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MLBMA Daily Notes 5.28.19 SD at NYY

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OFFENSE

NYY Home, (Last 10 Days)

  • 80 PA
  • 16.3% BB Rate
  • .284/.400/.642 Triple Slash
  • 1.042 OPS
  • .358 ISO
  • .425 wOBA
  • 170 wRC+
  • 65.2% Hard Hit Rate

Technical Analysis

Custom MLBMA Charts exclusively at WINDAILYDFS.COM

The Yanks have been involved in a bullish channel dating back to May 8; You will notice a succession of higher highs and lower lows. In the nearest terms, New York has experienced a bit of regression, but that was supported by the mean and followed with sustained success. I like the Yankees to have at least one more day’s worth of steam in this rally.

STARTING PITCHING

Eric Lauer Away, 2019 (4 Games Started)

  • 19.2 IP
  • 9.2% BB Rate
  • 8.24 ERA / 4.95 FIP / 4.05 xFIP
  • 1.53 WHIP
  • .278/.345/.481 Triple Slash Allowed
  • .826 OPSAA
  • .348 wOBAA
  • 44.1% Hard Hit Rate Allowed
  • Weak Statcast Data
Courtesy of Baseball Savant

BULLPENS LAST 7 DAYS

TeamHR/9AVGWHIPERAFIP
Padres2.450.2931.255.44.48

THE PLAY: NYY TT 5

I started looking at this game as a potential NYY ML, but the Padres are the sixth best offense by team wOBA over the last seven days (.372), and Tanaka in Yankee Stadium is a combination that’s prone to homers. Although Tanaka has pitched his best ball in the Bronx, I think the clear mismatch here is the hot-hitting Yankees versus a Padres staff putting too many runners on and struggling to get outs.

I haven’t placed bets yet because of the weather, so please be careful. It’s likely that I pull this play off board depending on the weather. If there is any delay or precipitation it would be wise to avoid.

Let’s get it.

Baseball Twitter's Robin Hood. Lifetime baseball fan, avid capper and fantasy baseball player. 15+ years of stock trading experience, specializing in risk management and advanced game theories. Creator of the MLB Moving Averages algorithm in 2018

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