Week 1 wasn’t the greatest week ever, but it’s a fresh week and we actually have some hard data to work with. Sure, you don’t want to get too carried away with just one week of stats but it’s better than last year’s stats. Now is a great time to check out Thrive Fantasy to get into prop betting! We’ll be going over the Core Plays for Thrive Week 2 to get you started into the world of NFL prop plays this Sunday!
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Core Play – Jared Goff Over Passing Yards
The Rams head onto the road this Sunday but Goff is going to get a Philly defense that I still strongly believe can be had through the air. He passed for 275 yards in his first game on just 31 attempts, just missing his current prop.
The Rams ran the ball 40 times for over 150 yards but that’s not like to happen this week. The Eagles have been a passing funnel defense for a couple years. They shut down the run but get tagged through the air. Goff didn’t take chances last game with only 140 intended air yards but that script changes this weekend. If he almost hit it last weekend on 31 attempts, it won’t take much to get over the hump this week.
Core Play – Ronald Jones Over Rushing Yards
The Buccaneers backfield could turn into a mess at some point. However, that wasn’t the case the first game of the season. Jones was on the field for more than 47% of the snaps and ground out 66 yards on the ground against the Saints.
The Saints are a much tougher matchup than the Panthers. Not only did they get walloped on the ground last year, they kicked off the season by getting smacked by the Raiders for 122 yards on the ground, fifth-worst. If Jones gets another 17 carries, he should coast past this number.
Core Play – Diontae Johnson Over Receiving Yards
Johnson had a rough start to the Monday Night game with a fumbled punt and a quiet first half. It took time to get into sync with quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. He finished with 57 receiving yards. That’s his prop again this week.
Johnson was targeted 10 times and got stronger as the game wore on. If he can get to 57 in what amounted to one half of football, he can hit the ground running and clear this number quickly. He only had an aDOT of 6.3 but he’s shifty and establishing a connection with Big Ben. It’s a matter fo time before some deep shots come.
Core Play – Kyler Murray Over Rushing Yards
This is really a great spot to get some action on Murray’s rushing yards. The number is actually four yards under his 2019 average.
He flashed the upside with 91 rushing yards last week and Washington is interesting. Their strength is the front, generating a top five pressure rate last week. They also sacked Eagles QB Carson Wentz eight times. Due respect to Wentz (he would dust me in a 40 yard dash going backwards at 20% speed), Murray is the superior athlete. He can escape and make these plays with his legs that Wentz can’t. I won’t be surprised to see him go over 50 rushing yards here.
Let’s get after it this week my friends!
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