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DFS Top Hitters and Prop Picks for 7/1: Who’s Your Padre?

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We have a rather short DFS slate here with only six games on the schedule. That makes our jobs much easier, as we only have 12 teams to zone in on. This is the perfect sort of slate for me and we’re going to look to continue our hot MKF picks!

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Catcher  

Buster Posey. SF at SD 

DK ($2,800)   FD ($2,300)  

To say the catching options on this slate are ugly would be an understatement, as Posey makes for a nice punt play. While his power has fallen off the face of the earth, this guy is still a Hall of Fame player. That’s evident by his .302 career average and .832 OPS. Those are incredible numbers from any catcher and his .669 OPS this season will inevitably see some positive regression. The reason we like him here is because he gets the platoon advantage against a lefty, with Posey generating a .322 AVG, .909 OPS and .389 wOBA against southpaws for his career. 

First Base  

Eric Thames, MIL at CIN 

DK ($4,900)   FD ($2,800) 

It’s really hard to understand why Thames remains so cheap on these DFS sites. This lefty masher has obliterated righties throughout his career and he’s being priced like a slap-hitter on FanDuel. Since joining the Brewers, Thames is providing a .535 SLG and .884 OPS against right-handers. That’s amazing production from a player priced this cheap and it doesn’t even take into consideration that he enters this game in the midst of a four-game hitting streak, collecting a .500 AVG in that span while accumulating three doubles, one triple, two homers and five RBI. Tyler Mahle is not a guy we need to feat either, with the righty pitching to a 4.80 FIP for his career. 

Second Base  

Scooter Gennett, CIN vs. MIL 

DK ($3,900)   FD ($3,000) 

Gennett has only one hit in his first two games off the IL but this is a guy who’s way too good to be this low. Since joining the Reds in 2017. Gennett has a .303 AVG to match his .508 SLG and .859 OPS. Those are stellar numbers from a little guy and he’s typically better against righties. In fact, Gennett has a .903 OPS against right-handers since joining Cincinnati. That’s way too much potential from a player below $4,000 on both DFS sites. 

Third Base 

Manny Machado, SD vs. SF 

DK ($5,100)   FD ($4,200) 

Machado’s season-long numbers are nothing special but he’s probably the hottest hitter in the league right now. What got him going was a series in Coors Field, with Machado generating a .429 AVG, a .962 SLG and a 1.415 OPS in 14 games since then. That’s obviously absurd production and it pretty much puts him in play no matter what. We love him against a guy like Jeff Samardzija too, who’s pitching to a 5.12 ERA and 1.41 WHIP dating back to last season.

Shortstop 

Willy Adames, TB vs. BAL 

DK ($3,800)   FD ($3,400) 

Adames was incredibly cheap on both DFS sites just last week and the recent price increase indicates just how good he’s been recently. Not only does he have a hit in 10 of his last 12 games, Adames is also posting a 1.153 OPS over his last eight games in total. What’s cool about Adames is that he’s actually a reverse splits guy, which means he’s much better against right-handed pitching. That’s made crystal clear by the fact that he’s posting an .807 career OPS against righties. Jimmy Yacobonis is definitely a guy we want to exploit too, with the Orioles righty pitching to a 5.32 ERA and 1.49 WHIP across 86 innings in his career.  

Outfield 

Kyle Schwarber, CHC at PIT 

DK ($3,900)   FD ($3,600) 

Schwarber just continues to be undervalued on DK and it really doesn’t make any sense. Since being moved to the leadoff spot, Schwarber has been a different player. It us evident by the fact that he’s got 14 homers over his last 44 games while accruing 31 runs scored and 31 RBI in that span. That’s all you can ask for from someone in this price range and he should have success against a guy who’s due for some serious regression. Trevor Williams has a 4.51 career xFIP, which tells us that he’s been extremely lucky up to this point. That luck could end here, with Schwarber posting a .495 SLG and .826 OPS against righties since 2017 and Williams allowing seven runs in his last start.  

Franmil Reyes, SD vs. SF 

DK ($4,400)   FD ($3,000)  

This is yet another guy who continues to be disrespected by the DFS sites and he’ll continue to be in my articles until they raise his price. Last time we recommended him, Reyes actually provided two dingers against the Orioles. While that’s unlikely to happen again, it shows the power potential he possesses. We’re talking about a 6’5”, 280-pound dude who’s got 24 homers to match his .564 SLG, .384 xwOBA and .312 ISO. That doesn’t even take into consideration that this monster of a man is in Top 20 in hard-hit rate, exit velocity and barrel percentage. Don’t underestimate a beast like the Franmial!

Jorge Soler, KC at TOR 

DK ($4,000)   FD ($3,200) 

Soler has 22 home runs and 55 RBI this season. Yes, you read that correctly. Soler ranks Top 8 in the AL in both home runs and RBI. Even as someone who loved Soler in his struggling days with the Cubs, those numbers really surprised me. The simple fact is, this dude is a masher right now and it’s clear that playing every day has done wonders for his consistency. What really adds to his intrigue here is that he gets to face Clayton Richard, who’s pitching to a 6.89 ERA and 1.69 WHIP while recording more walks than Ks. Those terrible numbers are even more worrisome considering the fact that it gives Soler the platoon advantage. Dating back to last year, Soler has a wOBA north of .400 against lefties while providing an .860 OPS.  

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day 

I’ve hit 13 of my last 20 MKF picks and we’re going to look to keep that hot stretch going here. With only six games on the schedule, I’m going to go with just one recommendation.

Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Adbert Alzolay Over 4.5 Strikeouts

My mouth was watering when I saw this prop. A 2.08 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in his first two starts say a lot but his 3.09 ERA and 0.94 WHIP at Triple-A this season says even more. That doesn’t even take into consideration that he has 46 Ks in 32 innings this season, which equates to a K rate north of 30 percent. The Pirates rank 20th in both runs scored and wOBA, as Alzolay should cruise right through this 4.5-total.

I've been playing fantasy sports since I was 12, which means I've been playing for over half of my life. I love DFS and season-long formats and have been writing for nearly a decade. I started my writing career at RotoWire and currently write for FantasyPros, Rotoballer, Razzball and DFSR. I cover NBA, MLB and NFL and follow all major sports. I generally cover primarily DFS but I also do game previews, recaps, player write-ups, injury updates etc.

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