DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
 

NFL DFS RB Report Card for Week 14

We posted a solid set of RB plays in Week 13. But we didn’t hit the high scorer, which was Alvin Kamara, and ultimately ended with just 5 of the top 10 RB’s. So we get a B and look to raise the bar this week as we move down the home stretch of the NFL season. Week 14 has weather concerns in many games which could mean good value spots for RB’s. We break that down and more with our Week 14 Running Back Report!

Please check out Stix’s weekly projections when evaluating NFL DFS using the NFL Projection Model. It’s the best predictive tool on the market and will give you a competitive advantage against the competition! Also, remember to check out the NFL Pre-Lock Show on Sunday at 11 am on YouTube.

I highlight my favorite ten RBs each week and break them into Tiers (Tier 1 = $7K above, Tier 2 = $6K to $7K, Tier 3 = below $6K). So, let’s get started with the top ten running backs of Week 3 in the NFL.

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY $9200 DraftKings $9800 FanDuel

Christian McCaffrey hasn’t scored below 20 fantasy points in 6 straight games. In fact, he’s scored over 20 fantasy points in 10 of his 12 games this season. He’s not only the best RB in football, but the most consistent. This week he faces the Seahawks who he scored 33.9 points against just 2 weeks ago. Seattle’s D ranks 19th in rushing defense DVOA and allows the 6th most fantasy points to RB’s. It’s hard to have a balanced roster with $9200 at RB. But it’s also hard to pass on someone with a floor of 20 and ceiling of almost double that.

ALVIN KAMARA $8200 DraftKings $8000 FanDuel

We left Alvin Kamara off the report card last week mainly due to the matchup and Detroit’s premiere rushing defense. But the game script allowed Kamara to see open spaces and took advantage of that posting a league high 28.9 fantasy points last week. At this point, Kamara is a must play any week regardless of match-up. But this week, the match-up makes him a top three play as he faces a Carolina team that is 32nd against the run according to DVOA.

AUSTIN EKELER $7600 DraftKings $8000 FanDuel

I want to avoid all things Chargers but I’m giving them one last chance this week against Denver. Ekeler has been an extreme disappointment for fantasy owners this season as his production in the running and passing game has dropped significantly from 2022. But it’s Denver, and they allow the most fantasy points to RB’s. Additionally, Denver has allowed the 4th most receptions to running backs and has the 4th worst run defense according to PFF. And for what it’s worth, Ekeler caught 10 balls in the one game he played fully against Denver last year. This is like Colonel Custer’s last stand for me with the Chargers RB.

KYREN WILLIAMS $7200 DraftKings $8500 FanDuel

Even against a stout defense in the Cleveland Browns, Williams put up solid numbers and eclipsed the 20 point mark last week. He is also on the verge of a match-up proof play as the Rams offense has been hitting on all cylinders since his return to the lineup. What’s even more important is the usage rate as Williams saw 94% of the snaps and 96% of the touches! This week he gets a tough opponent in Baltimore who ranks 4th in rushing defense DVOA. But the weather looks to be rainy in Baltimore tomorrow which could give a big edge to the running backs. With the usage we’re seeing, Williams is a candidate for another 20+ point week.

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

JOSH JACOBS $6800 DraftKings $8200 FanDuel

Since Antonio Pierce took over as HC, Josh Jacobs has averaged 22 carries per game and 17.5 fantasy points per game. Those numbers are a significant increase to his usage under Josh McDaniels and are a big reason why he’s become a viable option at RB again. This week he faces a Vikings defense who has been solid against the run ranking 6th in rushing defense DVOA. But they have allowed the 5th most receptions to RB’s, averaging allowing 5.5 receptions per game. With the Raiders pass offense being limited, Jacobs should be a factor catching the ball out of the backfield. That combined with a heavy dose of carries and he becomes a solid option this week.

JAHMYR GIBBS $6600 DraftKings $8100 FanDuel

Gibbs received just 8 carries last week but was able to make the most of them by rushing for 60 yards. However, he failed to make any contribution in the passing game and didn’t score a TD so he came up short of expectations. But as we mentioned prior with weather, the forecast in Chicago doesn’t look good. While rain won’t be a factor, the high will be in the low 30’s with 15 mph winds. I expect Detroit to rely heavily on the running game and I prefer Gibbs due to his ability to break a long run. Also factor in the Bears have allowed the 3rd most receptions to RB’s in the NFL this season.

JOE MIXON $6100 DraftKings $7500 FanDuel

It’s nice to see the Bengals remember they have a talented running back in Joe Mixon that could use a steady workload. Mixon put up solid numbers on MNF and has now scored a TD in 5 of his last 6 games. This week he faces the Colts who are allowing the 3rd most fantasy points to RB’s. Mixon is a top three play this week.

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

ZACK MOSS $5900 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

Moss was priced as a free square last week but failed to produce even to that low of a standard. However, we won’t back away from him this week as he still has a very high floor. That’s because he saw 94% of the snaps and 92% of the touches last week. And that shouldn’t change against a Bengals D that is 29th in rushing defense DVOA.

JAVONTE WILLIAMS DraftKings $5800 FanDuel $6500

We’re all still waiting of that one big game from Williams. And it hasn’t been from a lack of volume as Williams has seen 10+ touches in every game but one this season. The issue has been finding the endzone as he has 0 rushing TD’s and just 2 receiving TD’s. In come the Chargers who have allowed 8 total TD’s to running backs this season. But more importantly, they’ve allowed the 2nd most receptions to RB’s with a staggering 6.2 receptions per game. That’s the primary reason to like Williams as his floor is high due to his projected activity in the passing game.

CLYDE EDWARDS-HELAIRE DraftKings $4200 FanDuel $5600

Here is our free square of the week as a shoulder injury has sidelined Isiah Pacheco. The Bills allow the 12th most rushing yards per game at 116.7. They also allow the 10th most points to RBs. In a game with the highest implied total on the board, this price is too low to ignore.

BONUS: ROSCHON JOHNSON DraftKings $4900 FanDuel $5300

Johnson has suddenly emerged in a crowded backfield. He looks to be the top receiving candidate of the Bears RBs. Because of that he’s earned more snaps and touches. This is a sneaky play but one that could be of great value with cold and windy conditions in Chicago.

RB PROP BETS

TBD

TBD

Now that you finished reading the NFL DFS RUNNING BACK REPORT article make sure to check out our YouTube Channel for constant content for every game and slate in the NFL this season and hop in our Discord Expert Chat.

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

"*" indicates required fields

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” Sure, we want to help you win that big DFS tournament. But we want you to have a greater enjoyment of Daily Fantasy Sports while you are doing it. Along the way, you also may learn some life lessons and gain some perspectives you may have never considered before.

    ©2023 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    -
    00:00
    00:00
    Update Required Flash plugin
    -