Early DFS Slate;
Aaron Nola vs. New York Mets
DraftKings $10,700, FanDuel $8,800
First of all, this is a stupid DFS price for FanDuel and I expect massive chalk. I will gladly take all the chalk also. Nola has been far from elite this season, but he has been pretty nails at home. He holds a 3.19 ERA and a 10.16 K/9. He has also been able to limit hard contact at home (31.5%). I will gladly lock in Nola on both DFS sites with no issue against a lackluster Mets team.
Spencer Turnbull vs. Texas Rangers
DraftKings $9,000, Fanduel $7,300
The Rangers aren’t as scary as you may think on the road. I love playing them in Texas, but I also love DFS pitching against them away from Texas. Turnbull holds a 9.43 K/9 at home, he also keeps the ball on the ground pretty efficiently (48%). I love Turnbull here for a DFS pivot off Nola.
Main DFS Slate;
Stephen Strasburg @ Miami Marlins
DraftKings $11,900, FanDuel $10,400
A good pitcher in Miami = DFS lock. Strasburg has been way better this season away from Washington as he holds a 2.92 ERA and a 10.83 K/9. We all know the story on how horrible the Marlins are offensively and the upside on Strasburg has been proven. Just because he is going to be insane chalk I guess I don’t mind a DFS pivot off in GPP, but I don’t suggest it.
Sandy Alcantara vs. Washington Nationals
DraftKings $8,300, Fanduel $8,200
I’m not sure what the problem is with the Nationals this season, but I don’t mind using pitchers against them anymore in DFS. We get a huge ballpark boost with them playing in Miami and Alcantara can hold his own. In Miami he holds a 3.40 ERA with a 7.69 K/9. He has been better against lefties this season so that helps a ton with the dangerous lefties in the Nationals lineup.