MLBMA Daily Notes 5.8.19 BOS at BAL

58

OFFENSE

BOS Last 7 Games

• 289 PA
• .285/.385/.485 Triple Slash
• .870 OPS
• .201 ISO
• .370 wOBA
• 129 wRC+

BAL vs LHP (Last 30 Days)

• .281 PA
• .245/.296/.368 Triple Slash
• .664 OPS
• .123 ISO
• .285 wOBA
• 76 wRC+

STARTING PITCHING

Chris Sale (Last 3 GS)

• 18 IP
• 2.00 ERA / 2.81 FIP / 2.91 xFIP
• 28 K
• 1.00 WHIP
• .289 wOBAA

Andrew Cashner 2019 (7 Starts)

• 36.1 IP
• 4.71 ERA / 4.98 FIP / 4.94 xFIP
• 1.46 WHIP
• 46.1% Hard Hit Allowed

BULLPENS LAST 7 GAMES

BOSTON

• 2.79 ERA (7th)
• 2.93 FIP (2nd)
• 3.19 xFIP (6th)
• 0.83 WHIP (2nd)

BALTIMORE

• 3.57 ERA (13th)
• 2.96 FIP (4th)
• 3.05 xFIP (4th)
• 1.06 WHIP (9th)

THE PLAY: BOS ML

Considering the BAL bullpen has actually been serviceable, there is an argument to be made for an F5 play. However, given the way the Red Sox relievers have thrown lately, I’ll take the extra ABs over the last four innings. This game is being listed as heavy chalk, so stay tuned for a second play posted by @MLBMovingAvg at WINDAILYDFS.COM for a potential parlay to smooth out some of those odds.

That being said, anytime the Red Sox are hitting while Sale is humming, BOS RL -1.5 should definitely be in consideration. This will help to even out the odds when weighed properly with a chalk ML play.