MLB MLB DFS Starting Rotation 10.1 Adam Strangis 2 years ago written by Adam Strangis MLB DFS Starting Rotation 10.1 We are almost to the end of the regular season and we do get a full slate tonight although most teams have packed it in for the season. With that said, the list of starters will continue to be relatively short as we can focus on exactly who is important and who isn’t in the MLB DFS Starting Rotation 10.1! MLB DFS Starting Rotation 10.1 The bad news is there are not a lot of trustworthy arms tonight. The one that stands out the quickest is Clayton Kershaw. He and the Dodgers are clawing to stay out of the Wild Card spot and in his last start, Kershaw got smacked around. That’s not how he wants to go into the postseason so I fully expect him to throw 75-90 pitches and try to be in his best form. Kershaw is still using the slider as his primary pitch and if he qualified, it would be the highest-rated slider on FanGraphs. It just so happens that Milwaukee is 29th against that pitch and is 0.2 away from being dead last. That is not a good matchup for them tonight and they cannot move their seeding at all. The Brewers have also been seventh in K rate against lefties all year at 24% and Kershaw has a 30.5% K rate against righties with a 2.79 xFIP. He’s slated to face six righties and the pitcher spot and I’m willing to pay the premium. I would expect Kershaw to be chalky and that opens up a very interesting pivot in Sandy Alcantara. You could argue to play both but that is an expensive route to take and even though Miami doesn’t have a thing to play for, Alcantara is still pitching his typical workload. Philly could be eliminated by the time this game takes place but no matter what, Alcantara has been great this season. He’s also been in top form in Miami with a 2.95 xFIP, a 26.6% K rate, a 2.17 ERA, and a .235 wOBA. He has been worse against lefties on the year but a significant chunk of that has come from his road starts. The last start against the Phillies in Philly was rough but the first two generated at least 20 DK and had one over 30. Alcantara features a slider and changeup that both have a wOBA under .280 and a whiff rate over 30%. In that same game, Ranger Suarez should be very, very chalky again as well. DK did finally raise the price to what he deserved to be but he’s coming off a 40 DK point start. That’s not even mentioning the fact that Rich Hill was chalk last night and Suarez has been pitching much better than he has. Suarez is still rocking an elite combo of a 25.1% K rate and a 60.6% ground ball rate and that could not be better for DFS. We’re either getting points for the whiffs or the ball isn’t in the air to do a lot of damage. While his strikeout rate is higher against lefties at 31.4%, it’s still 22.8% against righties and the hard-hit rate is just 29.1%. The sinker and change are his main weapons with over 70 strikeouts and both are under a .260 wOBA. We could game stack this one in GPP. There are a bunch of talented pitchers that generally we like but face very difficult spots and I will not really be interested unless they draw a weird lineup. That list includes Shane McClanahan, Lance Lynn, Sean Manaea, and Nestor Cortes. McClanahan especially could see a shorter start with the Rays locked into the number one seed. I think there are two other potential plays in Marco Gonzales and Jose Suarez, two lefties in the same game. I don’t particularly like the salary for Gonzales but he’s just a hair under averaging 19 DK points in the past 10 games. The crafty veteran lefty draws an Angels lineup that has been in the bottom-eight of all of our offensive categories since the deadline. He is insanely risky at this salary because his xFIP against righties is 5.64 and not typically what we talk about. However, the Angels have been so bad and Gonzales has been so strong that he is worth a look. Suarez is a lot cheaper but there is not a lot of safety here since the Mariners are fighting and Suarez is just not a stable option. The K rate is 20.3% but the swinging-strike rate is 11.2% which is fairly high. Seattle is 17th and 27th against the curveball and changeup, which make up almost 50% of the pitch types for Suarez. Now the lineup is important for him because he is rough against lefties with a .405 wOBA and a 4.98 xFIP, while the Mariners are projected for three. If that’s all, the .269 wOBA against righties and a 1.07 WHIP is much more appealing so we would need to know what he’s looking at. It doesn’t hurt that Seattle is fourth in K rate against lefties, either. MLB DFS Starting Rotation 10.1 Stacks I’m looking to afford the Kershaw/Suarez duo to start but I’m jamming in Blue Jays as well. They will get Thomas Eshelman as a long reliever and through 71 batters faced, he has a .427 wOBA, a 6.30 xFIP, and just a 7% K rate against the right side of the plate. He’s throwing a fastball almost half the time and Marcus Semien, George Springer, and Bo Bichette are in the top five of the team against that pitch. They also sit above a .340 wOBA and a .170 ISO. Springer and Semien are especially appealing with their ISO’s over .290 on the year and we know that if you can’t miss bats against the Jays, you’re not going to have much success. That means we need salary relief and we’re going to get in the Cubs. they’re always a risk because they whiff so much but at the same time, they have some hitters who have played well since the deadline like Frank Schwindel, Rafael Ortega, and Ian Happ. All of these hitters have a wOBA over .335 and Schwindel is at a .415 mark, in addition to all of them being over a .200 ISO. They’re going to start with Daniel Hudson but he likely doesn’t stick around long and then we’re into the bullpen. That trio is plenty cheap for their performance and only Happ has a K rate above 19%. I’ll roll with that to get the pitching I want and at least three Blue Jays bats. White Sox against Wily PeraltaRoyals against John Gant Red Sox against Josh RogersMets lefties against Huascar Ynoa Orioles against Steven Matz Thank you for reading my MLB DFS Starting Rotation 10.1 and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.28 Adam Strangis 2 years ago written by Adam Strangis MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.28 We are finally back in action since we have a good number of teams in action and contests worth playing! It's the last week of the season so we have to preach caution this week. So many teams have nothing to play for and they are wild cards on the slate. We're going to focus more on who has to continue to play hard instead of the tier system in the MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.28 to set our paths to green! MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.28 Starters That Have to Play Here's the good news - We have a lot of options from teams that can make the playoffs and I will not be playing anyone else tonight. The premier series as far as playoff implications have to be the Phillies/Braves series. With one wild card spot locked up from the NL West, the NL East likely only sends one team and the Braves are sporting a 2.5 game lead in the division. Not only is it a massive series, but both teams also send an ace to the mound in Zack Wheeler and&n... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.25 Adam Strangis 2 years ago written by Adam Strangis MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.25 It looks like we have the normal Saturday split slate with nine games in the evening and five in the afternoon, which means plenty of MLB action today! That also means we have a whole lot to get into so let's get moving in the MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.25 to layout our paths to green! MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.25 - Early The early slate is fairly gross for pitching. We have strong pitchers but the matchups really limit what to expect for multiple players, including Framber Valdez, Sean Manaea, Nestor Cortes, and Sandy Alcantara. To be frank, the best path for pitching surely seems to be eating the presumed chalk in Shane McClanahan and Ranger Saurez. Let's kick it off with the young lefty for the Rays, as McClanahan boasts a K rate of 27.9% and a massive swinging-strike rate of 15.1%. That's higher than Gerrit Cole, who sits fifth in baseball for context. The slider and curveball mix for hi... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.24 David Stowe 2 years ago written by David Stowe MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.24 We are back in action for this packed 14 game slate and a huge thank you needs to be extended to Brian for covering an extra day this week. He is the GOAT and I will not be accepting questions at this time. We have some big-name arms on the mound tonight so let's see where we're heading in the MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.24! MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.24 I'm fascinated to see what the field does in this start for Gerrit Cole. He got destroyed in his last start against Cleveland, and heading into Boston doesn't scream "get right". Cole has been difficult to figure out this year. He's of course capable of throwing for 30+ DK points but he's had his fair share of blowups as well. The K rate on the season is over 34% and the swinging-strike rate of 14.8% is fifth in baseball. He is slated to only face three lefties, which on paper limits Cole's ceiling. The K rate is almost 40% against lefties while it's just under 30% against the right s... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.21 Adam Zibuda 2 years ago written by Adam Zibuda MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.21 The Tuesday slate is smaller than normal and our pitcher pool looks like it's going to be very small as well. I'm not sure there is a pitcher under $8,300 that we should be looking at but let's go to work in the MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.21! MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.21 It really looks like Brandon Woodruff is going to be the chalk tonight and that's not exactly a bad thing. The other high-salary options are tough sledding. Kevin Gausman has seen his performance dip, Julio Urias is in Coors Field and possibly on a pitch count, Alek Manoah has been up and down, and Marcus Stroman is expensive for his K rate. Woodruff is drawing arguably the best spot against the Cardinals and even though Woodruff is slightly worse against the right side of the plate, it isn't anything crazy that we need to worry about. The "worst" side equates to a 2.98 xFIP, 28.3% K rate, 45.9% ground ball rate, and just a .2... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.20 Adam Strangis 2 years ago written by Adam Strangis MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.20 We are back for the seven-game slate that Monday brings us and we have some pretty strong options, even if they might be a bit limited. Of the 14 pitchers available, we might have only 4-5 to focus on in the MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.20 so let's get to work! MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.20 Pitching anyone against the Rays as a general rule isn't the best idea, especially when the pitcher is a lefty. Robbie Ray is the exception to that rule and he just hung over 40 DK points against this same offense. It hurts them that Wander Franco is out and the bottom of this lineup offers strikeouts. Six projected starters have a K rate over 25% this season against lefties so even if Rays gives up a run or two, he can make up for it. Ray is also third in the swinging-strike rate at 15.8% and fourth in K rate overall at 33.1%. On this slate, he has the highest ceiling on paper and is a contender for the AL Cy Young (especially after Gerrit Co... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.18 Adam Strangis 2 years ago written by Adam Strangis MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.18 Saturday brings us some split slate action and before we get into that, we have to shout out our man Matt Vecchio. This man is printing money over in NASCAR and is just wildly knowledgeable about the sport. He guided me to a top 30 finish and all I know about NASCAR is the cars go fast, Ricky Bobby-style. Do yourself a favor and get on board! Now we can talk about the six and eight-game slates in the MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.18 and find our paths to green! MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.18 - Afternoon It doesn't matter where he's pitching, Max Scherzer is an elite option. He has somehow found a whole new level as a Dodger. Mad Max can smell a championship and in eight starts, he's struck out at least six hitters and made it through five innings in every single one. The ERA is 0.88 and he has 72 strikeouts over that time. I'm simply not fading that. His seasonal metrics remain elite with a K rate over 35%, a swinging-str... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.17 Richard Masana 2 years ago written by Richard Masana MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.17 We're back in action with a full MLB slate tonight and we have some heavy hitters at the top of the pecking order tonight. The teams they face could pose some issues, but I think there's a player likely to be chalk that I can't really argue. Let's talk about the top tier and figure out who else can roll with them tonight in the MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.17 to lead us to green! MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.17 - Main Targets Ace Tier I'll get this out of the way, this is a slate that we're going to live in the Ace range and have a couple of risky punts and that is it. The mid-range tonight looks pretty terrible tonight and I am not interested really at all. We have some underpriced Aces that we should take advantage of and then take some shots with a punt arm in GPP. It's going to be hard to pass on Chris Sale under five digits against the Orioles. Yes, we've talked all year about the Orioles hitting better... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.15 Adam Strangis 2 years ago written by Adam Strangis MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.15 There is a split slate of MLB action today but seeing how one of these slates features Jon Lester taking on the Mets, we’ll let Brian handle that game. Instead, we’ll focus on the rest of the 10 game slate tonight and the choices that come with that in the MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.15 so let’s get cracking! MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.15 – Main Targets Ace Tier If you’re spending up on this slate, Julio Urias is sure to get the attention as he’s been outstanding in his last 10 games and especially in the last four. Since June, his ERA hasn’t been above 2.30, the wOBA hasn’t been above .263, and the FIP hasn’t been above 3.67. His K rate has really picked up lately as well, sitting over 27% since the start of August which is an increase over his 26.7% for the season. What is really exciting for the upside is he whiffs lefties at a 31% rate and the Arizona lineup currently projects to have two of them, as opposed to all righties. Since the deadline, Arizona has fallen to 18th or worse in OBP, OPS, slugging, ISO, wOBA, and wRC+ and is over 22% in K rate. They are also bottom 10 against the curveball, which has a .177 wOBA, 67 strikeouts, and a 26.5% whiff rate. Even against the Rangers, I’m not paying five digits for Jose Urquidy when he has a K rate barely above 21% and an xFIP of 4.40 and I’m still terrified to touch Sean Manaea. He just walked through the Jays and White Sox while only giving up three total earned runs but had a five-start stretch before that where he didn’t clear eight DK points. Joe Musgrove is a “fine” option I guess but being worse against lefties means the Giants are primed to give him some issues. I think there’s a whole bunch of pitchers priced like Aces but aren’t nearly close enough. The one who does have a clear path to success at his salary is Tylor Megill of the Mets. He’s not without his warts but the Cards being so righty-heavy are going to accentuate his strengths. Lefties have killed him with a .408 wOBA and a 6.31 FIP but there are likely to be just two lefties playing for the Cardinals. Against righties, Megill has been outstanding with a .226 wOBA, a K rate over 30%, and an xFIP of just 2.68. His slider is a big help and he uses it more to the right side with a .248 wOBA, 33.3% whiff rate, and 24 strikeouts. St. Louis is 15th against the slider but way into the negatives on FanGraphs and they are also bottom-five against the fastball. Mid-Range Huascar Ynoa misses out on the Ace tier just barely but he definitely catches my eye. He draws the Rockies Road matchup and Colorado is 20th against the slider, a big bump for Ynoa. We recapped all the numbers in yesterday’s edition but suffice to say, Colorado has been trash on the road. Ynoa does have some reverse splits with a .315 wOBA against righties and is slated to face six of them, but the xFIP against that side is 3.51, only .20 higher than lefties. It’s a little strange to see because his hard-hit rate against righty hitters is 25.5% and the ground ball rate is 53.8%. The HR/FB rate is a sky-high 27.6% so there are reasons the numbers don’t make a lot of sense. With the pitch data backing him up, Ynoa’s slider really looks like a weapon. It’s his primary pitch but has 53 strikeouts, a .240 wOBA, and a 38.2% whiff rate. This is going to be Cal Quantrill’s third time seeing the Twins in six turns, which is a little nerve-racking but the guy has pitched well for the most part. His change and slider have been used a little more lately but it’s not been anything crazy different. Both of those pitches are under a .255 wOBA and have a whiff rate of at least 20.4% (the slider is up at 31.7%) and Quantrill is pretty steady in his splits. My largest hangup is that he only has a 15.4% K rate against righties and should face five of them. The xFIP is also a concern as it is over 4.25 against each side of the plate so there are pans to failure here, but he at least deserves a mention. The only other pitcher I at least have a mild interest in is Ranger Suarez and even then, it’s a dangerous path to walk. The difference between his 1.38 ERA and 3.57 xFIP is noteworthy but he does have a K rate of 25% and the Cubbies are whiffing 29% of the time since the deadline. Now, that doesn’t mean they don’t have some potential on their side because they are also 12th or higher in wOBA, OPS, slugging, and sit sixth in ISO against lefties. The Cubs are 18th against the changeup and that has been a dynamite swing and miss pitch for Suarez, generating a 40.1% whiff rate so far. All of his pitches have a wOBA under .2500 but it’s really just the Cubs not being a pushover like the perception might be. MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.15 Stacks I know they got smacked by *checks notes*….Jordan Lyles last night, but the Astros are crazy cheap tonight against Kohei Arihara. He’s getting destroyed by righties especially with a .426 wOBA, .304 average, 7.56 FIP, and a fly-ball/hard-hit combo over 43.5% each. Both of his main pitches against righties have an ISO over .276 and a hard-hit rate of at least 39%. Arihara doesn’t lean on any particular pitch more than 30% so I’m starting my Astros stack with Alex Bregman, Jose Altuve, and Carlos Correa. They all have a wOBA over .345 and an ISO over .165 this season, with Bregman dragging those numbers down a little bit. He’s been on fire lately though, averaging almost 11 DK points the last 10 games. You can basically copy and paste the analysis from last night to tonight for the Yankees. They face a better lefty in John Means, but he’s had his issues and the Yankees saw all their salaries drop. We can mix and match with our favorite Astros, but Aaron Judge and Luke Voit fit very nicely. Means still throws his fastball a good bit and that’s what we’re chasing since he’s been prone to the long ball more often since dealing with an injury. Working with that outline leaves us with some options at pitcher and we can fill in one or two spots with a punt, just like last night. Braves against Antonio Senzatela Cleveland against Griffin Jax White Sox against Janson Junk A’s against Mike Minor Thank you for reading my MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.15 and make sure you follow me on Twitter at @bucn4life! Be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.14 Adam Strangis 2 years ago written by Adam Strangis MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.14 There are 12 games on the slate tonight with a returning ace and then a lot of very average options. I suspect that the Ace will be very popular but where we go after that could be interesting in the MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.14! MLB DFS Starting Rotation 9.14 - Main Targets Ace Tier Gerrit Cole is reportedly full health coming off a hamstring injury in his last start and I'm going with that and firing him up tonight. The matchup is just too amazing on paper as the Orioles are ninth in K rate against righties overall and that has stayed stagnant through the season. He's had some bumps in the road but he's been mostly dominant through the year and after June, his K rate is has been about 35% or higher. The xFIP has been under 2.85 in every single month outside of that June disaster and the Yankees need every win they can get. Cole has a .237 wOBA, 2.47 FIP, and a 30.5% K rate against the right side of the plate and he should face ... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
