RBC Heritage Preview: DeepDiveGolf’s Tournament Analysis, Weather, And Advice DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 7 days ago
RBC Heritage Preview: DeepDiveGolf’s Tournament Analysis, Weather, And Advice DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski 7 days ago
185 It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! I have some great news for everyone, all of us over at the Win Daily Sports team have chosen to expand our Monkey Knife Fight coverage from a weekly format to a daily format. So now we will not only be providing weekly selections for NFL but we will also be giving daily plays for all other sports as well! WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more Quick Note: One thing that you will see is that I will try to stay away from high risk plays. Everyone loves the big win but the goal here is steady growth over the long term. It’s ok to take the occasional shot whenever it makes sense but that should not be your standard “go to” if you want to continue to grow your bankroll. Monkey Knife Fight Plays NFL Thanksgiving Slate 11.26:Gotta love bonus football. Can’t wait to stuff my face and pass out in front of the TV on Thursday but before we do that let’s take get some prop plays covered at Monkey Knife Fight so we can wake up from our food coma with some extra ducketts for Black Friday. Speaking of Black Friday, Win Daily Sports is running their biggest promotion ever. We’re offering 50% off everything site-wide! All you need to do is go to windailysports.com and take your pick. Click on the picture below for more info.More or Less (2 of 2): 3.5x return Either I’m completely off base with the Lions and Matthew Stafford or Vegas sees something that I am missing so if you want to play it safe you can take the over on Deshaun Watson then play Stafford both ways and hedge a little for a safer play. With no Kenny Golladay, an injured thumb, Matt Patricia’s bland offense, potentially no De’Andre Swift or TJ Hockenson and the fact that Stafford has only surpassed 277 yards three times I have a hard time thinking the Lions are only three point underdogs and I have a harder time thinking Matt will but up a big game with Marvin Hall, Marvin Jones, and Kerryon Johnson as his main three options. On the flip side since Bill O’Brien’s firing Deshaun Watson has thrown for over 300 yards in four of six games and one of those was in Cleveland in 50mph wind (made some money on the unders that week if you followed that article). They have no ability to run the ball either so it is all on Watsons shoulders and he is incredibly capable, a slight caveat there when it comes to Duke Johnson, I don’t think it changes a lot but I have a purely gut feeling that this game is going to get out of hand and Duke is going to have his best game all season. It’s a low bar but I’m taking a couple of flyers in DFS with him.Rapidfire (2 of 2): 3.5x return I explained Deshaun Watson’s deal over Stafford already. Brandon Cooks and Will Fuller the 38th are interesting though. My original lean was Cooks but are guy Stix hooked be up with some data and it’s showing a clear advantage to Will Fuller by almost 20 yards and I’m not going to go against those projections when they show that clear of a divide. In Stix I trust with this one, you would be crazy not to. It is the best model in the industry.More or Less (2 of 2): 3.5x return I am attacking both overs in this Washington/Dallas prop. Dallas has had some struggles but as we talking about last week the O-line is getting healthy and while Dalton isn’t great if he is given time to survey the field he can find his receivers and the one thing Dallas has is talent on the outside. We already put a play out there on discord telling you to attack the over 4.5 receptions for Ceedee Lamb before it moves. If we are assuming at least five catches with an average of 13.1 yards per catch you can do the math and see why we want the over. Antonio Gibson is finally starting to get the work that we have been clamoring for. We ideally want 20 carries a game for this guy but he shredded the Dallas run Defense for 6.4 yards per carry having his best game all year with 128 yards on 20 carries last time out so even if he only gets 10 carries and we expect a similar baseline he is easily surpassing 58.5 yards rushing. I don’t think he gets less than 14 carries Thursday so this number is at least 20 yards low in my eyes. Don’t sweat the injury designation as we was a full participant in practice and will not have any limitations come game time.Rapidfire (2 of 2): 3.5x return I know Alex Smith is the king of dink and dunk but when you have the kind of talent that can take a 3 yard dump of 60 yards to the house the yards pile up. He’s gone over 320 yards passing in two of his three starts and who does Dallas have defensively that can keep him from doing that again? The touchdown variance has been really odd on both of those games and we all know in fantasy things tend to regress to the mean but that is a DFS conversation so I’ll leave it at that. MKF is under the assumption that Dalton is going to exceed Alex Smith in passing yards and I just do not see what they do. The only reason he didn’t do more last week is because it simply wasn’t needed. The dink and dunk is the very reason I see JD McKissic beating out Terry McLaurin in catch totals. To be honest even if the bonus went to Terry I still would have gone JD. Smith is targeting JD 15 times a game during a normal script and Ron Rivera is spliting usage 50/50 for him and Gibson right down the middle and recreating what he did with CMC in Carolina. It is crazy to see that if you add it all up it the production is the same as well so I’m completely comfortable going with over props for both Gibson and McKissic in their respective rolls.High Risk, Turkey Day, Coma Play (optional) Want to stuff for face throw 10 bucks on a high risk play and potentially wake up to a big bankroll boost? Well here you go. I make no promises here. Just something for a little fun. we’ve only hit 5 of 6 once just missing out on a 20x return (Thanks Cleveland) so the odds are stacked against you. The point may be completely moot with Detroit/Houston because of Swift’s status so I’ll put two here. Only play one please unless you are good with your bankroll. Remember what I always say. If you NEED the play to pay off, you really should not be playing it.More or Less (6 of 6): 30x returnThanks for taking the time to look through my Monkey Knife Fight Plays NFL Thanksgiving Slate 11.26. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!
