NFLSports BettingPremium NFL Prop Bets Week 16 Adam Strangis 3 years ago written by Adam Strangis NFL Prop Bets Week 16 It wasn't the best week we've ever had, but if a down week is just 4-6, life could be worse. All it really means is this week has to be better, and we have some really good options. We'll once again split things into Saturday and Sunday bets so let's get rolling in NFL Prop Bets Week 16 to better the 64-39 record. Saturday Slate Prop One - Marvin Jones O 4.5 receptions Over the past four weeks, the targets have been insane for Jones. He's owned a 28% share and the only time he hasn't hit this prop was when he faced off against Jaire Alexander of the Packers. The Buccaneers don't boast a corner of that caliber and project to trail through the game. If Jones continues to get 8-12 targets a game, he should clear this number relatively easily. Prop Two - DeAndre Hopkins O 6.5 Receptions The past two three weeks have been good to Hopkins, with no fewer than 11 targets in every single game. He's top five in raw targets on the season and Ho... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLSports BettingPremium NFL Prop Bets Week 15 Adam Strangis 3 years ago written by Adam Strangis NFL Prop Bets Week 15 It was a solid week overall, even though the article last week was hit and miss. We went 2-2 on the main bets, 4-0 on Monday Night Football then another 2-2 on Thursday night (curse you Austin Ekeler). That brings us to 60-33 on the season, which I'm still quite happy with. What I'm not happy with is Pizza Money Bets. The record is not good enough to continue giving picks, so that section will be scrapped for now. I'll still have some plays in Discord though so keep your eyes open. For now, let's dive in and try to continue making money at the sports book for NFL Prop Bets Week 15! Saturday Slate Special Prop One K.J. Hamler Over 35.5 Receiving Yards Saturday is a bit of a weird slate and I wouldn't spend a lot of bankroll on any bets here. A lot of the stars are juiced to numbers that are a little uncomfortable for very little return. For instance, Stefon Diggs is at 6.5 receptions and the over is -175. I'll dial back the bankroll and try to... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLSports Betting NFL Prop Bets Week 13 Adam Strangis 3 years ago written by Adam Strangis NFL Prop Bets Week 13 It was another excellent article last week, with a 4-1 record on the main bets! After a tilt-fest filled Wednesday afternoon game (Diontae Johnson…WHY???), we’re sitting at 37-22 overall for main bets. The Pizza Money Bets are 1-4 and we need more pizza in our lives. That’s part of the goal this week and we have a fun slate in front of us so let’s get to work on NFL Prop Bets Week 13! Be sure when placing your bets to use the WinDaily link to DraftKings Sportsbook and all bets are placed using their odds! Take advantage of the deposit bonus where you get a 20% match up to $500! Prop One Davante Adams O 6.5 Receptions I love the Green Bay passing attack this week and we’re kicking things off right. Adams has a target share well over 30% and he’s hit this mark in every healthy game but two so far. The Eagles best corner Darius Slay is questionable. Even if he plays, the odds would say he’s not 100%. I certainly don’t fear him anyways and after seeing DK Metcalf succeed Monday night, Adams over seven receptions is an easy call to want to play. Prop Two Michael Thomas O 4.5 Receptions I have plenty so say about Taysom Hill as a quarterback, but Thomas catching five balls seems close to automatic. He saw 12 targets last game against the Falcons and six last week with Hill throwing 16 times. Of the 42 times Hill has attempted a throw, he’s sent 16 to Thomas. That’s a massive share and the Saints are making it a focus to feed Thomas in the passing game. Anything over five I’d be concerned about but MT has four and nine receptions with Hill. Prop Three DK Metcalf O 77.5 Receiving Yards Anytime I can get the NFL’s leading receiver under 80 yards in a game, I’m going for it. Metcalf has only been under this mark three times this season. One of them, he had two 40-yard receptions nullified by penalty. In another, he had a long touchdown called back that would’ve put him over. The only player who has kept him away from this mark has been Rams corner Jalen Ramsey. Giants corner James Bradberry isn’t Ramsey. Bradberry also has said that if you take away Metcalf’s deep routes, you can contain him. Listening to James Bradberry casually explain how to stop DK Metcalf made me think of an NBA player saying the key to stopping Stephen Curry is just eliminating 3-pointers. Big challenge ahead for Bradberry, but he's confident: https://t.co/M5Zm4KGPqD pic.twitter.com/VMXqH6vszD— Dan Duggan (@DDuggan21) December 4, 2020 Good luck on Sunday, James! Prop Four David Montgomery O 61.5 Rushing Yards With Monty getting all he work he can handle, I love this prop. The loss of Tarik Cohen has been a boost to the fantasy value and he can take advantage of great matchups. Just ask the Packers. Detroit has consistently been one of the worst runs defenses in the league all season long and Monty should be in line for 12-18 rush attempts at least. The game script shouldn’t get away from them like Sunday night. Pizza Money Bet of the Week Aaron Rodgers O 2.5 Touchdown Passes I said I loved the Packers passing game and I wasn’t lying. We can get the NFL leader in touchdown passes so far at +190 to throw three scored? A feat that he’s accomplished eight of 11 games? Wheels up. Record – 37-22 Pizza Money Record – 1-4 Thank you for reading NFL Prop Bets Week 13! Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLSports BettingPremium NFL Prop Bets Week 12 Adam Strangis 3 years ago written by Adam Strangis NFL Prop Bets Week 12 We have been cooking with fire in this article lately, going 4-0 again last week on the main bets. Thanksgiving was good to us as well, with a 3-0 main bets record and 1-1 on Pizza Money Bets! That brings to cumulative record to 28-19 which is not too shabby. We'll be looking to get over that 60% mark this week but it's also a good time for a reminder. The last three Prop articles have gone a cumulative 11-0. That's awesome, but not normal. Keep managing that bankroll in a smart and responsible way as we build it up further with NFL Prop Bets Week 12! Be sure when placing your bets to use the WinDaily link to DraftKings Sportsbook and all bets are placed using their odds! Take advantage of the deposit bonus where you get a 20% match up to $500! Prop One Jarvis Landry O 3.5 Receptions I mentioned last week that I like to use one prop as a type of "safety net" and Landry really jumps out at me. It might not seem like a safe play with... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLSports BettingPremium NFL Prop Bets Week 10 DFSGhost 3 years ago written by DFSGhost NFL Prop Bets Week 10 The past week has been mostly good to us. The overall record sits at 12-8 and the Sunday Night Massacre of the Buccaneers game still stings. We went 0-4 that night but have been mostly on fire with all other bets, shooting 60% so far. We're looking to continue the good mojo and keep winning in NFL Prop Bets Week 10, and we have a loaded slate of games to choose from! Be sure when placing your bets to use the WinDaily link to DraftKings Sportsbook and all bets are placed using their odds! Take advantage of the deposit bonus where you get a 20% match up to $500! Prop One Davante Adams O 6.5 Receptions My only real concern at this point is the game gets out of hand too quickly, but even with that issue this seems like too easy of a bet. Adams is among the best receivers in football and sports a massive 34% target share. He's hit this mark in every healthy game except one. His prop was actually higher last week before he caught 10 passes. The J... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLPremium NFL Prop Bets Week 9 Adam Strangis 3 years ago written by Adam Strangis NFL Prop Bets Week 9 One of the only things to make Sunday better is being at sports books with player props. We started with a pretty solid week since Monday, going 5-1 on the six bets posted in the Discord. I'll have a group of 3-5 player props a week moving forward, and we're ready to get started for NFL Prop Bets Week 9! Prop One Stefon Diggs Over 5.5 receptions Not every bet is going to be some massive money maker, and the odds certainly aren't the juiciest ever. Still, there's nothing wrong with taking what looks to be a sure bet and maybe throw this into a parlay or two. The Seattle/Buffalo game is the highest O/U on the main slate this Sunday and Diggs is going to get plenty of opportunity. He gets an even bigger bump with Seattle cornerback Quinton Dunbar ruled out and has only missed this mark once all year. Diggs also boasts a 28.9% target share, seventh-highest in football. Prop Two Diontae Johnson Over 3.5 receptions If you've been hangin... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLPremium NFL Prop Bets: Stix Picks’ Week 7 AETY Model Prop Locks StixPicks 3 years ago written by StixPicks Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … It’s time to let her shine for Week 7. What a time to be alive. Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. This model is meant for taking advantage of sports betting market errors. If you don’t get a similar price to what we post here, it’s recommended that you do not play those NFL Prop Bets. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).Team/PlayerSportsBookLineUnit RiskTampa Bay -4DraftKings-1100.7DAL/WAS O45DraftKings-1091.5Marques Valdez-Scantling O42.5 YdsFanDuel-1101.2Marvin Jones O44.5 Rec Yds Rec ydsFD-1101Jerick Mckinnon O52.5 Rush YdsFD-1100.75James Connor O63.5 Rush YdsDK-1340.8Mik... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLSports Betting NFL Prop Bets: Stix Picks’ TNF AETY Model Prop Locks (Week 7) StixPicks 3 years ago written by StixPicks Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … It’s time to let her shine for Week 7, Thursday Night Football. Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. This model is meant for taking advantage of sports betting market errors. If you don’t get a similar price to what we post here, it’s recommended that you do not play those NFL Prop Bets. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).Team/PlayerSportsBookLineUnit RiskNYG +4.5TBD-1050.3Darius Slayton O52.5 Rec YdsFanDuel-1100.4Greg Ward O32.5 Rec YdsFanDuel-1100.8DeSean Jackson O34.5 Rec ydsDraftKings-1340.5Greg Ward O3.5 RecDraftKings-1121.1Also, keep an eye on the WinDailySports NFL tab on the website. I’m extremely excited to announce the BRAND NEW Adjusted Expected Team Totals tool that is going to be an extreme asset to our daily fantasy and sports betting toolset.People always value Implied Team Totals from Vegas that factor in field goals and minimal things that do not impact daily fantasy… the new Adjusted Expected Team Totals are STRICTLY for skill position touchdown weights. You can’t roster kickers on your main slate lineups, so why would you care about numbers that factor in kickers? You shouldn’t. LFG!Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as this football season moves onward. 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLSports BettingPremium NFL Prop Bets: Stix Picks’ Week 6 AETY Model Prop Locks StixPicks 3 years ago written by StixPicks Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … It’s time to let her shine for Week 6. What a time to be alive. Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. This model is meant for taking advantage of sports betting market errors. If you don’t get a similar price to what we post here, it’s recommended that you do not play those NFL Prop Bets. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).Team/PlayerSportsBookLineUnit RiskN'Keal Harry O37.5 Rec YdsFanDuel-1101Devonta Freeman U60.5 Rush ydsPointsBet-1151.1Preston Williams O38.5 Rec ydsFanDuel-1151.6David Montgomery O60.5 Rush ydsPointsBet-1151Marquez Valdes-Scantling O41.5 Rec YdsFanDuel-1101.1... 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLSports Betting NFL Prop Bets: Stix Picks’ TNF AETY Model Prop Locks StixPicks 3 years ago written by StixPicks Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … It’s time to let her shine for Tuesday… yes, Tuesday Night Football! Hopefully you all enjoyed the clean sweep of Prop Bets last night! What a time to be alive. Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. This model is meant for taking advantage of sports betting market errors. If you don’t get a similar price to what we post here, it’s recommended that you do not play those NFL Prop Bets. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).Team/PlayerSportsBookLineUnit RiskDevin Singletary O19.5 Rec YdsDraftKings-1120.7Kalif Raymond O37.5 Rec YdsFanDuel-1100.4Kalif Raymond O2.5 RecFanDuel-1021.2Also, keep an eye on the WinDailySports NFL tab on the website this week. I’m extremely excited to announce the BRAND NEW Adjusted Expected Team Totals tool that is going to be an extreme asset to our daily fantasy and sports betting toolset. People always value Implied Team Totals from Vegas that factor in field goals and minimal things that do not impact daily fantasy… the new Adjusted Expected Team Totals are STRICTLY for skill position touchdown weights. You can’t roster kickers on your main slate lineups, so why would you care about numbers that factor in kickers? You shouldn’t. LFG!Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as this football season moves onward. 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
