Welcome to the Thursday edition of the Stack City, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
It’s Thursday and that means one thing, DAY BASEBALL! That’s right folks, we have a 6-game main slate today starting at noon est today. You’ll know before dinner time if you can got to Sizzler or not.
Always make sure to read Adam’s Starting Rotation when setting your lineup. It’s hands down the best pitching article in the MLB DFS business.
Let’s dig in and see if we can find some stacks to use today!
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Cleveland Guardians vs. Devin Smeltzer
After starting the year strongly, things have gotten progressively worse for Devin Smeltzer over the last month. Over his first 4 starts, Smeltzer gave up just 4 ER and 0 homers. He also struck out 12 while walking just 4. His last 3 starts have been polar opposites. He’s given up 12 runs in those while allowing 7 homers. Smeltzer has also walked 7 while striking out 7.
He’s seeming lost control and hitters have figured out how to hit him. With Smeltzer, we really want to attack him with righties. They have a significantly higher slugging % than lefties, .459 vs .310. They also have a much higher wOBA, .326 vs. .254. While the Guardians haven’t been overly hot, this is a solid matchup for them to breakout.
When you stack the Guardians, you start with Jose Ramirez and that’s exactly what I plan on doing today. Ramirez is off to a great start this season. He’s already up to 16 homers and 62 RBI. Over the last 30 days, he’s been really good against southpaws as he has a .440 wOBA and .241 ISO. Can JRam add to his home run total? There’s a great chance!
Next up will be Oscar Gonzalez. Gonzalez has been arguably the Guardians’ best hitter over the past week. Over his last 5 games, Gonzo has 2 homers, 6 RBI, and 5 runs scored. He’s basically been their offense and is extremely affordable on DK today at just $3.4k. The young kid has raked since getting called to the bigs and he’ll continue to rake in a solid matchup.
Other Guardians I’ll look to use today will be Amed Rosario, Franmil Reyes, and Owen Miller.
Chicago Cubs vs. Jose Quintana
The Cubs came through for us last night, and I think they’ll come through for us again today. Jose Quintana has really been struggling of late. In each of his last 3 starts, he’s given up at least 3 ER and multiple barrels. In his last 2 starts, he’s given up 5 homers. With him struggling right now, I’m going to load up on some Cubbies today.
With Quintana, we have someone that has very clear splits. He’s absolutely dominant vs. lefties. They have just a .244 slugging % and .244 wOBA. Against righties though he really struggles. They have a slugging % nearly 200 points higher at .434 and a wOBA nearly 100 points higher at .330. When David Ross fills out his lineup card today, there’s a strong chance it’s filled with 9 righties. A nightmare scenario for Quintana as righties have been even better against him over the last 30 days. Their wOBA is up to .403 over the last month.
Even though Willson Contreras struggled last night, I plan on starting my Cubs stack with him today. Contreras is far better vs. lefties than righties. Over the last month, he has a massive .711 wOBA vs. lefties in 22 AB. On the year, 7 of his 12 homers have come against lefties even though he’s had triple the amount of AB vs. righties than lefties. Against lefties this year, his slugging % is up to .852. This is a smash spot for him this afternoon.
Next up will be Ian Happ. Happ is coming into this game swinging a hot stick. Over his last 22 AB, he has 8 hits and an OPS of 1.098. He’s been one of the Cubs’ best hitters all year and is in great form. Happ also possesses more power from the right side. As a righty this season, he has a slugging % of .540 and an OPS of .958. With how well he’s doing of late and the matchup, the $3.5k salary for him today on DK seems like a huge misprice. Let’s lock him in.
Other bats I’ll use from the Cubs today will be Christopher Morel and Patrick Wisdom.
Colorado Rockies vs. Braxton Garrett
In just 3 starts this season, Braxton Garret has pitched to an ERA of 4.85 and an xFIP of 4.56. He’s yet to have a game where he’s been absolutely blown away, but there’s a strong chance that happens today. While we normally like to use the Rockies at home, this is a good spot for them today. They’ve been one of the best teams in the league against left-handed pitching this season as they have a 110 wRC and an OPS of .797. They also have a pretty high wOBA of .348.
Braxton Garrett has very clear splits. Lefties have a slugging % of .471 and OBP of .410. That OBP is extremely high and indicates that he puts righties on base at a really high pace. The Rockies will more than likely have 7 righties in the lineup.
We’ll start this Rockies stack with CJ Cron. Cron has been a beast against lefties this season. He has a massive .575 slugging % vs. them in 2022. Garret’s going to throw Cron a ton of sinkers as he throws it about a third of the time vs. righties. Against lefty sinkers, Cron has a .435 wOBA and a .235 ISO. He should do extremely well in this matchup.
Next up will be Connor Joe. Leading off, Joe should be able to get on base today often. Away from Coors, Joe has an OBP over .400 against lefties. He’ll set the tone in this matchup and there’s a strong chance that when he’s on base today, CJ Cron will drive him home. Like Cron, Joe has great numbers vs. lefty sinkers.
Other Rockies I’ll want to include will be Yonathan Daza, Brendan Rodgers, and Randal Grichuck.
MLB DFS Summary
Other MLB DFS stacks I like today will be the Dodgers vs. Hunter Greene, Marlins vs. Kyle Freeland, and Cardinals vs. Jason Alexander.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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New to the DFS writing world but have been playing DFS since BVP was cool. Started play season long fantasy when sporting news was used to calculate weekly scores. Originally from Brooklyn, NY but now a Baltmore resident.