DP World TourSports BettingPremium Open de France Picks: Everything You Need to Know David Bieleski 1 week ago written by David Bieleski Having selected winner Vincent Norrman at 45/1 and Ryan Fox in 3rd at 40/1 at the Irish Open, it was a week of what could have been at the BMW PGA Championship. Undoubtedly, my fellow countryman Ryan Fox was a deserving winner. The composure he displayed down the final stretch was incredibly compelling. Despite the huge number of arguably bigger names breathing down his neck, Fox recovered from a triple bogey on the 3rd hole to play the final 15 at 8-under. He continues to impress in the big moments and an even bigger 2024 could well be imminent. Could he upset our Open de France picks? A couple of those bigger names were our headline selections, with Tommy Fleetwood 14/1 and Tom Kim 25/1 sitting just one and two shots back respectively. They both managed to capitulate over the course of the final round, but it was pleasing as always to have live chances well in contention. We also cashed Top 40 bets on Shubhankar Sharma (150/1) and Julien Brun (180/1). It has also been a great... 1 week ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGASports BettingPremium John Deere Classic Picks and Advice: All You Need To Know David Bieleski 3 months ago written by David Bieleski What a year we are having! Daniel Hillier secured yet another victory from our selections over on the DP World Tour. The 80/1 long-shot secured the British Masters with a stunning final 9 holes, including going eagle-birdie-eagle before a clutch par putt on the 18th. Let's look for another winner with our John Deere Classic picks. https://twitter.com/deepdivegolf/status/1675531476836974597?s=20Hillier made an obvious selection. He had finished 3rd and 5th in two of his three most recent appearances. Realistically, he was in a position to win one if not both of those tournaments. But, the secret sauce actually came from a 2021 Challenge Tour event. The 2021 British Challenge was hosted on the same course at The Belfry. Obviously, it was an easier setup than the DP World Tour tournaments played at the same venue. Hillier finished 14th that week. However, Hillier was the best player in the field over the last three rounds. Likely this was missed by many, but not when we are @DeepDiveGolf!... 3 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports BettingPGAPremium Rocket Mortgage Classic Picks and Advice: All You Need to Know David Bieleski 3 months ago written by David Bieleski It looked for the first two days of The Travelers Championship as we were well on track for the three-peat. Following winners of Nick Taylor 66/1 and Wyndham Clark 80/1, Denny McCarthy led across the first two rounds. Unfortunately, a rare cold putter in the 3rd round saw him fall out of contention. He still collected a full place payout for us along with the Top 20 money to keep the ball rolling. It looks like another birdie fest is instore for our Rocket Mortgage Classic picks.Course AnalysisNestled in the heart of Detroit lies the magnificent Detroit Golf Club, a captivating haven for golfers seeking a true test of their skills. With its meticulously manicured fairways, undulating greens, and strategic bunkering, this Donald Ross masterpiece offers an ideal setting for our Rocket Mortgage Classic picks.Many people will simply look at the list of winners and believe this is a bombers paradise. Seeing names such as Tony Finau, Cam Davis, and Bryson DeChambeau battling Matthew Wolff co... 3 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports BettingPGA U.S. Open Picks & Advice: All you need to know about the 123rd U.S. Open David Bieleski 4 months ago written by David Bieleski What a week at the RBC Canadian Open! Nick Taylor was included in our selections at 66/1, causing EPIC celebrations within the WinDaily Sports Discord akin to the 18th green celebrations on course. The dramatic victory and breaking of 60+ years of hoodoo managed to overshadow the PIF news and the PGA/LIV Golf merger momentarily. There is no rest though, as it is another big week with our US Open picks!Unlike the drought of Canadian citizens winning their national open, the 66/1 win was simply a continuation of another fantastic year for our selections. We rarely give out match-up plays. However, we saw an edge in Round 4 and we went 6/6 for our selections. This follows the same at the PGA Championship, when we last gave out some Round 4 match-ups and duly went 4/4. We have now shown a return on investment in 2023 of +69% and are up +562.57 units. Profit is already guaranteed in 2023 for those who have followed!https://twitter.com/deepdivegolf/status/1669011871264034816?s=20Los Angeles Country Club plays host to the 123rd US Open. This is the first time LA have hosted a US Open since 1940 and the inaugural US Open at this course. In fact, there have been no professional events held at this exclusive club. There have been amateur events, namely a Pac-12 Championship and Walker Cup, but this course will play so different to those events I think any perceived information from those tournaments can be largely discarded. Read on to find what we believe are the key metrics to target this week.Los Angeles Country Club Course AnalysisThe first note is this course, on paper, plays very long. A 7,421 yard would not be uncommon for a par 72. We instead find a par 70, with 5 par 3s and just 3 par 5s. However, I do think the distance needs to come with a few caveats.Chiefly, the conditions are extremely firm and fast. This will enhance rollout, especially for those with a lower ball-flight. Where I do see driving distance being an asset is the large number of approach shots over 200+ yards. Naturally, those with increased driving distance tend to have higher clubhead speed and therefore can use a higher loft on a long approach shot. Additionally, with some pretty mean and thick rough this week. A semblance of strength will be beneficial for your US Open picks digging the ball out after missed fairways and greens.https://twitter.com/BradFaxon/status/1668806642765365249?s=20Much has been made of how wide these fairways are. Again, I think this requires a little more of a deep dive. Fairways are heavily sloped in many instances. In addition to the firm and fast conditions, they will play a lot narrower than on first sight.With multiple long par 3s and some big par 4/5s, long iron approach will be imperative to success. Again, do note that of the long par 3s some significant elevation changes do occur. The 280 yard 7th hole has an exposed front and will allow players to roll the ball up to the green. The 290+ yard 11th par 3 is also severely downhill.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TcIcBilkJ9k&t=614sFinally, these greens will be hard to hold. The course is as close to “links” like in nature that you may ever find at the US Open. The ability to rebound from bogeys and save par will be essential for our US Open picks.What type of golfer suits LACC?Overall, it looks that this will provide a stern all round examination of a golfer’s game. That starts from SG: OTT. Certainly, I do expect a situation where driving distance take precedence. But, ideally, this also comes with a modicum of accuracy. I believe an average driving distance of at least 295 yards is essential.I have leaned heavily on long approach for the US Open picks this week. We may even see players resorting to irons and fairways woods to try hold these fairways in certain spots. This will further emphasize the need for elite long iron approach.Around the green receives the weakest ranking of all the mainstream SG metrics. There will be some luck involved, with the bermudagrass rough around the greens so thick. Also, the long grass takes some of the skill out of such chips. However, I do believe bunker play could be a factor and there are some runoff areas which will produce tight lies.Finally, I do weight putting a little higher than usual for our US Open picks. Particularly, this is true for bentgrass putting. Inevitably, every player will need to make their share of putts. Birdie opportunities will need to be taken; pars will need to be saved.Course Comps for our US Open PicksLos Angeles Country Club From what we have been able to discern from the information available, this course does look to be quite a unique test for our US Open picks. Elements to Augusta National are observed. There is some more width of the tee than we would usually see at a US Open venue, as well as bentgrass greens. Naturally, with the sloped fairways I can see parallels and that rings true for the Plantation Course at Kapalua as well. Plantation also requires a disproportionate number of shots over 200+ yards and under 100 yards. I like that combination, as I believe on top of the long approach shots some closer iron shots may be required if finding trouble off-the-tee.Other US Open venues of Shinnecock, Chambers Bay, and Erin Hills. Neighbouring Riviera Country Club is also a George Thomas design and holds some parallels. Finally, I think Scottish Open host the Renaissance Club may be a sneaky parallel. The winning score here has been -7 and -11 previously depending on setup and wind. Although in a links style, it is not a true links course. Exposed and rugged, with undulating fairways and firm conditions, the course appears to strike some similarities to LACC.Renaissance ClubWeather for our US Open PicksThe weather still looks to be developing this week and I will provide a final update Wednesday evening in the WinDaily Sports Discord.Overall, conditions promise to present low humidity and warm temperatures. The course should take little time to crisp up and play very firm and fast in the afternoons particularly. Both Thursday and Friday currently look to hold a similar outlook with very calm conditions in the morning and winds picking up in the afternoon. The morning should also prevent mildly softer conditions, before the greens firm up in the combination of sun, low humidity, and breeze. As it stands, there looks to be slightly higher and more persistent winds Friday afternoon compared to Thursday.This pattern looks to continue into the weekend, with winds gusting up to 20-25mph in the afternoons.Given the above course analysis and predicted weather, I’m projecting a typical US Open winning score of -6 to -9 for our US Open Picks.US Open PicksWe have 6 headline selections this week. I’ve also included 5 longshot bombs to consider. However, you’ll notice a heavily reduced win stake. The win stake is mainly to take advantage of the generous place terms, and emphasis is on the Top 20/40 options. Selections are weighted accordingly in the below suggested staking.Headliners: Suggested StakingPatrick Cantlay 4pts E/W +1400 (William Hill with 10 places 1/5 odds) Xander Schauffele – Your US Open Picks Favourite Headliner2.5pts E/W +1800 (William Hill with 10 places 1/5 odds) Tony Finau 2.5pts E/W +2800 (William Hill with 10 places 1/5 odds) Justin Rose 2pts E/W +3500 (William Hill with 10 places 1/5 odds) Rickie Fowler – Your US Open Picks Best Value Headliner2pts E/W +6000 (William Hill with 10 places 1/5 odds) Wyndham Clark 2pts E/W +6000 (William Hill with 10 places 1/5 odds) Longshot Bombs: Suggested StakingRyan Fox – Your US Open Picks Favourite Longshot Bomb1pt E/W +12500 (William Hill with 10 places 1/5 odds) And 2pts Top 20 +550 (TAB) Kurt Kitayama 0.25pts E/W +17500 (William Hill with 8 places 1/5 odds) And 3.5pts Top 40 +250 (TAB) Patrick Rodgers 0.25pts E/W +20000 (William Hill with 8 places 1/5 odds) And 3.5pts Top 40 +170 (Bet365) Adam Schenk – Your US Open Picks Best Value Longshot Bomb0.25pts E/W +20000 (William Hill with 8 places 1/5 odds) And 3.5pts Top 40 +190 (Bet365) Sepp Straka 0.25pts E/W +25000 (William Hill with 8 places 1/5 odds) And 3.5pts Top 40 +190 (Bet365) SummaryThank you reading our 2023 US Open picks. For an article with some insights on my golf analysis process, check this link here!Link into the WinDaily Discord channel here. You can ask direct questions for your DFS lineups with all of our experts, as well as one-on-one coaching!PROMO: To celebrate our BIG win at the RBC Canadian Open, we are giving away a FREE one month trial for WinDaily Gold Membership! This is a LIMITED offer, so get in quick! Includes all our premium content, personalized advice, Discord premium chat, and future articles. Make sure you are signed up to WinDaily Gold! 4 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports BettingPGAPremium Wells Fargo Championship Picks: All You Need to Know David Bieleski 5 months ago written by David Bieleski The Mexico Open shaped up as good as could be hoped for the PGA Tour, with two leading lights of Tony Finau and Jon Rahm duking it out for the title. However, it was very hard to argue there was any significant value to be found in those selections priced at just +375 and +700 pre-tournament. Unfortunately, it was therefore also a tricky week for our picks as a result. Wyndham Clark recovered nicely from a very poor opening round to move up the leaderboard significantly. Patrick Rodgers and Joseph Bramlett joined him in that upward trajectory. However, both finished in 10th and just one shot outside place money for us. There will be more on Rodgers and Clark in our Wells Fargo Championship Picks this week.Course Analysis for our Wells Fargo Championship PicksCertainly, the first thing to note for your Wells Fargo Championship Picks is the return to Quail Hollow Golf Course. The tournament shifted to TPC Potomac for last year's edition, due to a clash in preparation for hosting the Pres... 5 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports BettingPGAPremium Mexico Open Picks & Advice: All You Need to Know David Bieleski 5 months ago written by David Bieleski It was yet another winner for DeepDiveGolf and WinDaily at the Zurich Classic. Nick Hardy and Davis Riley scored their debut victory and got the win done for us at 45/1. It was nearly another Trans-Atlantic double, with Calum Hill (90/1) finishing just one shot outside the playoff in Japan on the DP World Tour. We secured a full place payout from him as well as Top 20 place money. We also had Wyndham Clark and Beau Hossler in our selections, who lead after each of the first three rounds. Ultimately, they finished up in 3rd fading slightly in the final round. Again, it was another full place payout. What a great way to enter what feels a fantastic opportunity to target with our Mexico Open Picks!The Jon Rahm ConversationIt seems apropos to begin this week with a paragraph on what to do about Jon Rahm. The defending champion here arrives in even better form than he did last year. He has won an astonishing 43% of his starts since October 2022. And, you can argue that this week is an even ... 5 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports BettingPGAPremium RBC Heritage Picks & Advice: All You Need to Know David Bieleski 6 months ago written by David Bieleski What a Masters tournament we experienced! Certainly Jon Rahm fulfilled his potential in spades, coming through to dominate a resurgent Brooks Koepka in the final round. With multiple delays and extreme weather, it was an intriguing tournament. Naturally, a bit of lethargy and post-Major hangover is to be expected. You can only imagine how the players feel having been at Augusta National from dawn to dusk. However, another designated event with a huge purse awaits for our 2023 RBC Heritage picks!In hindsight, Jon Rahm may have seen an obvious winner at The Masters. Our two courses that provided key indicators were the Plantation and Riviera. Obviously, Jon Rahm won both of those tournaments this year. However, he also managed to overcome a huge weather disadvantage. The wave Jon Rahm emerged from played +2.79 strokes harder for the first two rounds. Certainly, that is likely to be the biggest weather edge we see all year. It goes a long way to indicate just how far ahead of the field Ra... 6 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports BettingPGAPremium 2023 Masters Picks: All You Need To Know David Bieleski 6 months ago written by David Bieleski Augusta National Golf Club. Few places on earth evoke the same emotion from even the most rudimentary golf fan. Perhaps for you it is the legacy of the greats having won here. Perhaps it is the iconic Masters theme song. Or perhaps it is the stash of pimento cheese sandwich ingredients stocking your fridge, still costing just $1.50 on course, ready for the greatest weekend in golf (recipe here). Either way, we all know that this week is special in not only the world of golf, but for sport in general. And having successfully tipped 4 of the last 7 Masters (Willett, Garcia, Woods, and Matsuyama), hopefully our 2023 Masters Picks are special too.It truly was a spectacular March where we bagged Kurt Kitayama at 60/1 after round 1, Taylor Moore at 70/1, and Nick Bachem at 100/1. That stunning run has elevated our profit further for the year to +13% on the DP World Tour, a whopping +59% on the PGA Tour, and +41% overall. That truly puts these selections within the top echelon of golf analyst... 6 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports BettingPGAPremium Corales Puntacana Championship Picks and Advice David Bieleski 6 months ago written by David Bieleski If your WGC Matchplay bracket is already looking on shaky ground after Day 1, what better excuse to indulge than a deep dive into the alternative event this week! We just had our 2nd big winner in March, with both Moore and Kitayama collecting at huge prices. Let's bag another one with our Corales Puntacana Championship picks.Course Analysis & WeatherIf you do have the opportunity to find TV coverage for this event, I highly recommend a watch. Undeniably, the Corales Golf Course in Punta Cana is a stunning host. As these holes snake their way hugging close to the cliffs and Atlantic Ocean, you would be forgiven for thinking driving accuracy is imperative here. The metrics tell a different story for our Corales Puntacana Championship picks.Although a big miss on the wrong side of the hole will result in large penalties, this can usually be avoided. The rough is a benign 2 inches and rather sparse, providing little penalty when found. Obviously, at a 7,670 yard par-72 having a modicum of... 6 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Sports BettingPGAPremium WGC Matchplay Picks 2023: All You Need to Know David Bieleski 6 months ago written by David Bieleski Another MASSIVE winner in Taylor Moore (+7000) for us last week at the Valspar Championship. As well as Wyndham Clark finishing 5th in our selections and the Kitayama win recently, that takes our PGA Tour return on investment to a mind-blowing +87% and up over +250 units. Of course, it is perhaps a tad unrealistic to expect that rate to continue for the remainder of the year. However, as typically we recommend about 25 units of spend, we now have a runway of over 10 weeks where we could lose every single bet and still be in profit. It all emphatically serves as a great indication for our WGC Matchplay picks.Undoubtedly, it is a travesty that this event is even proposed to be cut by the PGA Tour. The WGC Matchplay offers one of perhaps just a half-dozen instances a year where we experience a different format. Yes, certainly matchplay is volatile. No, you won't get all of the studs playing all the matches. Sure, the last day can leave some dead air with only two matches on the course.Sur... 6 months ago 0 comment 0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
