the 6.5. The last big slate of the year and last Saturday of the season, let's make it count.

We have 14 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Penguins Money Line (-420) and Puck Line (-1.5, -162) over the Sabres

Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -103) over the Bruins

Senators Puck Line (+1.5, -140) over the Jets

Panthers Money Line (-104) over the Lightning

Maple Leafs Mon...

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NHL Betting Picks Friday 5/7

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Friday 5/7. Back-to-back great nights for The Model, going 3-1 last night. The Bruins -1.5 and the Blackhawks +1.5 both at plus money hit with ease, with the Blackhawks winning outright in OT and the Bruins cruising 4-0 over the Rangers. The late add of the Habs/Leafs over was an easy hit too as there were 4 goals in the first and a 5-2 win for the Leafs cashed that. The only L was the Oilers team total over 3.5 as they lost 6-3 to the Canucks. I debated taking the game over and ultimately rode with the Oilers team over. What a schmuck I am. Still up 3u on the day so we will take that. On to Friday

We have 7 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Lightning Money Line (-155) over the Stars

Red Wings Money Line (+132) and Puck Line (+1.5, -210) over...

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NHL Betting Picks Thursday 5/6

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Thursday 5/6. The Model bounced back going 2-0 last night. The Golden Knights needed OT to finish the Wild with a nice Pietrangelo finisher. The Jets absolutely dominated the Flames winning 4-0, a nice momentum building win leading to playoffs. With the Habs losing to the Sens it is also setting up a Leafs-Habs first round matchup, which is what everyone wants. Also, that Rangers/Caps game was electric. 3 fights off the opening faceoff, 6 fights in the first period, Wilson with an 'upper-body' injury in the 2nd, Buchnevich cross-checking Mantha in the face. I mean look at the Caps box after the 6th fight.

This game had quite the playoff/revenge vibe and I loved every second of it. Playoffs are right around the corner let's finish off this regular season strong.

We have 6 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

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NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 5/5

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 5/5. Happy Cinco de Mayo to everyone! The Model had only 1 play last night and it did not hit. The Islanders lost back-to-back games against the Buffalo Sabres. That is shocking to say the least. It also didn't help that the Isles best player Mat Barzal was ruled out about 20 minutes before the game. Like I said be wary of this last week of the season. The dogs might be barking tonight.

We have 9 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Senators Money Line (+133) over the Canadiens

Senators/Canadiens Under (5.5, +102)

Predators Money Line (-180) and Puck Line (-1.5, 148) over the Blue Jackets

Capitals Money Line (-139) over the Rangers

Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -220) over the Capitals

Lightning Money Line (-152) over the Star...

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NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 5/4

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 5/4. The Model had a rough go of it last night going 1-3. We are officially at that time of the year when it is nearly impossible to evaluate teams with about a week and a half left until playoffs. Some teams have thrown in the towel, some teams are resting players for playoffs, and other teams are still grinding trying to earn a spot for next season. I think the strategy is to temper expectations and not go crazy until playoffs. With that being said there will still be 1-2 picks per day, but nothing I would throw the hammer on unless otherwise stated.

We have 5 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Penguins Money Line (-175) over the Flyers

Flyers/Penguins Over (6.5, -103)

Bruins Money Line (-240) over the Devils

Islanders Money L...

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NHL Betting Picks Monday 5/3

Welcome to Keith's NHL Betting Picks Monday 5/3. The Model took a break yesterday as there was only 1 game played with the Lightning beating the Red Wings 2-1. No value considering the Lightning were around a -300 favorite after losing to the Red Wings on Friday. The good news in the NHL blessed us with a monster Monday slate of games.

We have 14 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let's take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Capitals Money Line (-115) over the Rangers

Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -250) over the Capitals

Maple Leafs Money Line (-159) over the Canadiens

Predators Money Line (-182) over the Blue Jackets

Hurricanes Money Line (-240) over the Blackhawks

Penguins Money Line (-175) over the Flyers

Islanders Puck Line (-1.5, +106) and Money Line (-245) over the Sabres

Bruins Money Line (-240) over the...

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