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KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 07/02

KBO Matchups

  • HAN @ KIA
  • KT @ LG
  • LOT @ NCD
  • DOO @ KIW
  • SK @ SAM

Kings of the Hill

Warrick Saupold (R), HAN – $8,500 DK / $23 FD

While most will get caught in the hype of choosing between Straily and Kelly at the top of the pricing grid to slot in as their SP1, I’ll gladly start my KBO lineups tonight with Warrick Saupold. While the Hanwha ace has gotten little run support all season long, he still has 5 wins and is now sitting at 5-4 with a 3.50 ERA, 3.65 FIP, 1.37 WHIP. Although he was sluggish out of the gate in terms of strikeouts per game, Saupold has 13 strikeouts in his last 12 innings over the past two games and is now up to a 14.8% strikeout rate on the season. While the Hanwha bullpen isn’t as bad as advertised, the Eagles know they have to keep Saupold in as long as possible to have a shot to get a win every time he’s on the mound; he’s topped 100 or more pitches in 8 of 10 starts this season and will be heavily relied upon tonight versus an inconsistent Tigers lineup.

Tae In Won (R), SAM – $7,700 DK / $22 FD

The SP2 slot is one where we can afford to getcreative on DK to increase of likelihood of taking down a GPP on tonight’s KBOslate, and Tae In Won is just that guy. The 20-year-old Lions righty has flashedsome major upside this season, going 4-2 with a 2.96 ERA, 5.00 FIP, and a 1.34WHIP. While his strikeout rate is a tad lower than I’d like it to be for DFS upsideat 14.2%, his matchup versus SK makes me love this play even more than otheroptions on the slate. Don’t expect a repeat of what David Buchanan did yesterday;Won may not throw a complete game with 7 strikeouts, but there’s no reason tobelieve he can’t take advantage of a terrible SK lineup en route to 20+ DK points.

GPP Options: Min Woo Lee(R), KIA, Dan Straily (R), LOT

The Batter’s Box

Doosan Bears

The Bears exploded for 14 runs on a whopping 19 hits yesterday and there’s no reason to believe they can’t do it again on tonight’s KBO slate. For one, they are much better on the road, with every better seeing significant improvements in ISO, wOBA, and hard contact rates. Tonight, they get another favorable matchup versus Young Gun Jo who, other than having a cool name, is no fun to have on your DFS roster; he’s now 1-1 on the season with a 6.87 ERA and 7.66 FIP, 1.96 WHIP, and an atrocious 14.6% walk rate. With Jo struggling to get out of the 3rd inning in 5 of 6 starts and being limited to 60-70 pitches per game, the combination of a poor starter and a lackluster bullpen sets up Doosan for a repeat performance here tonight.

Top Options: Jose Fernandez (1B/2B), Jae Hwan Kim(OF/1B), Joo Hwan Choi (1B/2B), Jae Il Oh (1B), Kun Woo Park (OF), Kyoung MinHur (3B)

LG Twins

The Twins haven’t wowed in terms of DFS production sincethey went on a tear about a week ago, but tonight they are in a prime spot to putup a ton of runs. LG will be facing 22-year-old Byung Wook Jo and the worstbullpen in the KBO; there isn’t a ton of data to be found on Jo considering he’sonly pitched 12 2/3 innings in 3 appearances this season, but what I do know isthat giving up a combined 11 hits to the two worst lineups in the KBO, SK andHanwha, cannot be a sign of good things to come for the youngster. Even if he doesescape a few innings here and there, Jo hasn’t thrown more than 80 pitches in astart yet and he could get pulled early on, leading the Twins to face a bullpenfor the majority of the game.

Top Options: Roberto Ramos (1B), Hyun Soo Kim (OF), JiHwan Oh (SS), Eun Sung Chae (OF), Chun Woong Lee (OF), Kang Nam Yoo (C)

Honorable Mention: KT Wiz

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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