NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series New Hampshire 7/17

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Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for the Xfinity series for the 2021 season! If you’ve been with us before then you know the drill, but if you are new the WinDaily Sports or to my NASCAR content, welcome! I break down the field each week and give you my favorite plays for each race in three different price categories.

Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial to make sure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/). You will notice that all pricing is for DraftKings in these articles since they are the only site with contests for all three series (Trucks, Xfinity, Cup) and the site I mainly play on. All plays in the Cup Series article will translate to FanDuel if that is where you play.

This week is the last NASCAR Xfinity Series race for a couple of weeks as the series takes off during the Olympics (thanks, TV contracts::eye roll emoji::). If you are like me and love short track racing then you won’t be disappointed this week. New Hampshire is a short flat track that is similar to Richmond and Phoenix. You can also look at Martinsville and Nashville but I will be focusing mainly on Richmond and Phoenix as comparables. There is not a lot of experience when it comes to the Xfinity Series regulars at New Hampshire so using data from other tracks will be important this week. Christopher Bell ($11,500) is the only driver in this race with a win here, but I will get into him more in his breakdown. One thing to take note of is that a Joe Gibbs driven car has won six straight Xfinity Series races here and nine of the last eleven. There are a few drivers in JGR Toyotas that I think can keep this streak alive on Saturday.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Christopher Bell ($11,500)

Starting Position: 14th

I just need to open by venting about how disrespectful DraftKings is being to Christopher Bell in this race. This man is a TWO-TIME winner and the ONLY previous winner in this race at Loudon. Bell is only priced $400 more than Allgaier and $800 more than Cindric while starting nine and ten places further back in the field. I expect Bell to be upwards of 75% owned because of this but I cannot in good conscience fade him. The man is perfect at this track. He has run two races here with wins in both and he led 279 of 400 laps. Bell also has four wins, six top 5’s, and seven top 10’s in ten races at Phoenix and Richmond in this series. I’m sorry but I cannot find a reason DK priced him so low and in the same breath I cannot find a reason not to roster Bell on Saturday as well.

Josh Berry ($10,400)

Starting Position: 21st

Berry is back in a JRM Chevy this week for the injured Michael Annett. This season Berry ran 12 races for JRM and outperformed all expectations. At Phoenix Berry wrecked out and finished 36th, but he did win in Martinsville and finished 4th in Nashville so as long as he can keep his car clean we should see a big DKFP total day from Berry. Like with Bell, Berry is too cheap for his upside and I expect at least a top 10 with top 5 upside for him on Saturday.

Brandon Jones ($10,100)

Starting Position: 23rd

Jones is the next Joe Gibbs car in this tier that I want to roster on Saturday. I don’t know if the 19 team can get to victory lane but they should be able to pick up another top 10. Jones has run four races at Loudon but has only finished lower than 11th once (wrecked out in 2017). In his two races in the 19, Jones has finished 6th and 9th. I think game log watchers will pass on Jones at this price and keep his ownership down. Jones is coming in off two poor finishes but prior to that he had five straight top 10’s.

Daniel Hemric ($9,800)

Starting Position: 13th

Hemric is having one of the best years of his career and it’s no coincidence that he is in the best equipment he’s ever been in. Hemric has run two races at New Hampshire (2017-18) and has an 11.5 average finish. I really think Hemric is another potentially low owned driver to pair with our Bell/Berry builds. When I look at similar tracks, Hemric has run well at both Richmond and Phoenix in his career. Hemric has seven top 10’s and five top 5’s in eleven races between the two tracks.

Other Options: Austin Cindric ($10,700 – P4),Noah Gragson ($9,100 – P3), Justin Allgaier ($11,100 – P4)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

JJ Yeley ($8,400)

Starting Position: 36th

Yeley is expensive this week but the upside is incredible for him this season in this car. So far in 2021, Yeley has run six races in the Rick Ware #17 with his worse finish being a 24th place at Martinsville. Yeley did run this car at Phoenix earlier this season and finished 13th there. Yeley has run nine races in the Xfinity Series at Loudon and outside of the two races he wrecked in, he has only finished lower than 17th once.

Jordan Anderson ($7,600)

Starting Position: 33rd

Like with Yeley, Anderson is priced up some and might be overlooked for bigger names this weekend. Anderson has good equipment and he was helped by Josh Berry and Tyler Reddick getting him points to qualify for this race. Anderson did run one race this season and finished 34th, but he did have issues with his car and finished 51 laps down. I think Anderson is a top 20 car on Saturday.

Brandon Brown ($7,500)

Starting Position: 22nd

Stop me if you’ve read this before, but Brown is having a great season for a small single car team. Brown has run one race at Loudon (2109) and he finished 16th. At Phoenix this season Brown had a 3rd place finish and overall he has run great in his career there too (12.9 avg finish). I really like Brown’s chances for a top 10 this week, but is purely a GPP play.

Other Options: Sam Mayer ($8,800 – P9), Riley Herbst ($8,000 – P12), Brendan Gdovic ($7,300 – P32)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

1. Dexter Bean ($5,400) – P37: Bean can’t really hurt you at this price starting P37. I will probably be overweight on him and it scares me
2. Kyle Weatherman ($5,300) – P34: Weatherman has eight finishes of 28th or better in his last nine (excluding races he’s wrecked). Bean/Weatherman is a combo I will be using to fit three top tier drivers
3. Patrick Emerling ($6,700) -P24: Emerling is a Loudon “ringer”. This is home track and he has plenty of experience on this track that will definitely help him on Saturday.
4. CJ McLaughlin ($6,300) – P39: McLaughlin is on par with Emerling and Bean for me. If you need the salary savings go Bean, but if you can afford McLaughlin, go there.
5. Matt Mills ($4,800) – P27: I love Mills’ price, but his starting position scares me some. Mills does have 5 straight finishe of 26th or better, so maybe the risk is worth it with him.
6. Spencer Boyd ($5,200) – P40: Boyd starts dead last and is cheap, so why isn’t he higher on the list? He will most likely be the chalk value play and I would rather pay up for a chalk driver and find value drivers to be different. If you are playing cash, then Boyd is your man for the value tier.

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