NFL DFS GPP: Stix Picks for Week 11

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To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive.” NFL DFS GPP season is here and it’s time for us to get rolling again for Week 11. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 11 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice.

In addition, I would strongly advise reading my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason, before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.

For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat. Let’s get into it.

Please note, everyone on our cheatsheet and the Cash Game Checkdown are also in play for GPPs. This is more to uncover some players people are not talking about… and they should be.

*Keep in mind, you DO NOT NEED to just build your GPP lineups around these players. Players from the Cash Game Checkdown are there because they have extremely high floors and high ceilings. They are key components you should probably build around no matter what type of contest you’re in*

Adjusted Expected Team Totals Rankings for Week 11

1. Pittsburgh Steelers (22.88)
2. Minnesota Vikings (22.18)
3. New England Patriots (21.90)
4. Atlanta Falcons (21.13)
5. New Orleans Saints (20.92)
6. Baltimore Ravens (20.58)

My Personal Top Stacks:
– Dallas Cowboys
– Minnesota Vikings
– Baltimore Ravens
– Atlanta Falcons
– Cincinnati Bengals

NFL DFS GPP Quarterbacks

1. Lamar Jackson – Clearly the top-dog Quarterback on this slate without Kyler Murray, Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Russell Wilson. His price is respectable, if not too-cheap on both DraftKings and FanDuel. He should be coming into this slate around 15-20% owned but I’ll be shocked if he eclipses 10% in total ownership.
   
   Tennessee has absolutely no pass rush and a beaten-up secondary. Lamar will get in done via the run and the pass like he did in 2019tomorrow and replicate a monster outing he put on the Titans last year in the playoffs.
   
   Use him naked or pair him up with Hollywood Brown and/or Mark Andrews. This is a plus-matchup for both of them! Don’t forget about Derrick Henry on the back-side of this game for some correlation.
   
2. Andy Dalton – He’s just way too cheap on DraftKings ($5,300) and offers us a perfect pivot off of 20% owned, Taysom Hill (LOL). I do not understand the love for playing Hill at Quarterback. Load up Dalton against this sieve of a pass defense in Minnesota.
   
   The only headache here is who to pair him up with but there are plenty of good choices to roll out there and then of course using Dalvin Cook and/or Justin Jefferson or Adam Thielen on the back-end.
   
   Honorable Mention: Matt Ryan, Cam Newton, Joe Burrow, DeShaun Watson

Running Backs

1. Miles Sanders – No idea how Sanders isn’t coming in over 15% on current ownership projections. I absolutely loved what I saw out of Miles Sanders last week despite having two touchdowns somewhat vultured away from him (Boston Scott earned his, even though he stepped out).
   
   There are very few backs that get as many touches as Miles Sanders but all of them are priced over $7K on DraftKings (outside of Mike Davis) and over $8K on FanDuel. Keep in mind, Myles Garrett being out leaves a big hole in this Cleveland defense.
   
2. Ezekiel Elliott (DraftKings) – We’ve never seen Zeke at $6,500 on DraftKings and I don’t think we ever will again. Take advantage of these savings now that Erving and Martin make their return to Dallas’ offensive line.
   
   The AETY Model has this game handicapped for a total of 52 points and really loves it’s potential to shootout. Getting a 18+ touch Zeke Elliott really intrigues me in NFL DFS GPP lineups at $6,500 in salary.
   
   Honorable Mention: Derrick Henry, Alvin Kamara, Kerryon Johnson, Phillip Lindsay, James Conner

Wide Receivers

1. Julio Jones / Calvin Ridley – I love Matt Ryan this week against the pass funnel, New Orleans defense. I have no idea what to expect from the pace of the Taysom Hill led Saints’ offense, but if they play with a decent tempo, I love this game’s ability to go over the total.
   
   If that happens, sub-10% owned Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley are in prime spots to produce. If given one choice, I’d choose Ridley due to the savings and seeing more or Janoris Jenkins in coverage, but they’re both great NFL DFS GPP plays in Week 11.
   
2. Adam Thielen – If Justin Jefferson is going to garner twice as much ownership as Adam Thielen, I’ll have a ton of Thielen on Sunday. I’ve talked enough about how much I like this game and I love the pairing of Dalvin Cook/Adam Thielen on the other side of my Cowboys’ stacks.
   
3. Tyler Boyd – Tyler Boyd under $6K in salary… just go ask Ghost what we do when that is a scenario for an upcoming NFL DFS GPP slate. Jimmy Moreland is a bottom tier slot-cornerback and will struggle all game long against an elite route runner like Tyler Boyd. Both of these teams play at a solid pace so there should be plenty of opportunities for Boyd to shine.
   
4. Dallas Cowboys Wide Receivers – Again, I’m not sure who to rank the highest for my Andy Dalton stacks, but if I had to choose, I’d probably lean Amari Cooper first, Michael Gallup (he’s so damn cheap) second, and CeeDee Lamb as the odd man out (or minimal shares in 150 entry contests).
   
   As most of you are not 150-max entry players, I think you should focus around building your Dallas lineups with Cooper/Gallup or Cooper/Elliott. If you need salary relief in any other NFL DFS GPP lineup, Michael Gallup is more than a viable punt this week as a one-off.
   
   Honorable Mention: Keenan Allen, Denzel Mims, Marquise Brown, Mike Williams, Marvin Jones, Robby Anderson

NFL DFS GPP Tight Ends

1. TJ Hockenson – No idea how this dude isn’t projected for 15% ownership, again! No Danny Amendola this week only makes this sweeter for Hockenson.
   
   Honorable Mention: All of the Popular Tight Ends (Mark Andrews, Dallas Goedert, Logan Thomas, Hayden Hurst)

Good luck to all this week in your NFL DFS GPP lineups!

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