Sports Betting
MLBMA Daily Notes 6.1.19 DET at ATL
OFFENSE
DET, 2019 (Last 7 Days)
- 186 PA
- .224/.270/.431 Triple Slash
- .293 wOBA
- 84 wRC+
- 28.0% Hard Hit Rate (30th in MLB)
- 30.6 K% (28th in MLB)
ATL Home vs LHP, 2019
- 271 PA
- .276/.347/.510 Triple Slash
- .857 OPS
- .234 ISO
- .358 wOBA
- 121 wRC+
- 9.6% BB Rate
STARTING PITCHING
Daniel Norris Away, 2019 (4 Games Started)
- 22.0 IP
- 3.68 ERA / 4.15 FIP / 4.55 xFIP
- 1.55 WHIP
- .310/.358/.460 Triple Slash Allowed
- .810 OPSA
- .349 wOBAA
- 8.9% Barrel Rate
- 19.9% Whiff Rate
Mike Soroka, 2019 (Last 6 Games Started)
- 40.0 IP
- 33 K : 10 BB
- 0.90 ERA / 2.95 FIP / 3.86 xFIP
- 0.78 WHIP
- .153/.237/.197 Triple Slash Allowed
- .434 OPSA
- .204 wOBA
- 29.9% Hard Hit Rate
Courtesy of Baseball Savant
BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS
| Team | K% | BB% | AVG | WHIP | ERA | FIP | xFIP | SIERA |
| Tigers | 24.0 % | 5.3 % | 0.145 | 0.69 | 1.77 | 4.18 | 4.61 | 3.66 |
| Braves | 24.2 % | 12.1 % | 0.209 | 1.34 | 5.24 | 5.65 | 5.14 | 4.44 |
THE PLAY: ATL F5 ML
The state of bullpens right now in the bigs is particularly alarming. Whenever I see such a huge disparity in bullpen performance, not in our favor, I’ll always side with the shortened five-inning play. For all of the Tigers’ weaknesses right now, the bullpen isn’t one of them. All the readers know I play these games myself and I understand the (-260) price tag can seem high. If laying the chalk bothers you, you can always try your hand at the -0.5 F5RL (-170). I’ll definitely make sure to take a percentage towards the Run Line, but truth be told, I generally consider that a greedy bet and I would rather pay up to push in the event of a tie.
Let’s get it.
