MLB MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Mar. 30) Joel Bartilotta 6 months ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the first edition of Aces and Bases for the 2023 season, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. We did it, my friends. We made it through the winter and the MLB season is finally upon us. If you haven’t noticed yet, the game is very different this season. With the newly implemented pitch clock, the game is faster. We’ll definitely see some different things happening earlier in the season until all the players are fully used to playing quicker. That said, it’s still baseball and it’s going to be fun to watch. We have a great 11-game slate today of MLB DFS today. With it being opening day, we have some studs on the mount so we’ll have a lot of low-scoring games. We also have some really bad pitchers throwing, so there should still be some offense. Let’s dig and make some money! MLB DFS Aces – Main Max Scherzer vs. Miami Marlins Max Scherzer is coming off what was mostly a successful 2022 campaign in his first season with the Mets. While he did spend some time on the IL last season, when he was healthy, he was the Scherzer we have come to love. His K/9 were in line with his career numbers and he still managed to get double-digit victories, a rarity these days with pitchers not going too long in games. Scherzer gets arguably one of the easier matchups today as he’ll face off against the Miami Marlins. While their lineup is a little improved over last season with the addition of Luis Arraez, they are still a bad lineup. The projected lineup for the Marlins today had just a .110 ISO and a .285 wOBA vs. righties last season. Scherzer should be able to navigate this lineup with ease this afternoon. Shane McClanahan vs. Detroit Tigers Another pitcher with a solid matchup today will be Shane McClanahan. McClanahan is coming off a very solid sophomore season. In his second season, McClanahan set career highs in both wins and innings pitched. At just $7.7k on DK today, we’ll be getting a pitcher that had a 30% K rate in 2022. I’ll take that every day of the week. This Tigers lineup is not one that will strike fear in any pitcher’s eyes. It’s pretty weak up and down the lineup. Last season, this team had just a .129 ISO vs. lefties. The Tigers will more than likely throw out 8 righties today. McClanahan had a higher K rate last season vs. righties than he did lefties and that sets him up for a solid day today. You should feel very confident throwing McClanahan out in your lineups today. Corbin Burnes vs. Chicago Cubs I expect Corbin Burnes to have a monster season in 2023. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him win the NL Cy Young award this season. Burnes is coming off a very solid 2022. Like McClanahan, Burnes also set career highs in both Wins and Innings pitched. While the K’s were down a smidge from years past, his K rate was still at a very respectable 30% in 2022. I expect that number to climb this season. The Cubs lineup will be improved this season with the additions of Dansby Swanson, Cody Bellinger, and Mancini. That said, it’s still a below-average lineup and one we’ll be able to chase K’s against, especially with a righty on the hill. This projected lineup today for the Cubs had a 25% K rate vs. righties in 2022. There’s definitely some upside in throwing out Burnes today. MLB DFS Stacks – Main Atlanta Braves vs. Patrick Corbin When I opened up the schedule today and saw that Patrick Corbin was the opening-day starter for the Nationals 2 things came to mind. The first was that they were going to have an awful rotation this season. Corbin is the epitome of a gas can and while he’ll eventually throw out a gem, more often than not he’s hot garbage. The second was that the Braves would be extremely popular. They’ll be popular for good reason. Corbin was atrocious in 2022. He pitched to a nearly 5 xFIP and gave up a nearly 50% hard-hit rate. His 58 barrels against far exceed any pitcher on the hill today. When Corbin is on the mound, we attack! This stack will start with Austin Riley today. He was one of the best in baseball against lefties last season, with a .336 ISO and a .435 wOBA. He should continue to smash against lefties today in a very soft matchup. Next up will be Ronald Acuna. Acuna is now far removed from the knee surgery that saw him start out slowly last season. He matchups up extremely well today vs. Corbin. Corbin mostly throws a sinker to righties. This is a pitch that Acuna has done well against, with a .375 ISO. I also really like Matt Olson here. Never fear the L/L matchup, especially against Corbin. Olson also has really strong numbers vs. lefty sinkers. Other guys I like here will be Sean Murphy and Travis d’Arnaud. Tampa Bay Rays vs. Eduardo Rodriguez 2022 was not kind to Eduardo Rodriguez. He had one of the worst seasons of his career last year. His strikeouts were down significantly and his xFIP was one of the highest numbers of his career. To make matters worse for him, he’ll be facing off against a Rays team that just crushes lefties. The projected Rays lineup today had a .171 ISO and a .337 wOBA vs. lefties last season. They have some lefty smashers and we’ll want to take advantage of that today. My priority with the Rays stack today will be Randy Arozarena. He smashed lefties last year, to the tune of a .240 ISO and a .382 wOBA. Fresh off his WBC stint, he’s becoming a force to be reckoned with. He’ll be in all of my lineups today. Next up will be Yandy Diaz. While he doesn’t hit for much power vs. lefties, he does have a very high wOBA of .379. He’ll set the tone at the top of this lineup today. My value plays in this lineup will be Isaac Paredes, Christian Bethancourt, and Jose Siri. Of the bunch, Paredes is my favorite as he showed a lot of pop at times last season. Franco, Margot, and Ramirez are also very much in play today. Boston Red Sox vs. Kyle Gibson The Baltimore Orioles offense is going to be a fun one to watch this season. They are much improved up and down the lineup. The rotation however is still one that is awful and one we’ll be able to attack often. On most teams, Kyle Gibson would be a back-of-the-rotation guy. For the Orioles, he’s being asked to be the ace of the staff. That says a lot about the Orioles’ pitching staff. With Gibson, I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits. His numbers against both sides of the plate are pretty similar. Any Red Sox stack needs to start with their star player, Rafael Devers. Devers had a very solid year vs. righties in 2022 and he made us some money with our MLB DFS lineups. He had a .252 ISO and a wOBA that was pushing .400. He’s extremely pricey today at nearly $6k, but he should do extremely well in this matchup vs. Gibson. Next up will be a newcomer to the states, Masataka Yoshida. Yoshida was a star in Japan and his skillset should transfer pretty nicely to the states. He’ll be hitting in the middle of this lineup today and is fairly priced at $4.4k. Other guys I really like here today will be Trison Casas at just $2.9k on DK, Reese McGuire at just $2.2k, and Alex Verdugo. The Red Sox are set up today to put up a big number on opening day. Vegas likes them a lot, and so do I! MLB DFS Summary We waited many months for this day and it’s going to be a great one. I plan on loading up on both Rays and Braves with my bats. My pitching will be focused on Mad Max and Shane Mac. This will hopefully be a recipe for success today! Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate. Good luck and hope to see you in the green. Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 6 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLB MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Oct. 7) Joel Bartilotta 12 months ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Wild Card edition of the Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. Playoffs? You want to talk about Playoffs? Yes! Yes, I do!. The 2022 MLB playoffs start today and as a Mets fan, I’m excited! MLB DFS is tough during the playoffs as we’re normally dealing with solid starting pitching and today’s pitching is quite good. Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today! MLB DFS Aces – Main Max Scherzer vs. San Diego Padres While the Padres are a star-studded lineup, the Mets signed Max Scherzer to a massive deal in November for this very moment. He’s been one of the best pitchers of our generation and tonight is his chance to shine on the big New York stage. He’s coming into this having struggled in his last outing vs. the Braves, giving up 4 ER in just 5 innings of work. Prior to that though he had been lights out, not allowing more than an ER in 4 consecutive starts. His K rate is nearly 31% over the last month, tops of any pitcher today. He’ll have his hands full tonight, but he’s the best pitcher on the slate. I’m locking him in as my SP1. Shane Bieber vs. Tampa Bay Rays We’ll see a substantial drop off in strikeouts from Scherzer to Shane Bieber, but Bieber gets the better matchup today. This isn’t the same Rays team of last year when they had the likes of Brandon Lowe and Austin Meadows. Lowe’s on the IL and Meadows was shipped off to the Tigers. While it’s a solid lineup, it’s also one that has struggled vs. righties. Over the last month, they have just a .117 ISO, a .224 wOBA, and a nearly 32% K rate vs. righties. This is a really solid spot for Bieber today. Zack Wheeler vs. St. Louis Cardinals While my lean right now is to lock in Scherzer and Bieber, I may take a chance on Wheeler as well. He’s coming into this one fairly fresh as he’s only thrown 15 innings over the last month. And those 15 innings have been absolutely dominant. The competition in those last 3 starts wasn’t the toughest, but over them, he allowed just 1 run. Although the matchup will be tough for him today against the Cardinals, the Cardinals haven’t really been crushing the ball over the last month against righties. Against righties, over the last month, they have just a .066 ISO. It’s only that high due to how well Pujols did coming down the stretch. MLB DFS Stacks – Main Cleveland Guardians vs. Shane McClanahan While I typically reserve using the Guardians against righties, they’re getting the pitcher today coming into the playoffs pitching the worst. McClanahan did not have a strong finish to the season. It could very well be due to the fact he’s never thrown this many innings. His 166 innings this year were the most he’s thrown in his young career, and by a lot. Over the last month, McClanahan pitched to a 5.21 ERA and a matching xFIP. He was giving up more hard contact and more flyballs as the season ended. The hope is that it continues today and that the Guardians can take full advantage of his struggles. Core: My core with the Guardians today will be Jose Ramirez, Oscar Gonzalez, and Andres Gimenez. Ramirez finished up the season strongly. He finished with a 5-game hitting streak, a streak that saw him get at least 18 DK points 3 times. Now he’s normally better as a lefty, but he’s the heart and soul of this franchise. If they’re going to advance to the NLDS, it will be on his back. Next up is Gimenez. Gimenez has been one of their better hitters vs. lefties all year, and especially recently. Over the last month, Gimenez has a .410 wOBA vs. lefties in about 30 AB. McClanahan has been slightly worse against lefties this season, making this L/L matchup for Gimenez all the more sweeter. Secondary Pieces/Value: Other Guardians bats we look to today will be Myles Straw and Gabriel Arias. Arias finished the season strong vs. lefties, with a .384 wOBA and a .273 ISO over since his call-up in late September. New York Mets vs. Yu Darvish After getting swept by the Braves, the Mets returned the favor to the Nationals. Their bates woke up during that series and they’ll hopefully continue with the momentum from the final series. The matchup will be tough for them against Yu Darvish, but the time to attack Darvish is when he’s on the road. His ERA this season was a full run higher away from San Diego. It also helps that Darvish hasn’t exactly been Mr. October. In 7 career playoff starts, Darvish has a 5.18 ERA. Most of that was from when he struggled in the 2017 playoffs with the Dodgers. Core: My Mets stack will start with Jeff McNeil, Brandon Nimmo, and Pete Alonso. Brandon Nimmo finished the season on fire. He had 6 hits in his final 8 AB and finished with hits in 9 of his last 10 games. He’s reasonably priced today at $4.6k on DK. After winning the 2022 NL Batting Title, McNeil will look to carry that over to the Wild Card round. McNeil also finished the season strong, with hits in 10 straight. In those 10 games, he had multi-hit games in all but 2 of them. He’s their best pure hitter and they’ll need his bat to keep going if they have any chance of making it to the Dodgers in the next round. Secondary/Value: I also like Francisco Lindor, Eduardo Escobar, and Daniel Vogelbach. Vogelbach makes for a nice punt at 1B as he’s only $3.4k tonight and has power upside. Seattle Mariners vs. Alek Manoah Sorry Ghost, but I’m siding with the Mariners in this one. Although the ERA has been low for Manoah over the last month, the xFIP isn’t. Manoah’s xFIP is more than 3.5 runs higher than this 1.07 ERA over the last month. A lot of this is due to his disappearing K rate. Over the last month, Manoah has had just a 21% K rate, down significantly from the start of the year. He also has a troubling 50% flyball rate over the last month. This is a strong Mariners and giving up that many flyballs can lead to some damage. Lefties are the way to really get Manoah. They have a higher slugging % and wOBA and 11 of the 16 homers he gave up this year were to lefties. Core: When you stack the Mariners, it all starts at the top with presumed Rookie of the Year Julio Rodriguez. What a year for the kid! He ended the season strong against righties, with a .421 ISO and a .535 wOBA over the last few weeks of the season. He’ll look to continue that momentum into this matchup vs. Manoah. I’ll also build around Carlos Santana. He’s risky but also possesses some power from the left side. Although he doesn’t hit for average as a lefty, 16 of his 19 homers this season were as a lefty. At just $2.6k he’s a nice value with some upside. Secondary/Value: Jarred Kelenic may also make my lineup today. He has a ton of risk, but at $2.4k I’m willing to eat that risk as he did start to show some power at the end of the year and fewer strikeouts. MLB DFS Summary I also like the Phillies vs. Quintana today. Make sure to check out our Home Run Model. And Also make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate. Good luck and hope to see you in the green. Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 12 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Sept. 21) Joel Bartilotta 1 year ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Wednesday edition of the Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. Tonight we have a nice sized 9-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. We’re at the point of the season where teams are starting to jockey for playoff position, or are fighting for the playoff lives. Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today! MLB DFS Aces – Main Robbie Ray vs. Oakland Athletics Robbie Ray has had an up-and-down season in 2022. He’s shown flashes of the 2021 Cy Young-winning pitcher, but he’s also thrown some duds like he did last time out vs. the Los Angeles Angels. That said, I do think he has one of his better outings tonight vs. a pesky, but average at best Oakland Athletics lineup. He’s faced the Athletics 3 times already this season and has had double-digit strikeouts in 2 of them. The projected lineup tonight for the Athletics has just a .255 wOBA agai... 1 year ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS Aces & Stacks (Sept. 19) Joel Bartilotta 1 year ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Monday edition of the Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel. Tonight we have a nice-sized 7-game slate of MLB DFS tonight. We’re at the point of the season where teams are starting to jockey for playoff position, or are fighting for their playoff lives. We have a little bit of both of that tonight with many teams in action tonight in the playoff hunt. That will make for even better baseball. Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today! MLB DFS Aces – Main Clayton Kershaw vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Of the aces on the hill tonight, Clayton Kershaw gets arguably the best matchup on paper. While the Diamondbacks have been better against lefties over the last month, they’re still the Diamondbacks facing Clayton Kershaw and this is a matchup that Kershaw should be able to navigate with some level of ease. Over the last month, Kershaw has ... 1 year ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Monday – 10/11 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Monday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have our final 4 game slate of the 2021 MLB Division Series. All 8 playoff teams are in action.My goal today will be to walk you through where my mind is with pitching and then focus on some bats that are a must. Let’s dig in to today’s slate!MLB DFS: Pitching As we’ve seen for the most part with pitching so far, we’ll want to pick the pitchers that will do the least damage while also grabbing some K’s to thwart off the damage. We’ve only seen a handful of truly dominant outings so far between Webb, Fried, and Morton. The first guy I’m going to look to today is Freddy Peralta vs. the Atlanta Braves. Peralta hasn’t pitched in more than 2 weeks. With him we’re dealing with a rested pitcher but also a pitcher that may show some rust. He has just as much K upside as anyone else throwing ... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Thursday – 09/23 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Thursday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have 2 slates of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on each slate. Let’s dig in to today’s slate!MLB DFS: The Aces (Early)Max Scherzer ($11.3k) vs. Colorado Rockies – It’s a steep price to pay for a pitcher throwing in Coors but with a pitcher like Scherzer I’m not as concerned with “Coors effect” as I am others. When you have a near 20% swinging strike rate you’re just not putting as many balls in play as your peers. Scherzer is in as good a form as we’ve seen him. Over the last month his K rate is hovering around the 38% mark. We chase K’s in DFS and with Scherzer on the hill, we chase. My hope is that with him being in Coors his ownership will be lower than normal. He’s the top pitcher on the slate and it’s not really close.Logan Webb ($9.8k) vs. San Diego Padres – If you’ve made t... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Thursday – 08/26 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Thursday edition of Aces and Bases. Tonight we have a nice sized 9 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day. Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesChris Sale ($10.7k) vs. Minnesota Twins – Through his first 2 outings after a couple of years off Sale has looked like his old self. He’s sporting a sub 2 xFIP and has a 32.5% K rate. While there’s a concern he won’t go deep, what he’s doing while he is on the mound is what we should be concerned with. Sale is a master as keeping batters on their toes. He has a 38.9% chase rate and just a 64% zone swing rate. Both numbers indicate that batters really have no idea what to do when he’s throwing to them. If he goes deeper than he has in his first two outings today he should have no issue paying off his salary.Max Scherzer ($10.5k) vs. San Diego Padres – If I had to pic... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Tuesday – 08/10 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Tuesday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 13 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. My goal today will be to walk you through my 3 favorite pitchers and 3 favorite stacks on the day. We have a great slate lined up with solid options for pitching and stacking.Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesMax Scherzer ($10.6K) vs. Philadelphia Phillies – There isn’t much to say today to sell you on using Scherzer. He proved me very wrong last time and showed that he is match up proof. Scherzer dominated a very solid lineup in the Houston Astros. Today he faces off against a streaking Phillies team. Hopefully the day off yesterday cools them down a bit. On the year Mad Max has been great. He has an elite 33% K rate and a 3.60 xFIP. Phillies are a familiar foe as he’s faced them a couple of times already during his Nationals days. In those 2 outings he combined for 17 K’s. Look for another sol... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Thursday – 07/08 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Thursday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 7 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. With this slate we have a pitcher’s duel out west with Darvish vs. Mad Max. Both guys should be fun to watch tonight. We also have my favorite pitcher to stack against, Mr. J.A. Happ.Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesMax Scherzer ($10.9k) vs. San Diego Padres – This isn’t going to be the easiest of match-ups for Scherzer as the Padres have a potent lineup. That said, if there’s anyone out there that can silence the Padres it’s Scherzer. On the year Max has a 35.4% K rate. If we look at his splits, it’s been pretty even against both sides of the plate. I’m siding with Max in this match-up due to his pitch mix. He throws his slider more than 38% of the time to righties and it’s a pitch he can silence Tatis and Machado with. Both have high whiff rates against this pitch. If you can silence thos... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
MLBPremium MLB DFS: Aces and Bases for Sunday Funday – 06/27 Joel Bartilotta 2 years ago written by Joel Bartilotta Welcome to the Sunday Funday edition of Aces and Bases. Today we have a nice sized 11 game main slate of MLB DFS on Fanduel to navigate through. **FD still has the CHW/SEA game on the main slate. I think they’ll follow suit from what DK did and remove it from the main slate since the game is now at 4:30. Today’s FD slate brings us a couple of studs on the mound and then some mid-range guys that may fit nicely with the Blue Jays. We also have some of my favorite pitchers to pick on, Chi Chi and Happ.Let’s dig in to today’s slates!MLB DFS: The AcesMax Scherzer ($11.2k) vs. Miami Marlins – Mad Max showed a little rust in his last outing after having only thrown 12 pitches over the previous 18 days. In that outing, while he still struck out 8 Phillies, he did throw 106 pitches in 5 IP. My money says he has a much more efficient outing vs. the Marlins today. Scherzer gets to face off against a team today has really struggled against rightie... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
