A full-slate of action is ahead, with all 30 MLB teams scheduled to be in action. However, there are weather concerns in KC, CHW, TEX and MIN that will need to be watched carefully.
White Sox: I love picking on the Orioles pitching staff, especially in a park that has been great for HRs. A major concern is the weather.
Reds: Jason Vargas and the Mets bullpen stink. Only negative factor here is a major park downgrade from Great American to Citi.
Pirates: They have to be relieved getting out of L.A. after a weekend sweep at the hands of the Dodgers. It helps going to one of the best parks to hit in all of MLB and facing one of the worst pitching staffs in the Rangers (25th ranked bullpen in terms of ERA in ’19).
Rays: Jakob Junis has not been good at home. The Royals bullpen is not good. The Rays are feeling good about themselves after winning a series at Fenway over the weekend and being comfortably in first place in the AL East. And a second Lowe was called up yesterday to bolster their lineup (highly touted prospect Nathan Lowe joins rookie slugger Brandon Lowe). Weather concerns are here, however.
Bonus Hitting Picks
First Base-Josh Bell ($4,800 DK, $3,700 FD) vs. Adrian Sampson: If you are into narratives at all, this will be Bell’s first game in the stadium he went to growing up. Bell attended Jesuit College Preparatory School in nearby Dallas. Gatordade/ESPN named him the Texas High School Player of the Year when he was a senior. Against righties, the switch-hitting Bell has four HRs in 64 ABS with a .981 OPS. He is getting a massive park upgrade from PNC (26th ranked park in terms of HRs in 2018) to Globe Life (third in ’18).
Second base- Brandon Lowe ($4,700 DK, $3,800 FD) vs. Jakob Junis: No major park upgrade here for Lowe. So why do I like him? Mainly because so far in 2019 Junis has struggled at home. In 16 innings at Kauffman, he has given up 22 hits, 12 earned runs, three BBs and three HRs. There is likely to be traffic on the bases for the visiting team and Lowe, with a .957 OPS and five HRs (in only 67 ABs vs. righties) will likely be a major part of it. And, as a bonus, if Junis is gone from the game early, K.C.’s bullpen ERA is ranked 26th in MLB at 5.23. As mentioned before, this is a weather trouble spot, so my other second baseman I really like and I recommend if K.C. is PPD is Kolten Wong ($4,200 DK, $3,500 FD), who excels both against righties and on the road.
Third base- Yoan Moncada ($5,100 DK, $4,000 FD) vs. Andrew Cashner: Somewhat surprisingly, Guaranteed Rate Field is the second easiest park to HR in 2019 so far. Moncada has crushed righties on the young season, to the tune of six HRs in only 68 ABs and a 1.084 OPS. Cashner has already given up five dingers on the young season. Moncada has the bonus of going against the last place bullpen in terms of 2019 ERA and HRs against, an incredible 34 with the next highest bullpen only at 19!!!! Again, this game is a major weather risk.
Matt Chapman ($4,800 DK, $4,300 FD) vs. Rick Porcello- Use Chapman, who is a reverse splits batter, taking aim at the Green Monster in Fenway if the White Sox game is cancelled. On the young season, Chapman has five HRs in 76 ABs vs. righties with a 1.001 OPS.
Shortstop- Tim Anderson ($5,400 DK, $4,100 FD) vs. Andrew Cashner: I think you might be able to guess what one of my stacks is going to be (weather permitting). Anderson is killing the ball this season, but even more so against righties and at home. His OPS, respectively, against those two types are 1.150 and 1.376. Yikes. Add in four HRs in 61 ABs vs righties and four in 45 ABs at home and it easy to see why I like him. Alternate: Francisco Lindor ($4,600 DK, $3,600) vs. Sandy Alcantara. Walks are beginning to be an issue for Alcantara, with 12 in his last 20 innings. Striking out only 15 batters in that span, Alcantara is playing with fire. Look for Lindor to do some damage with men on base.
Outfield- Yasiel Puig ($3,800 DK, $3,300 FD) vs. Jason Vargas: You don’t think I can write this whole article and not pick on Vargas, can you? Puig has two HRs this young 2019 season in 16 ABs against lefties. Vargas has given up three HRS in 50 ABs against righties. Plus, Vargas is a five innings at most pitcher, meaning Puig will likely get at least two ABs against a Mets bullpen that ranks 28th in ERA.
Outfield- David Dahl ($4,700 DK, $3,600 FD) vs. Jhoulys Chacin: Chacin has not impressed anyone this year, giving up seven HRs already on the young season, with three of those off the bats of lefties. Dahl, coming off an oblique injury, seems to be getting his timing back and hitting at Miller Park, which is the third easiest to hit a homer in so far in 2019, may help him as well.
Outfield- Juan Soto ($5,100 DK, $4,300 FD) vs. Adam Wainwright: If you pay attention to narratives, a feel good one in this game is that Wainwright is making his first start since adopting a son, Caleb. On the mound, the long-time Cardinal is struggling to keep the ball in the park on the road this year, giving up two jacks in only 10 innings pitched. On the other side of the ledger, Soto is averaging a dinger once every 11 ABs at home and has an OPS of .953.
DFS meteorologist concentrating on MLB and the NFL, I graduated from UMass-Lowell with a degree in meteorology in 1996. I worked at AccuWeather as a meteorologist for almost a decade. I combined my two loves, weather and sports, and like to think I help 1000s of DFS'ers out each day. Huge Boston sports fan, lover of nature and animals and a proud father of 4 boys (2 biological).