Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Friday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Wednesday was another profitable day as we hit the underdog Nationals but missed with the underdog Angels.That leaves us with a 27-22-10 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 14 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. More than half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Friday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
New York Mets vs New York Yankees
Game one of a scheduled, three-game series is set for 7:05 pm tonight and this is the first meeting between the clubs this season.
Righty Taijuan Walker (6-3, 2.38) is scheduled to make the start and over his past 18.1 innings pitched has allowed seven earned runs with 22 strikeouts. He’ll meet a Yankees offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .158 ISO alongside of a wRC+ of 100 against right-handed pitching this season.
Southpaw Jordan Montgomery (3-2, 4.06) is the Yankees probable starting pitcher for tonight and has allowed eight earned runs with 15 strikeouts over his past 16.2 innings pitched. He’ll meet a Mets offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .144 ISO and wRC+ of 89 against lefties this season.
Cash with Flash Best Bets Friday MLB Pick: Mets +128
Boston Red Sox vs Oakland Athletics
Game one of a scheduled, three-game series is set to take place at 9:40 pm tonight with the Athletics holding a 2-1 season series edge.
Lefty Eduardo Rodriquez (6-4, 5.83) is set to man the bump tonight and over his previous 16 innings pitched has allowed nine earned runs with 23 punchouts. He’ll face an Oakland offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .168 ISO and wRC+ of 103 against lefties this season.
Righty Frankie Montas (7-7, 4.72) is the Athletics probable starting pitcher for tonight and has surrendered a dozen earned runs with 19 strikeouts over his past 17.2 innings pitched. He’ll meet a Boston offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .177 ISO along with a wRC+ of 104 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Best Bets Friday MLB Pick: Oakland -104
Good luck today!
Phil "Cash with Flash" Naessens hosts the Phil Naessens Show and This Week in Tennis. Phil was formerly a sports handicapper of three years at Winners and Whiners, Racing Dudes, and Stat Salt. Phil’s work has been showcased on several SB Nation websites, Win Daily Sports, FanSided, BetQl, Creative Sports 2, FanTrax, Fantasy Team Advice as well as many others. In addition to his writing, Phil has been a featured guest on Sirius XM, ESPN, CBS, Fox Sports, Radio Europe, Armed Forces Radio as well as several local radio and TV spots in the Cleveland Area.
Phil is a semi-retired high-performance tennis coach and still teaches at camps and clinics worldwide, including Brookwood Sports Academy in Glen Spey, New York where he is the current Director of Tennis.
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