MLBMA Daily Notes 6.5.19 BOS at KC

131

OFFENSE

BOS vs RHP, 2019 (Last 7 Days)

• 123 PA
• .316/.358/.570 Triple Slash
• .928 OPS
• .254 ISO
• .384 wOBA
• 139 wRC+
• 41.4% Fly Ball Rate
• 44.8% Hard Hit Rate

KC vs LHP, 2019 (Last 14 Days)

• 121 PA
• .230/.273/.345 Triple Slash
• .618 OPS
• .115 ISO
• .267 wOBA
• 64 wRC+
• 33.1% K Rate
• 36.5% Hard Hit Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Chris Sale, 2019 (Last 6 Games Started)

• 38.1 IP
• 66 K : 9 BB
• 43.1% K Rate
• 2.82 ERA / 2.16 FIP / 2.46 xFIP
• 0.83 WHIP
• .167/.242/.319 Triple Slash Allowed
• .561 OPSA
• .245 wOBAA
• 37.0% Hard Hit Rate
• Poor Statcast data (below)

Jakob Junis, 2019 (Last 5 Games Started)

• 28.2 IP
• 27 K : 13 BB
• 10.3% BB Rate
• 5.65 ERA / 5.91 FIP / 4.74 xFIP
• 1.43 WHIP
• .255/.333/.500 Triple Slash Allowed
• .833 OPSA
• .348 wOBAA
• 47.1% Hard Hit Rate
• 9.7% Barrel Rate (2019)
• Weak Statcast data all around

BULLPENS LAST 10 DAYS

Team	AVG	WHIP	ERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA
Red Sox	0.232	1.50	6.57	3.92	5.05	4.40
Royals	0.270	1.61	5.12	3.53	4.35	4.21

THE PLAY: BOS ML

The champs are starting to find their form a bit, and Chris Sale looks like a first round fantasy pick again. The Royals haven;t touched LHP all season, and I think they’re outmatched in all phases tonight. If the chalk bothers you, get a percentage of your wager on the -1.5 Run Line.