To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive.” NFL DFS GPP season is here and it’s time to rock and roll. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 1 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice.
In addition, I would strongly advise giving my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.
For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat. Let’s get into it.
Please note, everyone on our cheatsheet and the Cash Game Checkdown are also in play for GPPs. This is more to uncover some players people are not talking about… and they should be.
NFL DFSGPP FADES: Jonathan Taylor Jordan Reed (unless you have to use him for your core build) Russell Gage Ronald Jones Corey Davis
General GPP Notes: Ownership seems rather spread out this week. Everyone is going to stack DAL/ATL and for good reason. All of the players in the cash game article are in play for GPPs as well. Here are some ways that I’ll be getting different. Hard to not go 100% on Derrick Henry.
NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks
Patrick Mahomes ($7,700 DK / $9,000 FD) – It’s Patrick Freakin’ Mahomes, folks. How is his ownership projected under 10%? I will have a ton of Mahomes and Chiefs’ stacks for the late afternoon hammer. We won’t have a sub 10% owned Mahomes again this season. Bring it back with some Chargers on the other side.
Potential Stack Partners: Kelce, Hill, Watkins, Robinson, CEH Game Stack Partners: Mike Williams, Ekeler
Lamar Jackson ($8,200 DK / $9,500 FD) – Similar situation to Mahomes. He’s expensive as hell, but likely the highest scoring QB by a wide margin.
Potential Stack Partners: Andrews, Brown Game Stack Partners: Fuller, David Johnson
Aaron Rodgers ($6,900 DK / $7,900 FD) – I would have bet big money Rodgers was crazy chalk this week but it doesn’t appear so. I’m not as high on him as I was last week, but I’m still high on him. He’s going to ball out.
Potential Stack Partners: Adams, MVS, Aaron Jones, Lazard Game Stack Partners: Amendola, Marvin Jones, Hockenson UPDATE: All in on Jones.
Dak Prescott ($6,800 DK / $8,300 FD) – It’s chalky, but it’s hard not to love Dak Prescott and literally everyone in this game for NFL DFS GPP lineups. Stack it up and stack it often.
UPDATE: Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,700 DK / $7,100 FD) – I woke up today and wanted to review some of the Bills/Jets game film from last week to see if Jimmy Garoppolo warrants a play. I’ve come to the conclusion he does and will have a field day against this Jets’ secondary. Their run defense is stout, but they will get torched via the pass.
Using Garoppolo does the world for the rest of your roster. No one will play him, so it’s an angle I’m going to take and pray for the rest of my lineup to carry me.
Potential Stack Partners: Brandon Aiyuk, Kendrick Bourne, Jordan Reed, Jerick McKinnon, Trent Taylor Game Stack Partners: Probably no one, but Perriman or Herndon are fine.
Honorable Mention: Matt Ryan, Josh Allen, Tom Brady, Ben Roethlisberger, Phil Rivers
Aaron Jones ($7,100 DK / $7,700 FD) – The AETY Model is absolutely in love with Aaron Jones this week and I’m going to have a lot of him. The Packers’ offensive line is banged up after losing Lane Taylor for the year… which is scary, but Jones can get it done through the air as well. As everyone flocks to Rodgers/Adams, I’m all about taking the under-the-radar Aaron Jones.
Derrick Henry ($7,900 / $8,300 FD) – If he’s 50% owned, it’s likely too low. Ride him.
Saquon Barkley ($8,400 DK / $9,000 FD) – Barkley is under 10% owned. Do I need to say more? I’m going to have a lot of Saquon Barkley. You can run all over Chicago and Saquon is also likely to receive 5+ targets. He is their offense.
David Montgomery ($5,600 DK / $5,600 FD) – Read the cash game article for takes on Montgomery.
Austin Ekeler ($6,500 DK / $6,900 FD) – Read the cash game article for takes on Ekeler. Long story short, I want to stack the Chiefs, so I want some Chargers on the back-side.
Honorable Mention: Christian McCaffrey, Dalvin Cook, Nyheim Hines, Todd Gurley, Leonard Fournette, Miles Sanders, Antonio Gibson
NFL DFS GPP Wide Receivers
Allen Robinson ($6,400 DK / $7,000 FD) – Squeaky wheel gets the grease. I think that’s the saying? I mentioned earlier how I like Trubisky and the Bears’ offense, so why wouldn’t we jam in their top receiver who is an absolute target hog.
Mike Evans ($6,400 DK / $7,400 FD) – No Godwin. No defense… well, Carolina will suit up 11 guys on defense, but they won’t be playing much of it. Tampa should be able to run the hell out of the ball on Sunday, but Brady and Evans can break the slate with a couple of deep balls. I’m all aboard the Evans train.
Calvin Ridley/Julio Jones – Don’t care about their price, we need exposure to this Dallas/Atlanta game. Get a Cowboy and a Falcon in most of your NFL DFS GPP lineups.
DJ Moore ($6,300 DK / $6,800 FD) – On the other side of Mike Evans and the Bucs, I’m going back to DJ Moore. He crushed my upside in what was a helluva Week 1 for me. I’ll forgive him and load him up in a game the Panthers are going to be chasing points in from the get go.
Mike Williams ($4,200 DK / $5,800 FD) – Mr. Air Yards, Mike Williams. I want a lot of Mike Williams this week as the Chargers are going to be playing from behind early in this one. Tyrod will not hesitate to chuck the ball up to Mike Williams and they’re going to connect a few times on Sunday afternoon. Let’s roll.
Marquise Brown ($6,200 DK / $6,200 FD) – Hollywood Brown is always a smash play for GPPs. He’s 100% healthy this year and proved last week he’s just an absolute matchup nightmare.
DJ Chark ($6,000 DK / $6,700 FD) – If we’re going to have this much Derrick Henry, we should give a solid look to a Jacksonville play maker. I wrote him up last week and he was kind of a let-down, but I’m going back to both DJ’s this weekend.
JuJu Smith Schuster ($6,500 DK / $7,100 FD) – JuJu is going up against a rookie slot-cornerback. This is a smash matchup for a top-tier wide receiver with sub 5% ownership. I think he’s one of my favorites this week.
Honorable Mention: Adam Thielen, Cooper Kupp, Hollywood Brown, Will Fuller, Preston Williams, TY Hilton, Parris Campbell
Travis Kelce ($7,000 DK / $7,800 FD) – By far the best tight end on the slate and I want a lot of KC/LAC exposure this week.
Mark Andrews ($6,300 DK / $7,500 FD) – He’s a red-zone freak and likely to lead the NFL in tight end touchdowns. Houston is going to have a tough time slowing down this Baltimore offense as a whole, but I love Andrews almost as much as I do Kelce.
Zach Ertz ($5,600 DK / $6,300 FD) – I’ll always play a sub-10% owned, Zach Ertz. Goedert went off last week, but that doesn’t warrant the field ignoring Zach Ertz.
Hayden Hurst ($4,600 DK / $5,700 FD) – Hurst chalk let a lot of people down last week… unless you’re a member at Win Daily. Now is the week to lock in Hurst and get some cheap exposure to this likely shoot-out. Dallas’ linebacking core is beat up and the rest of this team is going to have their hands full with Julio and Ridley. Hurst szn.
Honorable Mention: TJ Hockenson, Evan Engram, Hunter Henry, O.J. Howard
Content Director for Win Daily Sports NFL/MLB.
Creator of the AETY Model. Chicago White Sox die-hard. Focusing on helping others manage their bankroll and cross the pay line in NFL/MLB Cash Games & GPP's.
CoFounder of thoroughbred horse racing partnership, Reta Racing LLC.