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NFL Player Total Prop Bets | 2020 Season

NFL Player Total Prop Bets

Sia and Michael make some NFL Player Total Prop Bets for the 2020 season.
You can find lines and over/unders at DraftKings, FanDuel, and Monkey Knife Fight!

Sia’s Picks

Drew Lock over 3375.5 (-110 on DK)

  • @StixPicks likes this one too (needs to average 211 yards per game)
  • Defense isn’t good enough to be lockdown so Drew will have all four quarters to throw the ball in most games
  • All kinds of weapons with Jeudy, KJ Hamler and Sutton and Fant
  • Plus two RB’s that can catch in Lindsay and Melvin

Kenyan Drake over 1050.5 rushing yards (-110 on DK)

  • Hate RB props because of injury risk but this one seems worth it. 
  • No major competition for Kenyan (Chase Edmonds is backup)
  • Arizona continues to add weapons on the outside which should free up more space
  • If Kyler runs and Read-Option it’ll give freeze the LBs and give Drake the alley he needs to make one cut and fly.
  • Note Jason likes the value in Arizona at 60 to 1.  If you look at schedule they can get to the playoffs. Tough but doable.
  • Note Kyler passing prop is 3950.5. He probably gets there but like this one better.

Davante Adams over 1200.5 yards (-110 on DK)

  • 997 yards in 12 games last year.  Couple of which he was hobbled
  • 2018 he played 15 games and got 1386 yards
  • GB going to be more of a running team this year BUT Davante is a lock for major targets if healthy.  If he plays 14 games he clears this number.  13 games and it’s still possible.
  • He’s still only 27
  • Last two games (playoffs) he caught 9 of 10 for 138 and 8 of 11 for 160.  Expect a few dud games from Davante but enough huge ones to hit the number

Michael’s Picks

Drew Brees Passing Yards o/u – 4049.5 yds – UNDER -112 (FanDuel)

  • Hasn’t hit 4000 yards since 2017. 
  • Another year older.
  • Hurt the last two seasons and Taysom Hill comes in to throw the ball sometimes
  • Based on defensive efficiency for 2020 Saints offense is in the bottom half of the league (23rd)
  • Also harder based on 2020 SOS from Vegas Win Totals (23rd)
  • Balanced run/pass attack, not quite what we remember when they were throwing the ball 650 times a year. 
    • Last two years: 2019 – 581 to 407; 2018 – 519 to 471

Dalvin Cook Rushing Yards o/u – 1160.5 – OVER -110 (DraftKings)

  • CONTRACT YEAR
  • Finally healthy last year, only missed two games both towards the end of the season
  • Rushing Def against in the top half of the league. If receivers can do anything theyll be able to run as much as they’d like
  • Stephanski is leaving but Kubiak had the heaviest hand in creating that offense last year.
  • Strength of schedule is easier than average, hopefully leading to more leads late in games and opportunities to run out the clock.
  • Nick thinks Mattison and Boone are going to take away carries, but I think Cook hits the over here

Henry Ruggs III Receiving Yards o/u – 740.5 – OVER -112 (FanDuel)

  • No other wide receivers there…
  • Route runner not just a straight line speed guy
  • Darren Waller TE was their leading receiver last year with 90 catches for 1145 yrd – most likely some regression there
  • No wide receiver topped 50 catches – Renfrow had 49
    • Immediately comes in as the best receiver on the team
    • Averaged 17.5 yr/r – if he averages 3 catches a game for 17.5 yards he beats out the 740.5 total
  • Bowden will be more of a gadget play
  • Never topped 750 in college, but also had 3 other incredible receivers on that team and didn’t need to play all that much in most second halves

Go ahead and place your bets  👉 👉 👉 DraftKings and FanDuel

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