MLBMA Daily Notes 5.30.19 KC at TEX

143

OFFENSE

KC Away vs LHP, 2019

• 258 PA
• .213/.279/.348 Triple Slash
• .627 OPS
• .135 ISO
• .268 wOBA
• 64 wRC+
• 26.7% K Rate

TEX Home vs RHP, 2019 (Last 14 Days)

• 146 PA
• 318/.377/.591 Triple Slash
• .968 OPS
• .273 ISO
• .401 wOBA
• 139 wRC+
• 49.0% Hard Hit Rate

STARTING PITCHING

Jakob Junis Away, 2019 (5 Games Started)

• 28.2 IP
• 25 K : 11 BB
• 5.34 ERA / 6.03 FIP / 4.39 xFIP
• 1.47 WHIP
• .279/.354/.532 Triple Slash Allowed
• .886 OPSA
• .370 wOBAA
• 43.2% Hard Hit Rate
• Poor Statcast data (below)

Mike Minor Home, 2019 (Last 4 Games Started)

• 30.0 IP
• 34 K : 7 BB
• 30.4 K%
• 0.60 ERA / 1.57 FIP / 3.42 xFIP
• 0.93 WHIP
• .202/.250/.240 Triple Slash Allowed
• .490 OPSA
• .220 wOBAA
• 31.0% Hard Hit Rate
• Impressive Statcast data all around

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

Team	BB%	AVG	WHIP	ERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA
Rangers	11.7 %	0.321	1.89	7.11	4.2	5.6	4.75

The Rangers bullpen line says it all. The state of bullpens across the majors has bettors getting whipsawed. Many of these situations are best to avoid.

THE PLAY: TEX F5 ML

There’s a clear two-phase edge for the Rangers in the first five innings of this one. The bullpen is so bad, I’ll ignore the likelihood of a push to not watch the Texas relievers melt down late. Lets keep these profits coming….

Let’s get it.