GPP

Be sure to check out my Bettor Golf and PGA DraftCast episodes over here at WinDaily! DraftKings Players ($10,000+)Rory McIlroy ($10,500) – My initial lean on Monday was to exclude Rory McIlroy from my player pool, but with Justin Thomas' ownership surging and the reduction in price that we do have with the entire top section of the board, I will pivot over to the Irishman - who likely will go off as one of the five highest owned golfers on the slate. To me, this is a spot where being neutral to McIlroy is my preferred choice versus trying to get overweight since my model doesn't necessarily love his profile from top-to-bottom, but the total driving and par-five scoring might be enough for him to tear this venue apart. Jon Rahm ($10,300)  – Jon Rahm flashed the form we had become accustomed to for years at the St. Jude - gaining eight strokes with his ball-striking, and while the short game has been problematic for far too long this season, we see the Spaniard's baseline putting increa...

Here are the links to my two podcasts over at Win Daily: Bettor Golf & PGA DraftCast. DraftKings Players ($10,000+)Rory McIlroy ($11,000)  – We will see where lineups end up going with how I want to allocate ownership in certain spots, but Rory McIlroy is one of three golfers up top that I want to find a way to back this week on DraftKings. The Irishman enters the contest having produced five straight top-19 finishes since the Memorial a few months back, and while I do have some concerns with how the putting splits will transfer over to Bermuda since it has historically been his worst surface, we have seen players win this title in the past by excelling with their ball-striking and losing strokes on the greens.Scottie Scheffler ($10,800)  – I think Scheffler wins this event because of his ball-striking and ability to scramble from out of the rough. That is a combination that is going to suit TPC Southwind perfectly. Patrick Cantlay ($10,300) – It will be hard to play more than three op...

Here are the links to Bettor Golf and PGA DraftCast DraftKings Players ($10,000+)Patrick Cantlay ($10,700)  – Cantlay ranks first in the field for par-five birdie or better percentage and is also the top golfer for overall birdie or better. With over 40 players an event reaching double-digit totals, expect the American to use that strength to his advantage, and he also grades as the fourth-rated putter in this field to mimic the track. Will Zalatoris ($10,400) - Is a birdie fest the best venue for Will Zalatoris? Maybe not. But the American does grade as the top player in the field for expected opportunities created, which means if the putter can be marginally above his baseline expectation, there is a chance he runs away with the title. I am willing to bet on that upside at a reduced ownership percentage. Other Considerations - I have no issues going back to Tony Finau at ($10,600), although I am out on Cameron Young. $9,000 RangeMax Homa ($9,900) - Homa's ability to create opportunit...

There is no Bettor Golf Podcast this week, but here is the link to the PGA DraftCast. DraftKings Players ($10,000+)Sungjae Im ($10,000)  – You can't go wrong with anyone in this range, but Sungjae Im would be my preferred choice since I think we ultimately receive the lowest ownership on him. Sometimes it is just a numbers game when there are only seven players priced above $9,000, but there is a reason all three golfers in this section rank inside the top three of my model for upside.Other Considerations - Tony Finau $10,500, Hideki Matsuyama $10,300$9,000 RangeMaverick McNealy ($9,300) - Bentgrass courses that allow birdie-making opportunities has always been where McNealy has thrived, and the pieces feel like they might finally be coming together for him to spring his first victory on the PGA Tour. Other Targets: I am okay with the idea of finding myself underweight to everyone else. A start of McNealy as your first man in or one of the big-three + McNealy is my ideal roster constru...

Here are the links to my shows this week. PGA DraftCast & Bettor Golf Podcast. DraftKings Players ($10,000+)Rory McIlroy ($11,100)  – Rory McIlroy has averaged 8.26 shots with his ball-striking over his past five tournaments and enters the week as the second-ranked golfer in my model for weighted current form over the last 10 weeks. As you might expect, Xander Schauffele tops that list. Other Considerations -  Scottie Scheffler ($11,000) - We have multiple routes we can go when trying to get contrarian, but I will pinpoint in on Scottie Scheffler as my preferred target when trying to get unique up top. We are seeing Jon Rahm grade as the top non-Rory golfer on the board at most offshore shops, but I will trust my numbers with both being extremely close. It is worth noting that Spieth is a massive dog to most competitors.$9,000 RangeXander Schauffele ($9,900) - If pricing had come out after the Scottish Open, I don't think it is outlandish to say Schauffele could have been the second m...

Here are the links to my shows this week. PGA DraftCast & Bettor Golf Podcast DraftKings Players ($10,000+)Jon Rahm ($11,000)  – Rahm leads the field when it comes to GIR percentage, total driving and strokes gained in the wind and is one of only two players in the 10k range to grade as a positive value against ownership (Scheffler is the other). Other Considerations -  Scottie Scheffler ($11,200) - I don't think you can go wrong with Scheffler, Rahm or Thomas, although Thomas does have the most volatility and highest ownership from the trio. For that reason, Rahm and Scheffler are my preferred targets. $9,000 RangeXander Schauffele ($9,900) - Decisions will have to be made in GPP contests, but Xander Schauffele might be the safest player on the board. Will Zalatoris ($9,300) -  Rumors are that the course is going to play more challenging than usual, which is perfect for a golfer like Will ZalatorisHideki Matsuyama ($9,000) - Matsuyama ranks top-five in ball-striking and is also the be...

Here are the links to my shows this week. PGA DraftCast & Bettor Golf PodcastI am going to rapid-fire through all the picks this week. DraftKings Players ($10,000+)Scottie Scheffler ($11,200)  – I thought Scott Holdridge said it eloquently tonight on the PGA DraftCast show. I am paraphrasing, but "everyone is worried about numbers and stats, but at some point, you have to worry more about win equity." There is nobody in the world in better form than the American, and we know he can roll that form over from start to start after his utter domination of the tour in 2022.Patrick Cantlay ($10,200)  – Patrick Cantlay is the top-ranked player on my model for upside, and he carries an average weight in the statistical category that places him as high as anyone I have seen this year. I didn’t have him lower than eighth in the seven categories I ran, and he was either first, second or third seven of those times. We know the course history has been impressive, with four consecutive top-15 finish...

Geoff Fienberg joined this week's PGA DraftCast, and it was a rowdy show for Stixpicks and myself on the Bettor Golf Podcast. I'd highly recommend giving both a listen. I am going to rapid-fire through all the picks this week. We will return back to a more standard article a week from now. DraftKings Players ($10,000+)Scottie Scheffler ($11,300)  – Scottie Scheffler will be your leverage play in the $10,000+ range with the best combination of upside and unique construction. Justin Thomas ($10,900)  – It is hard to ignore Justin Thomas as the top player in my model. The ownership is solid for the two-time PGA Championship winner, and the upside goes without question. Other Considerations -  Rory McIlroy ($10,500) - I like Rory's "fit" for Brookline, but I do want to point out that we haven't ever seen him win an event at less than 12-under par. $9,000 RangeXander Schauffele ($9,600) - Schauffele's five-straight top-seven finishes at the U.S. Open will be challenging to ignore.Dustin Jo...