NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Phoenix 3/13

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Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series for the 2021 season! If you’ve been with us before then you know the drill, but if you are new the WinDaily Sports or to my NASCAR content, welcome! I break down the field each week and give you my favorite plays for each race in three different price categories.

Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial as well to make sure you are ready and have an understanding of how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/). You will notice that all pricing is for DraftKings in these articles since they are the only site that has contests for all three series (Trucks, Xfinity, Cup) and is the site I mainly play on. All plays in the Cup Series article will translate to FanDuel if that is where you play.

This week the NASCAR Xfinity Series heads to Phoenix, the site of the final race last season where we saw Austin Cindric ($11,200) win and become the 2020 season champion. Cindric is definitely one of the favorites for this race and the season title again in 2021. I don’t love Cindric’s starting position but he is the odds-on favorite to win this race (+275) and with him starting from the 3rd position he does offer early dominator point upside. I will have some Cindric in my lineups on Saturday, but there are some better options that I will breakdown below.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Justin Allgaier ($12,000)

Starting Position: 12th

Allgaier is the highest-priced driver on the slate, and for good reason, he dominates races here at Phoenix. Last season at this race, Allgaier led 51 laps (25% of the race) and had 20 fastest laps. Allgaier offers the best place differential upside of all drivers in this tier as well. I really like Allgaier this week and he may be my favorite play in this tier.

Noah Gragson ($11,600)

Starting Position: 10th

I said Allgaier was the best PD play in this tier, well that would make Gragson the second best. Gragson starts 10th but has top 5 potential and there is a chance he wins this race (+800). In the first Phoenix race n 2020, Gragson wasn’t dominant like he can be at times, but even so, he did lead 27 laps as well as having 8 fastest laps. Gragson also spent the entire race last spring running in the top 15 and had an average running position of 4.3.

Justin Haley ($9,200)

Starting Position: 5th

While I think many people will flock to last week’s winner and Haley’s Kaulig Racing teammate AJ Allmendinger ($10,400), I prefer to go with Haley. Last season Haley has a good day here at Phoenix where he ran an average position of 8.1 and made the 3rd most green flag passed (52). Haley had two top 10 finishes here last season (5th and 8th) and while he doesn’t collect dominator points, he is really good at flat tracks and should come home with a top 5.

Riley Herbst ($10,100) has been having an atrocious year in 2021. Herbst offers great upside potential but I cannot roster him for this price based on the year he is having. He is a safe play on Saturday, and I won’t try and talk you out of him, but just know I won’t be

Other Options (in order of preference):Brandon Jones ($9,500),AJ Allmendinger ($10,400), Harrison Burton ($10,800),

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Ty Gibbs ($8,900)

Starting Position: 27th

In his first career start in an Xfinity Series race all Gibbs did was dominate the second half of the Daytona RC on route to the win. DraftKings was smart and jacked his price up, rightfully so. Gibbs is in some of the best equipment in the series and should definitely contend for a top 10 with great PD upside

Ryan Sieg ($8,600) was someone I really liked last week and still do this weekend. My only worry with Sieg will be ownership, with him starting from P31. I know Sieg has a top 15, maybe top 10 car but he will most likely be the play for a lot of people in the mid-tier so unless you play cash games I wouldn’t look to roster Sieg on Saturday.

Brett Moffitt ($8,400)

Starting Position: 20th

If you are looking for a lower-owned pivot off Sieg for GPP’s, I give you Brett Moffitt. I don’t expect Moffitt to have near the ownership that Sieg will and he may actually have a better race car this weekend. In my opinion, Moffitt has a top 10 car every week and this week is no exception. Moffitt has three finishes of 11th or better already this season and has been very successful here in Phoenix with the Truck Series (1 win and 3 top 10’s)

Josh Berry ($7,600)

Starting Position: 9th

Berry is one of the best mid-tier options this week. Over the beginning of this season, Berry has progressively improved since his first race in the JRM #8. We know the JRM cars are always running towards the front and Berry is a short track specialist of sorts. In 3 Xfinity Series short track races, Berry has two top 10 finishes and an average finish of 9.3. I like his chances for a top 10 this week, or even a top 5.

Other Options: Alex Labbe ($7,200), Myatt Snider ($8,200), Santino Ferrucci ($7,400)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

1. JJ Yeley ($6,700) P33 – Too much upside for this low of a price
2. Stefan Parson ($5,400) P35
3. Josh Williams ($6,000) – P17
4. Timmy Hill ($5,500) – P39 – Way too cheap for where he starts
5. Blaine Perkins ($4,700) – P28 – Only driver under $5K I am interested in and is in the same equipment as Moffitt
6. Bayley Currey ($5,900) – P29
7. David Starr ($5,300) – P37 – Starr has top 25 potential this week, maybe even top 20
8. Landon Cassill ($5,200) – P18
9. Gray Gaulding ($6,900) – P34
10. Dexter Bean ($4,500) – P22

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