MLBMA Implied Totals For May 1st

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I run my MLB Moving Averages program every day to isolate the highest probability outcomes for any given MLB slate. However, there’s a lot of other information it produces that I would like to share which may help you as you scan the board on your own. The algorithm uses a combination of weighted rolling averages for offense, starting pitching and bullpens that update daily to create my daily MLBMA implied totals. Let’s take a look at today’s late game results (I generally avoid getaway day games due to added variance).

There are several different ways to interpret this information, and I hope it serves as a useful guide in your plays. The algorithm implies totals for each team as well as the game; So this can be used for individual Team Totals, or for an interesting perspective on Money Line plays. It’s also often times a good way to begin identifying potential Over/under plays (Especially when there is a difference of a full run).

Cubs at Mariners OU9

• Cubs 4.57
• Mariners 3.92
• Total 8.49

Tigers at Phillies OU8

• Tigers 4.01
• Phillies 4.67
• Total 8.68

Cardinals at Nationals OU8

• Cardinals 3.38
• Nationals 3.96
• Total 7.34

Reds at Mets OU6.5

• Reds 4.07
• Mets 3.57
• Total 7.64

Indians at Marlins OU6.5

• Indians 3.74
• Marlins 3.20
• Total 6.94

Padres at Braves OU9

As a rule, I fade unknown pitching commodities until further data is presented. Quantrill got the call today and it’s too murky to get a hold on

Rockies at Brewers OU9

• Rockies 3.36
• Brewers 3.74
• Total 7.10

Astros at Twins OU9

• Astros 4.16
• Twins 3.76
• Total 7.93

Blue Jays at Angels OU8.5

• Bluejays 3.76
• Angels 4.02
• Total 7.78

Dodgers at Giants OU7

• Dodgers 4.15
• Giants 3.64
• Total 7.79

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