On the early slate, Chris Sale is certainly worth the $11,600 on DraftKings, and he could get his first home win this season against his former team. Sale did have a bumpy start his last time out, but he should rebound today. But you can save $1000 by going with Trevor Bauer at home against the Royals. Some DFS players may be skeptical a bit after he was hit hard by the Tigers his last time out. Bauer is definitely better on the road, but you have to like the opponent here. Bauer also pitches better in day games (1.82 ERA). Kansas City is 25th in team batting this month and on the road overall.
If you choose to play on the all day DFS slate, our CEO and DFS Pro Jason Mezrahi likes German Marquez at San Francisco for 10,000 on DK. Marquez is coming off a very strong outing against the Dodgers and he registered his first career shutout at Oracle Park earlier this season. He should also get quality run support from the Colorado lineup against Jeff Samardzija.
In one of the best matchups of the night, Mike Minor (11,000)
opposes Matt Boyd (10,000). Both pitchers are worth strong DFS GPP consideration,
but only one can win here and it could be a low-scoring duel that eliminates
both as cash game plays. Boyd, however, is coming off two bumpy starts, so you
can lean to Minor here in tournaments, especially since he faces the weaker
Patrick Corbin is a top play at 10,600 at Miami in a pitcher’s
park against one the most vulnerable lineups in MLB. He is the preferred DFS
cash game play on the night slate. Last time Corbin faced Miami in May, he
delivered a complete game shutout. Miami hitters who have faced him previously
have a composite .195 batting average against Corbin.
I have a strong gut feeling about Framber Valdez at a DFS
price of just 6900 at home against Pittsburgh. My gut is quite prominent, so I
may want to listen to it. I look like a lowercase letter b from the side view. Valdez
had two solid outings as a starter before getting hit hard at Yankee Stadium
last week. He had 15 strikeouts and three earned runs in two previous starts
against Toronto and Baltimore. I am going to use him as my second DK pitcher in
DFS GPP play.
In the featured pitching matchup of the night, Charlie
Morton (10,200) opposes Jake Odorizzi (9,500). I am not spending up for Morton against
that Minnesota lineup. Odorizzi’s price is down after a pair of four-run
outings against Kansas City. That makes him a GPP DFS Play against Tampa Bay,
21st in team batting in June and is fifth in Ks this month. On the
night slate I would go with Odorizzi or Minor as my DFS GPP play along with Valdez
as my SP2.
I am going big on the Pittsburgh-Houston Over/Under tonight for 19x my buy-in. Framber Valdez will easily go over 4.5 Ks. Josh Bell is hitting .176 over the last week and is better vs. RHPs, so I will take the under on 1.5 Runs plus RBI. Starling Marte is hitting .167 over the past week and .238 vs. lefties, so I will take the under on 1.5 total bases. Dario Agrazi, who is making his second start after posting a 3,87 ERA in the minors, should be a good target for the Houston hitters. The Pittsburgh bullpen is also ranked 27th. So over for me on 1.5 Hits plus Walks on Jose Altuve and 1.5 Total Bases for Alex Bregman, who starts to get back on track tonight. Our Joel Bartilotta has more on Bregman here. Follow my gut with Valdez here tonight and get 100 percent bonus!
Scott Engel is a 20-plus year veteran of the Fantasy Sports industry and an inaugural member of the Fantasy Sports Association’s Hall of Fame. He is a four-time FSWA Award winner and nine-time finalist. He won the CBS SportsLine Hall of Fame Award for his longstanding service and was a featured Fantasy analyst for ESPN.com. Scott is a longtime and award-winning host on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio. He was the Managing Director and driving content force behind RotoExperts.com for more than a decade and helped launch the FNTSY Sports Network.