MLBMA Daily Notes 6.4.19 MIA at MIL

161

OFFENSE

MIA Away vs RHP, 2019 (Last 10 Days)

• 85 PA
• .260/.298/.338 Triple Slash
• .635 OPS
• .078 ISO
• .275 wOBA
• 67 wRC+
• 4.7% BB Rate

MIL vs RHP, 2019 (Last 7 Days)

• 176 PA
• .291/.364/.601 Triple Slash
• .965 OPS
• .310 ISO
• .394 wOBA
• 146 wRC+
• 9.3% BB Rate
• 43.5% Hard Hit Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Jorge Lopez, 2019 (Last 9 Games Started)

• 39.2 IP
• 7.94 ERA / 5.79 FIP / 4.20 xFIP
• 1.69 WHIP
• .313/.389/.564 Triple Slash Allowed
• .953 OPSA
• .400 wOBAA
• 40.8% Hard Hit Rate
• 8.6% BB Rate
• 7.8% Barrel Rate
• 1st TTO – 5.40 ERA
• 2nd TTO – 7.41 ERA
• 3rd TTO – 10.64 ERA

Chase Anderson Home, 2019 (5 Games, 2 Games Started)

• 15.1 IP
• 19 K : 4 BB
• 31.7% K Rate
• 2.93 ERA / 2.29 FIP / 3.32 xFIP
• 0.98 WHIP
• .200/.250/.327 Triple Slash Allowed
• .577 OPSA
• .240 wOBAA
• 5.4% Barrel Rate
• 1st TTO – 2.53 ERA
• 2nd TTO – 2.53 ERA
• 3rd TTO – 6.75 ERA (Only 1.1 IP)

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

Team	K%	BB%	AVG	WHIP	ERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA
Marlins	25.0 %	7.5 %	0.270	1.44	6.00	4.09	4.04	3.68
Brewers	22.6 %	6.5 %	0.276	1.41	5.06	3.84	3.90	3.73

THE PLAY: MIL ML

Pretty simple here; A clear three-phase edge combined with plus splits every way. I can easily see the argument to get a percentage of those funds on the -1.5 Run Line. However, as you know, I’d generally rather lay the chalk then bank on a run that the Brewers don’t care about.

Lets get it