MLBMA Daily Notes 6.1.19 DET at ATL

146

OFFENSE

DET, 2019 (Last 7 Days)

• 186 PA
• .224/.270/.431 Triple Slash
• .293 wOBA
• 84 wRC+
• 28.0% Hard Hit Rate (30th in MLB)
• 30.6 K% (28th in MLB)

ATL Home vs LHP, 2019

• 271 PA
• .276/.347/.510 Triple Slash
• .857 OPS
• .234 ISO
• .358 wOBA
• 121 wRC+
• 9.6% BB Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Daniel Norris Away, 2019 (4 Games Started)

• 22.0 IP
• 3.68 ERA / 4.15 FIP / 4.55 xFIP
• 1.55 WHIP
• .310/.358/.460 Triple Slash Allowed
• .810 OPSA
• .349 wOBAA
• 8.9% Barrel Rate
• 19.9% Whiff Rate

Mike Soroka, 2019 (Last 6 Games Started)

• 40.0 IP
• 33 K : 10 BB
• 0.90 ERA / 2.95 FIP / 3.86 xFIP
• 0.78 WHIP
• .153/.237/.197 Triple Slash Allowed
• .434 OPSA
• .204 wOBA
• 29.9% Hard Hit Rate

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

Team	K%	BB%	AVG	WHIP	ERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA
Tigers	24.0 %	5.3 %	0.145	0.69	1.77	4.18	4.61	3.66
Braves	24.2 %	12.1 %	0.209	1.34	5.24	5.65	5.14	4.44

THE PLAY: ATL F5 ML

The state of bullpens right now in the bigs is particularly alarming. Whenever I see such a huge disparity in bullpen performance, not in our favor, I’ll always side with the shortened five-inning play. For all of the Tigers’ weaknesses right now, the bullpen isn’t one of them. All the readers know I play these games myself and I understand the (-260) price tag can seem high. If laying the chalk bothers you, you can always try your hand at the -0.5 F5RL (-170). I’ll definitely make sure to take a percentage towards the Run Line, but truth be told, I generally consider that a greedy bet and I would rather pay up to push in the event of a tie.

Let’s get it.