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MLBMA Daily Notes 6.1.19 DET at ATL

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OFFENSE

DET, 2019 (Last 7 Days)

  • 186 PA
  • .224/.270/.431 Triple Slash
  • .293 wOBA
  • 84 wRC+
  • 28.0% Hard Hit Rate (30th in MLB)
  • 30.6 K% (28th in MLB)

ATL Home vs LHP, 2019

  • 271 PA
  • .276/.347/.510 Triple Slash
  • .857 OPS
  • .234 ISO
  • .358 wOBA
  • 121 wRC+
  • 9.6% BB Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Daniel Norris Away, 2019 (4 Games Started)

  • 22.0 IP
  • 3.68 ERA / 4.15 FIP / 4.55 xFIP
  • 1.55 WHIP
  • .310/.358/.460 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .810 OPSA
  • .349 wOBAA
  • 8.9% Barrel Rate
  • 19.9% Whiff Rate
Courtesy of Baseball Savant

Mike Soroka, 2019 (Last 6 Games Started)

  • 40.0 IP
  • 33 K : 10 BB
  • 0.90 ERA / 2.95 FIP / 3.86 xFIP
  • 0.78 WHIP
  • .153/.237/.197 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .434 OPSA
  • .204 wOBA
  • 29.9% Hard Hit Rate

Courtesy of Baseball Savant

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

TeamK%BB%AVGWHIPERAFIPxFIPSIERA
Tigers24.0 %5.3 %0.1450.691.774.184.613.66
Braves24.2 %12.1 %0.2091.345.245.655.144.44

THE PLAY: ATL F5 ML

The state of bullpens right now in the bigs is particularly alarming. Whenever I see such a huge disparity in bullpen performance, not in our favor, I’ll always side with the shortened five-inning play. For all of the Tigers’ weaknesses right now, the bullpen isn’t one of them. All the readers know I play these games myself and I understand the (-260) price tag can seem high. If laying the chalk bothers you, you can always try your hand at the -0.5 F5RL (-170). I’ll definitely make sure to take a percentage towards the Run Line, but truth be told, I generally consider that a greedy bet and I would rather pay up to push in the event of a tie.

Let’s get it.

Baseball Twitter's Robin Hood. Lifetime baseball fan, avid capper and fantasy baseball player. 15+ years of stock trading experience, specializing in risk management and advanced game theories. Creator of the MLB Moving Averages algorithm in 2018

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