MLBMA FREE DAILY NOTES 6.17.19 SF at LAD

159

OFFENSE

SF Away, 2019 (Last 14 Days)

• 111 PA
• .214/.270/.320 Triple Slash
• .591 OPS
• .107 ISO
• .254 wOBA
• 53 wRC+
• 23.4% K Rate
• 27.3% Hard Hit Rate

LAD Home vs RHP, 2019 (Last 30 Days)

• 249 PA
• .308/.363/.576 Triple Slash
• .939 OPS
• .268 ISO
• .386 wOBA
• 148 wRC+
• 42.2% Hard Hit Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Tyler Beede Away, 2019 (4 Games, 3 Game Started)

• 15.1 IP
• 8.81 ERA / 7.29 FIP / xFIP 5.92
• 2.09 WHIP
• 14 K : 12 BB
• 15.4% BB Rate
• .313/.423/.578 Triple Slash Allowed
• 1.001 OPSA
• .414 wOBAA
• 39.2% Hard Hit Rate
• 8.7% Barrel Rate
• 1st TTO – 6.75 ERA
• 2nd TTO – 11.37 ERA
• 3rd TTO – 7.36 ERA

Kenta Maeda Home, 2019 (5 Games Started)

• 32.0 IP
• 1.69 ERA / 3.37 FIP / 3.80 xFIP
• 0.72 WHIP
• 35 K : 7 BB
• 29.7% K Rate
• 5.9% BB Rate
• .145/.203/.291 Triple Slash Allowed
• .494 OPSA
• .214 wOBAA
• 33.3% Hard Hit Rate
• 6.3% Barrel Rate

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

Team	WHIP	ERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA	K%	BB%
LAD	1.16	3.07	4.27	3.82	3.91	27.4 %	11.3 %
SF	1.09	2.45	4.60	4.58	4.24	23.3 %	9.6 %

THE PLAY: LAD ML

Dodgers have the edge any way you slice it tonight, so it’s just a matter of risk tolerance and strategy. If you don’t want to pay the (-260) freight you can take your chances on the (-135) -1.5 Run Line, or wait for another game to parlay with (I have more plays coming throughout the day). I think the Dodgers do cover the RL, but understand it’s assuming extra risk in an already difficult field.