Saturday 2/13 EPL DFS

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This article focuses on 2/13 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format. The goal is to gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 2/13 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

As the soccer season continues to heat up, let’s get ready for an EPL Saturday morning before Champion’s League resumes this Tuesday/Wednesday.

There are three games on tap, for what should be another relatively low scoring slate. The first game in particular might allow us to catch some extra rest.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds and Game Breakdowns

Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them. All odds listed +300 or below and projected starters are listed in bold.

Burnley (+215) at Crystal Palace (+148) – Jean-Philippe Mateta (+255), Christian Benteke (+255), Ashley Barnes (+265), Michy Batshuayi (+265), Matej Vydra (+285), Jay Rodriguez (+295), Jordan Ayew (+325)

This game should be a total snooze. Double check your lineups and just go back to sleep! I must say, I do like the goalies here, but little else is appealing.

Tottenham (+750) at Manchester City (-315) – Sergio Aguero (+104) “Very unlikely to start”, Raheem Sterling (+105), Gabriel Jesus (+148), Phil Foden (+160), Ilkay Gundogan (+160), Riyad Mahrez (+170), Harry Kane (+290), Bernardo Silva (+300), Son Heung-Min (+380)

These two normally play fairly tight games. However, the inevitable 2021 EPL Champions, Manchester City, are undefeated in their last 23 games in all competitions. They have been boosted by what has been the world’s best defense during that span. The center back combo of John Stones and Ruben Dias have solidified what was once this team’s most glaring weakness. When combined with the emergence of young stud Phil Foden and the inspired play of Ilkay Gundogan, expect City to be chalk, yet again.

Aston Villa (+155) at Brighton (+170) – Neal Maupay (+163), Ollie Watkins (+170), Keinan Davis (+240), Danny Welbeck (+245), Aaron Connolly (+245), Andi Zeqiri (+260), Anwar El-Ghazi (+265), Jack Grealish (+340), Ross Barkley (+340), Bertrand Traore (+340)

An intriguing late game, I certainly think you can pick off some pieces here. As far as the Brighton side goes, Pascal Gros should be popular in cash games with Neal Maupay at a discount once again for tournaments.

EPL Best Odds

*Harry Kane or Son Heung-Min to Score* (+290/+380) – 0.20 Units – “DraftKings Sportsbook”

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

Man City has been playing amazing defense as of late, sure. However, what sort of world do we live in when Harry Kane and Son’s goal odds come in similar to Bernardo Silva’s in the same game? Neal Maupay has around double their odds to score; this is just not a world in which to raise your children. That said, I probably would not parlay both Harry Kane and Son to score. It would be a big ask for both to score. Furthermore, they are awful DFS plays at their prices, so you’re better off taking these discounted goal odds and hoping one of them hits.

2/13 EPL FanDuel Rankings “Set pieces less important on FanDuel”

Forward/Midfield

1. Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $18 “Share of Set Pieces”
2. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $17 “Share of Set Pieces”
3. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $23
4. Jack Grealish – Aston Villa – $19
5. Pascal Gros – Brighton – $13 “Set Pieces”
6. Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $21
7. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $17
8. Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa – $21
9. Bertrand Traore – Aston Villa – $13
10. Jean-Phillipe Mateta – Crystal Palace – $11
11. Harry Kane – Tottenham – $20
12. Son Heung-Min – Tottenham – $18
13. Leandro Trossard – Brighton – $15
14. Eberechi Eze – Crystal Palace – $13
15. Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $14

Defense

1. Ben White – Brighton – $6
2. Matt Targett – Aston Villa – $12
3. Matty Cash – Aston Villa – $11
4. Joel Veltman – Brighton – $9
5. Davinson Sanchez – Tottenham – $10

Goalies

1. Robert Sanchez – Brighton – $7
2. Vicente Guaita – Crystal Palace – $11
3. Nick Pope – Burnley – $10

2/13 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $6,800
2. Pascal Gros – Brighton – $8,400 “Set Pieces”
3. Dwight McNeil – Burnley – $6,900 “Share of Set Pieces”
4. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $9,500
5. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $6,200
6. Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa – $8,000
7. Bertrand Traore – Aston Villa – $7,500
8. Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $7,100
9. Jay Rodriguez – Burnley – $3,600

Midfield

1. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $8,600 “Share of Set Pieces”
2. Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $8,500 “Share of Set Pieces”
3. Jack Grealish – Aston Villa – $9,100
4. Pascal Gros – Brighton – $8,400 “Set Pieces”
5. Ashley Westwood – Burnley – $5,100 “Share of Set Pieces”
6. Dwight McNeil – Burnley – $6,900 “Share of Set Pieces”
7. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $9,500
8. Bertrand Traore – Aston Villa – $7,500
9. Bernardo Silva – Manchester City – $7,100
10. Alexis Mac Allister – Brighton – $4,200

Defense

1. Matt Targett – Aston Villa – $4,600
2. Matty Cash – Aston Villa – $4,700
3. Joel Veltman – Brighton – $4,100
4. Ruben Dias – Manchester City – $3,800
5. Joao Cancelo – Manchester City – $5,600

Goalies

1. Nick Pope – Burnley – $4,500
2. Vicente Guaita – Crystal Palace – $5,100
3. Emiliano Martinez – Aston Villa – $4,900
4. Robert Sanchez – Brighton – $4,700

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