Connect with us
Football Articles Projection Model Cheat Sheets Season Long Rankings Totals Tool Prize Picks Prop Model Basketball Articles Projection Models Prize Picks Prop Model Cheat Sheet Golf Articles Projection Model Showdown Stats Tools Optimizer Nascar Articles Hockey Articles NHL Projection Model Other Sports NCAAF Mixed Martial Arts Soccer League of Legends Off Season Baseball Articles Baseball Projections Baseball Tools Sports Betting Articles Home Run Model About Us Win Daily Team Shop Merch Shop Book Announcements Contact Us Our Community

Become part of our Family in our Expert Chat! This is where all the magic happens. We created a community which we consider a family of DFS players and Sports Bettors like yourself.

Expert Chat
Gold Membership Optimizer Membership Free Membership Sharp App PrizePicks Partners The Sharp App Free Download Prize Picks 100% Deposit Match up to $100 Monkey Knife Fight 100% Instant Deposit Match (up to $100) DraftKings DFS 20% Deposit Up To $500 Bonus DraftKings SportsBook $1,000 Deposit Bonus; Bet $5, Win $280 FanDuel DFS 20% Deposit Bonus Up To $500 FanDuel SportsBook $1,000 Risk Free Bet; Bet $5, Win $280 Points Bet Up To $2,000 in Free Bets BETMGM $1,000 Risk Free 1st Bet Caesars $1,100 First Bet Match OwnersBox 100% Deposit Match up to $500 Underdog Fantasy 100% Deposit Match up to $100 BetRivers 100% Deposit Match up to $250 Sugarhouse 100% Deposit Match up to $250 Administrator Quick Links wp-admin Membership Reports Members Subscriptions Transactions Content Access Rules Monster Insights Microsoft BI Administrator Quick Links 2 New Funnel New Page Theme Editor Affiliate Royale ACF Writer Quick Links wp-admin New Post All Posts New Sportsbetting Pick All Sportsbetting Picks Affiliate Quick Links Dashboard Data Analyst Quick Links NBA Proj Dashboard MLB Proj Dashboard NFL Proj Dashboard Golf Proj Dashboard Cheat Sheet Quick links Sign Up Log In Articles


NFL NCAAF PGA NBA Soccer Nascar LOL MMA NHL Learn Video Sports Betting


Top Tools

Optimizer NFL DK Projection Model NFL FD Projection Model NBA Projection Model PGA Projection Model NHL Projection Model

Projection Models


Other Tools

Lineup Optimizer PrizePicks NFL Prop Model Prizepicks NBA Prop Model NFL Cheat Sheet NFL Totals Tool NBA Cheat Sheet PGA Showdown Stats Soccer Cheat Sheet NFL Season Long Rankings


Expert Chat The Team Shop Merch Shop Book Announcements Contact Us Facebook Twitter Instagram Twitch Youtube Live




SportsBook Reviews




Articles Videos Podcasts

Sports Betting

MLBMA FREE Custom Notes: Intro to ORC+/PRA+



Sports Betting

I can’t waste any time talking about how excited I am to present this to you if I want to get this live for 1 pm. ORC+/PRA+ is a new custom stat set I’ve created using the results from my MLBMA algorithm. Rather than have to backtrack the pings & spend time manually presenting the statistical arguments, I’ve decided to represent my results differently. Not only will it give a transparent look into all the MLBMA data, but it will also easily translate between betting, DFS & fantasy sports.

I’ve created some new MLBMA custom stats we’ll be using going forward that will encompass all the prerequisites; For example a team with a high scoring offensive grade means it has already passed rigorous standards on rolling average, trend & split tests. To list the stats individually is a waste of precious time we don’t have in a 24/7 MLB market. My goal is to give you the most comprehensive & unique snapshot of any given slate, that will be immediately effective across all formats. Profit is the name of the game, and efficiency is paramount.

  • ORC% – Offensive Runs Created, as a percentage of the league average
  • ORC+ – Offensive Runs Created, where the league average for teams is 100, and every point above 100 is a percentage point above league average. 
  • PRA% – Pitching Runs Allowed, as a percentage of the league average
  • PRA+ – Pitching Runs Allowed, where the league average for teams is 100, and every point above 100 is a percentage point above league average. 

You’ll also notice teams have different colors assigned to them. This is based on team wOBA over the last seven days. Think of it as being on a heat scale. I always like to keep a team’s last 250 PA in mind before making my decisions.

  • Red > .340
  • Orange .325 – .339
  • Yellow .291 – .325
  • Blue < .290

The conditional formatting for the board is set similarly to Baseball Savant where red is elite, down to blue being the worst. So regardless which side of the ball, we’re always looking for the color red and higher numbers on ORC+/PRA+.

Results for Early Slate, 6.27.19

What It Means:

I always aim to strip any information that I find serves only as a fuel for bias. The name of the starting pitcher, or even his season ERA come to mind. ORC/PRA are each based on a few dozen elements including week over week changes, trends & various splits.

To analyze the board results properly, we’re looking for the biggest discrepancies across columns. SEA, MIL & TEX automatically get flagged as DFS stacks, having enormous differences in their hitting scores & the opposing pitchers’. Would we bet them though? Not necessarily. Though its possible they bludgeon their way to victory, I don’t like to bet without at least some sort of pitching edge. SEA & MIL face each other, an automatic flag to play the over. TEX, on the other hand has a very low pitching score of its own; A red flag for that bet.

This is exactly the type of versatile & comprehensive work I’ve worked so very hard to provide. I don’t have time to do an entire board analysis here & now, but I’m looking forward to many in the future. Rather than handing out my interpretation of the results, I want to present them to you. The following may be small right now, but I take a tremendous amount of pride in this work. Thanks for reading along, and now you have a look into what MLBMA will be proudly presenting exclusively at WINDAILYDFS throughout this MLB season.

Let’s get it.

Baseball Twitter's Robin Hood. Lifetime baseball fan, avid capper and fantasy baseball player. 15+ years of stock trading experience, specializing in risk management and advanced game theories. Creator of the MLB Moving Averages algorithm in 2018

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

At Win Daily, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” Sure, we want to help you win that big DFS tournament. But we want you to have a greater enjoyment of Daily Fantasy Sports while you are doing it. Along the way, you also may learn some life lessons and gain some perspectives you may have never considered before.

Join Now


DISCLAIMER: This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.