NFLDaily Fantasy SportsPremium Week 10 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Ravens at Dolphins Antonio D'Arcangelis 2 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 10 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.Let’s get to the game!Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Week 10 NFL DFS Chalk: Lamar Jackson (FD $17,500, DK $20,700)Pivot: Mark Andrews (FD $13,000, DK $13,200)Pivot #2: Marquise Brown (FD $13,500, DK $16,500) Pivot #3: Jaylen Waddle (FD $12,... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNFLPremium Week 5 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Colts at Ravens Antonio D'Arcangelis 2 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 5 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.Let’s get to the game!Week 5 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Week 5 NFL DFS Chalk: Lamar Jackson (FD $17,000, DK $18,900)Pivot: Jonathan Taylor (FD $13,000, DK $14,700)Contrarian #1: Marquise Brown (FD $13,500, DK $16,500)Contrarian #2: Michael Pittm... 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports Week 1 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Ravens at Raiders Antonio D'Arcangelis 2 years ago written by Antonio D'Arcangelis The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 1 NFL DFS contests!NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my TNF showdown article.Let’s get to the game!Week 1 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Chalk: Lamar Jackson (FD $17,000, DK $18,600)Pivot: Darren Waller (FD $13,000, DK $16,200)Contrarian #1: Mark Andrews (FD $13,000, DK $13,500)Contrarian #2: Derek Carr (FD $14,000, DK $14,700)Contrarian #3: Ty’Son Williams (FD $12,000, DK $10,200)Lamar Jackson is far and away the most expensive (and highest-upside) player in this contest, but I think we’re going to need him in the MVP spot or one of the FLEX spots to cash. The Raiders defense is dealing with lots of turnover and communication/teamwork aspects of their unit could see some struggles in Week 1, especially against a playmaker like Jackson. He should be running a little more than usual with the makeshift backfield they’re employing, and all the new faces just getting into the Baltimore system.Ravens notes: The most important players to roster will be Jackson, TE Mark Andrews, RB Ty’Son Williams (who could see an enormous Week 1 workload) and WR Marquise Brown, but we could see some of the newly acquired veterans (Latavius Murray and Sammy Watkins stand out the most) or fringe offensive players like Devin Duvernay — or even rookie Tylan Wallace — play a role. I’m also very intersted in the Ravens DST and K Justin Tucker, since this one could be lower-scoring than if both these offenses ere at full strength.Raiders notes: Josh Jacobs is questionable to play tonight, and the best possible offensive combo for the Raiders is likely Derek Carr/Darren Waller, with Waller being the best one-off if we overstack Ravens. We’re not getting enough of a discount on Kenyan Drake to focus too much on him, but he’s a GPP play given his ability to haul in reception and rack up the points that way — especially if Jacobs is unavailable. It’s interesting to see the less heralded WR Bryan Edwards with a salary higher than WR Henry Ruggs III, who is another possible playmaker. We also have to consider Hunter Renfrow and Willie Snead IV, but these WRS are all pretty risky plays.Week 1 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)Remember to build your team based on a Week 1 NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense togetherDON’T: Use too many Raiders. I could see 3 BAL/3 LV working, but most of my builds will be 4 BAL/2 LV. DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.DON’T: Ignore kickers and defenses. Both Tucker and the Ravens DST are in play, and Daniel Carlson could factor as well tonight.Now that we’ve established some Week 1 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):Lamar JacksonMark AndrewsDarren WallerTy’Son WilliamsDerek CarrMarquise BrownRavens DSTHenry Ruggs IIIBryan EdwardsJosh Jacobs (questionable, so only if he plays)Kenyan DrakeSammy WatkinsJustin TuckerLatavius MurrayHunter RenfrowTylan WallaceDevin DuvernayPeyton BarberWillie SneadDaniel CarlsonRaiders DSTJames ProcheDon’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week1 action! 2 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports Week 14 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Preview: Ravens at Browns jason mezrahi 3 years ago written by jason mezrahi The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Monday night showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the final Week 14 NFL DFS contests!Introduction to Single-Game ShowdownsDraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.Let’s get to the game!Week 14 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Chalk: Lamar Jackson (DK $17,700, FD $17,000)Pivot: Baker Mayfield (DK $15,000, FD $15,000)Contrarian #1: Nick Chubb (DK $15,000, FD $14,500)Contrarian #2: Mark Andrews (DK $13,200, FD $10,500)DK Punts: Willie Snead IV ($8,700) and Harrison Bryant ($6,300)DK Contrarian Punts: Devin Duvernay ($2,400) and Marvin Hall ($300)Last season, it would have sounded a bit crazy to suggest that Baker Mayfield would be a viable pivot from Lamar Jackson in this matchup, but here we are. You’re probably going to need at least one of them in your lineup this week, and there’s a few ways we can even fit both.Neither of these defenses has played up to their abilities the past couple of weeks, but both are capable of posting double-digit fantasy totals, so we’ll have to keep them in mind as we construct our showdown rosters. They haven’t met since Week 1, when the Ravens were dominant from the start – and if I had to lean toward one of them it would be the Ravens DST since the Browns DST will be without Denzel Ward (calf).The Ravens have several position players of interest, with Mark Andrews and rookie J.K. Dobbins sporting the highest upside. Andrews had a pair of TDs in the first meeting with Cleveland, and is coming off a two-game absence due to COVID-19, while Dobbins has assumed a much larger workload with capable RB Gus Edwards and veteran Mark Ingram II taking a backseat in recent weeks.I like the price and target total over the past four weeks (25) for Willie Snead IV, and while it’s hard to trust Marquise Brown, Hollywood is always a big play away from making a huge impact. Devin Duvernay is a longshot DFS play but a very talented rookie WR and playmaker and capable of filling out a winning GPP entry.For the Browns, we need to prioritize Nick Chubb, who has TDs and 100+ rushing yards in three of his past four games (and 522 total yards over that four-game span as well) since returning from a knee injury. Kareem Hunt is an expensive but viable change-of-pace back who lacks the same upside unless the Browns are in a negative game script – a possibility we should plan for in some of our GPPs.Receivers Jarvis Landry and Rashard Higgins are soaking up most of the targets, and both have ben productive, while Austin Hooper’s absence (doubtful with a neck injury) could mean more looks for explosive rookie TE Harrison Bryant. Opportunistic rookie wideout Donovan Peoples-Jones is also a viable option with plenty of big play ability, especially in play action. It’ll also be interesting to see if recently acquired deep threat Marvin Hall sees some action, as he’s a game-breaking value at $300/200 on DK if he catches even one long throw.As always, we should consider Ravens K Justin Tucker, who has at least 8 DK points in nine of 12 games this season (and double-digit fantasy output in five of those games) and Cody Parkey, who has 31 DK points over his last three games.Week 14 NFL DFS Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.DON’T: Go into your GPP builds without a narrative plan this week. Use the writeup and flex list below to help narrow your player pool and find a winning path.DO: Include Nick Chubb somewhere. He’s been averaging about 100 yards and a TD every week since coming back, so I wouldn’t recommended fading him without using Kareem Hunt in a negative game script narrative build.DON’T: Play anyone who is inactive. Pay attention to the breaking news and pivot as needed.Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):Lamar JacksonBaker MayfieldNick ChubbMark AndrewsJ.K. DobbinsJarvis LandryMarquise BrownRashard HigginsWillie Snead IVKareem HuntRavens DSTJustin TuckerBrowns DSTCody ParkeyGus EdwardsDonovan Peoples-JonesHarrison BryantMark Ingram IIDevin DuvernayMarvin HallDavid NjokuMiles Boykin 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports Week 3 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Preview: Chiefs at Ravens jason mezrahi 3 years ago written by jason mezrahi The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 3 NFL DFS contests!Week 3 NFL DFS Introduction to Single-Game ShowdownsDraftKings calls them “Showdowns,” and FanDuel doesn’t really have a name for them other than “Single-Game Contests,” but whatever we call them they require an understanding of game narratives and game theory – which means we need to target low-ownership players that will give us the best opportunities within the narratives and game outcomes we’re expecting.My picks will focus almost exclusively on finding GPP-winning combinations that have a chance at taking down the contests you’re entering, be they single-entry or MME. While we can’t cover all the possible combos or provide full lineups for you to deploy, the goal here is to give you the tools to win and highlight some names that will help make for profitable results.If I enter five lineups in a large-field GPP, at least three of those lineups will focus on the most likely game outcome (based on Vegas odds, props and totals), with one or two contrarian builds. As we know, late-breaking news can have a significant effect on full slates, and that’s just amplified with single-game contests. If you have any questions leading up to lock, please consult our NFL DFS experts in Discord.Let’s get to the game!Week 3 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.Chalk: Lamar Jackson (DK $19,500, FD $16,500)Pivot: Travis Kelce (DK $15,000, FD $13,000)Contrarian #1: Patrick Mahomes (DK $18,000, FD $16,000)Contrarian #2: Mark Andrews (DK $12,000, FD $12,000)Pricing is incredibly tight this week for the Monday night showdown, with both QBs over $16K on FanDuel, making it nearly impossible to fit both in without punting more than one spot. But because of Lamar Jackson’s ability to take over the game (and let’s face it – his team is the favorite to win tonight), we have to consider him for the MVP spot. It’s a lot more feasible on FD, but the move on DraftKings may be to find a low-owned CPT by picking one of the TEs (Travis Kelce is my favorite play) or a different Chiefs position player who might find a loophole in the Ravens defense to exploit. I may have one or two lineups with Patrick Mahomes as MVP, but I prefer Jackson.The matchup for Mahomes is bad, and it’s not much better for Clyde Edwards-Helaire, but at least the latter’s ability to rack up PPR points (full on DK, half on FD) makes him a worthy flex play in Ravens stacks that focus on Jackson and TE Mark Andrews.Tyreek Hill’s speed makes him worthy of consideration, and if we’re fading Hill then we’ve got to have some shares of Mecole Hardman, who’s yet to really break out this season despite his ubiquitous big-play ability.The strategy of starting two Ravens RBs like Mark Ingram and J.K. Dobbins is viable, but assuming they both score enough to warrant inclusion means we’re probably using Mahomes and the Chiefs passing game with them instead of Lamar.Normally I’d ignore the kickers, but in a game that could see this many points, we have to consider that some of them will come via the legs of Justin Tucker and Harrison Butker.Utility options (and some DOs and DON’Ts)Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense, and utilize the WinDaily fantasy toolbox for cheatsheets and projections that can help you tremendously with lineup building.DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense togetherDON’T: Play both defenses in this one.DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.DON’T: Use players with almost no shot of seeing the field, regardless of their salary – though sub-$2K players on DraftKings (who may have some impact in possible game narratives) include Gus Edwards (Ravens blowout) and Darwin Thompson (Darrel Williams ankle issues).Now that we’ve established some narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):Lamar JacksonTravis KelcePatrick MahomesMark AndrewsClyde Edwards-HelaireTyreek HillMarquise BrownMark Ingram IIJustin TuckerHarrison ButkerJ.K. DobbinsMecole HardmanWillie Snead IV Ravens DST Miles Boykin DeMarcus Robinson Gus Edwards Darrel Williams Chiefs DST Sammy Watkins (questionable, neck) 3 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL Week 14 Wide Receiver DFS Picks Sean Escobar 4 years ago written by Sean Escobar The slate of wide receivers is incredible as we are approaching teams clinching playoff spots. We have a limited slate as three games on Thanksgiving with quality receivers make DFS interesting. There are some spots where you can afford some expensive receivers and some cheaper options with a good upside. Let’s dive into the best wideouts for Cash Games, GPP and who you should avoid with our Week 14 Wide Receiver DFS Picks. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!If you’d like to see more of my DFS work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @VinPensabeneWeek 14 Wide Receiver Cash Game PlaysStefon Diggs, DET vs MINDK ($7,600) FD ($8,000)Diggs is coming off a relatively quiet game on Monday against the Seahawks. He had seven catches for 143 yards when these two teams met earlier in this season. With the expectation that Adam Theilen will be playing and drawing the attention of the defense, expect a big game from Diggs. Jamison Crowder, NYJ @ CINDK ($5,300) FD ($6,000)It didn’t work last week since I was one week early on Crowder. The entire Jets offense didn’t do much but this is different. This is their revenge game against the Dolphins and Crowder had a solid game five weeks ago. Crowder went for eight catches for 83 yards and a touchdown. The combination of a revenge factor, weak corners, and a tanking team makes Jamison Crowder an appealing option to me. Week 14 Wide Receiver GPP PlaysJames Washington, PIT @ ARIDK ($6,000) FD ($6,700)Arizona is the worst team at stopping the passing attack and with Juju Smith-Schuster dealing with a concussion, James Washington will be the biggest target. Last week, Washington had four catches for 111 yards and a touchdown. I have no reason to use that as a baseline for him this upcoming week. Ducky Hodges needs to look for Washington and find out if Arizona will make an adjustment. Mike Evans, TB @ JAXDK ($6,900) FD ($7,700)Loading up on the best receiver on the slate not facing an elite defense. The Indianapolis Colts are struggling as they sit third in their division and are looking up for a playoff spot. Evans has the speed to beat Indy’s secondary and has proved it this season with the second-most receiving yards this season. Expect a 100-yard game with a touchdown out of him. Week 14 Wide Receiver FadesMarquise Brown, BAL @ BUFDK ($4,700) FD ($5,500)The weather conditions in this game will be a concern for me. Brown is the number one receiver for the Ravens this season. Buffalo is playing with house money and is coming off a huge win on Thanksgiving against the Dallas Cowboys. Giving the Bills an extended week of preparation, weather issues and Bills feeling they have something to prove makes me back off of Marquise Brown this week. DJ Moore, CAR @ ATLDK ($7,000) FD ($7,100)This one is simple to me as the Carolina Panthers are dealing with a lot of changes as Ron Rivera was fired mid-week. That alone shakes up an entire gameplan and means Christian McCaffrey will get a lot of burns this week as the Panthers figure out what’s next. I’m fading any receiver from the Panthers this week. Monkey Knife Fight DFS Picks of the Week Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!Mike Evans, Stefon Diggs and Jamison Crowder combine for over 22.5 receptions.All three of these players have been featured in this article so check out why each of them should do well. I expect each receiver to get at least seven catches and that would get them to 21 total. Evans should get double-digit receptions and that would surpass the goal. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy Sports DFS: Fades/Plays- Injury Report StixPicks 4 years ago written by StixPicks Wow. What an ending to the Week 11 Bengals vs. Steelers game. We hope that anybody who was injured has a non-eventful and full recovery. From a DFS perspective, next week will be teeming with fades and plays as a result of that game. As for this week’s injury report, there are a few players to keep an on eye on leading up to Sunday. Make sure to follow me on Twitter for more frequent updates. Note that all of the prices included are from FanDuel.Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more! Will Fuller ($6,300)Fuller is returning to action after a long layoff due to a hamstring injury. The problem with trusting him in cash is that last year around this same time, Fuller came back from a hamstring injury and ended up tearing his ACL. I’m not saying that will happen again, but there is an intimate connection between the ACL and the hamstrings and there is warranted cause for concern due to his specific history. Add in his price and I’m probably looking to pay down for another piece of this game (i.e. Marquise Brown). With all of that said, Fuller is an average play against this solid Ravens secondary as he’s a big play waiting to happen. Just make sure to fade him in cash.Marquise Brown ($5,600)I’ll be completely honest here: I have no idea what the Ravens are doing with Marquise Brown. He’s been dealing with a (presumably) high ankle sprain for more than a month now and last week he played his fewest snaps of the season since Week One. Adding to the mystery is that this week he went from limited practice to no practice at all on Thursday. As of now, the Ravens have not released their final practice report, but even if they did I’m not sure how much it would help. Brown has been downgraded and upgraded in practice all season long. The real problem with projecting his injury outlook this week is that he was effective on the snaps that he did play last week. Granted it was against the Bengals, but production is production. Ultimately, Brown is a fade for me in cash, but if he’s active (and I expect him to be active) he’s hard to pass up on this week against the Texans in tournaments.Jordan Howard ($6,100)As of just yesterday, it was announced that Howard was not cleared for contact and was a limited practice participant all week. I would be surprised if he is active on Sunday as a “stinger” that has lingered for two weeks indicates that there was actual structural damage to a nerve at some point and that takes a few weeks to truly heal. This opens the door for Miles Sanders ($5,600) and Dallas Goedert ($5,00). Neither of these guys are slam dunk plays as they are facing Tom Brady off a bye, but the game script should play in their favor. I wouldn’t play them both in one lineup, but now that Alshon Jeffery has been ruled out, Sanders or Goedert make for solid “free square” plays in cash games for some extra spending elsewhere. However, Sanders in tournaments as he has a low ceiling.Le’Veon Bell ($7,400)Next on the Fades/Plays Injury Report is Le’Veon Bell. He is listed as questionable with “ribs/knee/illness” and this is enough to scare me away from him this week. Last week he was saved by a touchdown, and this week against Washington could be an atrocity of a football game. This game could very well end in a 10-3 nightmare as Washington is dead last in player per game behind the next best team by a massive gap of 11 plays per game. Add in that Bell’s health is sub-optimal and I’m fading Bell in all formats this week.Emmanuel Sanders ($6,900)As I mentioned earlier this week, Sanders is not expected to play. If you’re in need of a deep tournament play, look at Deebo Samuel ($5,600) as he’s begun coming into his own in this offense. Against the Cardinals pass defense, Samuel could eat this week.Cooper Kupp ($13,500)Kupp is apparently dealing with a stomach bug that kept him out of practice on Friday. Sean McVay said he expects him to be ready for Sunday night, but I would fade Kupp in the captain spot and in cash games. In Week One Evans dealt with a stomach bug as well and put up a stinker. Illnesses are nothing to mess with and I would rather be safe than sorry. Conversely, this could be a volume play in tournaments for Robert Woods ($12,000) and Todd Gurley at just $7,000. Just keep in mind that Gurley is a volatile play week to week due to the osteoarthritis in his knee.David Montgomery ($6,400)Fade Montgomery in all formats. A DFS darling last week, Montgomery should not be in your lineups if he’s active. He was downgraded due to an ankle injury this week and now Matt Nagy is calling him a game time decision. The Bears offense is going nowhere with Tru-bad-ski under center and even if he’s active this injury is clearly limiting him. Still not convinced? Well, the Rams are third in rushing DVOA and over the last three weeks are only giving up 61 rushing yards per game. Fade Montgomery and this entire Bears offense as I’m concerned.Thank you for reading the DFS Fades/Plays- Injury Report! Be sure to follow me on Twitter and feel free to DM me any questions. I’ll do my best to update this article as news rolls in. Good luck!THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. Courtesy of Jeffrey Beall. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL DFS: Midweek Injury Update 4 years ago written by In Week Ten, more people than usual in the Premium Gold group chat shared winning lineup screenshots- and we love to see it. As the DFS season moves forward it will be imperative to stay on top of injury news to join this winner’s circle. Most imperative of all, make sure to read my Injury Fade/Play article that comes out every Saturday morning as I’m currently sitting at a 70% accuracy for injury outlooks. And it’s totally free! With that said, I’ll get into the DFS Midweek Injury Update. Note that all prices below are from FanDuel.Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more! James Conner ($14,500)Conner has been sidelined by an AC joint sprain and as expected, is set to return this week right at the two to four week average layoff. Conner is a decent play in the single game slates this week as the Browns are middle of the pack in terms of rushing defense. Volume will be key for Conner as I don’t expect him to be limited from this injury.Matt BreidaI’m treading lightly here because Breida must truly be made of iron and nails at this point, but I will say that it looks like he’s going to sit Week 11 out. George Kittle ($7,500)Kittle did not practice at all last week as he is dealing with knee and ankle injuries. He has been significantly banged up with these non-specific injuries for a few weeks now, and I wouldn’t be surprised if they hold him out again against the Cardinals this week, so Kittle can take the Week 12 bye to get healthy. Surprisingly, Ross Dwelley ($4,900), had seven targets in Week Ten against the Seahawks and could serve as a cheap tight end option in tournaments on Sunday against the Cardinals who are abysmal terrible awful the worst bad below average against tight ends. Update: Kittle was officially ruled out for Sunday by Shanahan.Jacoby Brissett ($7,500)Brissett was a surprise scratch that was announced Saturday morning before kickoff on Sunday. The Colts (likely) sat him with the impression that the Dolphins weren’t worth worrying aboutNarrators Voice: They were wrong.At any rate, Brissett should definitely be ready to go in Week Eleven barring any setbacks as he progressed through practice as a limited participant all of last week. This week the Colts take on the Jaguars who are ranked 12th in pass DVOA.Update: Brissett should be good to go on Sunday.Matthew Stafford ($7,900)Stafford’s back injury seemed to come out of nowhere last week and he sat out for Week Ten. Due to the fact that Matt Patricia falls from the Patriots coaching tree, there has been very little reported about the injury itself and it has been called “week to week and day to day” all in one sentence. The bottom line is that if Stafford is dealing with the same back issue that plagued him all of last year, this could be a multi-week absence. My guess from this limited amount of information is that Stafford could be having back spasms. Why do back spasms happen? We’ll stand by and monitor his practice participation before going down that rabbit hole which ends badly for Stafford. If Stafford is inactive again, Jeff Driskel ($6,700) is in play as a deep, deep money saver in tournaments. Update: Stafford hasn’t practiced yet this week and it’s not looking like he’ll play on Sunday.Adam Thielen ($7,000)The reset button was hit on Thielen’s hamstring injury in Week Nine when he re-aggravated it and didn’t finish the game. As we all know, hamstring injuries can cause one to three week absences for players, so I wouldn’t be surprised if Thielen sits out this week then takes the Week 12 bye week to get fully healthy before the home stretch. In an odd turn of events, Kyle Rudolph ($4,500) has received 19 targets since Thielen’s initial injury. He’s a weak option to keep in mind as a tournament play as the Broncos have been solid against tight ends this year.Update: Thielen has not practiced this week. I would not count on him playing this week.Emmanuel Sanders ($6,900)Sanders took a big hit on Monday night and the reports are that he now has cartilage damage. The thing about ribs injuries is that they’re mostly self-limiting in nature which means that if the player can tolerate taking hits with minimal pain, they can go. The catch is that ribs injuries can be excruciating as the rib cage needs to constantly expand and relax to breathe while at rest, let alone while playing in an NFL game. It’s early in the week, but even if Sanders is active, I would not expect him to be productive. He could be active solely as a decoy but I would avoid him in tournaments and cash games this week. On the other hand, Deebo Samuel ($5,600) popped off against Seattle and could be a fine tournament play against the lowly Cardinals pass defense.Update: Based on the reports, it doesn’t seem like Sanders will be active.AdditionsAlshon Jeffery ($6,200)Jeffery continued to sit out of practice on Thursday due to an ankle injury he’s been nursing since before the Eagles’ bye week. At this point, there’s no way to trust Jeffery will be active, but if he is that ankle joint lacks the maximal stability required for his physical style of play. For that reason, even if active he’s a fade in all formats. The bright side (if there is one when discussing player injuries) is that Dallas Goedert ($5,000) is an excellent play in cash games given the desolate tight end landscape. With Zach Ertz becoming the de facto number one option, New England might choose to key on him this week and allow Goedert to catch a touchdown or two while playing a game in which the Eagles are likely to be in a negative game script from the kickoff.Marquise Brown ($5,600)The fact that “Hollywood” didn’t practice on Thursday is simply perplexing. He’s been listed on the injury report most of the season with this ankle injury and his practice participation is sporadic on a week to week basis. For example in Week Nine he practiced in a limited fashion on Thursday then did not practice Friday. This Wednesday he practiced but did not practice on Thursday. To top it off, I’ve gone back and watched fourth quarter film on him and he doesn’t show signs of limitations or a specific injury to point to. You’re guess is as good as mine when it comes to Brown’s status for Sunday, which by default means you should not count on him for cash games. However, he’s a yellow light in tournaments in this favorable matchup against Houston.David Montgomery ($6,400)Montgomery was already limited by an ankle injury before “lightly rolling it” again on Thursday according to Matt Nagy. At this point, it would be hard to use Montgomery in any formats given the volatile Bears offense and his lack of production against a Lions defense who usually gives up big time production to running backs. Tarik Cohen ($5,300) is a “meh” option for the single game slates.Will Fuller ($6,300)The speedster is in a good spot playing in a likely negative game script that should be high scoring. The problem is that Fuller has shown a significant history of hamstring injuries over the last two years. That makes him a volatile option due to the legitimate chance at re-injury. For those reasons he’s only a tournament play.Thank you for reading the DFS Midweek Injury Update. Make sure to follow me on Twitter for up to the hour updates and analysis on player injuries and DFS implications. See you for the Fade/Play article on Saturday!THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. Featured image courtesy of Keith Allison. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports Week 11 Wide Receiver DFS Picks: Thomas & Friends Pt. 2 Cora Baylis 4 years ago written by Cora Baylis Our Week 9 article was nearly perfect, so it was going to be hard to live up to that in Week 10. While Michael Thomas and DeVante Adams predictably did well, we got disappointing games from most of our GPP options. That’s going to happen every once in a while, and I feel much better about this week’s slate of games. With that in mind, let’s get into our Week 11 wide receiver DFS picks. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!If you’d like to see more of my work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @BartilottajoelWeek 11 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays Michael Thomas, NO at TB DK ($9,900) FD ($9,000) Thomas was our most successful pick last week and it’s impossible to fade this guy at this point. We’re talking about a dude who’s scored at least 16.4 DK points in every game this season while leading all wide receivers with 25.2 fantasy points per game. That’s downright ridiculous production and an even more unbelievable floor. The reason for that is because of his targets and catch rate. Not only does he lead the league with 11.1 targets per game, but he also leads the NFL with an 83 percent catch rate. That has to be terrifying for a Buccaneers secondary who’s surrendering the second-most fantasy points to opposing WRs this season. Don’t fade MT in cash games! Mike Evans, TB vs. NO DK ($7,400) FD ($8,200) On the other side of the ball, we have to love Evans. This guy has been a Top-3 wide receiver since he was dealing with an illness the first two weeks and it’s clear that he’s the one making corners sick now. Since Week 3, Evans has collected 48 catches for 835 yards and seven TDs on 76 targets. Those are all Top-5 at his position and it’s obvious at this point that he’s the superior option to Chris Godwin. This should be a high-scoring game when looking at the 52-point total and Evans 233 receiving yards against this team last season indicates that he likes the matchup too. Week 11 Wide Receiver GPP Plays Marquise Brown, BAL vs. HOU DK ($5,600) FD ($5,600) Downtown Brown is literally the definition of a GPP wide receiver. While he’s been missing some games due to injury recently, he looked fully healthy in Week 10. That’s what we’re aiming for with a speedster like this, finishing that game with four catches for 80 yards and a TD. The usage numbers are definitely there too, with Brown attaining 26 percent of his team’s air yards and 18.3 percent of his team’s targets. That’s big news against a Houston secondary who owns a 28th OPRK against opposing WRs this season. This might be one of the few times that Baltimore won’t be running at will with a big lead too, as we’re looking at a game with a 3.5-point spread and 50-point total. Tyler Boyd, CIN vs. OAK DK ($5,200) FD ($5,900) It’s so crazy that these DFS sites continue to price Boyd so low. He currently ranks eighth among all wide receivers in total targets, while collecting a 26 percent team target share and 30 percent of his team’s air yards. Those are some of the best marks in football and his 57 catches for 598 yards aren’t shabby either. That monstrous workload is very enticing in a matchup like this, with the Raiders surrendering the most fantasy points in the league to WRs. In addition, Cincy should have to throw the ball a lot, entering this matchup as a 10.5-point underdog. Dede Westbrook, JAX at IND DK ($4,500) FD ($5,400) Westbrook has been dealing with some injuries over recent weeks and it’s lowered his price to numbers that we can’t pass up. Before getting injured in Week 8, Westbrook averaged 8.6 targets over his previous five games. That led to him averaging five catches for 70 yards per game. That’s really all we can ask for from such a cheap player and we haven’t even discussed the implementation of Nick Foles into the lineup. Foles absolutely loves Westbrook and he actually peppered him with over half of the team’s targets in the preseason when both guys were on the field.Week 11 Wide Receiver Punt Plays Auden Tate, CIN at OAK DK ($4,200) FD ($5,300) This is another case of a player seeing way too many targets to be priced this cheaply. Not only has Tate received at least six targets in seven-straight games, but he’s also averaging 8.3 targets per game in that span. That’s led to him providing 26 percent of his team’s air yards and those rates are way too high for a player in this price range. While the production hasn’t necessarily been there, it could be against a Raiders secondary who surrenders the third-most passing yards in the NFL in addition to the most fantasy points to WRs. Ted Ginn Jr. NO at TB DK ($4,100) FD ($5,200) Ginn is the punt play of all punt plays. He was actually a favorite of many people last week but we’re going to capitalize on that disappointment and use him here at much lower ownership. All the things that made him a good play last week go for this week. Ginn gets to face a Tampa defense who’s surrendered the most passing yards in the NFL while owning a 31st OPRK against opposing wide receivers. That tasty matchup is extremely enticing for this passing game, as we anticipate Drew Brees having a monster day. If he does, Ginn could land one of those deep balls, as his 55 receptions of 20+ yards and 19 catches of 40+ yards since 2013 are some of the best marks in the NFL. Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!Hopkins, Thomas, and Jones Over 23.5 ReceptionsThese are arguably the three-best WRs in the NFL, with two of the leading the league in receptions. I expect two of these guys to get 10 catches, which would mean we only need four from the last one. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL DFS: Injury Updates- Fades/Plays Edwin Porras 4 years ago written by Edwin Porras As the season marches on injuries begin to pile on. At this point, no player is completely healthy making the injury landscape a deep shade of gray. Luckily, I’m here to help you wade through the waters of uncertainty with the DFS Injury Update- Fades and Plays. Keep in mind that all of the following prices are pulled from DraftKings.Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more! Patrick Mahomes ($7,000)I won’t bury the lead and start with the player everybody is asking about: “Patty” Mahomes. From a DFS perspective, it’s tough to fade Mahomes at all- cash or tournaments- but coming off an instability injury like a dislocation makes me nervous about a re-injury. The flip side of this argument is that Mahomes is unlike any talent we’ve every seen, and the literature says that his relative risk of re-dislocation, though elevated, is still not likely. Additionally, what he might lack in mobility, he more than makes up for with his cannon arm. So, the net injury perspective of these arguments is that I would consider using Mahomes in his first week back as leverage against the majority of people who would normally play him but won’t this week due to the injury. Don’t go over board with your shares in cash games, but the Chiefs’ running game is non-existent and if the offensive line can protect long enough for a few deep shots down the field, count me in. Jacoby Brissett ($6,000)Brissett sprained his MCL last week against the Steelers, but has continued practicing this week in a limited capacity. The MCL is responsible for stabilizing the knee and preventing it from caving and rotating inward during planting and cutting. I’m not concerned about Brissett dropping back and passing, but I am worried about his side to side mobility in the pocket. He’s also at a relatively elevated risk for re-injury to that ligament. All in all, Brissett is a fade for me altogether as I can see this being a big game for Marlon Mack ($7,000) and the running game. This will help to protect Brissett from contact and run down the clock on a terrible Miami defense.Update: Jacoby Brissett has was unexpectedly been ruled out. I think this has less to do with Brissett’s injury and more to do with the Colts’ confidence in beating the Dolphins. https://twitter.com/FFStudentDoc/status/1193216576633348097?s=20Marquise Brown ($5,100)Next up on the DFS Injury Update- Fades and Plays is Marquise Brown, who has been dealing with nagging injuries all year. It’s concerning to me that even after a bye week, he re-aggravated an ankle injury. If you combine his limited practice participation on Friday with the fact that he has only scored more than ten DraftKing points once since Week Two, this makes Brown a fade for me in cash. I might consider him in a handful of tournaments given they play the last-place Bengals. This might be a bounce-back game for Mark Andrews ($5,200) from a passing game perspective.George Kittle ($6,700)Kittle is dealing with a knee and ankle injury that is compounded by an ongoing groin issue. As of today, San Francisco has not released his practice participation but at this point, he is considered questionable. Very questionable. It’s an absolute bummer, but Kittle is a fade for me on the Monday night slates even if he is active as there are simply too many moving parts to his injury situation to comfortably use him. The good news for those playing this slate is that Emmanuel Sanders is only $100 more expensive and will likely absorb the targets Kittle would normally see in a game that could easily smash the over of 46.Updated ListIn case you haven’t heard, Matthew Stafford ($6,400) will not play today due to a back injury. Jeff Driskel ($4,100) is a complete hail mary and not worth using in tournaments as a journeyman backup who has not made a single professional start since entering the league in 2016.Amari Cooper ($7,200)The Cowboys hadn’t given much insight on Cooper’s injury this week until the practice report revealed his limited participation. Cooper went from a limited practice, to sitting, then back to a limited practice again on Friday. If you remember, Cooper had a thigh contusion a couple of weeks back, and this very well could be the same injury. They’re painful to play through and stubborn to heal. Additionally, Cooper’s day was saved last week by a late touchdown catch and run in a game where he otherwise had just three receptions on 35 yards. Is this lingering injury holding him back? The up and down nature of this injury makes Cooper a volatile play this week, but may raise the ceiling of one Michael Gallup ($6,300). I’m not using Cooper in cash games this week and would consider Gallup in tournaments.JuJu Smith-SchusterTo say JuJu has been a disappointment this year is less of an indictment on him, and more a reflection of the Steelers as a whole. When “Big Ben” went down in Week Two that offense entered a state of disarray and JuJu has arguably taken the biggest hit in terms of production. To make matters worse, JuJu popped on the injury report on Friday with a foot injury. This foot injury caused him to be on the DFS Injury Update in previous weeks. All things considered, JuJu is a complete fade for me this week. Thank you for reading the DFS Injury Update- Fades and Plays. If you have any more injury questions make sure to follow me on Twitter @FFStudentDoc and check back with me here for updates.THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. Featured image courtesy of Merson. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
