The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock with all of your DFS PGA needs. This week at the John Deere Classic, you’ll find the model’s Top 50, Vegas odds, Data Golf World Ranks, key stats and my personal player pool.
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Personal Player Pool
Players priced in the $10,000 range
Collin Morikawa – $10,700 In his short career, Morikawa has yet to miss the cut. Coming off last week’s T2 at the 3M Open, Morikawa’s game should fit perfectly at the John Deere Classic. Vegas has Morikawa tied with Hovland as this week’s favorite.
Joaquin Niemann – $10,200 Niemann is my model’s number one player. He’s been playing great, has made the cut his last five times out with two Top 5s along the way. He’s gained the most strokes through those five tournaments and if it wasn’t the first round last week, he may have won the 3M Open.
**Matthew Wolff – $10,500** With such a weak field I assumed Wolff would be a popular pick, even coming off a win. Early projections have him coming in under 10 percent. If those numbers hold I will have shares of Wolff going into the John Deere Classic.
Players priced in the $9,000 range
Sungjae Im – $9,700 Im can score with anyone at the John Deere Classic. He is fourth in the field in strokes gained total over the last five tournaments. If you’re playing cash this week, Im would be a perfect spot to start.
Daniel Berger – $9,300 After his missed cut at the Travelers, Berger came back with a T15 at the 3M Open. Gaining six strokes last week, he should come into the week with sub 10 percent ownership.
Wyndham Clark – $9,000 Coming on strong in the last three weeks with a T5 last time out. Clark is my top 9K play and is Top 25 in DraftKings points, short game and Par 5 scoring.
Players priced in the $8,000 range
I personally don’t love anyone in this price range. The model likes Lashley and the most popular play will likely be Tway.
Players priced between $7,900 and $7,500
Peter Malnati – $7,900 At this point Malnati should be a cash game staple. While he might lack win equity, he’s one of the safest options in the field. Malnati has made his last seven cuts. He hasn’t placed higher than 17th, but he’s eighth in strokes gained coming in.
Bronson Burgoon – $7,800 Burgoon has both recent form and course history going for him. That is something few folks can say. Burgoon is Top 25 in DK points, ball striking and opportunities gained. With a tie of second last year I could see Burgoon reaching Top 10 again at the John Deere Classic.
Sam Ryder – $7,500 One golfer who can say he has recent form and course history is Ryder. Like Burgoon last year, Ryder came in second. Ryder hasn’t placed above 34th in his last five times out but made the cut four out of five. With his ball striking, approach and opportunities all ranking in the Top 15, I’ll give him another chance.
Troy Merritt – $7,500 Merritt will be popular this week at the JDC and for good reason. He is Top 30 in DK points, balls striking, approach and opportunities gained. Merritt has made the cut five out of seven times, with three Top 20s, including seventh last week.
Denny McCarthy – $7,500 McCarthy played well the last two weeks with back to back Top 25s. Shooting -13 both weeks, he was able to contend with with the bombers for most of the week. His length may have been a bit of concern the last two tournaments. But the John Deere Classic doesn’t give the boost to bombers, which should bode well for McCarthy.
Players priced between $7,400 and $6,000
Joey Garber – $7,300 Just outside of my Top 50, Garber comes in 11th in SG:TOT over the last five events. He is a solid ball striker with a decent putter on bent greens. He’s made four out of five cuts while gaining four or more strokes in each tournament he finished.
Johnson Wagner – $7,200 Number nine in my overall model, Wagner is essentially Zach Johnson lite. Wagner hasn’t been playing great but is phenomenal at the John Deere Classic. Tied for 23rd last week, he did most of his damage with the flat stick. While I don’t expect him to gain almost six strokes putting again, he’s generally pretty good with his approach game. If those two areas of his game switch or both turn on, I can see Wagner performing quite well.
Roger Sloan – $7,100 Sloan has performed well these last two weeks and made the cut three out of four times before the RMC. With two Top 25s on the easy to score courses with bent greens the JDC should set up well for Sloan. He’s number five in my overall model and could be a nice pivot off of Straka. Sloan is Top 35 in recent form, course history, DK points, ball striking, short game, opportunities gained, Par 4 scoring and Par 5. He’ll be my highest owned 7K golfer.
Hank Lebioda – $7,100 Lebioda is 16th in the filed for strokes gained total, over the last five events. Coming off a T34 at the 3M Open, his ball striking and approach game have been solid. Able to score on the targeted Par 4s and 5s, I think Lebioda can rack up the DK points this week.
Andres Romero – $7,000 Coming off a T23 at the Irish Open, Romero comes back to the John Deere Classic. At the JDC, Romero has excellent course history with 12 strokes gained (16th best) in that span. Top 20 in both DK points and short game. Romero should be considered a GPP only play.
Players priced $6,900 and below
Chase Wright – $6,400 Another dart throw, he does most of his work gaining strokes on the greens. Bent grass is his best split and he is coming off of two made cuts on easy scoring courses. Wright only needs to make the cut to pay off this week. He’s is the exact opposite of Svensson, terrible off the tee but excellent with the putter. Svensson is also projected to be almost 10 percent owned. Wright will be closer to one percent owned. While he doesn’t have the stats like Werenski last week, Wright will be the pure dart money saver.