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DFS Pitching Picks for 5/2 – Sliding past the Brewers and Padres

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Today we have a eight game slate starting at 12 EST. Let’s dig in to the options I prefer to have.

Jose Berrios vs Houston Astros – $9,900 DraftKings, $10,300 FanDuel

Berrios has always been a player who just has that extra juice at home. That stands true this season as he holds a 1.77 ERA in with an 11.07 K/9. The Houston Astros are a powerhouse offense, which may steer people away, but that doesn’t worry me at all. They have been scuffling offensively and although they aren’t striking out a ton, they aren’t hitting either. I am all in on Berrios as he is the only stud I am willing to pay for. I don’t see a blowup here at all and the upside is the highest on the slate.

Jon Gray @ Milwaukee Brewers – $8,000 DraftKings, $8,400 FanDuel

Jon Gray’s strikeout upside is one of the highest today and this price is too cheap for me. As I expect Christian Yelich to miss this one, that’s a huge relief for Gray. There are strikeouts in this lineup and Gray will definitely pick them out. The way he will find his strikeouts is through his slider, which he throws a ton. The Brewers have a pretty high whiff percentage against the slider, as six players are over 30%. The Rockies are opening up as an underdog but I expect them to start the game as a favorite. 

Mike Foltynewicz vs San Diego Padres – $7,800 DraftKings, $9,200 FanDuel

The strikeout stuff has always been there for Foltynewicz, but the ability to go deep into games has always been a major problem for him. The Padres are a team who can easily strikeout 10 times against Folty and that’s about what I expect here if he goes at least six innings. Another big plus for me is the matchup the Braves have with Matt Strahm. Opening as a -130 favorite I personally think there is no chance of the Padres winning this game. The one thing that stands out to me with the Padres is the MAJOR whiff percentage they have against sliders, which is Foltynewicz’s strikeout pitch. I wouldn’t be surprised if he eclipses 10-plus strikeouts in this one. I will say he is way overpriced on FanDuel.

Tyler Mahle @ New York Mets – $5,900 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel

I know how gross this seems, but I’m not really in love with all these options on this slate. I am willing to take a flyer on Mahle as a SP2. He struggles against left-handed bats, and the Mets have three really good ones. If he can limit the power, there are strikeouts up and down this lineup. The Mets have been playing bad offensive ball this whole series and it could continue in this one. As the total opens up at seven and a half, Vegas agrees that we won’t see much offense. Mahle is more of a pitch to contact and ground ball type of pitcher to righties (47.4%) and a fly ball pitcher to lefties (45.1%). Playing in Citi Field in this one helps his case, as it’s more difficult to give up home runs. I love the case for Mahle here, i think he gets around 17-20 if the Reds can get him a win here. 

Won the FanDuel, 11K MLB Pickoff Single Entry Tournament in May of 2019. Started playing MLB DFS a couple years ago and have found success as mainly a cash game player. After playing season-long fantasy for five years I decided to give DFS a shot and have never looked back. Grinding all year around with MLB, NBA and NFL.

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