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MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Berrios, Merrifield and More

There was a 15 game slate on Tuesday May 7th. I will go through some players who performed really well and a couple who underachieved. All salaries and points are based on DraftKings.

Winners

Jose Berrios ($10,400)

Berrios and the Twins played against the Blue Jays in Toronto on Tuesday. Berrios got the win after pitching seven innings and giving up only four hits. He did not give up any earned runs and was able to strike out five. The win improved Berrios’ record to 6-1. The six wins is tied for the most in the league. Berrios’ already impressive ERA improved to 2.53 and his WHIP to 0.92. His K/9 now sits at 8.6 which is right near his career number of 8.8.

Berrios’ Outlook

Berrios’ next projected start will come against the Tigers at home on Sunday May 12th. The Tigers offense has been brutal this year so far, averaging just over 3.5 runs per game. Their team batting average sits at only .233. The Tigers also average over 10 strikeouts per game which should match up well with Berrios’ good K/9. This is a spot where I will definitely be looking to roster Berrios’ at his high salary.

Whit Merrifield ($4,900)

Merrifield went from the “Losers” list to the “Winners” list in the matter of only a couple days. After putting up only three total fantasy points in his last two games, Merrifield put up 45 in his game on Tuesday for the top spot on the day. He went 4-for-5 with a home run and a triple. Merrifield scored three runs to go along with five RBI. He also added his seventh stolen base of the season. This game upped his average to .299 and his OPS to .897.

Merrifield’s Outlook

Merrifield and the Royals will get one more game against the Astros in Houston before heading back home to face the Phillies. If there was a Houston pitcher Merrifield should have taken advantage of in this series it is Brad Peacock, who he faces Wednesday. Peacock has an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.21. I am still looking to start Merrifield until his next series against the Phillies.

Lucas Giolito ($7,700)

Giolito put up his best start of the year, giving up three hits, three walks and no earned runs over seven innings. He added in eight strikeouts over his 105 pitches. This all added up to 32.9 fantasy points. Giolito has pitched pretty well to start the year with an ERA of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.29. He also has a very impressive K/9, which sits at 11.03. Giolito has put up at least 13 fantasy points in five of his six starts this year.

Giolito’s Outlook

Giolito’s next projected start will come in Toronto against the Blue Jays on Sunday May 12th. The Blue Jays offense has been pretty bad to start the year, averaging only 3.8 runs per game. Their batting average as a team is at only .226. This is a spot I will be looking to roster Giolito with his price staying reasonable. Toronto also has the fifth most strikeouts this year, which makes Giolito’s next start have immense upside.

Losers

Antonio Senzatela ($6,500)

Senzatela and the Rockies played the San Francisco Giants on Tuesday. Coors Field, as we know, is a hitter’s park, but this start was bad anywhere, as Senzatela was only able to get through 4.2 innings. He gave up eight hits, one walk, and seven earned runs while throwing 91 pitches. Three of the eight hits went for home runs. He was only able to strike out three in this one. His ERA rose to 4.03 after this one and his WHIP now is at 1.43. He has only been able to strike out 13 batters in 22 innings, which limits his upside.

Senzatela’s Outlook

Senzatela’s next projected start will come against the Padres at home on Sunday May 12th. The Padres are 24th in the league in runs scored and average 3.9 per game. Their team batting average is even a touch worse at 25th in the league at .226. San Diego also has the third most strikeouts in the league this year at 346. All these numbers add up to a favorable spot for Senzatela to bounce back other than the game being played at Coors Field. Senzatela will come at a huge discount in this one and will be worth a look as a low-owned contrarian play.

Trevor Story ($5,500)

Trevor Story has become one of the most expensive players on nights where he plays at home. Tuesday’s game was at home and he went 0-for-5 with two strikeouts and gave his owners zero points. Story has put up some big numbers at home so far this year. Coming into Tuesday, at home, Story’s average was at .304 with an OPS of .992. He has also added four home runs and 13 RBI at home. These numbers are quite a bit higher than his road numbers. His road batting average is only at .247 and his OPS is at .747.

Story’s Outlook

Story and the Rockies will face off against the Giants for two more games in Colorado. After facing Madison Bumgarner on Tuesday he should find it easier against Holland and Rodriguez of the Giants. Both of these pitchers have ERAs in the mid fives and neither has a WHIP below 1.30. These two games will come at home. I expect Story to rebound in these next two games and live up to his high salary.

Injury Report

Max Fried took a line drive off the hand on Tuesday. X-rays came back negative and he is day-to-day. He will be worth checking on before his next start.

Khris Davis was scratched from Tuesday’s lineup with his lingering hip injury. He is expected back any day.

Lorenzo Cain returned to the Brewers lineup on Tuesday. He missed Monday’s game after picking up a hand injury over the weekend.

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