It’s funny because I mentioned that Zac Gallen might have a rough start coming soon. I didn’t expect it to be last night by any stretch. Also, I didn’t expect he’d get hammered in such a fashion. It was a very tough slate for pitching last night, to be sure. One quick glance tells you that MLB DFS: Starting Rotation 9.13 isn’t any better because there is not a single pitcher on DK priced over $9,000. We have our work cut out for us.
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Pitch Data – FB – 27th SL – 29th CH – 18th
That’s how rough this slate is for pitching. Michael Pineda, he of a career 4.02 ERA and 13 IP this season leads the pack. This could be a first for Pineda, who is almost exclusively a GPP pitcher but not today. He’s been good in his 13 IP, with a 24% K rate and the pitch data really favors him. The hard contact has been spectacular so far at just 25.7% and the swinging strike rate is 15.7%.
Now we add in the Indians have been a weak offense to RHP all season and we have one of the better matches on the slate. The fact that Pineda has thrown 81 and 104 pitches is excellent for us as well. It’s odd to get excited about, but Pineda makes the most sense in cash today.
Pitch Data – FB – 6th CH – 2nd SL – 20
This is really just salary disrespect for Sixto at this point. He’s faced challenges already and has three of four starts above 18 DK, which is great return for this price. If you haven’t actually seen him yet, this kid is NASTY.
Sixto Sánchez, Absolute Filth.91mph Slider Sword.90mph Changeup Sword.99mph Fastball…K Pose. pic.twitter.com/VoqNY354gr— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) September 9, 2020
Sixto Sánchez, Absolute Filth.91mph Slider Sword.90mph Changeup Sword.99mph Fastball…K Pose. pic.twitter.com/VoqNY354gr
Philly doesn’t strike out a ton at 21% but I honestly don’t fear that in this spot. Good pitching wins more nights than it doesn’t. Sixto is good with a 26.6% K rate and a 14.4% swinging strike rate. Even if he wasn’t this talented, price alone would dictate we look at him in a big way today. In case you needed any extra juice, Sixto is an ex-Phillie. All the revenge today folks. Get aboard the Brian Tulloch Narrative Train.
Pitch Data – FB – 12th CB – 2nd
It’s not been a good year for Ol’ Ground Chuck. He’s only pitched 23.2 innings and things have gone poorly with a 4.94 ERA. The HR/9 has jumped up to 1.14 which is high for him and the K rate is down to 22.6%. This could be a spot he finds his footing a bit, since the Red Sox are flirting with a 25% K rate to RHP.
They also are above average in most offensive categories so this is still a dangerous setting for Morton. The good for Morton is the only two LHH that really scare you are Rafael Devers and Alex Verdugo. If he can get by them, he’s got RHH under a .300 wOBA and hasn’t given up a bomb. He’s under $8,000 and should approach 80 pitches. That’s good enough for me today.
Pitch Data – N/A, but throws a FB, CB, CH and SL
Let’s get a little nuts in MLB DFS: Starting Rotation 9.13. Stiever isn’t a name many outside White Sox fans and prospect gurus know (raises hand) but it doesn’t take much to find glowing words about him. He was ranked as the number five White Sox prospect before this year started. Ahead of him? Luis Robert, Michael Kopech, Andrew Vaughn and Nick Madrigal. That’s some good company.
He’s the cheapest we ever get a pitcher and debuts are a total grab bag. However, I love taking chances on talented kids when they get great matchups to start and this fits the bill. Detroit still leads the league in K% to RHP at over 28% and Stiever has displayed at least a 24% K rate at every stop so far (which hasn’t been many). This article from mlb.com gives some more background but this is an excellent gamble to take at salary.
The Yankees and the Orioles both face lefties on the mound, which definitely leads us to like some hitters. We start with two Yanks, DJ LeMahieu and Luke Voit. Both hitters are over .400 for the wOBA and Voit sports a .344 ISO. DJ Stewart for the Orioles was just white hot before two quiet games. This is a good spot to get back at it. Through 51 plate appearances, he has a 1.275 OPS, .528 ISO and a .507 wOBA.
Let’s get after it tonight my friends!
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