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MLBMA FREE DAILY NOTES 6.17.19 SF at LAD

OFFENSE

SF Away, 2019 (Last 14 Days)

  • 111 PA
  • .214/.270/.320 Triple Slash
  • .591 OPS
  • .107 ISO
  • .254 wOBA
  • 53 wRC+
  • 23.4% K Rate
  • 27.3% Hard Hit Rate

LAD Home vs RHP, 2019 (Last 30 Days)

  • 249 PA
  • .308/.363/.576 Triple Slash
  • .939 OPS
  • .268 ISO
  • .386 wOBA
  • 148 wRC+
  • 42.2% Hard Hit Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Tyler Beede Away, 2019 (4 Games, 3 Game Started)

  • 15.1 IP
  • 8.81 ERA / 7.29 FIP / xFIP 5.92
  • 2.09 WHIP
  • 14 K : 12 BB
  • 15.4% BB Rate
  • .313/.423/.578 Triple Slash Allowed
  • 1.001 OPSA
  • .414 wOBAA
  • 39.2% Hard Hit Rate
  • 8.7% Barrel Rate
  • 1st TTO – 6.75 ERA
  • 2nd TTO – 11.37 ERA
  • 3rd TTO – 7.36 ERA

Kenta Maeda Home, 2019 (5 Games Started)

  • 32.0 IP
  • 1.69 ERA / 3.37 FIP / 3.80 xFIP
  • 0.72 WHIP
  • 35 K : 7 BB
  • 29.7% K Rate
  • 5.9% BB Rate
  • .145/.203/.291 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .494 OPSA
  • .214 wOBAA
  • 33.3% Hard Hit Rate
  • 6.3% Barrel Rate

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

TeamWHIPERAFIPxFIPSIERAK%BB%
LAD1.163.074.273.823.9127.4 %11.3 %
SF1.092.454.604.584.2423.3 %9.6 %

THE PLAY: LAD ML


Dodgers have the edge any way you slice it tonight, so it’s just a matter of risk tolerance and strategy. If you don’t want to pay the (-260) freight you can take your chances on the (-135) -1.5 Run Line, or wait for another game to parlay with (I have more plays coming throughout the day). I think the Dodgers do cover the RL, but understand it’s assuming extra risk in an already difficult field.

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