NASCARDaily Fantasy Sports NASCAR DFS: Auto Club 400 Analysis Chris Bouchard 4 years ago written by Chris Bouchard The NASCAR Pennzoil 400 last week again did not break the bank even though I threw a ton of lineups at it. Many DFS cashes, but not the one perfect lineup needed to make serious cash. This week, we head to Fontana, California for the 24th Auto Club 400. Kyle Busch and Jimmie Johnson have won here three times each. No one else in this year’s field has won multiple times, but Kurt Busch, Keselowski, Truex Jr., Harvick, and Larson have each taken the checkered flag at this event. Roush Fenway leads at Fontana with 6 wins and the manufacturer Ford has 10 victories, but neither have dominated the event.Alex Bowman dominated Friday as he led both practice sessions showing very good speed. Kurt Busch also did very well with the 4th best speed in each session. Kyle Larson, Matt DiBenedetto, Ryan Blaney, and Brad Keselowski also were able to gain the top 10 speed in each session. Rookies Christopher Bell and Tyler Reddick also showed some promising speed as well as. I think both of these new drivers will win this season. Practice Session #1 Results Practice Session #2 Results for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!Qualifying Saturday was lead by Clint Bowyer who took the pole with a speed of 179,614 mph. Multiple time winner Jimmie Johnson will join Bowyer in the front row followed by Alex Bowman, who dominated practice, and Kurt Busch who will be in row #2. Other notables in qualifying include Keselowski in 15th, Kyle Busch in 17th, Hamlin in 28th, and Martin Truex Jr. who will start in the rear of the field in 38th after having troubles with pre-qualifying inspections.Martin Truex Jr. is going to be hard to pass up with all of those points available for position differential. I am still riding Kyle Busch for the win, but Alex Bowman’s performance so far this week is hard to ignore. While I will fade him to win with his low odds, I will play him a bit in DFS as a potential dominator.Auto Club 400 Qualifying ResultsJoin our Gold Membership and receive one on one coaching in our private discord chat, access to cheat sheets, access to projection models, and all of our PRO DFS and Sports Betting articles.My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. My mix of players with huge position differential possibilities and those who could dominate the race will hopefully get me the coverage needed. I will be working my DFS lineups late into the night Saturday and will post on twitter and discord my driver usage early Sunday. I will be playing far fewer lineups this week, but have not yet landed on a specific number.NASCAR DFS High-PricedKyle Busch $11,300Martin Truex Jr. $10,400 Kevin Harvick $11,600NASCAR DFS Mid-TierAlex Bowman $8,800Aric Almirola $8,300 Kurt Busch $8,600NASCAR DFS Value PlaysChristopher Bell $7,000Matt DiBenedetto $7,600Bubba Wallace $6,100I also like 5 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am a bit more chalky this week with 3 of my pick being in the top 5 in odds. Kyle Busch to my pick to win this week. DraftKings Picks to Win the Auto Club 400 in Las Vegas THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HEREPlease also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNASCAR NASCAR DFS: Pennzoil 400 Analysis Chris Bouchard 4 years ago written by Chris Bouchard The NASCAR Daytona 500 did not go exactly to plan, as avoiding the “Big One” is very difficult. At times, I was up 4x-5x, but I ended up slightly down after those last 2 crashes. I probably should have play 150 plus lineups. Hamlin had the best car and deserved the win.NASCAR heads to Las Vegas for the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube. This is a 1.5 mile oval that is running this race for the 23rd time. Jimmie Johnson has won this race 4 times, which is two more than Brad Keselowski and Kevin Harvick who are the only other multiple winners. Joey Logano won last year’s edition and is joined by Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch as the other one-time winners in this year’s field. Keselowski and Truex Jr. also have won on this track in the South Point 400 run in September the last two years. for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!The practice sessions heading into qualifying were interesting as 2 Ford’s driven by Aric Almirola and Clint Bowyer was in the top three of both sessions. Jimmie Johnson led the 2nd practice with a speed of 179.432 which topped the day. Bowman, DiBenedetto, Larson, and Blaney were the others who were in the top 10 of both sessions. Ross Chastain also looked good driving the #6 to a 6th place finish in session #2 replacing Ryan Newman.Practice Session #1 Results Practice Session #2 Results Join our Gold Membership and receive one on one coaching in our private discord chat, access to cheat sheets, access to projection models, and all of our PRO DFS and Sports Betting articles.Saturday’s qualifying was canceled due to rain which put Kyle Busch on the pole followed by Truex Jr., Harvick, and Hamlin in the first 2 rows. All the power players on top leaves values play at a minimum. I will lean on those who did well in practice or have had decent success in Las Vegas. Kyle Busch, Hamlin, and Bell will start from the back of the field but will be scored on their starting position. This makes them difficult plays unless you’re looking to be contrarian.Starting GridMy top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I was very torn on how strong to play my top picks. I decided to play hard on those I thought could dominate in laps led and position differential.NASCAR DFS High-PricedKevin Harvick $12,000Brad Keselowski $11,100 Martin Truex Jr. $11,600 NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier Clint Bowyer $8,000 Aric Almirola $7,800 Jimmie Johnson $8,400NASCAR DFS Value PlaysRicky Stenhouse Jr. $7,600Daniel Suarez $6,000Ross Chastain $6,100I am working on all of my lineups currently and will be posting these on twitter either later tonight or early Sunday AM on twitter. I also like 7 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. My #1 pick would be Clint Bowyer at 25/1, but I think there is value with the other plays too. DraftKings Picks to Win the Pennzoil 400 in Las VegasTHANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HEREPlease also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NASCARDaily Fantasy SportsPGA NASCAR DFS: Final DraftKings Daytona 500 Analysis Chris Bouchard 4 years ago written by Chris Bouchard The NASCAR field is finally set for the 62nd Daytona 500 this Sunday. The 2 Bluegreen Vacations duel races on Thursday help set the starting lineup. The first Duel race was won by Joey Logano who led 19 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. continued his good showing at Daytona with 27 led laps and an 8th place finish. Only Daniel Suarez was not running at the end after his crash. The 2nd Duel race was won by William Byron. Kevin Harvick led the most laps at 34 and finished 4th followed by 12 laps led by Alex Bowman who was the pole-sitter but finished 15th. As with the first duel, only one driver J.J Yeley was off the grid at the finish after the accident. Bluegreen Vacations Duel 1 At DAYTONA Bluegreen Vacations Duel 2 At DAYTONA for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!Based on the finishes in the Duel races, we are going to have some chalk in DFS Sunday. Stenhouse Jr. leads everyone on the pole followed by Bowman and Duel Winners Logano and Byron. Friday’s practice was lead by William Byron followed by Ryan Preece and Chase Elliott as Chevrolet dominated taking the top 7 spots for top speed. On Saturday, Joey Logano leads the afternoon practice session as Ford dominated. Kyle Busch is going to be the top chalk starting in the 28th position. Hamlin 21st, Blaney 27th, and Elliott 25th will also be very highly owned. Only Bowman 2nd and Logano 3rd intrigue me at the top. I see Logano winning this race and leading the most laps. Kyle Busch and Hamlin would be my next 2 choices for top DFS point-getters.Daytona 500 Starting GridFriday’s Daytona 500 PracticeSaturday’ Daytona 500 practiceJoin our Gold Membership and receive one on one coaching in our private discord chat, access to cheat sheets, access to projection models, and all of our PRO DFS and Sports Betting articles.I have adjusted my top NASCAR plays at each pricing tier based on the starting grid, duel races, practicing, and most importantly the eye test.NASCAR DFS High-PricedKyle Busch $9,800Joey Logano $10,500 Denny Hamlin $10,400Mid-TierErik Jones $7,900Matt DiBenedetto $7,800 Jimmie Johnson $8,200 Value PlaysChristopher Bell $6,700Brendan Gaughan $7,200 Tyler Reddick $6,400THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HEREPlease also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NASCARDaily Fantasy Sports NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Phoenix Chris Bouchard 4 years ago written by Chris Bouchard Finally had a good week of DFS in Texas as Kevin Harvick took care of business and punched his ticket to the final 4 in Miami. This week we head to the ISM Raceway in Phoenix to fill the last 2 spots in the playoff chase. Kyle Busch and Joey Logano have the advantage, but one wrong move on the track or in the pits can change that. Chase Elliott is in a major slump and is in a must win situation. I am interested to see how he practices and qualifies, because he could be an interesting DFS play.Phoenix is a 1 mile track that opened in 1964. Since 2005 they have held 2 races a year which are currently the TicketGuardian500 and Bluegreen Vacations500. Harvick is the dominator here with 9 wins and 16 top 5 finishes. He will nearly be impossible to fade if he qualifies on top. Other drivers have also had success here like Jimmie Johnson (4 wins – None since 2009), Kyle Busch (3 wins – Including the last two at this track), and Ryan Newman (2 wins)Playoff standing after TexasSign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!DFS this week will be very specific for me with the 5 drivers racing for the last 2 spots dominating my lineups. The cream will rise to the top and I can’t imagine any of those five not being in the top 10 unless they get caught up in a wreck. For me, Elliott will be the wild card. I will be over owned on him if he qualifies and practices well, and under owned or will fade him completely if he does not.Regarding Harvick and Truex Jr. if they get the pole I will probably be 50% or more, otherwise I most likely will play them more as a GPP pivot. Contests will be won based on how the value performs. I have five drivers I will be focusing on.Ryan Newman – I love the fact that he has won here before and has driven very well the last 2 weeks. Outside of the Hollywood Casino 500 disaster, he has averaged 54 DK points over his last 3 finishes and is only $7,600 this week.Jimmie Johnson – He is a legend and at $7,900 I always have to give him a look. He has finished 34th or worse the last 3 weeks, but outside of those, he has finished 10th, 8th 9th, 11th, and 11th. He has a top 10 in him and possibly a top 5 if he gets some breaks.Aric Almirola – He has back to back 4th place finishes at this track his last 2 races, and he has proven week after week he is a top driver qualifying well and always in the mix including last week’s 2nd place finish. He just has to stay out of trouble and another top 5 is very possible. Austin Dillon – At $6,800 he is a tremendous value. He has been consistent and if everything goes right, he has serious top 10 potential. His value goes up if he qualifies outside the top 20 as long as he practices ok. He finished 8th in this race last year. Daniel Suarez – After a rough go of it lately, he finished 3rd last week and I think he can bring that momentum to Phoenix. I assume he will qualify in the 10-15 range and I love his top 5 potential. His last 3 finishes of 19th, 21st, and 36th here may also keep his ownership down.2019 TicketGuardian500 at Phoenix Results2018 Can Am 500 at Phoenix Results Below are my pre Practice/Qualifying rankings. I will update my rankings and give my driver usage for DFS once qualifying is official.NASCAR DFS High-PricedKevin Harvick $11,500 Kyle Busch $11,900 Kyle Larson $9,600Mid-TierRyan Newman $7,600Jimmie Johnson $7,900 Aric Almirola $8,100Value PlaysDaniel Suarez $7,200 Austin Dillon $6,800Rickie Stenhouse Jr. $6,600 I was also looking at DraftKings’ and FanDuel’s sportsbooks and FanDuel has the best odd by far. There are 4 plays that I think have great value with Ryan Newman at 180/1 being ridiculous.THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HEREPlease also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NASCARDaily Fantasy Sports NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Texas Chris Bouchard 4 years ago written by Chris Bouchard Martinsville did not turn out like I has hoped as Martin Truex Jr. did exactly what I expected Denny Hamlin to do by dominating the race. Those short tracks are tricky and you have to throw your dart. This week we get back to a 1.5 mile track at the Texas Motor Speedway. There are only 2 races left for those 8 finalists still left in the playoffs to make the final four in Miami. For those below the cut line, this week in crucial as a DNF could force a must-win situation at Phoenix next week. Truex is currently on top followed by Hamlin, Kyle Busch, and Joey Logano in the top 4. Playoff Standing thru MartinsvilleSign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!The Texas Motor Speedway is a newer track opening in 1996. It hosts 2 races yearly with the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 in the Spring and the AAA Texas 500 in the fall. Jimmie Johnson has dominated at this track with 7 wins, but many others in the race Sunday have also had success including Kyle Busch and Hamlin with 3 wins, Harvick with 2, and Logano and Newman with one. Hamlin took the race earlier this season with some longer shots in the next three spots including Bowyer, Suarez, and Jones. I will have to spread a bit more in this race, to make sure I have proper DFS coverage.2019 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 ResultsBelow are my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings for DraftKings. I am a little more comfortable on this type of track, but I still prefer the super speedways. I always like drivers who will go for the win and take the risks necessary to make it happen.NASCAR DFS High-PricedDenny Hamlin $10,800Kevin Harvick $10,400 Kyle Busch $11,200Mid-TierJimmie Johnson $8,600 Erik Jones $8,400William Byron $8,000 Value PlaysRicky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800Daniel Suarez $7,200Paul Menard $7,300Kevin Harvick led qualifying which was no surprise. Erik Jones and Denny Hamlin were close behind followed by Kurt Busch to complete the first two rows. The other playoff drivers qualified 11th (Logano), 12th (Kyle Busch), 13th (Larson), 14th (Elliott), 15th (Larson), and 17th (Truex Jr.) so all are in decent position to make a run to the top.AAA Texas 500 Qualifying ResultsIt was very hard to decide who I wanted to back in this race on DraftKings. I decided to lean on the big three of Harvick, Hamlin, and Kyle Busch and wheel a bunch of value around them. It was hard to ignore Johnson who qualified 25th, but I was cautious only using him 4 times. I also thought Bowyer (24th), Newman (25th), and Menard (31st) had top 10-15 potential which would score well in DFS. I had to throw in some deep value in some lineups, but no one under $6K stood out. Below is my driver usage over 23 lineups. Good Luck!Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day – Click here to play now now and get 100 Percent Matching Bonus!I am a bit leery about Logano in this spot, so I would lean under with him, but I think Jones could lead some laps and get a top 5 finish, thus, I am on the over with him.THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HEREPlease also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNASCAR NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Martinsville Chris Bouchard 4 years ago written by Chris Bouchard Just 4 events left after a crazy finish in Kansas that saw Joey Logano edge out Brad Keselowski for the last of the 8 playoff spots. Now we head to Martinsville in NASCAR DFS to start the final-four playoff push for Miami. Kyle Busch leads the playoff standings with 46 points followed closely by Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin.Current Playoff Standings. The top 4 after Martinsville, Texas, and Phoenix race for the title in Miami on November 17thSign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!The Martinsville Speedway is a 0.52 mile track that opened in 1947. The STP 500 is ran in the Spring and this race, the First Data 500, is always in the Fall. Jimmie Johnson and Hendrick Motorsports have dominated this event in the past as Johnson has 6 wins, with the last in 2016, and Hendrick Motorsports has 16 wins since 1987. Chevrolet dominated with 6 straight wins from 2011 to 2016, but Toyota and Ford have won the last two with Kyle Busch and Joey Logano. Denny Hamlin is the only other multiple winner of this event, winning back to back in 2009-2010. Johnson and Hamlin also have won the Spring STP 500 3 times each with Brad Keselowski winning it twice.2018 First Data 500 ResultsHere were my pre-qualifying NASCAR DFS rankings. This is a race where the cream usually rises to the top, and I like to choose drivers that qualify well. Sometimes you are forced to go outside the top 10 for value, but otherwise the top is best. You will also see the best drivers are slightly more expensive this week. NASCAR DFS High-PricedDenny Hamlin $11,000 Joey Logano $10,100 Kyle Busch $11,800Mid-TierAlex Bowman $8,300William Byron $8,000Jimmie Johnson $8,100Value PlaysTy Dillon $6,200Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,000Paul Menard $7,100Qualifying was not too surprising. Denny Hamlin took the pole and will be my main play for the race. Chase Elliott qualified 2nd, but due to a blown engine in practice, he will be starting at the rear of the field. The other playoff drivers were all over the grid with Truex Jr. 3rd, Blaney 6th, Joey Logano 10th, Kyle Busch 13th, Larson 14th, and Kevin Harvick a disappointing 22nd. I decided to play only 3 lineups this weekend. Hamlin is in all three of them, then I mixed in the rest of my favorite plays. I was planning on playing deeper, but I decided to go with less lineups in more contests. My best week ever in NASCAR DFS was using one lineup that pushed over 600 points, so lets hope this strategy works again. My driver usage is below. Good Luck!DraftKings DFS Picks for MartinsvilleMonkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day – Click here to play now now and get 100 Percent Matching Bonus!I am going with the under for both drivers in this play. Elliott is at the back of the pack to start and I do not see Busch contending. Neither will lead enough laps to get the needed Fantasy Points.THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HEREPlease also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NASCARDaily Fantasy Sports NASCAR DFS: DraftKings DFS analysis for Kansas Chris Bouchard 4 years ago written by Chris Bouchard Just 5 events left after an amazing race at Talladega last weekend. 10 drivers are still in the chase for the last 6 spots in the playoffs with Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney already guaranteed spots into the next round. The Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Sunday should be very interesting as some below the cut line are in must-win situations. Those above the cut line need to stay aggressive, but must avoid a DNF. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!PLAYOFF STANDINGSThe Kansas Speedway is a 1.5 mile track that opened in 2001 and has become a main cog in the playoff chase. Chevrolet has won 10 of the 18 events and 3 drivers in the field (Johnson, Harvick, and Logano) have won twice. Chase Elliott won last year’s event. The Digital Ally 400 event is also held at the Kansas track in May. Harvick and Johnson have each also won this event. Brad Keselowski is the only 2-time winner including this year’s event, which had a nice mix of chalk and value plays in the top 10.2019 DIGITAL ALLY 400 RESULTS AT KANSASBelow were my pre-qualifying DFS rankings. There was a huge focus on the drivers in the playoffs, but narrowing in on the value plays with Top-10 potential is crucial.High PricedJoey Logano $9,800Brad Keselowski $9,600Kevin Harvick $11,000Mid-TierClint Bowyer $8,800Jimmie Johnson $8,000William Byron $8,200Value PlaysChris Buescher $6,700Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,000Ryan Newman $7,300Qualifying gave two playoff chase drivers some issues as Kevin Harvick was not able to qualify after after failing inspection and will start at the rear of the field. Martin Truex Jr. failed inspection twice and qualified 11th. Both have lost their crew chiefs for rest of the weekend. Harvick instantly becomes the chalk of the event in DFS. It will be hard to fade him. Rookie Daniel Hemric took the pole at just over 178 MPH. David Ragan was a surprise #2 qualifier followed by Blaney, Keselowski, and Larson in the top 5. Kyle Busch continues to qualify poorly, finishing 18th as did other playoff chase competitors Denny Hamlin (23rd) and Joey Logano (29th). There will be a ton of jostling for position as these drivers try to move their way to the top.I have included my final driver percentages for Kansas below over 41 lineups. My “OPTIMAL” lineup will include Harvick, Elliott, and Keselowski with 3 value plays. I am using this lineup in a single entry event. Good Luck Sunday!THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HEREPlease also follow me on Twitter @CHRISBOUCHARD88 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NASCAR NASCAR DFS at New Hampshire: Picks and Qualifying Tidbits Emely Sharman 4 years ago written by Emely Sharman The NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series heads to New Hampshire for the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301. This comes after one of the best finishes we have seen this year, and it was between the Busch Brothers. A late caution set up a Green-White-Checkered finish in which Kurt Busch raced around the outside of brother, Kyle, to get the win. Kurt Busch led 42 laps on his way to the win at Kentucky. Moving ahead, we will take a look at the top NASCAR DFS values at New Hampshire. Salaries are based on DraftKings. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold here. Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more.StrategyNew Hampshire is just over one mile and they will run 301 laps in this one. This is not a track where qualifying up front means a whole lot as shown by the Top 10 in past years. There has been at least five drivers who qualified 10th or worse who have finished in the Top 10 in the last three years. There are often one or two drivers who will lead a lot of laps here, so getting one of those drivers will be key. This is a track to try and vary your NASCAR DFS team with high upside Place Differential guys and a driver or two who could lead a lot of laps. High Salary ($9,000)Kyle Busch ($11,900)Kyle Busch is once again the top priced driver and he has been in contention here a lot lately. Busch has three Top 3s in his last four starts here and has led laps in each of the last five, over 95 on three occasions. His low Driver Rating over those five is 116. He has three wins at New Hampshire in his career and also has four runner-up finishes. Busch is always a good choice for NASCAR DFS if you can fit him in but it will be tough to build a team around him this week at his expensive price tag. Martin Truex Jr. ($11,500)Once again the runner-up in price is Martin Truex Jr. and for good reason. The series has featured a lot of quality tracks for Truex Jr. lately and this is no different. Although Truex Jr. does not have a win here in his career he has four straight finishes of seventh or better and crazy good Driver Ratings. His low DR in the past five years here is 117 and he peaked at 134.6 in 2017. He has also led a ton of laps here. In the past five races at New Hampshire, he has never led less than 85 laps and has led a combined 596 laps in that span. Truex Jr. should be a good NASCAR DFS pick this week. Kyle Larson ($9,400)We now get to a little more affordable drivers in this range. Larson has been very good at New Hampshire in the past. He has the third best Average Finishing Position, behind Busch and Truex Jr., at 5.33. Larson posted back to back runner-up finishes in 2016 and 2017 with Driver Averages of 112.8 and 122 in those two races. He finished 12th last year after starting 20th. Larson is coming off a solid stretch of races including a fourth place finish last week at Kentucky. I love his value here as I think he should be above the $10,000 mark at a track he loves and with a boatload of momentum. Kurt Busch ($9,200)Kurt Busch is coming off of his first win of 2019 after he believes he should have won the week before at Daytona. Beating his younger brother head to head has Busch’s confidence sky high coming into the Foxwoods Resort Casino 301. He also has a quality history at New Hampshire and discounting his DNF in 2017, he has three straight finishes of eighth or better with Driver Ratings of 91, 97, and 124 last year. He is another NASCAR DFS play that I think is underpriced. Erik Jones ($9,000)Erik Jones is starting to heat up as the season moves along and added a third place finish last week at Kentucky. He had 21 of the fastest laps in that race and put up 70 NASCAR DFS points. Although Erik Jone’s Average Finishing Position of 20.33 (includes a DNF) leaves much to be desired at New Hampshire, he has shown flashes here in the past and is on a roll lately. In 2017, Jones ran in the Top 10 all day and finished sixth with a Driver Rating of 111.3. I like his momentum and value at the bottom end of this salary range. Mid Salary ($8,900 – $7,000)Ryan Blaney ($8,600)Blaney is ranked as the 12th priced driver this week and I think that is once again too low for him. Blaney has back to back Top 10s at New Hampshire and comes in with a decent amount of momentum. He has been running well lately and has an average Driver Rating of over 99 here in the past two races. Since stages were introduced, he has picked up stage points every chance here, and finished stage two second in both events the past two years. Blaney is a Mid Salary NASCAR DFS driver who I think should be priced in the High Salary range.Daniel Suarez ($7,800)Suarez once again lands on this list and he has not shown a reason to not be included. After leading 46 laps last week and picking up an eighth place finish, Suarez should ride his momentum into this weekend. His average Fantasy Points is equal to or better than five drivers priced above him. He always comes at a great price and helps bring some upside for a Mid Salary pick. Suarez has two Top 10s in his three career races at New Hampshire. He has an Average Finish here of 12 over the past three years which is better than some big names, including Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and Brad Keselowski. He should once again return positive NASCAR DFS value this week. Ryan Newman ($7,600)Newman comes into New Hampshire with a lot of momentum and some good track history. This has always been one of Newman’s favorite tracks and he has three wins here in his career. He finished sixth here last year with a Driver Rating of 86.8. He has four Top 10s in his last five races this year and is right on the edge of the points standings cutoff, which will only motivate him more to run well.Low Salary ($6,900 and lower)Austin Dillon ($6,900)Dillon has once again dipped into the low salary range and it makes him a target for NASCAR DFS this week. Austin Dillon has never finished worse than 22nd at New Hampshire and has seven Top 20s in nine chances here. His Driver Rating has been steady in the upper 60s and that gives him good value at this price. Bubba Wallace Jr. ($5,500)Another name that they refuse to show respect on NASCAR DFS sites is Bubba Wallace Jr. He is not astar, obviously, but to be priced this low doesn’t seem right. He has been a safe play this year and has not finished outside the Top 30 in his last 10 starts. Wallace Jr. has one start at New Hampshire in which he qualified 27th and finished 24th, which gives plenty of value at a near minimum price.Post Qualifying TidbitsAlex Bowman ($8,900) has huge value for this weekend after not being able to put a lap down. He will start in last place and has huge Place Differential upside. Bowman went from off my list to a very valuable pick, especially in cash games, as he will be highly owned. Kevin Harvick’s ($11,100) value also went up because of Place Differential upside. He qualified 14th and should work his way into the Top 5. Kyle Larson ($9,400) also had a value jump but he was never expected to qualify great here. He will start 15th and is still my favorite pick of the week for New Hampshire.Value Increased Post Qualifying Denny Hamlin ($9,700)Ryan Newman ($7,600)Austin Dillon ($6,900)Value Decreased Post Qualifying Brad Keselowski ($10,700)Jimmie Johnson ($8,000)Matt DiBenedetto ($6,600)NASCAR Wild Card Pick (High Risk- High Reward)Chase Elliott ($10,000)Thank you for reading. You can join the Win Daily team by following the link here. This will give you access to all of the FREE content along with options to join our premium. Follow myself and Win Daily on Twitter at @thiel_boy and @windailydfs. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NASCAR NASCAR DFS at Chicagoland: Picks and Preview Emely Sharman 4 years ago written by Emely Sharman Chicagoland Speedway hosts the NASCAR Cup Series this upcoming weekend after a dominating performance from Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. Truex Jr. led 59 of the 90 laps and held off a late charging Kyle Busch for the win. Those two were way in front of the third place finisher, Ryan Blaney, who was over 30 seconds behind. Truex Jr. ,has a great chance to get a repeat win as he won two of the last three races at Chicagoland to go with a fourth place finish last year. Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold here. Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more.OutlookChicagoland is a 1.5 mile track, with 267 laps, where starting up front does not always mean a driver will finish up front. Only one time since 2005 has the winner came from the front row. This shows that we could have some huge upside drivers who will be starting farther back in the pack. Checking back for our post-qualifying update will be key to putting together a good lineup. Let’s take a look at some of the best values on the slate before qualifying. Salaries are based on DraftKings. High Salary ($9,000+)Martin Truex Jr. ($10,900)Coming off a dominating performance at Sonoma, Truex Jr. should again be the top play this week. He comes in as the third highest priced driver and I believe he should be the top priced. Kyle Busch, the highest priced driver, did win at the site last year but his recent history is not as good as Truex’s. That win was Busch’s only Top 5 since 2013. Truex Jr. has three straight Top 5s and comes in with more confidence and momentum than any other driver in the series. He has not had a Driver Rating under 108 in his last four races at Chicagoland and was over 126 twice. Truex Jr. will be my main target among the high salary drivers. Chase Elliott ($9,700)Elliott has a great history at Chicagoland and comes in at his most affordable price since April. He has raced at this site three times in the Cup series with finishes of third, second, and 19th. Even in the 19th place finish, he was second and fourth in the two stages, showing he ran better than he finished. Elliott was the third best car at Sonoma last week before blowing his engine and he should have some confidence coming in. Elliott had 13 straight Top 15s, and five Top 5s in his last six races before the past two down weeks. He should be able to get back to that form at one of his best tracks. Elliott has the top Driver Rating at this track with a 111.4, and the best Average Running Position by a decent margin at 5.064. Elliott should run in the Top 5 most of the day and will be in a great position late in the day. Kyle Larson ($9,500)Larson has finished no worse than seventh in all but one of his career starts at Chicagoland. His career Driver Rating of 101.9 ranks fourth in the series and his Average Running Position of 8.848 ranks third. He is behind Jimmie Johnson in both stats and most of Johnson’s excellence at this track came back in the early 2000s, so you can bump him up in those stats in recent years. Larson has yet to put it all together in a points race this year but this is a great track for him and he should be able to contend. Mid Salary ($8,900 – $7,000)Denny Hamlin ($8,500)Denny Hamlin has a really good track history at Chicagoland and has not finished worse than seventh since 2013. His DR over the past five years averaged over 102. He has also ran pretty well recently and led at least one lap in each of the Cup Series’ last four races. Hamlin should be priced above $9,000 at one of his best tracks and he provides great value at Chicagoland. Ryan Blaney ($8,300)Blaney is coming into this weekend at Chicagoland with some momentum after finishing third at Sonoma. He has two Top 10s in a row and four straight Top 15s. Blaney’s career at Chicagoland doesn’t really stand out, as he has an Average Finish of 11th and a DR of 86.7. He also comes in at his lowest price in any points race this year and $2,800 under where he peaked. Blaney has shown the ability to get on some hot streaks and I believe he can use his recent momentum to better his career Chicagoland numbers. He seems underpriced here and should return really good value. Aric Almirola ($8,200)We are working off of only one race to show us Almirola’s potential at Chicagoland. When he ran with the 43 car, he didn’t show much and only had one Top 10 in his six starts. Last year, driving for Stewart-Haas, although the finish doesn’t show it, Almirola ran really well. His Driver Rating was very high at 109.8 and he led 70 laps but finished 25th. This is a price where we can invest in Almirola.Jimmie Johnson ($8,000)This is another track, like Sonoma, where Johnson used to dominate and has fell off a bit lately but has still been serviceable. He has finished no worse than 14th since 2010 and although he doesn’t have a win at the site he has been very good. His career DR of 110.2 is second best in the series since ’05. As said, this number has dropped lately but not plummeted and his DR is at 97.7 over his last five races at Chicagoland. Johnson should once again return good DFS value at this low of a price. Low Salary ($6,900 and lower)Austin Dillon ($6,900)If Dillon continues to be priced this low I will continue to roster him. His career at Chicagoland is not too bad other than a few outlier DNFs. He has finished 16th or better in the three races other than his DNFs. His DR (74.6) is far superior at Chicagoland than that of the other drivers in this salary range. Dillon should again be able to be counted on for a Top 15-20 finish with some upside. CornerstonesThe two cornerstones are the two drivers who I think provide the best values this week. Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin both seemed to be underpriced and provide great DFS value this weekend. I think Truex Jr. will again compete for this win this week and Denny Hamlin should run in the Top 5 for a majority of this race and could also get his first win of the year here. *Check back after qualifying for the post qualifying report. This will be very important this week as Chicagoland has proven to be an easy place to pass and pick up spots gained points. Thank you for reading. You can join the Win Daily team by following the link here. This will give you access to all of the FREE content along with options to join our premium. Follow myself and Win Daily on Twitter at @thiel_boy and @windailydfs. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NASCAR DFS NASCAR Post Qualifying Report: Sonoma Ethan Thiel 4 years ago written by Ethan Thiel The Cup Series is at Sonoma, California this week and qualifying was Saturday afternoon. I’ll take you through some big names and how they fared and what it means for their DFS values going into Sunday’s race. You can see the full pre-qualifying breakdown by following the link here. My favorite pick for Sunday’s race did not change after Qualifying as Martin Truex Jr. ran a pretty good time and will line up eighth. He should give great value and is still my pick to get the win. My other huge upside play is Kurt Busch, who has been great at Sonoma and will start 16th Sunday. He started outside the Top 15 both of the past two races here and finished sixth and seventh. His low starting spot does not worry me at all. The top priced driver this week is Kevin Harvick and he did not run well in qualifying. He will start 23rd. This gives Harvick huge upside as he has shown he can drive his way up from the back. In 2016, Harvick started 25th and finished sixth. Kyle Larson is starting on the pole for the third consecutive year at Sonoma. Although he has never qualified outside the Top 5, his best finish is 12th in 2016. He could contend but his upside is low and he should not be considered for your lineup. Chris Buescher qualified 10th and has been pretty good at Sonoma over the past few years. Some people might try to get cute and roster the lesser known names but I think there are better options in his price range. Included in those options are Alex Bowman and Aric Almirola, who qualified 12th and 15th respectively. These are good starting spots for these two as it shows they have relatively fast cars and they have room for upside. Austin Dillon should provide good value Sunday. He starts 26th and has never finished worse than 22nd here. Last year he started 27th and finished 16th.The lowest priced driver I originally gave you was Ryan Preece. He will start 20th and I still like him as a big value pick after his Xfinity road course stats. Get FREE MLB DFS articles and sign up for Premium access to the Win Daily team but clicking here. 4 years ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
