PGA DFS – Farmers Insurance Open

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Great PGA preview by Patrick Waters earlier this week.  We’ve got two courses here but 3 rounds will be on the much tougher (and much longer) south course.  We are looking to key in on bombers while we also need to focus on driving accuracy, scrambling, and success on poa greens.  Here is my favorite PGA DFS  plays with Draftkings and Fanduel pricing:

10k and above

Jon Rahm (11300/12000) – His game set up perfectly for this PGA course which is evidenced by his 1^st place finish in 2017 and 5^th place finish in 2019.  Nothing not to like about Rahm and I give him the slight edge over Rory this week as the two top-priced golfers in DFS.

Xander Schauffele (10100/11500) – Course history is pretty awful which is quite shocking considering he’s from the area and has played this course a ton.  With that said, so far in the 2019/2020 PGA golf season he is 4^th in strokes gained off the tee, 1^st for strokes gained tee to green, 2nd in birdie average and 5th for par-five birdies or better conversion.  I’m going to take recent stats over course history only because the recent stats are so impressive.   

9k and above

Gary Woodland (9500/10700) – The 9k range is very narrow this week so I’m just going to highlight one golfer here.   Woodland is 6^th longest off the tee in this field and he is the 4^th most accurate off the tee.  Those stats are huge for this course.  Not surprisingly, Woodland has a great course history here and is good on poa. 

8k and above

Collin Morikawa (8900/10300) – No course history here but he’s also never missed a cut on the PGA Tour.  I’m just going to assume talent outweighs lack of experience here. 

Cam Smith (8700/9900) – Cam is good on poa and he’s a good driver.  He checks the course history box with 9^th, 20th, and 33^rd in the last three years.  Recent form has obviously been good as well as he took down the Sony.  I’m not usually invested in Cam Smith but now might be the time to take a shot.

Ryan Palmer (8000/9700) – He’s a bomber which certainly helps on such a long course and he’s been very good to start off his 2019/2020 campaign.  He was 4th at Sony so the recent form has been solid and he finished 13^th on this course last year and 2^nd in 2018. 

7k and above

Lanto Griffin (7900/9400) – Ball striker and a scrambler.  Played here in 2018 and finished 12^th (didn’t play in 2019).  He’s also in good form which includes a 7th at the Sony and 13th at the Sentry.  The value is too good here.

Harris English (7400/9200) – Great course history (outside of a hiccup last year).  Good on poa greens.  Decent recent history including a 5^th place finishes at Mayakoba (48^th at Amex last week which is a little underwhelming but course history at this course is far better).

Keegan Bradley (7300/9200) – Finished 12^th at Sony and his recent form on this course over the last 3 years is 4^th, 5^th, and 35^th.   He can drive the ball and has the course experience.  Great value here.

Talor Gooch (7200/8900) – The Gooch is a great ball strikerand he’s made 7 straight cuts including a 17^th place finish lastweek at the AmEx.  He finished 3^rdhere last year.  Another good value atthis price.

6k and above

Sepp Straka (6900/8600) – Finished 13^th here last year and was 4^th last week at the Amex (at Amex he was 9^th in driving distance, 11th in strokes gained off the tee, 2nd in strokes gained approach, 3rd in strokes gained tee to green).  Down at this range, we are looking for upside and we have it here.

Matthew Nesmith (6600/8300) – Not a bomber but drivingaccuracy is very solid.  No experience atthis course which isn’t ideal but this guy’s recent history has been prettyfantastic.   He was 17^th atthe AmEx, 32^nd at the Sony, 14^th at RSM and 48^that Mayakoba.  The lack of experience onthis course is a red flag but I’m trying to get a guy at 6600 that can help winme a GPP.   I’ll take a shot.

Sample Lineup: Xander, Woodland, Palmer, Lanto, Keegan, Straka