NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Nashville 6/25

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Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for Saturday’s Xfinity Series race from Nashville Superspeedway! Don’t let the name fool you this is not a superspeedway in the way Daytona or Talladega is. Nashville is a 1.33-mile concrete “short” track. This track is similar to Dover with a little sprinkle of Richmond and Martinsville. Nashville Superspeedway runs like a short flat track while having a concrete surface similar to that of Dover. Unfortunately, we don’t have qualifying positions as of the writing of this article so you will need to check in with discord after 12 PM eastern for post-qualifying updates

Neither driver who dominated this race in 2021 is back (Kyle Busch and Austin Cindric) so we will have a new class of dominators in this race on Saturday. In this race last season we had only five cautions for incident and only five drivers out of the race because of them. I do expect a pretty clean race on Saturday like we had last year and actually had on Friday in the Truck Series. Speaking of the truck race, Ryan Preece dominated the second half of that race and looked fast in Friday’s Xfinity practice session. As expected, both AJ Allmendinger and Ty Gibbs were also fast on Friday and should be starting near the front on Saturday.

Roster Construction

With only nine drivers priced at $9K and above this week, we will probably be getting some exposure to the mid-tier. All nine are in play but there are a few drivers in the upper mid-tier that could collect some dominator points so we will look to fit one or two of them in as well. Value tier is hard to predict until we see how they qualify.

NASCAR DFS: Top Tier ($9K +)

Since all nine drivers are in play and since we don’t have qualifying positions I will rank the drivers in order of preference based on value, practice speed, and their history on this track type.

1. AJ Allmendinger ($10,000) – Dinger was 2nd fastest in single lap time and had the best 10-lap average. Allmendinger is having a great season and won the last time the Xfinity Series was on track in Portland. In fourteen races this season, Allmendinger has thirteen top 10’s and a 5.9 average finish. I see AJ as a top 5 car and could be the top dominator as well making it easy for him to smash value.
2. Sam Mayer ($9,200) – I am sure most people will overlook Mayer on Saturday, but I expect a big day out of the 1 car on Saturday. Before he had issues at Portland a few weeks back, Mayer had four straight top 5’s and eight in nine races. Mayer has also been great at this track type with four top 5 finishes in five races.
3. Ty Gibbs ($11,300) – Gibbs is expensive (duh) and he was fast on Friday (double duh) so he should be in contention for the win at the end of the day. I don’t really need to go over the stat for Gibbs. This car is fast every week and competes for wins in every race. The only reason I don’t have him at the top is his price, I think Dinger gives you a better build type with the $1.3K savings.
4. Noah Gragson ($11,700) – Gragson has four top fives and five top tens in the last six races. Once again Gragson was incredibly fast in practice with the 3rd best single lap time and five best 10-lap speed. Similar to Gibbs, Gragson isn’t higher in the rankings because of salary.
5. Justin Allgaier ($10,80) – Allgaier is in that weird spot where he is priced a little too high, but could outscore everyone priced higher making him great value. Last season here at Nashville, Allgaier finished 2nd after starting from P11 and ran all 189 laps in the top 15. Only Kyle Busch had a better average running position in that race as well (4th). In Friday’s practice, Allgaier was ninth in both single-lap and 10-lap speed.
6. Trevor Bayne (9,700)
7. Tyler Reddick ($10,400)
8. Josh Berry ($11,000)
9. Brandon Jones ($9,400)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier ($7K – $8.9K)

Sheldon Creed ($7,900)

Sheldon Creed has had some of the worst luck in the Xfinity Series this season. Week after week he is running near the front but then something happens and he has a poor finish. Outside of Charlotte where he finished 8th, Creed has finished 26th or worse in three of his last four races. All three finishes were either because of a wreck or his engine failing. Looking at practice speed, Creed was tops in single-lap speed and was 6th in 10-lap average. Creed’s RCR Chevy was fast on Friday and hopefully, he can stay clean on Saturday and earn another top 10.

Ryan Preece ($8,900)

Preece should be priced in the mid-$9K range so we should take advantage of his value this week. In two races or the #5 team this season, Preece has finished 16th and 5th in those two races. We saw Preece dominate the second half of Friday’s truck race on his way to victory again here, just as he did last season. In practice on Friday, Preece had a top 10 single lap and was third-best in 10-lap average. I expect another top 10 from this car on Saturday afternoon.

Daniel Hemric ($8,400)

Hemric has finished between 6th and 11th in five straight races and has been successful at this track type in the last two seasons. In those seven races, Hemric has two top 5’s and five top 10’s. In Friday’s practice session, Hemric was fourth fastest in both single-lap speed and in 10-lap average. Depending on where he qualifies, Hemric could be low-owned. I think a lot of the $8K drivers could go overlooked on Saturday because people will want to pay up for 2-3 of the $10K plus drivers so if they bust and they definitely can, we could take advantage with one or two of these guys.

Other Options: Landon Cassill ($8,200), Riley Herbst ($8,100), Ryan Sieg ($7,700), Jeffrey Earnhardt ($7,000 – only viable if qualifies poorly)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier (Under $7K)

1. Brett Moffitt ($6,900) – I feel like DK knows something we don’t with this price, either way, I think I will have a lot of Moffitt.
2. Jeb Burton ($6,600) – See above
3. Parker Retzlaff ($5,900)- Once again, too cheap. Three straight finishes between 10th and 17th
4. Patrick Emerling ($5,000)
5. Josh Williams ($4,900)
6. Kyle Weatherman ($5,700)

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Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial to make sure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/).

There were a lot of changes in the cars and what driver is in what car/truck in 2022, check out my What’s new in 2022 article (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-whats-new-in-2022/)