The Nats bullpen is bordering on being historically terrible, and are to be avoided at all costs. Their ERA over the last seven days is north of eight. No thanks. Couple that with the spike in Corbin’s ERA as he progresses through the game and this one is a clear five inning play.
THE PLAY: WAS F5 ML
The Nats have a statistical edge on both sides of the ball in this shortened five inning matchup. Alcantara is coming off a gem which I think was the clear anomaly given his extreme control issues. WAS has the 6th best team wOBA over the last seven days (.355), and has shown great plate discipline in that span. I believe that they will be patient enough with Alcantara to force him to make mistakes and take this one down today.
Baseball Twitter's Robin Hood. Lifetime baseball fan, avid capper and fantasy baseball player. 15+ years of stock trading experience, specializing in risk management and advanced game theories.
Creator of the MLB Moving Averages algorithm in 2018