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MLBMA Daily Notes 6.5.19 COL at CHC




COL, 2019 (Last 7 Days)

  • 230 PA
  • .329/.389/.541 Triple Slash
  • .930 OPS (2nd in MLB)
  • .213 ISO
  • .388 wOBA (1st in MLB)
  • 126 wRC+ (2nd in MLB)
  • 19.6% K Rate (7th in MLB)

CHC, 2019 (Last 7 Days)

  • 215 PA
  • .220/.293/.387 Triple Slash
  • .680 OPS (28th in MLB)
  • .168 ISO
  • .290 wOBA (28th in MLB)
  • 77 wRC+ (Last in MLB)
  • 26.0% K Rate (24th in MLB)


German Marquez, Away 2019 (6 Games Started)

  • 43.1 IP
  • 42 K : 7 BB
  • 26.4% K Rate
  • 2.08 ERA / 2.74 FIP / 3.12 xFIP
  • 0.74 WHIP
  • .167/.214/.253 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .467 OPSA
  • .206 wOBAA
  • 5.7% Barrel Rate
  • 1st TTO – 2.59 ERA
  • 2nd TTO – 4.33 ERA
  • 3rd TTO – 2.92 ERA

Yu Darvish Home, 2019 (6 Games Started)

  • 31.1 IP
  • 6.32 ERA / 6.21 FIP / 4.61 xFIP
  • 1.66 WHIP
  • 13.3% BB Rate
  • .275/.376/.533 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .909 OPSA
  • .382 wOBAA
  • 7.1% Barrel Rate
  • 1st TTO – 3.47 ERA
  • 2nd TTO – 4.68 ERA
  • 3rd TTO- 7.94 ERA




Knowing that the wind is blowing in at 10mph is a critical piece of info before placing any bet at Wrigley.


The Rockies are red hot right now, and frankly I was surprised to see that they are the underdog in this one. I get taking the odds and looking for the outright win, but my dedicated followers know I’m very conservative with risk whenever I have the option. I decided to let this one go nine innings for a couple reasons; Marquez not only goes deep into games, but we also want to let it mature to where COL can see Darvish for the third time if they haven’t already.

If the odds do flip to make COL the fave, just go with the ML

Let’s get it.

Baseball Twitter's Robin Hood. Lifetime baseball fan, avid capper and fantasy baseball player. 15+ years of stock trading experience, specializing in risk management and advanced game theories. Creator of the MLB Moving Averages algorithm in 2018

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